When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
12 games · 2023 · Charlotte · pick one to list those games
50% went over. Of the 6 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 33% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 0% of games.
All 12 games
2023 · Charlotte · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023 · Week 13 |
USF -7 | 57 | 14285562 | Q4 | USF Q2 | 14–48 |
2023 · Week 12 |
RICE PK | 46.5 | 10132135 | U | RICE Q1 | 28–7 |
2023 · Week 11 |
MEM -10 | 51.5 | 731457682 | Q4 | CLT Q1 Lead lost |
44–38 |
2023 · Week 10 |
TLSA -4 | 48 | 1427325259 | Q4 | CLT Q3 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
33–26 |
2023 · Week 9 |
FAU -3.5 | 45.5 | 10274754 | Q3 | FAU Q1 | 38–16 |
2023 · Week 8 |
ECU -6 | 39.5 | 331017 | U | CLT Q1 | 10–7 |
2023 · Week 7 |
NAVY -3.5 | 43.5 | 00714 | U | NAVY Q3 | 14–0 |
2023 · Week 5 |
SMU -22.5 | 53 | 14203650 | U | CLT Q1 | 16–34 |
2023 · Week 4 |
FLA -28 | 48.5 | 10232629 | U | CLT Q1 | 7–22 |
2023 · Week 3 |
GAST -5 | 52 | 7305966 | Q3 | GAST Q1 | 41–25 |
2023 · Week 2 |
MD -24.5 | 50 | 14233158 | Q4 | CLT Q1 Late over |
20–38 |
 SCST @  CLT2023 · Week 1 |
CLT -24 | 44.5 | 0202027 | U | SCST Q1 | 3–24 |
USF
RICE
MEM
TLSA
FAU
ECU
NAVY
SMU
FLA
GAST
MDWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 75% 9
Q2 8% 1
Q3 17% 2
Q4 0% 0
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 73% and covered 64% of 11 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 83% and covered 58% of 12 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 1–3 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 4–7 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 15–17 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 18–21 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 22+ | 5 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.