When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
12 games · 2023 · Boise State · pick one to list those games
67% went over. Of the 8 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 0% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 36% of games.
All 12 games
2023 · Boise State · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023 · Postseason |
UCLA -6.5 | 46 | 13234457 | Q4 | UCLA Q3 | 35–22 |
2023 · Week 14 |
BOIS -2 | 61.5 | 21486164 | Q4 | BOIS Q1 Late over |
44–20 |
2023 · Week 13 |
BOIS -7 | 44.5 | 3234346 | Q4 | BOIS Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
19–27 |
2023 · Week 12 |
BOIS -4 | 64 | 7414855 | U | BOIS Q2 | 45–10 |
2023 · Week 11 |
BOIS -27.5 | 58.5 | 22465356 | U | BOIS Q4 | 14–42 |
2023 · Week 10 |
FRES -2.5 | 54 | 13304467 | Q4 | FRES Q1 Late over |
30–37 |
2023 · Week 9 |
BOIS -4.5 | 48.5 | 15223639 | U | BOIS Q2 | 7–32 |
2023 · Week 7 |
BOIS -7.5 | 59.5 | 7172761 | Q4 | CSU Q3 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
30–31 |
2023 · Week 5 |
MEM -3 | 58 | 3313867 | Q4 | Push Late over |
32–35 |
2023 · Week 4 |
BOIS -5 | 47.5 | 7344465 | Q4 | SDSU Q4 | 34–31 |
 UND @  BOIS2023 · Week 3 |
BOIS -15 | 58 | 7274660 | Q4 | BOIS Q4 Late over |
18–42 |
2023 · Week 2 |
UCF -3 | 58.5 | 10191934 | U | BOIS Q1 Late cover flip |
18–16 |
UCLA
UNLV
AFA
USU
UNM
FRES
WYO
CSU
MEM
SDSU
UCFWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 25% 3
Q2 17% 2
Q3 17% 2
Q4 33% 4
OT 0% 0
Push 8% 1
The team leading at halftime won 64% and covered 73% of 11 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 83% and covered 75% of 12 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| 1–3 | 3 | 100% 3 |
| 4–7 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 11–14 | 3 | 67% 2 |
| 15–17 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 18–21 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 22+ | 2 | 50% 1 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.