1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Dec 12
  3. SELA @ HAW
NCAAB · Sat, Dec 12

SE Louisiana Lions at Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors

Stan Sheriff Center · at Hawai'i
#253SELASE Louisiana
@
#140HAWHawai'i
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
SELAThis seasonHAW
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects HAW 76–66 · win probability HAW 83%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 141.9
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: HAW has more of the edges

SELA 1, HAW 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
HAWBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: SELA 46.7 and allows 52.4; HAW 52.0 and allows 46.8
HAWBig
Three-pointers
SELA hits 28.4% and allows 36.0%; HAW hits 31.7% and allows 30.3%. Threes are 39.5% and 39.8% of their shots
HAWBig
SELA offense vs HAW defense
Offense 315th of 366 against a defense 150th, on the model’s ratings
HAWBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: SELA 28.6%, HAW 31.3%. Defensive: SELA 68.6%, HAW 74.7%
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: SELA plays 65.9 a game (318th fastest), HAW 73.0 (19th). Faster games mean more points
SELASmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: SELA 18.4%, HAW 18.8%. Forced: SELA 19.1%, HAW 16.8%
HAWSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: SELA 40.3, HAW 41.4. Allowed: SELA 41.2, HAW 35.6
HAWSmall
Home court
HAW at home. This season: HAW 0-0 at home, SELA 0-0 away
Even
HAW offense vs SELA defense
Offense 136th of 366 against a defense 177th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
SELA has played the 276th-hardest schedule, HAW the 242nd. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: SELA 4%, HAW 10%. Transfers in: SELA 10, HAW 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—HAW -10.9—
Total—141.9—
Projected score—SELA 65.5 · HAW 76.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadHAW -6.4—
1H total66.4—
1H projected scoreSELA 30 · HAW 36.4—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Hawai'i has the better starters

Position by position: SE Louisiana 1, Hawai'i 2, even 2
SE LouisianaBetterHawai'i
G Q. Allen TR9.5 pts · 4.2 reb · 0.7 ast Score 62
SELASmall
G C. Trujillo TR12.3 pts · 3.3 reb · 2.7 ast Score 39
G J. Furman TR8.6 pts · 3.2 reb · 1.3 ast Score 13
HAWSmall
G I. Kerr6.6 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.3 ast Score 38
G T. Bailey TR6.5 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.8 ast Score 12
HAWBig
F Z. Davidson TR12.9 pts · 4.7 reb · 0.9 ast Score 69
G T. Rolison TR5.5 pts · 1.7 reb · 2.6 ast Score 58
Even
C B. Dengdit TR10.8 pts · 5 reb · 1.8 ast Score 62
F A. Sims TR7.2 pts · 4.9 reb · 2.1 ast Score 28
Even
C H. Dan TR5.4 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.3 ast Score 36
SE LouisianaBetterHawai'i
SELA offense315th of 366 · -10.2
HAWBig
HAW defense150th of 366 · -3.3
SELA defense177th of 366 · -4.0
Even
HAW offense136th of 366 · -3.9
Backcourt-5.3 · 4 players
HAWSmall
Backcourt-2.6 · 2 players
Frontcourt-1.9 · 1 player
HAWBig
Frontcourt+1.3 · 3 players
Bench-3.3 · 5 players
HAWSmall
Bench-0.4 · 2 players
Score, worst to bestSELA betterHAW betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
SE Louisiana
Guards
Q. Allen25 min · TRJ. Furman24 min · TRT. Bailey23 min · TRT. Rolison17 min · TRG. Sanford12 min · TRJ. Nyam1 min · TR
Forwards
A. Sims32 min · TRJ. Massaquoi17 min · TRY. Ndjonga10 min · TRG. Shoemaker7 min
Centers
D. Akoue12 min · TR
Hawai'i
Guards
C. Trujillo34 min · TRI. Kerr21 minT. CuffNewJ. MatingouNewL. AwanNewS. BelnapNew
Forwards
Z. Davidson24 min · TRM. Adams12 min · TRM. Joses9 min · TRK. HamptonNew
Centers
B. Dengdit23 min · TRH. Dan15 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
SELAHAW
Scoring
64.8 #350Points per game78.7 #86
0.98 #339Points per possession1.08 #186
65.9 #318Pace (possessions)73.0 #19
Shooting
46.7 #343Effective FG%52.0 #148
28.4 #3623-point %31.7 #298
39.5 #1833-point attempt rate39.8 #175
40.3 #56Free throw rate41.4 #38
Possessions
18.4 #291Turnover rate18.8 #315
28.6 #245Offensive rebound rate31.3 #154
11.4 #319Assists per game13.3 #187
Defense
71.3 #86Points allowed71.2 #76
1.08 #172Points allowed per possession0.98 #10
52.4 #233Opponent effective FG%46.8 #19
36.0 #301Opponent 3-point %30.3 #13
19.1 #47Turnovers forced16.8 #167
68.6 #225Defensive rebound rate74.7 #11
6.8 #145Steals per game6.5 #175
2.7 #272Blocks per game4.0 #73
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

SE Louisiana

8-22 in 2025-26 overall · 6-16 in conference · Southland Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • W@ LSU N Orleans82–78
  • L@ Nicholls60–68
  • Lvs Texas A&M-CC68–73
  • Lvs UT Rio Grande75–96
  • L@ East Texas A&M53–70

A week or more of rest.

Hawai'i

22-9 in 2025-26 overall · 16-6 in conference · Mountain West Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Arkansas78–97
  • Wvs UC Irvine71–64
  • Wvs Fullerton78–63
  • Lvs Long Beach St75–84
  • Wvs UC Riverside93–74

A week or more of rest.