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NCAAB · Wed, Dec 2

Austin Peay @ Wyoming

Arena-Auditorium · at Wyoming
#210APSUAustin Peay
@
#122WYOWyoming
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
APSUThis seasonWYO
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects WYO 80–70 · win probability WYO 81%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 150.2
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it

APSU 3, WYO 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
APSU has played the 318th-hardest schedule, WYO the 105th. A record against a soft schedule means less
APSUBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: APSU 37.6, WYO 35.5. Allowed: APSU 32.8, WYO 47.9
WYOBig
WYO offense vs APSU defense
Offense 124th of 366 against a defense 240th, on the model’s ratings
WYOSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: APSU 29.7%, WYO 34.0%. Defensive: APSU 71.1%, WYO 72.0%
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: APSU plays 70.1 a game (114th fastest), WYO 67.6 (252nd). Faster games mean more points
APSUSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: APSU 15.4%, WYO 16.3%. Forced: APSU 17.9%, WYO 16.8%
APSUSmall
Three-pointers
APSU hits 35.3% and allows 33.2%; WYO hits 33.0% and allows 32.8%. Threes are 38.0% and 43.0% of their shots
WYOSmall
Home court
WYO at home. This season: WYO 0-0 at home, APSU 0-0 away
Even
APSU offense vs WYO defense
Offense 174th of 366 against a defense 131st, on the model’s ratings
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: APSU 30%, WYO 45%. Transfers in: APSU 2, WYO 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: APSU 53.0 and allows 52.2; WYO 51.8 and allows 52.0
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—WYO -10.2—
Total—150.2—
Projected score—APSU 70 · WYO 80.2

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadWYO -6.0—
1H total70.2—
1H projected scoreAPSU 32.1 · WYO 38.1—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Wyoming has the better starters

Position by position: Austin Peay 1, Wyoming 2, even 2
Austin PeayBetterWyoming
G Z. Collins13.7 pts · 3.2 reb · 4.2 ast Score 60
Even
G C. Jefferson TR12.7 pts · 1.9 reb · 2.9 ast Score 48
G C. Love TR7.2 pts · 2.6 reb · 1 ast Score 44
WYOSmall
G K. Bennett10.1 pts · 4.8 reb · 2.8 ast Score 76
G S. Hugie TR4.4 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.5 ast Score 32
WYOBig
G N. Meyer12.7 pts · 4.9 reb · 2.4 ast Score 83
G C. Ryans NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
F R. Sondors TR10.4 pts · 4 reb · 0.9 ast Score 15
F R. Marshall16.3 pts · 7 reb · 1.2 ast Score 92
APSUSmall
F G. Gores7.3 pts · 3.4 reb · 0.4 ast Score 65
Austin PeayBetterWyoming
APSU offense174th of 366 · -5.4
Even
WYO defense131st of 366 · -2.4
APSU defense240th of 366 · -6.3
WYOSmall
WYO offense124th of 366 · -3.3
Backcourt-1.7 · 4 players
WYOBig
Backcourt+1.8 · 3 players
Frontcourt+3.8 · 1 player
APSUBig
Frontcourt-2.2 · 2 players
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench-1.4 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestAPSU betterWYO betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Austin Peay
Guards
Z. Collins30 minC. Love25 min · TRS. Hugie12 min · TRC. RyansNewP. SingletonNewT. ToddNew
Forwards
R. Marshall30 minD. BoldenNewA. DavisNew
Wyoming
Guards
C. Jefferson31 min · TRK. Bennett28 minN. Meyer28 minU. Rojas17 minP. Gerrits10 min · TRM. De MartinNew
Forwards
R. Sondors29 min · TRG. Gores18 minM. Curtis9 min · TRM. MoraNewN. SummersNewC. PohlNew
Centers
L. RufNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
APSUWYO
Scoring
79.0 #79Points per game76.2 #137
1.13 #91Points per possession1.13 #92
70.1 #114Pace (possessions)67.6 #252
Shooting
53.0 #105Effective FG%51.8 #154
35.3 #993-point %33.0 #234
38.0 #2153-point attempt rate43.0 #116
37.6 #110Free throw rate35.5 #166
Possessions
15.4 #94Turnover rate16.3 #155
29.7 #214Offensive rebound rate34.0 #66
15.3 #76Assists per game14.1 #141
Defense
74.6 #179Points allowed72.9 #131
1.06 #119Points allowed per possession1.08 #169
52.2 #227Opponent effective FG%52.0 #211
33.2 #137Opponent 3-point %32.8 #108
17.9 #103Turnovers forced16.8 #164
71.1 #100Defensive rebound rate72.0 #66
8.4 #22Steals per game6.6 #169
2.2 #329Blocks per game2.4 #318
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Austin Peay

20-9 in 2025-26 overall · 16-4 in conference · United Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Queens University Royals83–90
  • Wvs Stetson69–60
  • L@ Bellarmine97–111
  • Lvs C Arkansas88–93
  • W@ Jacksonville65–61

A week or more of rest.

Wyoming

17-15 in 2025-26 overall · 9-12 in conference · Mountain West Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Wichita St70–74
  • Lvs UNLV70–73
  • W@ San José St88–78
  • Wvs Nevada83–73
  • Wvs Air Force66–62

A week or more of rest.