1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Nov 7
  3. SJSU @ UCI
NCAAB · Sat, Nov 7

San José State Spartans at UC Irvine Anteaters

Bren Events Center · at UC Irvine
#143SJSUSan José St
@
#149UCIUC Irvine
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
SJSUThis seasonUCI
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects UCI 74–71 · win probability UCI 62%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 145.0
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: UCI has more of the edges

SJSU 1, UCI 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
UCIBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: SJSU 49.7 and allows 57.1; UCI 49.5 and allows 45.9
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: SJSU plays 66.0 a game (315th fastest), UCI 71.5 (51st). Faster games mean more points
Context
Schedule so far
SJSU has played the 85th-hardest schedule, UCI the 215th. A record against a soft schedule means less
UCIBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: SJSU 33.4, UCI 36.0. Allowed: SJSU 35.4, UCI 26.7
UCISmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: SJSU 29.3%, UCI 30.9%. Defensive: SJSU 63.5%, UCI 68.8%
SJSUSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: SJSU 15.1%, UCI 17.8%. Forced: SJSU 17.4%, UCI 18.8%
UCISmall
Home court
UCI at home. This season: UCI 0-0 at home, SJSU 0-0 away
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: SJSU 24%, UCI 44%. Transfers in: SJSU 6, UCI 2. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
UCI offense vs SJSU defense
Offense 187th of 366 against a defense 151st, on the model’s ratings
Even
Three-pointers
SJSU hits 35.3% and allows 36.0%; UCI hits 33.6% and allows 33.7%. Threes are 38.3% and 28.0% of their shots
Even
SJSU offense vs UCI defense
Offense 141st of 366 against a defense 126th, on the model’s ratings
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—UCI -3.4—
Total—145.0—
Projected score—SJSU 70.8 · UCI 74.2

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadUCI -1.9—
1H total67.8—
1H projected scoreSJSU 33 · UCI 34.9—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

San José St has the better starters

Position by position: San José St 2, UC Irvine 0, even 3
San José StBetterUC Irvine
G P. Goodarzi8.2 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.9 ast Score 35
SJSUSmall
G T. Isaac6 pts · 3.1 reb · 3.5 ast Score 17
G J. Hannah7.5 pts · 1 reb · 0.5 ast Not ranked
No call
G N. Cooper TR11.8 pts · 4.6 reb · 1.8 ast Score 89
F Z. Eddine Bedri TR12.8 pts · 7.4 reb · 2.2 ast Not ranked
No call
G J. Jester6.2 pts · 2.8 reb · 2.1 ast Score 63
F R. Vaihola TR5 pts · 7.6 reb · 1.4 ast Not ranked
No call
F H. Carrington7.9 pts · 3.7 reb · 0.9 ast Score 84
F M. Cook TR7.5 pts · 4 reb · 1.5 ast Score 61
SJSUSmall
F E. Chol4.5 pts · 3 reb · 0.5 ast Score 28
San José StBetterUC Irvine
SJSU offense141st of 366 · -4.3
Even
UCI defense126th of 366 · -2.3
SJSU defense151st of 366 · -3.3
Even
UCI offense187th of 366 · -5.8
Backcourt-1.8 · 2 players
UCISmall
Backcourt-0.5 · 3 players
Frontcourt+2.3 · 3 players
SJSUSmall
Frontcourt+0.3 · 2 players
Bench+1.4 · 3 players
SJSUSmall
Bench-1.3 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestSJSU betterUCI betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
San José St
Guards
P. Goodarzi26 minJ. Hannah22 minM. Mason20 min · TRJ. Chammaa17 min · TRR. GreenNewC. KruegerNew
Forwards
Z. Eddine Bedri24 min · TRR. Vaihola21 min · TRM. Cook21 min · TRK. Martin8 min · TRL. HowardNew
Centers
M. Dau NyangolNew
UC Irvine
Guards
T. Isaac27 minN. Cooper25 min · TRJ. Jester16 minB. Egbo4 minL. RedfieldNewT. LeeNew
Forwards
H. Carrington17 minE. Chol17 minM. HodgesNewP. SpeesNewD. BenthoNew
Centers
N. Emeneke8 minO. Rioux2 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
SJSUUCI
Scoring
70.8 #269Points per game74.2 #188
1.07 #203Points per possession1.04 #278
66.0 #315Pace (possessions)71.5 #51
Shooting
49.7 #255Effective FG%49.5 #268
35.3 #973-point %33.6 #191
38.3 #2043-point attempt rate28.0 #359
33.4 #225Free throw rate36.0 #152
Possessions
15.1 #77Turnover rate17.8 #257
29.3 #225Offensive rebound rate30.9 #166
10.3 #353Assists per game14.8 #103
Defense
79.2 #305Points allowed69.4 #54
1.20 #359Points allowed per possession0.97 #7
57.1 #359Opponent effective FG%45.9 #9
36.0 #305Opponent 3-point %33.7 #167
17.4 #123Turnovers forced18.8 #56
63.5 #354Defensive rebound rate68.8 #213
5.8 #259Steals per game7.8 #51
2.2 #333Blocks per game5.8 #5
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

San José St

8-24 in 2025-26 overall · 4-18 in conference · Mountain West Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs New Mexico77–93
  • Wvs Boise St84–74
  • Lvs Wyoming78–88
  • L@ Fresno St68–82
  • Lvs Colorado St73–85

A week or more of rest.

UC Irvine

21-12 in 2025-26 overall · 16-6 in conference · Big West Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs UNLV72–75
  • Lvs Hawai'i64–71
  • Wvs CSU Northridge93–78
  • Wvs UC Davis79–69
  • Wvs Cal Poly107–85

A week or more of rest.