Orleans Arena · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
ACU -1.5✓ ACU covered by 4.5
ACU -1.5✓ ACU covered by 4.5Closing total134.5Over by 27.5
 TAR | This season | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| 10-17 | Record | 10-18 |
| 14-13 | ATS | 13-15 |
| 14-13 | O/U | 14-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TAR 71–69 ACU · ✗ TAR (54%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TAR | 25 | 53 | 78 |
| ACU | 39 | 45 | 84 |
1st half: TAR 25, ACU 39 (ACU by 14). The model had TAR by 0.8 and a total of 65.5 (actual 64).
Team stats
| TAR | ACU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-58 41% | Field goals | 23-46 50% |
| 5-13 38% | 3-pointers | 5-15 33% |
| 25-35 71% | Free throws | 33-45 73% |
| 33 11 off | Rebounds | 32 6 off |
| 9 | Assists | 14 |
| 9 | Steals | 5 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 32 | Fouls | 28 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| TAR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dior Johnson G | 33 | 28 | 5 | 3 | 7-17 | 2-4 |
| Jordan Mizell G | 31 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Kaia Isaac G | 29 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 4-8 | 2-6 |
| Chris Mpaka F | 20 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Freddy Hicks G | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ocypher Owens F | 25 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-1 |
| Kade Douglas G | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Leroy Kelly IV G | 13 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Damion Porter Jr. G | 12 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Daniel Dormu G | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Matyas Vrabel F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jaden Jinks, Cameron Thomas, AJ Dent, Andy Sigiscar, Roy Marom, Malek Archie, Joseph Martinez, Cam McDowell
| ACU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradyn Hubbard F | 36 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 4-11 | 0-4 |
| Rich Smith G | 35 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 4-9 | 0-1 |
| Yaniel Rivera G | 28 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 6-8 | 5-6 |
| Cbo Newton G | 26 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Cade Hornecker F | 20 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Joseph Venzant G | 17 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Zy Wright G | 16 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Christian Alston G | 12 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-2 |
| Ma'Shy Hill F | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Tylan Lewis G | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Joseph Scott F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Isaac Dye, Isaiah Neyhart
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketACU -1.5
ModelTAR -1.1
Model edgeTAR +2.6
L ACU covered
Total
Market134.5
Model139.9
Model edgeOver 5.4
W Over
Projected score
TAR 70.5 · ACU 69.4
TAR 78 · ACU 84
Win probability
TAR 54%
1st half
Spread
TAR -0.8
ACU -14.0
Total
65.5
64 points
Projected score
TAR 33.1 · ACU 32.4
TAR 25 · ACU 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTAR -1.5
3 → ACU
CloseACU -1.5
3 pts toward ACU
Total
Open139.5
▼ 5
Close134.5
Down 5 since the open
Moneyline
TAR -108 · ACU -112
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TAR -1.5 · closed ACU -1.5 · moved 3 toward ACUmodel TAR -1
model TAR -1
Opened 139.5 · closed 134.5 · moved 5 downmodel 140
model 140
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TAR | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| ACU | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 12 since 2021-22
TAR 6–6 ACUSeries tied · 12 games since 2021-22 · TAR 7-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2025-26 | ACU 62 @ TAR 65 | TAR +1.5 | TAR W |
| Feb 14, 2025-26 | TAR 59 @ ACU 73 | ACU -3.5 | ACU W |
| Jan 8, 2025-26 | ACU 84 @ TAR 80 | TAR -4.5 | ACU W |
| Feb 27, 2024-25 | ACU 52 @ TAR 67 | TAR -1.5 | TAR W |
| Jan 23, 2024-25 | TAR 56 @ ACU 67 | ACU -3.5 | ACU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Tarleton St
27 games played
Straight up
10-17
37% wins
Against the spread
14-13
52% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-13
52% overs · avg +4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ SMU | L 76-96 | +21.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 5 | @ LSU | L 60-96 | +15.5 | L −20.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 8 | vs AMCC | W 85-77 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | vs MRMK | W 76-62 | -4.5 | W +9.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 14 | @ BAY | L 81-94 | +23.5 | W +10.5 | 149.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 20 | @ RICE | W 90-74 | +4.5 | W +20.5 | 146.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 1 | @ CIN | L 58-76 | +24.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 16 | @ MVSU | W 88-64 | -17.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 19 | vs FAMU | W 78-54 | -14.5 | W +9.5 | 145.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 29 | @ UTA | W 69-63 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 136.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 1 | vs UVU | L 85-91 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 3 | vs CBU | W 81-76 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 8 | vsACU | L 80-84 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 140.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 15 | @ SUU | L 105-106 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 150.5 | O 211 |
| Jan 17 | @ UTU | L 71-75 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 21 | @UTA | L 64-71 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 29 | vsUVU | L 55-83 | +6.5 | L −21.5 | 154.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 31 | vsUTU | L 59-65 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 5 | @CBU | L 55-56 | +10.5 | W +9.5 | 138.5 | U 111 |
| Feb 7 | @SUU | W 62-59 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 14 | @ACU | L 59-73 | +3.5 | L −10.5 | 134.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 16 | vsACU | W 65-62 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 134.5 | U 127 |
| Feb 19 | vsSUU | W 78-74 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 21 | vsUTU | L 72-80 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 140.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 26 | @UVU | L 72-79 | +17.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 28 | @CBU | L 67-82 | +8.5 | L −6.5 | 139.5 | O 149 |
| Mar 5 | vsUTA | L 60-65 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 136.5 | U 125 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@SMU
SMUL 76-96
+1.5
5
@LSU
LSUL 60-96
−20.5
8
vsAMCC
AMCCW 85-77
+4.5
11
vsMRMK
MRMKW 76-62
+9.5
14
@BAY
BAYL 81-94
+10.5
20
@RICE
RICEW 90-74
+20.5
1
@CIN
CINL 58-76
+6.5
16
@MVSU
MVSUW 88-64
+6.5
19
vsFAMU
FAMUW 78-54
+9.5
29
@UTA
UTAW 69-63
+8.5
1
vsUVU
UVUL 85-91
−0.5
3
vsCBU
CBUW 81-76
+3.5
8
vsACU
ACUL 80-84
−8.5
15
@SUU
SUUL 105-106
−4.5
17
@UTU
UTUL 71-75
−0.5
21
@UTA
UTAL 64-71
−3.5
29
vsUVU
UVUL 55-83
−21.5
31
vsUTU
UTUL 59-65
−7.5
5
@CBU
CBUL 55-56
+9.5
7
@SUU
SUUW 62-59
+1.5
14
@ACU
ACUL 59-73
−10.5
16
vsACU
ACUW 65-62
+4.5
19
vsSUU
SUUW 78-74
−0.5
21
vsUTU
UTUL 72-80
−9.5
26
@UVU
UVUL 72-79
+10.5
28
@CBU
CBUL 67-82
−6.5
5
vsUTA
UTAL 60-65
−6.5
covered 14didn’t cover 13avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SMU
SMUL 76-96
+27.5
5
@LSU
LSUL 60-96
+7.5
8
vsAMCC
AMCCW 85-77
+19.5
11
vsMRMK
MRMKW 76-62
−4.5
14
@BAY
BAYL 81-94
+25.5
20
@RICE
RICEW 90-74
+17.5
1
@CIN
CINL 58-76
−8.5
16
@MVSU
MVSUW 88-64
+9.5
19
vsFAMU
FAMUW 78-54
−13.5
29
@UTA
UTAW 69-63
−4.5
1
vsUVU
UVUL 85-91
+31.5
3
vsCBU
CBUW 81-76
+9.5
8
vsACU
ACUL 80-84
+23.5
15
@SUU
SUUL 105-106
+60.5
17
@UTU
UTUL 71-75
−4.5
21
@UTA
UTAL 64-71
−7.5
29
vsUVU
UVUL 55-83
−16.5
31
vsUTU
UTUL 59-65
−25.5
5
@CBU
CBUL 55-56
−27.5
7
@SUU
SUUW 62-59
−28.5
14
@ACU
ACUL 59-73
−2.5
16
vsACU
ACUW 65-62
−7.5
19
vsSUU
SUUW 78-74
+7.5
21
vsUTU
UTUL 72-80
+11.5
26
@UVU
UVUL 72-79
+9.5
28
@CBU
CBUL 67-82
+9.5
5
vsUTA
UTAL 60-65
−11.5
over 14under 13avg +4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Abilene Chrstn
28 games played
Straight up
10-18
36% wins
Against the spread
13-15
46% covers · avg −3.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-14
50% overs · avg −0 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | vs OMA | W 73-71 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 14 | @ SFA | L 66-76 | +6.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 18 | @ TXST | L 49-63 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 138.5 | U 112 |
| Nov 24 | vs UTSA | W 61-50 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | U 111 |
| Nov 25 | vs W&M | L 58-92 | -1.5 | L −35.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 2 | @ PEPP | W 71-63 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 137.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 6 | vs NMSU | W 77-69 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 131.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 16 | @ ARIZ | L 62-96 | +34.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 19 | @ BYU | L 67-85 | +33.5 | W +15.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 22 | @ TXSO | W 75-68 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 138.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 1 | vsUTU | L 64-79 | -5.5 | L −20.5 | 139.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 3 | vsUVU | W 85-68 | +7.5 | W +24.5 | 139.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 8 | @TAR | W 84-80 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 140.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 10 | @UTA | L 72-82 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 134.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 15 | vsCBU | L 58-74 | -1.5 | L −17.5 | 140.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 17 | @SUU | L 52-74 | -3.5 | L −25.5 | 149.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 29 | vsUTU | L 70-76 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 31 | vsSUU | L 76-79 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 150.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 5 | @UVU | L 55-68 | +14.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | U 123 |
| Feb 7 | @CBU | L 63-65 | +8.5 | W +6.5 | 135.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 12 | vsUTA | W 67-63 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 134.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 14 | vsTAR | W 73-59 | -3.5 | W +10.5 | 134.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 16 | @TAR | L 62-65 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 134.5 | U 127 |
| Feb 21 | vsSUU | W 87-83 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 26 | @UTU | L 81-85 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 139.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 28 | @UVU | L 67-74 | +14.5 | W +7.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Mar 5 | @CBU | L 48-87 | +9.5 | L −29.5 | 136.5 | U 135 |
| Mar 7 | vsUTA | L 57-64 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 131.5 | U 121 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
vsOMA
OMAW 73-71
−2.5
14
@SFA
SFAL 66-76
−3.5
18
@TXST
TXSTL 49-63
−12.5
24
vsUTSA
UTSAW 61-50
+8.5
25
vsW&M
W&ML 58-92
−35.5
2
@PEPP
PEPPW 71-63
+6.5
6
vsNMSU
NMSUW 77-69
+9.5
16
@ARIZ
ARIZL 62-96
+0.5
19
@BYU
BYUL 67-85
+15.5
22
@TXSO
TXSOW 75-68
+2.5
1
vsUTU
UTUL 64-79
−20.5
3
vsUVU
UVUW 85-68
+24.5
8
@TAR
TARW 84-80
+8.5
10
@UTA
UTAL 72-82
−6.5
15
vsCBU
CBUL 58-74
−17.5
17
@SUU
SUUL 52-74
−25.5
29
vsUTU
UTUL 70-76
−9.5
31
vsSUU
SUUL 76-79
−9.5
5
@UVU
UVUL 55-68
+1.5
7
@CBU
CBUL 63-65
+6.5
12
vsUTA
UTAW 67-63
+2.5
14
vsTAR
TARW 73-59
+10.5
16
@TAR
TARL 62-65
−4.5
21
vsSUU
SUUW 87-83
−4.5
26
@UTU
UTUL 81-85
−1.5
28
@UVU
UVUL 67-74
+7.5
5
@CBU
CBUL 48-87
−29.5
7
vsUTA
UTAL 57-64
−8.5
covered 13didn’t cover 15avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
vsOMA
OMAW 73-71
−6.5
14
@SFA
SFAL 66-76
−0.5
18
@TXST
TXSTL 49-63
−26.5
24
vsUTSA
UTSAW 61-50
−33.5
25
vsW&M
W&ML 58-92
+2.5
2
@PEPP
PEPPW 71-63
−3.5
6
vsNMSU
NMSUW 77-69
+14.5
16
@ARIZ
ARIZL 62-96
+12.5
19
@BYU
BYUL 67-85
+5.5
22
@TXSO
TXSOW 75-68
+4.5
1
vsUTU
UTUL 64-79
+3.5
3
vsUVU
UVUW 85-68
+13.5
8
@TAR
TARW 84-80
+23.5
10
@UTA
UTAL 72-82
+19.5
15
vsCBU
CBUL 58-74
−8.5
17
@SUU
SUUL 52-74
−23.5
29
vsUTU
UTUL 70-76
+0.5
31
vsSUU
SUUL 76-79
+4.5
5
@UVU
UVUL 55-68
−22.5
7
@CBU
CBUL 63-65
−7.5
12
vsUTA
UTAW 67-63
−4.5
14
vsTAR
TARW 73-59
−2.5
16
@TAR
TARL 62-65
−7.5
21
vsSUU
SUUW 87-83
+26.5
26
@UTU
UTUL 81-85
+26.5
28
@UVU
UVUL 67-74
+0.5
5
@CBU
CBUL 48-87
−1.5
7
vsUTA
UTAL 57-64
−10.5
over 14under 14avg −0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Tarleton St
10-17 overall · 5-13 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UT Arlington60–65
- L@ CA Baptist67–82
- L@ Utah Valley72–79
- Lvs Utah Tech72–80
- Wvs Southern Utah78–74
6 days since their last game.
Abilene Chrstn
10-18 overall · 5-13 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UT Arlington57–64
- L@ CA Baptist48–87
- L@ Utah Valley67–74
- L@ Utah Tech81–85
- Wvs Southern Utah87–83
4 days since their last game.