Denny Sanford Premier Center · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
STMN -4.5✓ STMN covered by 8.5
STMN -4.5✓ STMN covered by 8.5Closing total150.5Under by 3.5
 SDST | This season | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| 11-17 | Record | 20-8 |
| 12-16 | ATS | 14-14 |
| 14-14 | O/U | 16-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SDST 75–79 STMN · ✓ STMN (66%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SDST | 37 | 30 | 67 |
| STMN | 39 | 41 | 80 |
1st half: SDST 37, STMN 39 (STMN by 2). The model had STMN by 2.6 and a total of 71.8 (actual 76).
Team stats
| SDST | STMN | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-63 38% | Field goals | 24-47 51% |
| 6-29 21% | 3-pointers | 12-27 44% |
| 13-14 93% | Free throws | 20-25 80% |
| 37 16 off | Rebounds | 25 4 off |
| 13 | Assists | 14 |
| 6 | Steals | 5 |
| 0 | Blocks | 5 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 23 | Fouls | 15 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| SDST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Jackson G | 39 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 6-18 | 2-10 |
| Joe Sayler G | 37 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 3-12 | 2-8 |
| Matthew Mors F | 33 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 4-9 | 0-2 |
| Kalen Garry G | 25 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| Damon Wilkinson F | 22 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Luke Haertle G | 20 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-4 |
| Alec Squires C | 19 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Caleb Delzell F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Trey Buchanan, Andrell Burton Jr., Jadyn Cascio Jensen, Bubz Alvarez, Jaden Rogers, Davis Kern
| STMN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Minessale G | 39 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 7-12 | 4-6 |
| Nick Janowski G | 34 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 4-11 | 1-6 |
| Ben Oosterbaan F | 31 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 8-13 | 5-8 |
| Austin Herro G | 29 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Carter Bjerke F | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Johnson-Arigu F | 25 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-3 |
| Ryan Dufault G | 17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jermaine Coleman F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Hayden Tibbits G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kyle Counts, Tim Franks, Ryan Lafferty, Adam Tauer, Luka Momcilovic, Jack Tauer, Tommy Humphries Jr.
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSTMN -4.5
ModelSTMN -4.6
Model edgeSTMN +0.1
W STMN covered
Total
Market150.5
Model153.7
Model edgeOver 3.2
L Under
Projected score
SDST 74.5 · STMN 79.1
SDST 67 · STMN 80
Win probability
STMN 66%
1st half
Spread
STMN -2.6
STMN -2.0
Total
71.8
76 points
Projected score
SDST 34.6 · STMN 37.2
SDST 37 · STMN 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSTMN -6.5
2 → SDST
CloseSTMN -4.5
2 pts toward SDST
Total
Open150.5
no move
Close150.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
SDST +185 · STMN -225
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened STMN -6.5 · closed STMN -4.5 · moved 2 toward SDSTmodel STMN -4.5 matches the line
model STMN -4.5 = line ✓
Opened 150.5 · unchangedmodel 153.5
model 153.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SDST | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
| STMN | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 11 since 2021-22
SDST 7–4 STMNSDST leads · 11 games since 2021-22 · STMN has won the last 2 meetings · SDST 8-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025-26 | STMN 77 @ SDST 62 | SDST -1.5 | STMN W |
| Jan 22, 2025-26 | SDST 69 @ STMN 74 | STMN -6.5 | SDST W |
| Feb 6, 2024-25 | STMN 86 @ SDST 102 | SDST -3.5 | SDST W |
| Jan 8, 2024-25 | SDST 72 @ STMN 73 | STMN -2.5 | SDST W |
| Mar 11, 2023-24 | STMN 49 vs SDST 59 | SDST -3.5 | SDST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
S Dakota St
28 games played
Straight up
11-17
39% wins
Against the spread
12-16
43% covers · avg −1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-14
50% overs · avg −2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MRMK | W 75-66 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 9 | @ UNI | L 58-65 | +10.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 12 | @ ORE | L 69-83 | +16.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 21 | vs GAST | W 105-58 | -12.5 | W +34.5 | 143.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 25 | vs UVU | L 52-75 | +1.5 | L −21.5 | 151.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 26 | vs UCI | L 52-64 | +2.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | U 116 |
| Dec 3 | @ NAU | W 75-62 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | vs IDHO | L 81-84 | -5.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 9 | @ BALL | W 68-64 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 15 | vs WYO | L 72-87 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 19 | @ MILW | L 87-88 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 29 | @ ARIZ | L 71-99 | +31.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 1 | vs OMA | W 84-69 | -9.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 3 | @ UND | L 87-90 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 8 | vs DEN | W 87-79 | -8.5 | L −0.5 | 162.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 14 | @ NDSU | L 65-76 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 17 | vs KC | W 90-62 | -13.5 | W +14.5 | 151.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 22 | @STMN | L 69-74 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 28 | @OMA | L 71-80 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 31 | vs ORU | W 95-72 | -13.5 | W +9.5 | 150.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 4 | vsSTMN | L 62-77 | -1.5 | L −16.5 | 157.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 7 | vs SDAK | L 67-68 | -11.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 12 | @DEN | L 61-79 | -2.5 | L −20.5 | 160.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 14 | @ORU | W 87-69 | -5.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 18 | vsNDSU | L 66-74 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 21 | vsUND | W 91-83 | -9.5 | L −1.5 | 151.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 26 | @KC | W 73-59 | -12.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 28 | @SDAK | L 70-75 | -3.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMRMK
MRMKW 75-66
+2.5
9
@UNI
UNIL 58-65
+3.5
12
@ORE
OREL 69-83
+2.5
21
vsGAST
GASTW 105-58
+34.5
25
vsUVU
UVUL 52-75
−21.5
26
vsUCI
UCIL 52-64
−9.5
3
@NAU
NAUW 75-62
+10.5
6
vsIDHO
IDHOL 81-84
−8.5
9
@BALL
BALLW 68-64
−1.5
15
vsWYO
WYOL 72-87
−11.5
19
@MILW
MILWL 87-88
−2.5
29
@ARIZ
ARIZL 71-99
+3.5
1
vsOMA
OMAW 84-69
+5.5
3
@UND
UNDL 87-90
−10.5
8
vsDEN
DENW 87-79
−0.5
14
@NDSU
NDSUL 65-76
−5.5
17
vsKC
KCW 90-62
+14.5
22
@STMN
STMNL 69-74
+1.5
28
@OMA
OMAL 71-80
−10.5
31
vsORU
ORUW 95-72
+9.5
4
vsSTMN
STMNL 62-77
−16.5
7
vsSDAK
SDAKL 67-68
−12.5
12
@DEN
DENL 61-79
−20.5
14
@ORU
ORUW 87-69
+12.5
18
vsNDSU
NDSUL 66-74
−6.5
21
vsUND
UNDW 91-83
−1.5
26
@KC
KCW 73-59
+1.5
28
@SDAK
SDAKL 70-75
−8.5
covered 12didn’t cover 16avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMRMK
MRMKW 75-66
−2.5
9
@UNI
UNIL 58-65
−27.5
12
@ORE
OREL 69-83
+6.5
21
vsGAST
GASTW 105-58
+19.5
25
vsUVU
UVUL 52-75
−24.5
26
vsUCI
UCIL 52-64
−28.5
3
@NAU
NAUW 75-62
−11.5
6
vsIDHO
IDHOL 81-84
+17.5
9
@BALL
BALLW 68-64
−10.5
15
vsWYO
WYOL 72-87
+9.5
19
@MILW
MILWL 87-88
+23.5
29
@ARIZ
ARIZL 71-99
+10.5
1
vsOMA
OMAW 84-69
+0.5
3
@UND
UNDL 87-90
+24.5
8
vsDEN
DENW 87-79
+3.5
14
@NDSU
NDSUL 65-76
−10.5
17
vsKC
KCW 90-62
+0.5
22
@STMN
STMNL 69-74
−12.5
28
@OMA
OMAL 71-80
+0.5
31
vsORU
ORUW 95-72
+16.5
4
vsSTMN
STMNL 62-77
−18.5
7
vsSDAK
SDAKL 67-68
−24.5
12
@DEN
DENL 61-79
−20.5
14
@ORU
ORUW 87-69
+8.5
18
vsNDSU
NDSUL 66-74
−6.5
21
vsUND
UNDW 91-83
+22.5
26
@KC
KCW 73-59
−20.5
28
@SDAK
SDAKL 70-75
−6.5
over 14under 14avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
St Thomas
28 games played
Straight up
20-8
71% wins
Against the spread
14-14
50% covers · avg +1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-12
57% overs · avg +1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ SMC | L 58-84 | +13.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 8 | vs ARMY | W 83-76 | -18.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 10 | @ WSU | L 71-81 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 13 | vs GB | W 80-61 | -13.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 15 | @ SEMO | W 84-72 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 21 | vs UNCO | W 73-72 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 22 | vs CSUF | L 80-88 | -11.5 | L −19.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 23 | @ PORT | W 76-66 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 3 | @ MTST | L 74-82 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 7 | vs WEB | W 88-65 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 13 | @ UNCA | W 80-59 | -3.5 | W +17.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 20 | vs UCR | W 92-78 | -14.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 4 | vsDEN | W 92-88 | -11.5 | L −7.5 | 163.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 7 | vsSDAK | W 99-86 | -14.5 | L −1.5 | 162.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 10 | @ORU | W 82-71 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 15 | @UND | W 91-80 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 17 | @NDSU | L 65-68 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 22 | vsSDST | W 74-69 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 24 | @SDAK | W 90-78 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 161.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 29 | vsUND | L 80-81 | -11.5 | L −12.5 | 152.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 1 | vsKC | W 99-64 | -17.5 | W +17.5 | 151.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 4 | @SDST | W 77-62 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 157.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 7 | vsORU | W 92-75 | -15.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 12 | @OMA | L 94-98 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | O 192 |
| Feb 14 | @KC | W 104-64 | -12.5 | W +27.5 | 154.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 21 | @DEN | L 80-82 | -3.5 | L −5.5 | 168.5 | U 162 |
| Feb 26 | vsNDSU | W 84-62 | -3.5 | W +18.5 | 155.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 28 | vsOMA | W 68-53 | -11.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | U 121 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@SMC
SMCL 58-84
−12.5
8
vsARMY
ARMYW 83-76
−11.5
10
@WSU
WSUL 71-81
−7.5
13
vsGB
GBW 80-61
+5.5
15
@SEMO
SEMOW 84-72
+9.5
21
vsUNCO
UNCOW 73-72
−3.5
22
vsCSUF
CSUFL 80-88
−19.5
23
@PORT
PORTW 76-66
+4.5
3
@MTST
MTSTL 74-82
−5.5
7
vsWEB
WEBW 88-65
+15.5
13
@UNCA
UNCAW 80-59
+17.5
20
vsUCR
UCRW 92-78
−0.5
4
vsDEN
DENW 92-88
−7.5
7
vsSDAK
SDAKW 99-86
−1.5
10
@ORU
ORUW 82-71
+2.5
15
@UND
UNDW 91-80
+0.5
17
@NDSU
NDSUL 65-68
−0.5
22
vsSDST
SDSTW 74-69
−1.5
24
@SDAK
SDAKW 90-78
+1.5
29
vsUND
UNDL 80-81
−12.5
1
vsKC
KCW 99-64
+17.5
4
@SDST
SDSTW 77-62
+16.5
7
vsORU
ORUW 92-75
+1.5
12
@OMA
OMAL 94-98
−8.5
14
@KC
KCW 104-64
+27.5
21
@DEN
DENL 80-82
−5.5
26
vsNDSU
NDSUW 84-62
+18.5
28
vsOMA
OMAW 68-53
+3.5
covered 14didn’t cover 14avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SMC
SMCL 58-84
+0.5
8
vsARMY
ARMYW 83-76
+7.5
10
@WSU
WSUL 71-81
−5.5
13
vsGB
GBW 80-61
−9.5
15
@SEMO
SEMOW 84-72
+3.5
21
vsUNCO
UNCOW 73-72
−12.5
22
vsCSUF
CSUFL 80-88
+5.5
23
@PORT
PORTW 76-66
−13.5
3
@MTST
MTSTL 74-82
+8.5
7
vsWEB
WEBW 88-65
−1.5
13
@UNCA
UNCAW 80-59
−9.5
20
vsUCR
UCRW 92-78
+17.5
4
vsDEN
DENW 92-88
+16.5
7
vsSDAK
SDAKW 99-86
+22.5
10
@ORU
ORUW 82-71
+0.5
15
@UND
UNDW 91-80
+19.5
17
@NDSU
NDSUL 65-68
−18.5
22
vsSDST
SDSTW 74-69
−12.5
24
@SDAK
SDAKW 90-78
+6.5
29
vsUND
UNDL 80-81
+8.5
1
vsKC
KCW 99-64
+11.5
4
@SDST
SDSTW 77-62
−18.5
7
vsORU
ORUW 92-75
+15.5
12
@OMA
OMAL 94-98
+35.5
14
@KC
KCW 104-64
+13.5
21
@DEN
DENL 80-82
−6.5
26
vsNDSU
NDSUW 84-62
−9.5
28
vsOMA
OMAW 68-53
−37.5
over 16under 12avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
S Dakota St
11-17 overall · 7-9 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ South Dakota70–75
- W@ Kansas City73–59
- Wvs North Dakota91–83
- Lvs N Dakota St66–74
- W@ Oral Roberts87–69
5 days since their last game.
St Thomas
20-8 overall · 12-4 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Omaha68–53
- Wvs N Dakota St84–62
- L@ Denver80–82
- W@ Kansas City104–64
- L@ Omaha94–98
5 days since their last game.