Propst Arena · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
SHSU -4.5✓ SHSU covered by 3.5
SHSU -4.5✓ SHSU covered by 3.5Closing total154.5Under by 24.5
 NMSU | This season | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| 13-15 | Record | 18-10 |
| 14-14 | ATS | 19-9 |
| 16-12 | O/U | 17-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NMSU 77–79 SHSU · ✓ SHSU (58%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU | 26 | 35 | 61 |
| SHSU | 37 | 32 | 69 |
1st half: NMSU 26, SHSU 37 (SHSU by 11). The model had SHSU by 1.2 and a total of 73.0 (actual 63).
Team stats
| NMSU | SHSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-59 37% | Field goals | 22-66 33% |
| 3-19 16% | 3-pointers | 5-22 23% |
| 14-24 58% | Free throws | 20-33 61% |
| 42 12 off | Rebounds | 50 20 off |
| 6 | Assists | 10 |
| 3 | Steals | 9 |
| 2 | Blocks | 0 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 27 | Fouls | 19 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 16 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| NMSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Pickens G | 30 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Jemel Jones G | 29 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 6-21 | 1-6 |
| Jae'Coby Osborne F | 26 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Anthony Wrzeszcz G | 21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Julius Mims F | 16 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jayland Randall G | 24 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-9 | 0-5 |
| Kyrese Mullen F | 20 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Elijah Elliott G | 18 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3-9 | 0-4 |
| Chris Terrell G | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Augustine Ekwe C | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Cyr Malonga C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Christian Villegas, Amarco Doyle, Omarr Smith, Teysean Eaglestaff
| SHSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damon Nicholas Jr. G | 38 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 1-10 | 0-3 |
| Kashie Natt G | 35 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 6-14 | 1-4 |
| Veljko Ilic F | 32 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 5-11 | 0-0 |
| Po'Boigh King G | 25 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2-9 | 1-7 |
| Jacob Walker G | 21 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jacobe Coleman G | 33 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 5-12 | 2-4 |
| CJ Beaumont G | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Matt Dann F | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Isaiah Manning, Nathan Nguyen, Noah Benny, Cheikh Sadibou Ndiaye, Jackson Rogers, Jaxson Ford, Justin Begg
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSHSU -4.5
ModelSHSU -2.3
Model edgeNMSU +2.2
L SHSU covered
Total
Market154.5
Model156.3
Model edgeOver 1.8
L Under
Projected score
NMSU 77 · SHSU 79.3
NMSU 61 · SHSU 69
Win probability
SHSU 58%
1st half
Spread
SHSU -1.2
SHSU -11.0
Total
73.0
63 points
Projected score
NMSU 35.9 · SHSU 37.1
NMSU 26 · SHSU 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSHSU -4.5
no move
CloseSHSU -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open156.5
▼ 2
Close154.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
NMSU +160 · SHSU -192
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SHSU -4.5 · unchangedmodel SHSU -2.5
model SHSU -2.5
Opened 156.5 · closed 154.5 · moved 2 downmodel 156.5
model 156.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| SHSU | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
NMSU 2–5 SHSUSHSU leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · NMSU 2-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025-26 | SHSU 78 @ NMSU 87 | NMSU -5.5 | NMSU W |
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | NMSU 69 @ SHSU 76 | SHSU -1.5 | SHSU W |
| Jan 2, 2024-25 | SHSU 71 @ NMSU 75 | NMSU -0.5 | NMSU W |
| Feb 22, 2023-24 | SHSU 79 @ NMSU 58 | NMSU +1.5 | SHSU W |
| Jan 25, 2023-24 | NMSU 67 @ SHSU 79 | SHSU -5 | SHSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
New Mexico St
28 games played
Straight up
13-15
46% wins
Against the spread
14-14
50% covers · avg −1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-12
57% overs · avg +3.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15 | vs UNM | W 76-68 | +3.5 | W +11.5 | 139.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 21 | vs SAM | W 81-72 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 25 | vs UCI | W 57-45 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | U 102 |
| Nov 26 | vs GAST | W 77-58 | -12.5 | W +6.5 | 136.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 2 | vs USA | L 75-77 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 135.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 6 | @ ACU | L 69-77 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 131.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 13 | vs TLSA | L 70-83 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 21 | vsSHSU | W 87-78 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 2 | @ FIU | L 74-89 | -1.5 | L −16.5 | 157.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 4 | @ MOST | L 82-89 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 134.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 8 | vs WKU | W 80-64 | -2.5 | W +13.5 | 154.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | vs MTSU | L 55-59 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 15 | @ LIB | L 71-73 | +8.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | @ DEL | W 97-68 | -4.5 | W +24.5 | 134.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 22 | vsMOST | L 75-84 | -6.5 | L −15.5 | 144.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 24 | vsFIU | L 78-81 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 28 | vsDEL | L 64-73 | -13.5 | L −22.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 31 | @ KENN | L 53-76 | +3.5 | L −19.5 | 159.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 4 | @ LT | W 72-63 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 135.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 7 | @ UTEP | L 88-91 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | O 179 |
| Feb 11 | vsLIB | L 75-77 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 14 | @ JXST | W 79-70 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 139.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 21 | vsUTEP | W 67-63 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 26 | @WKU | L 70-93 | +4.5 | L −18.5 | 151.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 28 | @MTSU | L 85-86 | +5.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | O 171 |
| Mar 5 | vsJXST | W 77-75 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Mar 7 | vsKENN | W 79-76 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | U 155 |
| Mar 10 | vsJXST | W 68-63 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | U 131 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
15
vsUNM
UNMW 76-68
+11.5
21
vsSAM
SAMW 81-72
+0.5
25
vsUCI
UCIW 57-45
+14.5
26
vsGAST
GASTW 77-58
+6.5
2
vsUSA
USAL 75-77
−4.5
6
@ACU
ACUL 69-77
−9.5
13
vsTLSA
TLSAL 70-83
−8.5
21
vsSHSU
SHSUW 87-78
+3.5
2
@FIU
FIUL 74-89
−16.5
4
@MOST
MOSTL 82-89
−5.5
8
vsWKU
WKUW 80-64
+13.5
10
vsMTSU
MTSUL 55-59
−7.5
15
@LIB
LIBL 71-73
+6.5
17
@DEL
DELW 97-68
+24.5
22
vsMOST
MOSTL 75-84
−15.5
24
vsFIU
FIUL 78-81
−10.5
28
vsDEL
DELL 64-73
−22.5
31
@KENN
KENNL 53-76
−19.5
4
@LT
LTW 72-63
+10.5
7
@UTEP
UTEPL 88-91
−4.5
11
vsLIB
LIBL 75-77
+1.5
14
@JXST
JXSTW 79-70
+10.5
21
vsUTEP
UTEPW 67-63
−3.5
26
@WKU
WKUL 70-93
−18.5
28
@MTSU
MTSUL 85-86
+4.5
5
vsJXST
JXSTW 77-75
−4.5
7
vsKENN
KENNW 79-76
+1.5
10
vsJXST
JXSTW 68-63
+3.5
covered 14didn’t cover 14avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
15
vsUNM
UNMW 76-68
+4.5
21
vsSAM
SAMW 81-72
+7.5
25
vsUCI
UCIW 57-45
−37.5
26
vsGAST
GASTW 77-58
−1.5
2
vsUSA
USAL 75-77
+16.5
6
@ACU
ACUL 69-77
+14.5
13
vsTLSA
TLSAL 70-83
+6.5
21
vsSHSU
SHSUW 87-78
+11.5
2
@FIU
FIUL 74-89
+5.5
4
@MOST
MOSTL 82-89
+36.5
8
vsWKU
WKUW 80-64
−10.5
10
vsMTSU
MTSUL 55-59
−30.5
15
@LIB
LIBL 71-73
−1.5
17
@DEL
DELW 97-68
+30.5
22
vsMOST
MOSTL 75-84
+14.5
24
vsFIU
FIUL 78-81
−0.5
28
vsDEL
DELL 64-73
−0.5
31
@KENN
KENNL 53-76
−30.5
4
@LT
LTW 72-63
−0.5
7
@UTEP
UTEPL 88-91
+40.5
11
vsLIB
LIBL 75-77
+7.5
14
@JXST
JXSTW 79-70
+9.5
21
vsUTEP
UTEPW 67-63
−12.5
26
@WKU
WKUL 70-93
+11.5
28
@MTSU
MTSUL 85-86
+22.5
5
vsJXST
JXSTW 77-75
+6.5
7
vsKENN
KENNW 79-76
−2.5
10
vsJXST
JXSTW 68-63
−10.5
over 16under 12avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Sam Houston
28 games played
Straight up
18-10
64% wins
Against the spread
19-9
68% covers · avg +4.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-11
61% overs · avg +2.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ TTU | L 77-98 | +31.5 | W +10.5 | 156.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 15 | @ UTAH | L 79-85 | +12.5 | W +6.5 | 159.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | vs WYO | W 78-70 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 26 | vs IDST | W 84-81 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 28 | vs IDHO | W 94-68 | +1.5 | W +27.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 2 | @ OKST | L 83-93 | +13.5 | W +3.5 | 169.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 6 | @ TXSO | W 82-70 | -7.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 17 | @ ORST | W 85-75 | +3.5 | W +13.5 | 153.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 21 | @NMSU | L 78-87 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 2 | @WKU | L 91-102 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 168.5 | O 193 |
| Jan 4 | @MTSU | L 67-68 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 156.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 8 | vsDEL | W 72-60 | -11.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 10 | vsLIB | L 74-82 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 14 | @JXST | W 77-62 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 17 | @FIU | W 76-63 | +2.5 | W +15.5 | 168.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 21 | vsKENN | W 93-87 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 167.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 24 | vsWKU | W 73-58 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 156.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 28 | @MOST | W 80-71 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 31 | vsLT | W 83-67 | -7.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 4 | vsUTEP | W 70-66 | -10.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 7 | @LT | L 78-87 | -3.5 | L −12.5 | 143.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 14 | @KENN | W 83-79 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 162.5 | U 162 |
| Feb 18 | vsMTSU | W 78-70 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 151.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 21 | vsJXST | W 82-78 | -6.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 26 | vsFIU | W 100-67 | -6.5 | W +26.5 | 161.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 28 | vsMOST | W 86-81 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 167 |
| Mar 5 | @DEL | L 80-83 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Mar 7 | @LIB | L 72-79 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | U 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@TTU
TTUL 77-98
+10.5
15
@UTAH
UTAHL 79-85
+6.5
19
vsWYO
WYOW 78-70
+6.5
26
vsIDST
IDSTW 84-81
+1.5
28
vsIDHO
IDHOW 94-68
+27.5
2
@OKST
OKSTL 83-93
+3.5
6
@TXSO
TXSOW 82-70
+4.5
17
@ORST
ORSTW 85-75
+13.5
21
@NMSU
NMSUL 78-87
−3.5
2
@WKU
WKUL 91-102
−5.5
4
@MTSU
MTSUL 67-68
+3.5
8
vsDEL
DELW 72-60
+0.5
10
vsLIB
LIBL 74-82
−6.5
14
@JXST
JXSTW 77-62
+16.5
17
@FIU
FIUW 76-63
+15.5
21
vsKENN
KENNW 93-87
+0.5
24
vsWKU
WKUW 73-58
+9.5
28
@MOST
MOSTW 80-71
+10.5
31
vsLT
LTW 83-67
+8.5
4
vsUTEP
UTEPW 70-66
−6.5
7
@LT
LTL 78-87
−12.5
14
@KENN
KENNW 83-79
+5.5
18
vsMTSU
MTSUW 78-70
+4.5
21
vsJXST
JXSTW 82-78
−2.5
26
vsFIU
FIUW 100-67
+26.5
28
vsMOST
MOSTW 86-81
−1.5
5
@DEL
DELL 80-83
−10.5
7
@LIB
LIBL 72-79
−2.5
covered 19didn’t cover 9avg +4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@TTU
TTUL 77-98
+18.5
15
@UTAH
UTAHL 79-85
+4.5
19
vsWYO
WYOW 78-70
−8.5
26
vsIDST
IDSTW 84-81
+22.5
28
vsIDHO
IDHOW 94-68
+7.5
2
@OKST
OKSTL 83-93
+6.5
6
@TXSO
TXSOW 82-70
−6.5
17
@ORST
ORSTW 85-75
+6.5
21
@NMSU
NMSUL 78-87
+11.5
2
@WKU
WKUL 91-102
+24.5
4
@MTSU
MTSUL 67-68
−21.5
8
vsDEL
DELW 72-60
−12.5
10
vsLIB
LIBL 74-82
+1.5
14
@JXST
JXSTW 77-62
−11.5
17
@FIU
FIUW 76-63
−29.5
21
vsKENN
KENNW 93-87
+12.5
24
vsWKU
WKUW 73-58
−25.5
28
@MOST
MOSTW 80-71
+2.5
31
vsLT
LTW 83-67
+8.5
4
vsUTEP
UTEPW 70-66
−9.5
7
@LT
LTL 78-87
+21.5
14
@KENN
KENNW 83-79
−0.5
18
vsMTSU
MTSUW 78-70
−3.5
21
vsJXST
JXSTW 82-78
+12.5
26
vsFIU
FIUW 100-67
+5.5
28
vsMOST
MOSTW 86-81
+14.5
5
@DEL
DELL 80-83
+15.5
7
@LIB
LIBL 72-79
−1.5
over 17under 11avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
New Mexico St
13-15 overall · 9-12 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Jax State68–63
- Wvs Kennesaw St79–76
- Wvs Jax State77–75
- L@ MTSU85–86
- L@ Western KY70–93
1 day since their last game.
Sam Houston
18-10 overall · 13-7 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Liberty72–79
- L@ Delaware80–83
- Wvs Missouri St86–81
- Wvs FIU100–67
- Wvs Jax State82–78
4 days since their last game.