Lee's Family Forum · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
UCI -3.5✓ UCI covered by 11.5
UCI -3.5✓ UCI covered by 11.5Closing total152.5Over by 18.5
 CSUN | This season | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| 18-13 | Record | 20-10 |
| 14-17 | ATS | 16-14 |
| 18-13 | O/U | 11-19 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CSUN 74–79 UCI · ✓ UCI (65%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSUN | 37 | 41 | 78 |
| UCI | 49 | 44 | 93 |
1st half: CSUN 37, UCI 49 (UCI by 12). The model had UCI by 2.5 and a total of 71.5 (actual 86).
Team stats
| CSUN | UCI | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-68 47% | Field goals | 33-64 52% |
| 9-25 36% | 3-pointers | 10-25 40% |
| 5-8 63% | Free throws | 17-22 77% |
| 26 10 off | Rebounds | 44 17 off |
| 15 | Assists | 20 |
| 6 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 5 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 17 | Fouls | 12 |
| 46 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| CSUN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larry Hughes II G | 39 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Josiah Davis G | 38 | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13-26 | 0-3 |
| Joshua O'Garro G | 36 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 9-14 | 4-7 |
| Mahmoud Fofana F | 31 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Davius Loury F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| James Evans Jr. G | 27 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 5-14 | 5-12 |
| Grady Lewis F | 14 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Brinson G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jai Chisolm G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Omer Dahan, Max Rehl, Greg Gazarian, Robert Thibiant, Jalen Barbee, Joseph Barrio, Aleks Szymczyk, Quinton Webb
| UCI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derin Saran G | 32 | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9-18 | 3-7 |
| Kyle Evans F | 32 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Jurian Dixon G | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 7-14 | 3-7 |
| Tama Isaac G | 26 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Akiva McBirney-Griffin F | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Andre Henry G | 24 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 3-8 | 2-5 |
| Elijah Chol F | 16 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jovan Jester Jr. G | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 4-8 | 1-2 |
| Harrison Carrington F | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Nes Emeneke C | 8 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ben Egbo, Tishan Ahir, Mason Hodges, Luke Isaak, Josh Palmer, Langston Redfield, Bryce Goldman, Torian Lee
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUCI -3.5
ModelUCI -4.3
Model edgeUCI +0.8
W UCI covered
Total
Market152.5
Model152.9
Model edgeOver 0.4
W Over
Projected score
CSUN 74.3 · UCI 78.6
CSUN 78 · UCI 93
Win probability
UCI 65%
1st half
Spread
UCI -2.5
UCI -12.0
Total
71.5
86 points
Projected score
CSUN 34.5 · UCI 37
CSUN 37 · UCI 49
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCI -5.5
2 → CSUN
CloseUCI -3.5
2 pts toward CSUN
Total
Open149.5
▲ 3
Close152.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
CSUN +154 · UCI -185
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCI -5.5 · closed UCI -3.5 · moved 2 toward CSUNmodel UCI -4.5
model UCI -4.5
Opened 149.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 3 upmodel 153
model 153
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSUN | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
| UCI | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
CSUN 1–8 UCIUCI leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · UCI has won the last 2 meetings · CSUN 3-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2025-26 | UCI 68 @ CSUN 67 | CSUN -1.5 | UCI W |
| Dec 6, 2025-26 | CSUN 71 @ UCI 85 | UCI -7.5 | UCI W |
| Feb 20, 2024-25 | CSUN 84 @ UCI 72 | UCI -6.5 | CSUN W |
| Jan 9, 2024-25 | UCI 77 @ CSUN 67 | CSUN +4.5 | UCI W |
| Feb 29, 2023-24 | UCI 89 @ CSUN 64 | CSUN +7 | UCI W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
CSU Northridge
31 games played
Straight up
18-13
58% wins
Against the spread
14-17
45% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-13
58% overs · avg +1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ UNI | L 57-86 | +9.5 | L −19.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 9 | @ UND | W 93-85 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 11 | @ NDSU | L 68-90 | +4.5 | L −17.5 | 156.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 16 | vs TROY | W 94-85 | +4.5 | W +13.5 | 157.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 26 | vs IDHO | L 64-78 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 28 | vs IDST | L 50-82 | +1.5 | L −30.5 | 148.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 4 | vs CSUB | W 87-66 | -5.5 | W +15.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 6 | @UCI | L 71-85 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 10 | vs FRES | W 89-87 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 161.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 13 | @ DEL | W 88-66 | +1.5 | W +23.5 | 144.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 22 | vs SAC | W 100-88 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 164.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 27 | @ STAN | L 80-88 | +15.5 | W +7.5 | 160.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 1 | @ UCD | L 80-89 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 3 | vs UCSB | W 74-65 | -2.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 8 | vs CP | W 95-90 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 175.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 10 | @ CSUF | L 79-86 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 173.5 | U 165 |
| Jan 15 | @ UCSD | W 84-79 | +7.5 | W +12.5 | 159.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 17 | vs LBSU | L 80-87 | -7.5 | L −14.5 | 158.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 24 | @ HAW | L 68-89 | +10.5 | L −10.5 | 158.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 29 | vsUCD | W 94-78 | -3.5 | W +12.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 31 | vsUCSD | W 81-64 | +1.5 | W +18.5 | 160.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 5 | @CP | W 97-96 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 177.5 | O 193 |
| Feb 7 | vs UCR | W 88-74 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 160.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 14 | vsHAW | W 84-60 | +2.5 | W +26.5 | 162.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 19 | @UCSB | W 85-83 | +5.5 | W +7.5 | 156.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 21 | @LBSU | W 78-76 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 157.5 | U 154 |
| Feb 26 | vsUCI | L 67-68 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 28 | @UCR | L 84-95 | -4.5 | L −15.5 | 158.5 | O 179 |
| Mar 5 | @CSUB | W 86-84 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 163.5 | O 170 |
| Mar 7 | vsCSUF | L 77-90 | -5.5 | L −18.5 | 170.5 | U 167 |
| Mar 12 | vsUCSD | W 80-70 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | U 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@UNI
UNIL 57-86
−19.5
9
@UND
UNDW 93-85
+1.5
11
@NDSU
NDSUL 68-90
−17.5
16
vsTROY
TROYW 94-85
+13.5
26
vsIDHO
IDHOL 64-78
−12.5
28
vsIDST
IDSTL 50-82
−30.5
4
vsCSUB
CSUBW 87-66
+15.5
6
@UCI
UCIL 71-85
−6.5
10
vsFRES
FRESW 89-87
−1.5
13
@DEL
DELW 88-66
+23.5
22
vsSAC
SACW 100-88
+3.5
27
@STAN
STANL 80-88
+7.5
1
@UCD
UCDL 80-89
−5.5
3
vsUCSB
UCSBW 74-65
+6.5
8
vsCP
CPW 95-90
−1.5
10
@CSUF
CSUFL 79-86
−5.5
15
@UCSD
UCSDW 84-79
+12.5
17
vsLBSU
LBSUL 80-87
−14.5
24
@HAW
HAWL 68-89
−10.5
29
vsUCD
UCDW 94-78
+12.5
31
vsUCSD
UCSDW 81-64
+18.5
5
@CP
CPW 97-96
−1.5
7
vsUCR
UCRW 88-74
+3.5
14
vsHAW
HAWW 84-60
+26.5
19
@UCSB
UCSBW 85-83
+7.5
21
@LBSU
LBSUW 78-76
−0.5
26
vsUCI
UCIL 67-68
−2.5
28
@UCR
UCRL 84-95
−15.5
5
@CSUB
CSUBW 86-84
−6.5
7
vsCSUF
CSUFL 77-90
−18.5
12
vsUCSD
UCSDW 80-70
+11.5
covered 14didn’t cover 17avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@UNI
UNIL 57-86
−10.5
9
@UND
UNDW 93-85
+19.5
11
@NDSU
NDSUL 68-90
+1.5
16
vsTROY
TROYW 94-85
+21.5
26
vsIDHO
IDHOL 64-78
−17.5
28
vsIDST
IDSTL 50-82
−16.5
4
vsCSUB
CSUBW 87-66
−2.5
6
@UCI
UCIL 71-85
+3.5
10
vsFRES
FRESW 89-87
+14.5
13
@DEL
DELW 88-66
+9.5
22
vsSAC
SACW 100-88
+23.5
27
@STAN
STANL 80-88
+7.5
1
@UCD
UCDL 80-89
+6.5
3
vsUCSB
UCSBW 74-65
−17.5
8
vsCP
CPW 95-90
+9.5
10
@CSUF
CSUFL 79-86
−8.5
15
@UCSD
UCSDW 84-79
+3.5
17
vsLBSU
LBSUL 80-87
+8.5
24
@HAW
HAWL 68-89
−1.5
29
vsUCD
UCDW 94-78
+8.5
31
vsUCSD
UCSDW 81-64
−15.5
5
@CP
CPW 97-96
+15.5
7
vsUCR
UCRW 88-74
+1.5
14
vsHAW
HAWW 84-60
−18.5
19
@UCSB
UCSBW 85-83
+11.5
21
@LBSU
LBSUW 78-76
−3.5
26
vsUCI
UCIL 67-68
−18.5
28
@UCR
UCRL 84-95
+20.5
5
@CSUB
CSUBW 86-84
+6.5
7
vsCSUF
CSUFL 77-90
−3.5
12
vsUCSD
UCSDW 80-70
−3.5
over 18under 13avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
UC Irvine
30 games played
Straight up
20-10
67% wins
Against the spread
16-14
53% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-19
37% overs · avg −3.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs CBU | L 61-69 | -8.5 | L −16.5 | 147.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | vs WEB | W 79-70 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 19 | @ UVU | L 72-79 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 22 | vsUNI | L 69-70 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Nov 25 | vs NMSU | L 45-57 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | U 102 |
| Nov 26 | vs SDST | W 64-52 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 30 | @ SJSU | W 72-63 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 4 | vsUCR | W 73-60 | -13.5 | L −0.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 6 | vsCSUN | W 85-71 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 19 | vs BEL | L 58-84 | -1.5 | L −27.5 | 150.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 21 | vsNDSU | W 74-73 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 22 | vs NORF | W 89-70 | -11.5 | W +7.5 | 136.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 1 | @CSUB | W 81-77 | -11.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 3 | @CSUF | W 86-64 | -3.5 | W +18.5 | 160.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 8 | vsLBSU | W 74-64 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 10 | @HAW | L 66-67 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 17 | @UCD | L 72-75 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 22 | @UCR | W 80-66 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 24 | @UCSD | W 61-59 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 29 | vsHAW | W 87-76 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 5 | vsCSUB | W 78-62 | -16.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 7 | @UCSB | L 79-84 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 12 | @CP | L 73-79 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 161.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 14 | vsCSUF | W 86-65 | -7.5 | W +13.5 | 154.5 | U 151 |
| Feb 19 | @LBSU | W 69-58 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | U 127 |
| Feb 21 | vsUCSD | L 69-71 | -3.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 26 | @CSUN | W 68-67 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 28 | vsUCSB | W 64-60 | -3.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | U 124 |
| Mar 5 | vsCP | W 107-85 | -9.5 | W +12.5 | 160.5 | O 192 |
| Mar 7 | vsUCD | W 79-69 | -7.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsCBU
CBUL 61-69
−16.5
15
vsWEB
WEBW 79-70
−2.5
19
@UVU
UVUL 72-79
−4.5
22
vsUNI
UNIL 69-70
−3.5
25
vsNMSU
NMSUL 45-57
−14.5
26
vsSDST
SDSTW 64-52
+9.5
30
@SJSU
SJSUW 72-63
+5.5
4
vsUCR
UCRW 73-60
−0.5
6
vsCSUN
CSUNW 85-71
+6.5
19
vsBEL
BELL 58-84
−27.5
21
vsNDSU
NDSUW 74-73
+2.5
22
vsNORF
NORFW 89-70
+7.5
1
@CSUB
CSUBW 81-77
−7.5
3
@CSUF
CSUFW 86-64
+18.5
8
vsLBSU
LBSUW 74-64
−0.5
10
@HAW
HAWL 66-67
+3.5
17
@UCD
UCDL 72-75
−6.5
22
@UCR
UCRW 80-66
+5.5
24
@UCSD
UCSDW 61-59
+4.5
29
vsHAW
HAWW 87-76
+9.5
5
vsCSUB
CSUBW 78-62
−0.5
7
@UCSB
UCSBL 79-84
−2.5
12
@CP
CPL 73-79
−11.5
14
vsCSUF
CSUFW 86-65
+13.5
19
@LBSU
LBSUW 69-58
+5.5
21
vsUCSD
UCSDL 69-71
−5.5
26
@CSUN
CSUNW 68-67
+2.5
28
vsUCSB
UCSBW 64-60
+0.5
5
vsCP
CPW 107-85
+12.5
7
vsUCD
UCDW 79-69
+2.5
covered 16didn’t cover 14avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsCBU
CBUL 61-69
−17.5
15
vsWEB
WEBW 79-70
−2.5
19
@UVU
UVUL 72-79
+1.5
22
vsUNI
UNIL 69-70
+0.5
25
vsNMSU
NMSUL 45-57
−37.5
26
vsSDST
SDSTW 64-52
−28.5
30
@SJSU
SJSUW 72-63
−4.5
4
vsUCR
UCRW 73-60
−9.5
6
vsCSUN
CSUNW 85-71
+3.5
19
vsBEL
BELL 58-84
−8.5
21
vsNDSU
NDSUW 74-73
+0.5
22
vsNORF
NORFW 89-70
+22.5
1
@CSUB
CSUBW 81-77
+14.5
3
@CSUF
CSUFW 86-64
−10.5
8
vsLBSU
LBSUW 74-64
−4.5
10
@HAW
HAWL 66-67
−7.5
17
@UCD
UCDL 72-75
−1.5
22
@UCR
UCRW 80-66
+3.5
24
@UCSD
UCSDW 61-59
−26.5
29
vsHAW
HAWW 87-76
+18.5
5
vsCSUB
CSUBW 78-62
−4.5
7
@UCSB
UCSBL 79-84
+21.5
12
@CP
CPL 73-79
−9.5
14
vsCSUF
CSUFW 86-65
−3.5
19
@LBSU
LBSUW 69-58
−17.5
21
vsUCSD
UCSDL 69-71
−3.5
26
@CSUN
CSUNW 68-67
−18.5
28
vsUCSB
UCSBW 64-60
−14.5
5
vsCP
CPW 107-85
+31.5
7
vsUCD
UCDW 79-69
+3.5
over 11under 19avg −3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
CSU Northridge
18-13 overall · 13-8 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UC San Diego80–70
- Lvs Fullerton77–90
- W@ Bakersfield86–84
- L@ UC Riverside84–95
- Lvs UC Irvine67–68
1 day since their last game.
UC Irvine
20-10 overall · 15-5 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UC Davis79–69
- Wvs Cal Poly107–85
- Wvs Santa Barbara64–60
- W@ CSU Northridge68–67
- Lvs UC San Diego69–71
6 days since their last game.