The HTC Center · at Coastal
Closing line
MASS -2.5✓ CCU covered by 5.5
MASS -2.5✓ CCU covered by 5.5Closing total147.5Over by 37.5
| MASS | This season | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| 14-9 | Record | 13-11 |
| 10-13 | ATS | 13-11 |
| 14-9 | O/U | 12-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MASS 77–75 CCU · ✗ MASS (55%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | 2OT | 3OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MASS | 32 | 32 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 91 |
| CCU | 21 | 43 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 94 |
1st half: MASS 32, CCU 21 (MASS by 11). The model had MASS by 1.1 and a total of 70.9 (actual 53).
Team stats
| MASS | CCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 35-83 42% | Field goals | 35-82 43% |
| 10-26 38% | 3-pointers | 16-34 47% |
| 11-23 48% | Free throws | 8-16 50% |
| 58 22 off | Rebounds | 51 16 off |
| 11 | Assists | 13 |
| 3 | Steals | 4 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 20 | Fouls | 22 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| MASS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hankins-Sanford F | 49 | 10 | 20 | 1 | 4-12 | 2-3 |
| Leonardo Bettiol F | 44 | 17 | 10 | 2 | 6-18 | 0-0 |
| Marcus Banks Jr. G | 42 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 8-20 | 4-10 |
| Danny Carbuccia G | 35 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 2-8 | 0-4 |
| Jayden Ndjigue G | 31 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| K'Jei Parker G | 34 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 12-18 | 4-6 |
| Dwayne Wimbley Jr. F | 15 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Donovan Brown G | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Dimitri Clerc F | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Luka Damjanac F | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Isaiah Placide G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Josh Engel, Rollie Castineyra, Bilal Osman, CJ Outlaw
| CCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Dancler G | 50 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 9-16 | 6-9 |
| Rasheed Jones G | 50 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 10-21 | 4-7 |
| Reggie Hill F | 47 | 9 | 13 | 3 | 3-11 | 1-4 |
| Joshua Beadle G | 36 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 9-18 | 3-4 |
| Nadjrick Peat F | 21 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Derrick Green F | 29 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Tristan Thompson G | 20 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| DaJohn Craig G | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Braeden MacVicar F | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Jerry Ngopot F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Jackson Keil, Charles Dunlap, Connor Martin, Devin Brown, Andre Mulibea
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMASS -2.5
ModelMASS -1.6
Model edgeCCU +0.9
W CCU covered
Total
Market147.5
Model151.4
Model edgeOver 3.9
W Over
Projected score
MASS 76.5 · CCU 74.9
MASS 91 · CCU 94
Win probability
MASS 55%
1st half
Spread
MASS -1.1
MASS -11.0
Total
70.9
53 points
Projected score
MASS 36 · CCU 34.9
MASS 32 · CCU 21
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMASS -1.5
1 → MASS
CloseMASS -2.5
1 pt toward MASS
Total
Open148.5
▼ 1
Close147.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
MASS -155 · CCU +130
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MASS -1.5 · closed MASS -2.5 · moved 1 toward MASSmodel MASS -1.5
model MASS -1.5
Opened 148.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 1 downmodel 151.5
model 151.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MASS | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
| CCU | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UMass
23 games played
Straight up
14-9
61% wins
Against the spread
10-13
43% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-9
61% overs · avg +1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MRSH | L 72-78 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 8 | vs UALB | W 83-62 | -9.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 13 | vs LEM | W 94-80 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 16 | vs CCSU | W 84-77 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 21 | vs COFC | L 65-69 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 161.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 22 | vs GB | L 75-79 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 24 | vs ORST | W 73-65 | +3.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 3 | vs HARV | W 78-71 | -5.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 6 | vs UML | W 80-60 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 10 | vs BC | W 76-74 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 13 | vs FSU | W 103-95 | +12.5 | W +20.5 | 165.5 | O 198 |
| Dec 20 | vs KENT | L 59-69 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 30 | @ EMU | L 74-80 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 148.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 3 | vs BGSU | L 100-101 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 201 |
| Jan 6 | @ OHIO | L 83-86 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 10 | vs BALL | W 79-71 | -10.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 13 | @ WMU | W 85-82 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | @ NIU | L 68-70 | -8.5 | L −10.5 | 157.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 20 | vs TOL | W 84-82 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 164.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 23 | @ BUF | W 68-67 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 159.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 27 | @ M-OH | L 84-86 | +9.5 | W +7.5 | 164.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 31 | vsEMU | W 70-67 | -8.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 3 | vs CMU | W 95-89 | -11.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 184 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMRSH
MRSHL 72-78
−10.5
8
vsUALB
UALBW 83-62
+11.5
13
vsLEM
LEMW 94-80
−2.5
16
vsCCSU
CCSUW 84-77
−5.5
21
vsCOFC
COFCL 65-69
−0.5
22
vsGB
GBL 75-79
−9.5
24
vsORST
ORSTW 73-65
+11.5
3
vsHARV
HARVW 78-71
+1.5
6
vsUML
UMLW 80-60
+8.5
10
vsBC
BCW 76-74
+3.5
13
vsFSU
FSUW 103-95
+20.5
20
vsKENT
KENTL 59-69
−8.5
30
@EMU
EMUL 74-80
−8.5
3
vsBGSU
BGSUL 100-101
+0.5
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 83-86
+1.5
10
vsBALL
BALLW 79-71
−2.5
13
@WMU
WMUW 85-82
−2.5
17
@NIU
NIUL 68-70
−10.5
20
vsTOL
TOLW 84-82
−0.5
23
@BUF
BUFW 68-67
+2.5
27
@M-OH
M-OHL 84-86
+7.5
31
vsEMU
EMUW 70-67
−5.5
3
vsCMU
CMUW 95-89
−5.5
covered 10didn’t cover 13avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMRSH
MRSHL 72-78
−2.5
8
vsUALB
UALBW 83-62
−10.5
13
vsLEM
LEMW 94-80
+20.5
16
vsCCSU
CCSUW 84-77
+16.5
21
vsCOFC
COFCL 65-69
−27.5
22
vsGB
GBL 75-79
+7.5
24
vsORST
ORSTW 73-65
−11.5
3
vsHARV
HARVW 78-71
+5.5
6
vsUML
UMLW 80-60
−15.5
10
vsBC
BCW 76-74
+6.5
13
vsFSU
FSUW 103-95
+32.5
20
vsKENT
KENTL 59-69
−35.5
30
@EMU
EMUL 74-80
+5.5
3
vsBGSU
BGSUL 100-101
+48.5
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 83-86
+8.5
10
vsBALL
BALLW 79-71
+2.5
13
@WMU
WMUW 85-82
+9.5
17
@NIU
NIUL 68-70
−19.5
20
vsTOL
TOLW 84-82
+1.5
23
@BUF
BUFW 68-67
−24.5
27
@M-OH
M-OHL 84-86
+5.5
31
vsEMU
EMUW 70-67
−11.5
3
vsCMU
CMUW 95-89
+31.5
over 14under 9avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Coastal
24 games played
Straight up
13-11
54% wins
Against the spread
13-11
54% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-12
50% overs · avg −2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @WMU | L 71-76 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 11 | vs WIN | W 72-66 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 165.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 14 | @ JXST | L 67-74 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 21 | @ WIU | W 84-64 | -3.5 | W +16.5 | 138.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 22 | vs UND | W 75-58 | -3.5 | W +13.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 23 | @ ILST | L 42-94 | +12.5 | L −39.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 30 | vs AAMU | W 67-60 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 3 | @ UPST | L 78-85 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 6 | @WIN | W 88-84 | +16.5 | W +20.5 | 153.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | @ GCU | L 61-82 | +17.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 18 | @ APP | L 49-67 | +4.5 | L −13.5 | 137.5 | U 116 |
| Dec 20 | @ ODU | W 76-74 | +3.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 22 | @ JOES | W 68-62 | +7.5 | W +13.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 1 | vs GASO | L 81-82 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 3 | vs GAST | L 71-89 | -6.5 | L −24.5 | 148.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 8 | vsODU | L 66-70 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 10 | vsAPP | W 67-62 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 133.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 14 | @MRSH | W 85-83 | +9.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 17 | @GASO | W 79-75 | +6.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 22 | vs TXST | W 72-70 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 24 | vs USM | W 85-67 | -2.5 | W +15.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 29 | @ USA | L 48-53 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 139.5 | U 101 |
| Feb 1 | @ ULM | W 83-79 | -10.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 4 | vs ARST | L 66-70 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@WMU
WMUL 71-76
−2.5
11
vsWIN
WINW 72-66
+8.5
14
@JXST
JXSTL 67-74
+0.5
21
@WIU
WIUW 84-64
+16.5
22
vsUND
UNDW 75-58
+13.5
23
@ILST
ILSTL 42-94
−39.5
30
vsAAMU
AAMUW 67-60
−0.5
3
@UPST
UPSTL 78-85
−4.5
6
@WIN
WINW 88-84
+20.5
13
@GCU
GCUL 61-82
−3.5
18
@APP
APPL 49-67
−13.5
20
@ODU
ODUW 76-74
+5.5
22
@JOES
JOESW 68-62
+13.5
1
vsGASO
GASOL 81-82
−2.5
3
vsGAST
GASTL 71-89
−24.5
8
vsODU
ODUL 66-70
−8.5
10
vsAPP
APPW 67-62
+6.5
14
@MRSH
MRSHW 85-83
+11.5
17
@GASO
GASOW 79-75
+10.5
22
vsTXST
TXSTW 72-70
+0.5
24
vsUSM
USMW 85-67
+15.5
29
@USA
USAL 48-53
−1.5
1
@ULM
ULMW 83-79
−6.5
4
vsARST
ARSTL 66-70
+0.5
covered 13didn’t cover 11avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@WMU
WMUL 71-76
+0.5
11
vsWIN
WINW 72-66
−27.5
14
@JXST
JXSTL 67-74
+1.5
21
@WIU
WIUW 84-64
+9.5
22
vsUND
UNDW 75-58
−14.5
23
@ILST
ILSTL 42-94
−10.5
30
vsAAMU
AAMUW 67-60
−13.5
3
@UPST
UPSTL 78-85
+18.5
6
@WIN
WINW 88-84
+18.5
13
@GCU
GCUL 61-82
−0.5
18
@APP
APPL 49-67
−21.5
20
@ODU
ODUW 76-74
+2.5
22
@JOES
JOESW 68-62
−14.5
1
vsGASO
GASOL 81-82
+5.5
3
vsGAST
GASTL 71-89
+11.5
8
vsODU
ODUL 66-70
−15.5
10
vsAPP
APPW 67-62
−4.5
14
@MRSH
MRSHW 85-83
+16.5
17
@GASO
GASOW 79-75
−3.5
22
vsTXST
TXSTW 72-70
+1.5
24
vsUSM
USMW 85-67
+10.5
29
@USA
USAL 48-53
−38.5
1
@ULM
ULMW 83-79
+15.5
4
vsARST
ARSTL 66-70
−15.5
over 12under 12avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UMass
14-9 overall · 6-6 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs C Michigan95–89
- Wvs E Michigan70–67
- L@ Miami OH84–86
- W@ Buffalo68–67
- Wvs Toledo84–82
4 days since their last game.
Coastal
13-11 overall · 7-6 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Arkansas St66–70
- W@ UL Monroe83–79
- L@ South Alabama48–53
- Wvs Southern Miss85–67
- Wvs Texas St72–70
3 days since their last game.