Ford Center · at Evansville · Conference game
Closing line
MUR -8.5✓ MUR covered by 1.5
MUR -8.5✓ MUR covered by 1.5Closing total153.5Under by 5.5
| MUR | This season | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| 13-3 | Record | 2-12 |
| 10-6 | ATS | 6-8 |
| 9-7 | O/U | 6-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MUR 80–72 EVAN · ✓ MUR (76%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MUR | 42 | 37 | 79 |
| EVAN | 30 | 39 | 69 |
1st half: MUR 42, EVAN 30 (MUR by 12). The model had MUR by 5.0 and a total of 71.4 (actual 72).
Team stats
| MUR | EVAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-59 46% | Field goals | 27-53 51% |
| 7-25 28% | 3-pointers | 1-12 8% |
| 18-27 67% | Free throws | 14-19 74% |
| 36 10 off | Rebounds | 32 5 off |
| 13 | Assists | 15 |
| 4 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 20 | Fouls | 19 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 50 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| MUR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Layne Taylor G | 30 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Fredrick King C | 30 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Javon Jackson G | 26 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 8-16 | 1-4 |
| Mason Miller F | 24 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| JJ Traynor F | 17 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 5-8 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Roman Domon G | 25 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6-10 | 3-5 |
| Mathis Courbon G | 16 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Brayden Shorter G | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| KJ Tenner G | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Dylan Anderson F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Brock Vice F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Dillon Butler, Lachlan Crate, Tristian Ford, Ben Shtolzberg
| EVAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Quinet G | 34 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 5-11 | 0-1 |
| AJ Casey F | 31 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 10-13 | 1-2 |
| Alex Hemenway G | 27 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Leif Moeller G | 26 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 2-8 | 0-3 |
| Joshua Hughes F | 24 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 5-9 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Trent Hundley F | 24 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Kaia Berridge G | 21 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| James Dyson-Merwe F | 13 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Keishon Porter, Aaron Gutman, Marlon Barnes Jr., Connor Turnbull, Weston Aigner, Dakota Candler, Leo Amari IV
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMUR -8.5
ModelMUR -8.1
Model edgeEVAN +0.4
L MUR covered
Total
Market153.5
Model152.5
Model edgeUnder 1.0
W Under
Projected score
MUR 80.3 · EVAN 72.2
MUR 79 · EVAN 69
Win probability
MUR 76%
1st half
Spread
MUR -5.0
MUR -12.0
Total
71.4
72 points
Projected score
MUR 38.2 · EVAN 33.2
MUR 42 · EVAN 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMUR -7.5
1 → MUR
CloseMUR -8.5
1 pt toward MUR
Total
Open157.5
▼ 4
Close153.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
MUR -440 · EVAN +340
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MUR -7.5 · closed MUR -8.5 · moved 1 toward MURmodel MUR -8
model MUR -8
Opened 157.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 4 downmodel 152.5
model 152.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MUR | 9-1 90% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
| EVAN | 1-9 10% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
MUR 6–1 EVANMUR leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · MUR 4-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2024-25 | EVAN 53 vs MUR 74 | MUR -5.5 | MUR W |
| Jan 29, 2024-25 | MUR 74 @ EVAN 78 | EVAN +5.5 | EVAN W |
| Dec 3, 2024-25 | EVAN 61 @ MUR 63 | MUR -13.5 | EVAN W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | EVAN 70 @ MUR 73 | MUR -7.5 | EVAN W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | MUR 81 @ EVAN 59 | EVAN -1.5 | MUR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Murray St
16 games played
Straight up
13-3
81% wins
Against the spread
10-6
63% covers · avg +3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-7
56% overs · avg +5.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs OMA | W 85-77 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 7 | vs MVSU | W 108-60 | -38.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 11 | @ SMU | L 91-102 | +10.5 | L −0.5 | 164.5 | O 193 |
| Nov 15 | vs NICH | W 99-79 | -14.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 18 | vs LR | W 89-68 | -13.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 23 | vs MTSU | L 87-90 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 161.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 24 | vs MCN | L 60-73 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 158.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 25 | vs GW | W 96-95 | +7.5 | W +8.5 | 167.5 | O 191 |
| Dec 2 | vs MORE | W 84-52 | -16.5 | W +15.5 | 158.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 6 | vs BELL | W 81-68 | -16.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | vs AKR | W 115-100 | +4.5 | W +19.5 | 168.5 | O 215 |
| Dec 18 | vs DRKE | W 81-72 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 156.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 21 | @ VAL | W 85-79 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 29 | vs SIU | W 84-81 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 165.5 | U 165 |
| Jan 1 | @ UIC | W 81-77 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 159.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 4 | vs BRAD | W 86-66 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 162.5 | U 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsOMA
OMAW 85-77
+2.5
7
vsMVSU
MVSUW 108-60
+9.5
11
@SMU
SMUL 91-102
−0.5
15
vsNICH
NICHW 99-79
+5.5
18
vsLR
LRW 89-68
+7.5
23
vsMTSU
MTSUL 87-90
−9.5
24
vsMCN
MCNL 60-73
−10.5
25
vsGW
GWW 96-95
+8.5
2
vsMORE
MOREW 84-52
+15.5
6
vsBELL
BELLW 81-68
−3.5
13
vsAKR
AKRW 115-100
+19.5
18
vsDRKE
DRKEW 81-72
+1.5
21
@VAL
VALW 85-79
+0.5
29
vsSIU
SIUW 84-81
−3.5
1
@UIC
UICW 81-77
−1.5
4
vsBRAD
BRADW 86-66
+14.5
covered 10didn’t cover 6avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsOMA
OMAW 85-77
+8.5
7
vsMVSU
MVSUW 108-60
+8.5
11
@SMU
SMUL 91-102
+28.5
15
vsNICH
NICHW 99-79
+20.5
18
vsLR
LRW 89-68
+3.5
23
vsMTSU
MTSUL 87-90
+15.5
24
vsMCN
MCNL 60-73
−25.5
25
vsGW
GWW 96-95
+23.5
2
vsMORE
MOREW 84-52
−22.5
6
vsBELL
BELLW 81-68
−8.5
13
vsAKR
AKRW 115-100
+46.5
18
vsDRKE
DRKEW 81-72
−3.5
21
@VAL
VALW 85-79
+8.5
29
vsSIU
SIUW 84-81
−0.5
1
@UIC
UICW 81-77
−1.5
4
vsBRAD
BRADW 86-66
−10.5
over 9under 7avg +5.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Evansville
14 games played
Straight up
2-12
14% wins
Against the spread
6-8
43% covers · avg −4.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-8
43% overs · avg −2.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ PUR | L 51-82 | +33.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 12 | vsMTSU | L 72-77 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 140.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 18 | vs UTA | L 76-84 | -2.5 | L −10.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs ORST | W 73-69 | +6.5 | W +10.5 | 136.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 23 | vsAKR | L 59-97 | +11.5 | L −26.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs COFC | L 59-78 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs BALL | W 64-52 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | U 116 |
| Dec 6 | @ WKU | L 79-80 | +11.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 13 | @ ND | L 58-82 | +14.5 | L −9.5 | 136.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 16 | vs BEL | L 78-83 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 21 | vsDRKE | L 65-66 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 29 | @BRAD | L 68-76 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 1 | @ ILST | L 47-73 | +12.5 | L −13.5 | 144.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 4 | vs UNI | L 48-62 | +4.5 | L −9.5 | 131.5 | U 110 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@PUR
PURL 51-82
+2.5
12
vsMTSU
MTSUL 72-77
−7.5
18
vsUTA
UTAL 76-84
−10.5
21
vsORST
ORSTW 73-69
+10.5
23
vsAKR
AKRL 59-97
−26.5
24
vsCOFC
COFCL 59-78
−14.5
3
vsBALL
BALLW 64-52
+5.5
6
@WKU
WKUL 79-80
+10.5
13
@ND
NDL 58-82
−9.5
16
vsBEL
BELL 78-83
+3.5
21
vsDRKE
DRKEL 65-66
−3.5
29
@BRAD
BRADL 68-76
+3.5
1
@ILST
ILSTL 47-73
−13.5
4
vsUNI
UNIL 48-62
−9.5
covered 6didn’t cover 8avg −4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@PUR
PURL 51-82
−17.5
12
vsMTSU
MTSUL 72-77
+8.5
18
vsUTA
UTAL 76-84
+21.5
21
vsORST
ORSTW 73-69
+5.5
23
vsAKR
AKRL 59-97
−0.5
24
vsCOFC
COFCL 59-78
−4.5
3
vsBALL
BALLW 64-52
−20.5
6
@WKU
WKUL 79-80
+11.5
13
@ND
NDL 58-82
+3.5
16
vsBEL
BELL 78-83
+13.5
21
vsDRKE
DRKEL 65-66
−10.5
29
@BRAD
BRADL 68-76
−0.5
1
@ILST
ILSTL 47-73
−24.5
4
vsUNI
UNIL 48-62
−21.5
over 6under 8avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Murray St
13-3 overall · 5-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Bradley86–66
- W@ UIC81–77
- Wvs S Illinois84–81
- W@ Valparaiso85–79
- Wvs Drake81–72
3 days since their last game.
Evansville
2-12 overall · 0-5 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Northern Iowa48–62
- L@ Illinois St47–73
- L@ Bradley68–76
- Lvs Drake65–66
- Lvs Belmont78–83
3 days since their last game.