Curb Event Center Arena · at Belmont · Conference game
Closing line
BEL -3.5✓ BEL covered by 6.5
BEL -3.5✓ BEL covered by 6.5Closing total153.5Over by 12.5
 BRAD | This season | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| 9-4 | Record | 11-2 |
| 5-8 | ATS | 7-6 |
| 5-8 | O/U | 6-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BRAD 75–79 BEL · ✓ BEL (65%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BRAD | 39 | 39 | 78 |
| BEL | 42 | 46 | 88 |
1st half: BRAD 39, BEL 42 (BEL by 3). The model had BEL by 2.5 and a total of 71.8 (actual 81).
Team stats
| BRAD | BEL | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-61 44% | Field goals | 28-51 55% |
| 13-32 41% | 3-pointers | 10-23 43% |
| 11-17 65% | Free throws | 22-30 73% |
| 31 15 off | Rebounds | 34 12 off |
| 13 | Assists | 20 |
| 7 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 25 | Fouls | 17 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| BRAD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaquan Johnson G | 35 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 3-13 | 2-7 |
| Demarion Burch G | 31 | 25 | 3 | 4 | 8-14 | 4-8 |
| Timoty van der Knaap G | 28 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-3 |
| Ahmet Jonovic C | 25 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Alex Huibregtse G | 23 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Montana Wheeler G | 26 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 7-11 | 7-9 |
| AJ Smith F | 14 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Kai Yu C | 10 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Corey Thomas F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Gus Rugaard, Dietrich Richardson, Matthew Zobrist, Jackson Seastrunk, Handy Toussaint III, Gustavo Guimares
| BEL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lundblade G | 39 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 7-11 | 7-11 |
| Jabez Jenkins G | 33 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 6-10 | 0-1 |
| Drew Scharnowski F | 26 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 7-9 | 1-1 |
| Nic McClain G | 20 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Brigham Rogers F | 16 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah West G | 21 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Jack Smiley G | 17 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Win Miller G | 15 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Eoin Dillon F | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Keith Robbins G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Graydon Lemke, Sam Orme, Cooper Haynes, Aidan Noyes, Jake Dykstra
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBEL -3.5
ModelBEL -4.4
Model edgeBEL +0.9
W BEL covered
Total
Market153.5
Model153.3
Model edgeUnder 0.2
L Over
Projected score
BRAD 74.5 · BEL 78.9
BRAD 78 · BEL 88
Win probability
BEL 65%
1st half
Spread
BEL -2.5
BEL -3.0
Total
71.8
81 points
Projected score
BRAD 34.7 · BEL 37.1
BRAD 39 · BEL 42
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBEL -5.5
2 → BRAD
CloseBEL -3.5
2 pts toward BRAD
Total
Open151.5
▲ 2
Close153.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
BRAD +154 · BEL -185
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BEL -5.5 · closed BEL -3.5 · moved 2 toward BRADmodel BEL -4.5
model BEL -4.5
Opened 151.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 2 upmodel 153.5 matches the line
model 153.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BRAD | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| BEL | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
BRAD 2–3 BELBEL leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · BRAD 2-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2024-25 | BEL 80 @ BRAD 77 | BRAD -7.5 | BEL W |
| Jan 21, 2024-25 | BRAD 89 @ BEL 77 | BEL +2.5 | BRAD W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | BEL 72 @ BRAD 95 | BRAD -10.5 | BRAD W |
| Jan 21, 2022-23 | BEL 78 @ BRAD 76 | BRAD -7.5 | BEL W |
| Dec 28, 2022-23 | BRAD 60 @ BEL 63 | BEL +1.5 | BEL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Bradley
13 games played
Straight up
9-4
69% wins
Against the spread
5-8
38% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-8
38% overs · avg +2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SBU | L 63-69 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 8 | vs CMU | W 85-54 | -9.5 | W +21.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 12 | vs UTM | L 67-78 | -15.5 | L −26.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 15 | @ SF | L 64-75 | +9.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 19 | vs UML | W 87-77 | -21.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 24 | vs PRIN | W 88-64 | -9.5 | W +14.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs UCSD | L 77-87 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs LIB | W 74-64 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 2 | vs WSU | W 64-60 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 6 | vs NIU | W 84-55 | -18.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 18 | @ INST | W 108-99 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | O 207 |
| Dec 21 | vs SIU | W 73-69 | -6.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 29 | vs EVAN | W 76-68 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSBU
SBUL 63-69
−4.5
8
vsCMU
CMUW 85-54
+21.5
12
vsUTM
UTML 67-78
−26.5
15
@SF
SFL 64-75
−1.5
19
vsUML
UMLW 87-77
−11.5
24
vsPRIN
PRINW 88-64
+14.5
25
vsUCSD
UCSDL 77-87
−11.5
26
vsLIB
LIBW 74-64
+14.5
2
vsWSU
WSUW 64-60
−1.5
6
vsNIU
NIUW 84-55
+10.5
18
@INST
INSTW 108-99
+3.5
21
vsSIU
SIUW 73-69
−2.5
29
vsEVAN
EVANW 76-68
−3.5
covered 5didn’t cover 8avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSBU
SBUL 63-69
−7.5
8
vsCMU
CMUW 85-54
−8.5
12
vsUTM
UTML 67-78
+0.5
15
@SF
SFL 64-75
−7.5
19
vsUML
UMLW 87-77
+14.5
24
vsPRIN
PRINW 88-64
+10.5
25
vsUCSD
UCSDL 77-87
+18.5
26
vsLIB
LIBW 74-64
−6.5
2
vsWSU
WSUW 64-60
−24.5
6
vsNIU
NIUW 84-55
−7.5
18
@INST
INSTW 108-99
+56.5
21
vsSIU
SIUW 73-69
−10.5
29
vsEVAN
EVANW 76-68
−0.5
over 5under 8avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Belmont
13 games played
Straight up
11-2
85% wins
Against the spread
7-6
54% covers · avg +4.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-7
46% overs · avg −1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs AF | W 79-63 | -15.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 8 | vs TNST | W 87-79 | -13.5 | L −5.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 15 | @ ORU | W 83-60 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 171.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 19 | vs LIP | W 75-68 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 24 | vs SFPA | W 94-57 | -21.5 | W +15.5 | 157.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 26 | vs TOL | W 87-72 | -4.5 | W +10.5 | 163.5 | U 159 |
| Nov 30 | @ COFC | W 96-73 | -2.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 3 | vs RICH | L 76-84 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 7 | @ MTSU | W 83-62 | -3.5 | W +17.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 13 | vs UIC | W 87-84 | -12.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 16 | @EVAN | W 83-78 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 19 | @ UCI | W 84-58 | +1.5 | W +27.5 | 150.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 29 | @INST | L 80-81 | -7.5 | L −8.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsAF
AFW 79-63
+0.5
8
vsTNST
TNSTW 87-79
−5.5
15
@ORU
ORUW 83-60
+15.5
19
vsLIP
LIPW 75-68
−5.5
24
vsSFPA
SFPAW 94-57
+15.5
26
vsTOL
TOLW 87-72
+10.5
30
@COFC
COFCW 96-73
+20.5
3
vsRICH
RICHL 76-84
−14.5
7
@MTSU
MTSUW 83-62
+17.5
13
vsUIC
UICW 87-84
−9.5
16
@EVAN
EVANW 83-78
−3.5
19
@UCI
UCIW 84-58
+27.5
29
@INST
INSTL 80-81
−8.5
covered 7didn’t cover 6avg +4.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsAF
AFW 79-63
−2.5
8
vsTNST
TNSTW 87-79
+7.5
15
@ORU
ORUW 83-60
−28.5
19
vsLIP
LIPW 75-68
−15.5
24
vsSFPA
SFPAW 94-57
−6.5
26
vsTOL
TOLW 87-72
−4.5
30
@COFC
COFCW 96-73
+16.5
3
vsRICH
RICHL 76-84
+3.5
7
@MTSU
MTSUW 83-62
−8.5
13
vsUIC
UICW 87-84
+16.5
16
@EVAN
EVANW 83-78
+13.5
19
@UCI
UCIW 84-58
−8.5
29
@INST
INSTL 80-81
+1.5
over 6under 7avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Bradley
9-4 overall · 3-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Evansville76–68
- Wvs S Illinois73–69
- W@ Indiana St108–99
- Wvs N Illinois84–55
- Wvs Washington St64–60
3 days since their last game.
Belmont
11-2 overall · 2-1 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Indiana St80–81
- W@ UC Irvine84–58
- W@ Evansville83–78
- Wvs UIC87–84
- W@ MTSU83–62
3 days since their last game.