Provident Credit Union Event Center · at San José St · Conference game
Closing line
CSU -4.5✓ CSU covered by 7.5
CSU -4.5✓ CSU covered by 7.5Closing total151.5Over by 6.5
| CSU | This season | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| 17-10 | Record | 7-20 |
| 16-11 | ATS | 14-13 |
| 14-13 | O/U | 17-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CSU 75–68 SJSU · ✓ CSU (73%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSU | 42 | 43 | 85 |
| SJSU | 37 | 36 | 73 |
1st half: CSU 42, SJSU 37 (CSU by 5). The model had CSU by 4.3 and a total of 67.1 (actual 79).
Team stats
| CSU | SJSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-45 62% | Field goals | 24-53 45% |
| 9-17 53% | 3-pointers | 7-21 33% |
| 20-24 83% | Free throws | 18-25 72% |
| 29 4 off | Rebounds | 21 7 off |
| 19 | Assists | 14 |
| 1 | Steals | 6 |
| 0 | Blocks | 3 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 19 | Fouls | 19 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| CSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jevin Muniz G | 36 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 5-8 | 1-3 |
| Carey Booth F | 31 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 3-9 | 1-3 |
| Brandon Rechsteiner G | 31 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 7-11 | 6-9 |
| Jase Butler G | 28 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Kyle Jorgensen F | 20 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Rashaan Mbemba F | 17 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Darnez Slater G | 13 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Augustinas Kiudulas F | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jojo McIver G | 11 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Docker Tedeschi, Josh Pascarelli, Charlie Dortch, Jon Mekonnen, Nikola Djapa
| SJSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colby Garland G | 40 | 28 | 2 | 8 | 10-17 | 1-3 |
| Jermaine Washington G | 39 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1-6 | 1-2 |
| Melvin Bell Jr. G | 39 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 5-12 | 2-6 |
| Adrian Myers G | 34 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3-7 | 2-6 |
| Sadraque NgaNga F | 19 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Marcus Overstreet F | 18 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Japhet Moupadele F | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Douglas Langford, Damase Coly, Yaphet Moundi, Eren Karakaya, Christian Wise, Pasha Goodarzi, JaVaughn Hannah, Jaden Goodall, Ben Roseborough
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCSU -4.5
ModelCSU -7.1
Model edgeCSU +2.6
W CSU covered
Total
Market151.5
Model143.3
Model edgeUnder 8.2
L Over
Projected score
CSU 75.2 · SJSU 68.1
CSU 85 · SJSU 73
Win probability
CSU 73%
1st half
Spread
CSU -4.3
CSU -5.0
Total
67.1
79 points
Projected score
CSU 35.7 · SJSU 31.4
CSU 42 · SJSU 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCSU -8.5
4 → SJSU
CloseCSU -4.5
4 pts toward SJSU
Total
Open146.5
▲ 5
Close151.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
CSU -218 · SJSU +180
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CSU -8.5 · closed CSU -4.5 · moved 4 toward SJSUmodel CSU -7
model CSU -7
Opened 146.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 5 upmodel 143.5
model 143.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSU | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
| SJSU | 2-8 20% | 6-4 60% | 8-2 80% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
CSU 6–2 SJSUCSU leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · CSU has won the last 5 meetings · CSU 4-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2025-26 | SJSU 57 @ CSU 65 | CSU -15.5 | SJSU W |
| Mar 4, 2024-25 | SJSU 56 @ CSU 83 | CSU -16.5 | CSU W |
| Dec 31, 2024-25 | CSU 72 @ SJSU 50 | SJSU +3.5 | CSU W |
| Mar 13, 2023-24 | SJSU 62 vs CSU 72 | CSU -14.5 | SJSU W |
| Feb 9, 2023-24 | SJSU 47 @ CSU 66 | CSU -15.5 | CSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Colorado St
27 games played
Straight up
17-10
63% wins
Against the spread
16-11
59% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-13
52% overs · avg +1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UIW | W 98-64 | -10.5 | W +23.5 | 147.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 9 | vs OMA | W 97-74 | -14.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 12 | vs CP | W 93-79 | -18.5 | L −4.5 | 165.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 16 | @ LUC | W 80-67 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 21 | vs DEN | L 81-83 | -18.5 | L −20.5 | 149.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs VT | L 64-66 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 27 | vs WICH | W 76-70 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 28 | vs USF | W 83-68 | +2.5 | W +17.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 6 | vs COLO | W 91-86 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 9 | vs DART | W 76-55 | -20.5 | W +0.5 | 153.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 20 | @ USU | L 58-100 | +10.5 | L −31.5 | 147.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 30 | vs NEV | L 62-75 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 3 | @ GCU | W 70-60 | +6.5 | W +16.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 6 | vs UNM | L 70-80 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 9 | vs UNLV | W 70-62 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 13 | @ FRES | L 69-79 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 139.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 16 | @ BOIS | L 73-79 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 20 | vs AF | W 81-52 | -19.5 | W +9.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 23 | vsUSU | L 61-65 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 28 | @ SDSU | L 50-73 | +9.5 | L −13.5 | 139.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 31 | @ WYO | L 57-68 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 7 | vsSJSU | W 65-57 | -15.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 10 | @AF | W 91-74 | -16.5 | W +0.5 | 137.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 14 | vsWYO | W 79-68 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 140.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 18 | @UNLV | W 91-86 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | O 177 |
| Feb 21 | vsSDSU | W 83-74 | +3.5 | W +12.5 | 139.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 24 | vsFRES | W 74-70 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUIW
UIWW 98-64
+23.5
9
vsOMA
OMAW 97-74
+8.5
12
vsCP
CPW 93-79
−4.5
16
@LUC
LUCW 80-67
+9.5
21
vsDEN
DENL 81-83
−20.5
26
vsVT
VTL 64-66
+2.5
27
vsWICH
WICHW 76-70
+4.5
28
vsUSF
USFW 83-68
+17.5
6
vsCOLO
COLOW 91-86
+3.5
9
vsDART
DARTW 76-55
+0.5
20
@USU
USUL 58-100
−31.5
30
vsNEV
NEVL 62-75
−14.5
3
@GCU
GCUW 70-60
+16.5
6
vsUNM
UNML 70-80
−8.5
9
vsUNLV
UNLVW 70-62
+1.5
13
@FRES
FRESL 69-79
−13.5
16
@BOIS
BOISL 73-79
−0.5
20
vsAF
AFW 81-52
+9.5
23
vsUSU
USUL 61-65
+1.5
28
@SDSU
SDSUL 50-73
−13.5
31
@WYO
WYOL 57-68
−9.5
7
vsSJSU
SJSUW 65-57
−7.5
10
@AF
AFW 91-74
+0.5
14
vsWYO
WYOW 79-68
+7.5
18
@UNLV
UNLVW 91-86
+7.5
21
vsSDSU
SDSUW 83-74
+12.5
24
vsFRES
FRESW 74-70
−4.5
covered 16didn’t cover 11avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUIW
UIWW 98-64
+14.5
9
vsOMA
OMAW 97-74
+17.5
12
vsCP
CPW 93-79
+6.5
16
@LUC
LUCW 80-67
−4.5
21
vsDEN
DENL 81-83
+14.5
26
vsVT
VTL 64-66
−23.5
27
vsWICH
WICHW 76-70
+3.5
28
vsUSF
USFW 83-68
−4.5
6
vsCOLO
COLOW 91-86
+27.5
9
vsDART
DARTW 76-55
−22.5
20
@USU
USUL 58-100
+10.5
30
vsNEV
NEVL 62-75
−2.5
3
@GCU
GCUW 70-60
−13.5
6
vsUNM
UNML 70-80
+6.5
9
vsUNLV
UNLVW 70-62
−19.5
13
@FRES
FRESL 69-79
+8.5
16
@BOIS
BOISL 73-79
+11.5
20
vsAF
AFW 81-52
−0.5
23
vsUSU
USUL 61-65
−23.5
28
@SDSU
SDSUL 50-73
−16.5
31
@WYO
WYOL 57-68
−17.5
7
vsSJSU
SJSUW 65-57
−16.5
10
@AF
AFW 91-74
+27.5
14
vsWYO
WYOW 79-68
+6.5
18
@UNLV
UNLVW 91-86
+29.5
21
vsSDSU
SDSUW 83-74
+17.5
24
vsFRES
FRESW 74-70
−5.5
over 14under 13avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
San José St
27 games played
Straight up
7-20
26% wins
Against the spread
14-13
52% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-10
63% overs · avg +4.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ UTAH | L 75-84 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 8 | @ UCSB | L 74-85 | +9.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 13 | @ MSU | L 60-79 | +24.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 21 | vs SOU | W 80-66 | -5.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 25 | vs TLSA | L 51-81 | +5.5 | L −24.5 | 149.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 26 | vsLUC | W 63-51 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 136.5 | U 114 |
| Nov 30 | vs UCI | L 63-72 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 5 | vs USD | W 86-69 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 144.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 9 | vs LBSU | W 89-83 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | vs STAN | L 82-86 | +8.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 20 | @UNM | L 65-88 | +16.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 30 | vsSDSU | L 68-81 | +11.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | @USU | L 78-96 | +22.5 | W +4.5 | 151.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 6 | vsFRES | L 55-70 | +1.5 | L −13.5 | 149.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 10 | @GCU | L 58-76 | +16.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 13 | vsAF | W 70-62 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 128.5 | O 132 |
| Jan 17 | vsUNLV | L 62-76 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 20 | @NEV | L 54-87 | +16.5 | L −16.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 24 | @WYO | L 62-66 | +13.5 | W +9.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 27 | vsBOIS | L 58-89 | +12.5 | L −18.5 | 141.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 31 | vsUNM | L 80-90 | +15.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 7 | @CSU | L 57-65 | +15.5 | W +7.5 | 138.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 10 | @UNLV | L 75-82 | +12.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 14 | vsGCU | L 79-94 | +11.5 | L −3.5 | 139.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 17 | vsNEV | W 87-71 | +10.5 | W +26.5 | 141.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 21 | @BOIS | L 69-84 | +18.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 24 | @AF | W 86-80 | -6.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 166 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@UTAH
UTAHL 75-84
+2.5
8
@UCSB
UCSBL 74-85
−1.5
13
@MSU
MSUL 60-79
+5.5
21
vsSOU
SOUW 80-66
+8.5
25
vsTLSA
TLSAL 51-81
−24.5
26
vsLUC
LUCW 63-51
+10.5
30
vsUCI
UCIL 63-72
−5.5
5
vsUSD
USDW 86-69
+10.5
9
vsLBSU
LBSUW 89-83
−1.5
13
vsSTAN
STANL 82-86
+4.5
20
@UNM
UNML 65-88
−6.5
30
vsSDSU
SDSUL 68-81
−1.5
3
@USU
USUL 78-96
+4.5
6
vsFRES
FRESL 55-70
−13.5
10
@GCU
GCUL 58-76
−1.5
13
vsAF
AFW 70-62
+2.5
17
vsUNLV
UNLVL 62-76
−6.5
20
@NEV
NEVL 54-87
−16.5
24
@WYO
WYOL 62-66
+9.5
27
vsBOIS
BOISL 58-89
−18.5
31
vsUNM
UNML 80-90
+5.5
7
@CSU
CSUL 57-65
+7.5
10
@UNLV
UNLVL 75-82
+5.5
14
vsGCU
GCUL 79-94
−3.5
17
vsNEV
NEVW 87-71
+26.5
21
@BOIS
BOISL 69-84
+3.5
24
@AF
AFW 86-80
−0.5
covered 14didn’t cover 13avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@UTAH
UTAHL 75-84
+12.5
8
@UCSB
UCSBL 74-85
+12.5
13
@MSU
MSUL 60-79
−4.5
21
vsSOU
SOUW 80-66
−4.5
25
vsTLSA
TLSAL 51-81
−17.5
26
vsLUC
LUCW 63-51
−22.5
30
vsUCI
UCIL 63-72
−4.5
5
vsUSD
USDW 86-69
+10.5
9
vsLBSU
LBSUW 89-83
+30.5
13
vsSTAN
STANL 82-86
+22.5
20
@UNM
UNML 65-88
+0.5
30
vsSDSU
SDSUL 68-81
+7.5
3
@USU
USUL 78-96
+22.5
6
vsFRES
FRESL 55-70
−24.5
10
@GCU
GCUL 58-76
−7.5
13
vsAF
AFW 70-62
+3.5
17
vsUNLV
UNLVL 62-76
−8.5
20
@NEV
NEVL 54-87
+3.5
24
@WYO
WYOL 62-66
−13.5
27
vsBOIS
BOISL 58-89
+5.5
31
vsUNM
UNML 80-90
+21.5
7
@CSU
CSUL 57-65
−16.5
10
@UNLV
UNLVL 75-82
+7.5
14
vsGCU
GCUL 79-94
+33.5
17
vsNEV
NEVW 87-71
+16.5
21
@BOIS
BOISL 69-84
+6.5
24
@AF
AFW 86-80
+20.5
over 17under 10avg +4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Colorado St
17-10 overall · 9-8 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Fresno St74–70
- Wvs San Diego St83–74
- W@ UNLV91–86
- Wvs Wyoming79–68
- W@ Air Force91–74
4 days since their last game.
San José St
7-20 overall · 3-14 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Air Force86–80
- L@ Boise St69–84
- Wvs Nevada87–71
- Lvs Grand Canyon79–94
- L@ UNLV75–82
4 days since their last game.