Alex G. Spanos Center · at Pacific · Conference game
Closing line
PAC -8.5✓ PAC covered by 14.5
PAC -8.5✓ PAC covered by 14.5Closing total142.5Under by 17.5
 PORT | This season | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| 8-12 | Record | 12-8 |
| 10-10 | ATS | 11-9 |
| 9-11 | O/U | 8-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PORT 70–77 PAC · ✓ PAC (73%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PORT | 21 | 30 | 51 |
| PAC | 40 | 34 | 74 |
1st half: PORT 21, PAC 40 (PAC by 19). The model had PAC by 4.1 and a total of 68.9 (actual 61).
Team stats
| PORT | PAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 13-42 31% | Field goals | 29-57 51% |
| 6-23 26% | 3-pointers | 7-20 35% |
| 19-28 68% | Free throws | 9-13 69% |
| 26 6 off | Rebounds | 37 11 off |
| 11 | Assists | 19 |
| 6 | Steals | 10 |
| 1 | Blocks | 0 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 14 | Fouls | 25 |
| 12 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| PORT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dante Censori-Hercules G | 31 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Joel Foxwell G | 29 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 3-12 | 3-8 |
| Garrett Nuckolls G | 22 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jermaine Ballisager Webb C | 22 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Cameron Williams F | 22 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2-9 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| James O'Donnell F | 22 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Mikah Ballew G | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| NaVaughn Long G | 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Sam Noland G | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Kelson Gebbers G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Marchelo Moreira, Timo George, Riley Parker, Carlin Briggs, Preston Lee, Matus Hronsky
| PAC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Wainwright G | 33 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 6-11 | 2-4 |
| Justin Rochelin G | 29 | 17 | 11 | 1 | 7-10 | 1-2 |
| Jaden Clayton G | 28 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 2-8 | 2-5 |
| Elias Ralph F | 24 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 3-7 | 2-5 |
| Isaac Jack F | 20 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kajus Kublickas G | 26 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Jaion Pitt F | 16 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| KC Ibekwe C | 12 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Alexis Marmolejos G | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Emmanuel Manyuon G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Augustas Brazdeikis, Clayton Mpiana, Eyal Harel, Noah Budu, Kris Keinys, Kellen Hampton, Dominic Capriotti, Carlsheon Young
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketPAC -8.5
ModelPAC -7.1
Model edgePORT +1.4
L PAC covered
Total
Market142.5
Model147.2
Model edgeOver 4.7
L Under
Projected score
PORT 70.1 · PAC 77.1
PORT 51 · PAC 74
Win probability
PAC 73%
1st half
Spread
PAC -4.1
PAC -19.0
Total
68.9
61 points
Projected score
PORT 32.4 · PAC 36.5
PORT 21 · PAC 40
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPAC -7.5
1 → PAC
ClosePAC -8.5
1 pt toward PAC
Total
Open141.5
▲ 1
Close142.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
PORT +280 · PAC -355
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PAC -7.5 · closed PAC -8.5 · moved 1 toward PACmodel PAC -7
model PAC -7
Opened 141.5 · closed 142.5 · moved 1 upmodel 147
model 147
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PORT | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
| PAC | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
PORT 8–1 PACPORT leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · PORT has won the last 5 meetings · PORT 7-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2025-26 | PAC 89 @ PORT 90 | PORT +3.5 | PORT W |
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | PORT 81 @ PAC 73 | PAC -2.5 | PORT W |
| Jan 16, 2024-25 | PAC 81 @ PORT 84 | PORT -3.5 | PAC W |
| Feb 1, 2023-24 | PORT 65 @ PAC 60 | PAC +2.5 | PORT W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | PAC 64 @ PORT 78 | PORT -10.5 | PORT W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Portland
20 games played
Straight up
8-12
40% wins
Against the spread
10-10
50% covers · avg +1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-11
45% overs · avg −0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | vs UAPB | W 83-74 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 9 | vs UCD | W 67-63 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | @ WYO | L 56-93 | +11.5 | L −25.5 | 160.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 21 | vs CSUF | W 103-85 | -6.5 | W +11.5 | 164.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 22 | vs UNCO | L 80-86 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 23 | vs STMN | L 66-76 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 26 | vs LBSU | W 93-73 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 1 | @ STAN | L 72-94 | +19.5 | L −2.5 | 156.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 14 | vs KENT | W 88-78 | +7.5 | W +17.5 | 160.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 17 | @ ORE | L 69-94 | +19.5 | L −5.5 | 154.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 22 | @ UCSB | L 61-79 | +9.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 28 | vs WSU | L 62-67 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 30 | vs SCU | L 85-92 | +13.5 | W +6.5 | 157.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 2 | @ SMC | L 57-78 | +18.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 4 | @ SF | L 68-73 | +11.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 8 | vsPAC | W 90-89 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 10 | vs ORST | W 82-76 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 14 | @ PEPP | L 63-67 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 17 | @ LMU | W 71-58 | +8.5 | W +21.5 | 148.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 24 | vsSMC | L 69-75 | +14.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
vsUAPB
UAPBW 83-74
−3.5
9
vsUCD
UCDW 67-63
+2.5
15
@WYO
WYOL 56-93
−25.5
21
vsCSUF
CSUFW 103-85
+11.5
22
vsUNCO
UNCOL 80-86
−2.5
23
vsSTMN
STMNL 66-76
−4.5
26
vsLBSU
LBSUW 93-73
+14.5
1
@STAN
STANL 72-94
−2.5
14
vsKENT
KENTW 88-78
+17.5
17
@ORE
OREL 69-94
−5.5
22
@UCSB
UCSBL 61-79
−8.5
28
vsWSU
WSUL 62-67
−1.5
30
vsSCU
SCUL 85-92
+6.5
2
@SMC
SMCL 57-78
−2.5
4
@SF
SFL 68-73
+6.5
8
vsPAC
PACW 90-89
+4.5
10
vsORST
ORSTW 82-76
+3.5
14
@PEPP
PEPPL 63-67
−5.5
17
@LMU
LMUW 71-58
+21.5
24
vsSMC
SMCL 69-75
+8.5
covered 10didn’t cover 10avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
vsUAPB
UAPBW 83-74
−7.5
9
vsUCD
UCDW 67-63
−21.5
15
@WYO
WYOL 56-93
−11.5
21
vsCSUF
CSUFW 103-85
+23.5
22
vsUNCO
UNCOL 80-86
+8.5
23
vsSTMN
STMNL 66-76
−13.5
26
vsLBSU
LBSUW 93-73
+17.5
1
@STAN
STANL 72-94
+9.5
14
vsKENT
KENTW 88-78
+5.5
17
@ORE
OREL 69-94
+8.5
22
@UCSB
UCSBL 61-79
−7.5
28
vsWSU
WSUL 62-67
−23.5
30
vsSCU
SCUL 85-92
+19.5
2
@SMC
SMCL 57-78
−11.5
4
@SF
SFL 68-73
−6.5
8
vsPAC
PACW 90-89
+34.5
10
vsORST
ORSTW 82-76
+12.5
14
@PEPP
PEPPL 63-67
−17.5
17
@LMU
LMUW 71-58
−19.5
24
vsSMC
SMCL 69-75
−0.5
over 9under 11avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Pacific
20 games played
Straight up
12-8
60% wins
Against the spread
11-9
55% covers · avg +2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-12
40% overs · avg −0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ NEV | L 77-78 | +13.5 | W +12.5 | 139.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 12 | vsLBSU | W 69-66 | -12.5 | L −9.5 | 141.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 15 | @CSUF | W 85-73 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 20 | @ FAU | L 59-82 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 154.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 24 | vs STBK | W 86-58 | -4.5 | W +23.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 25 | vs JAX | W 68-53 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 135.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 29 | vs SAC | W 68-54 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 3 | @ AF | W 80-65 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 134.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 6 | @ CAL | L 61-67 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 16 | @ BYU | L 57-93 | +23.5 | L −12.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 21 | vs NICH | W 95-82 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 28 | @ USD | L 54-66 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 150.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 30 | @LMU | L 71-80 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 2 | vsORST | W 84-53 | -4.5 | W +26.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 4 | vsPEPP | W 74-69 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 138.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 8 | @PORT | L 89-90 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 10 | vsUSD | W 77-70 | -8.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 14 | @SCU | L 69-85 | +12.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 17 | @ORST | W 81-64 | +1.5 | W +18.5 | 139.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 24 | vs SEA | W 56-54 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 137.5 | U 110 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@NEV
NEVL 77-78
+12.5
12
vsLBSU
LBSUW 69-66
−9.5
15
@CSUF
CSUFW 85-73
+5.5
20
@FAU
FAUL 59-82
−15.5
24
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-58
+23.5
25
vsJAX
JAXW 68-53
+12.5
29
vsSAC
SACW 68-54
+3.5
3
@AF
AFW 80-65
+9.5
6
@CAL
CALL 61-67
+1.5
16
@BYU
BYUL 57-93
−12.5
21
vsNICH
NICHW 95-82
+4.5
28
@USD
USDL 54-66
−14.5
30
@LMU
LMUL 71-80
−5.5
2
vsORST
ORSTW 84-53
+26.5
4
vsPEPP
PEPPW 74-69
−6.5
8
@PORT
PORTL 89-90
−4.5
10
vsUSD
USDW 77-70
−1.5
14
@SCU
SCUL 69-85
−3.5
17
@ORST
ORSTW 81-64
+18.5
24
vsSEA
SEAW 56-54
+0.5
covered 11didn’t cover 9avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@NEV
NEVL 77-78
+15.5
12
vsLBSU
LBSUW 69-66
−6.5
15
@CSUF
CSUFW 85-73
−1.5
20
@FAU
FAUL 59-82
−13.5
24
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-58
−1.5
25
vsJAX
JAXW 68-53
−14.5
29
vsSAC
SACW 68-54
−24.5
3
@AF
AFW 80-65
+10.5
6
@CAL
CALL 61-67
−16.5
16
@BYU
BYUL 57-93
+0.5
21
vsNICH
NICHW 95-82
+37.5
28
@USD
USDL 54-66
−30.5
30
@LMU
LMUL 71-80
+11.5
2
vsORST
ORSTW 84-53
−0.5
4
vsPEPP
PEPPW 74-69
+4.5
8
@PORT
PORTL 89-90
+34.5
10
vsUSD
USDW 77-70
−0.5
14
@SCU
SCUL 69-85
−0.5
17
@ORST
ORSTW 81-64
+5.5
24
vsSEA
SEAW 56-54
−27.5
over 8under 12avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Portland
8-12 overall · 3-6 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Saint Mary's69–75
- W@ LMU71–58
- L@ Pepperdine63–67
- Wvs Oregon St82–76
- Wvs Pacific90–89
4 days since their last game.
Pacific
12-8 overall · 5-4 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Seattle U56–54
- W@ Oregon St81–64
- L@ Santa Clara69–85
- Wvs San Diego77–70
- L@ Portland89–90
4 days since their last game.