Hill Field House · at Morgan St · Conference game
Closing line
NCCU -3.5✓ NCCU covered by 7.5
NCCU -3.5✓ NCCU covered by 7.5Closing total141.5Over by 25.5
| NCCU | This season | MORG |
|---|---|---|
| 2-11 | Record | 2-12 |
| 8-5 | ATS | 6-8 |
| 5-8 | O/U | 5-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NCCU 77–74 MORG · ✓ NCCU (59%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NCCU | 35 | 54 | 89 |
| MORG | 32 | 46 | 78 |
1st half: NCCU 35, MORG 32 (NCCU by 3). The model had NCCU by 1.7 and a total of 70.9 (actual 67).
Team stats
| NCCU | MORG | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-47 64% | Field goals | 24-55 44% |
| 4-9 44% | 3-pointers | 7-22 32% |
| 25-33 76% | Free throws | 23-33 70% |
| 28 4 off | Rebounds | 31 12 off |
| 24 | Assists | 14 |
| 6 | Steals | 3 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 24 | Fouls | 22 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 26 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| NCCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gage Lattimore G | 40 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 7-12 | 2-5 |
| Tekao Carpenter G | 38 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 3-4 | 2-2 |
| Dionte Johnson G | 36 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Khouri Carvey F | 31 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 8-10 | 0-0 |
| Jae Slack F | 29 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 4-11 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kelechi Okworogwo F | 18 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 6-6 | 0-0 |
| Justin Edwards G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Khalil Arnold G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Gbenga Olubi F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Camren Daniels, Jonathan Dunn, Ryan Archey, Ramondo Battle II, Kyric Davis, Caleb Ellison
| MORG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Davis G | 39 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 3-9 | 0-2 |
| Christian Meeks F | 38 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 5-7 | 0-1 |
| Alfred Worrell Jr. G | 33 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 8-12 | 4-6 |
| Rob Lawson G | 32 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 3-9 | 1-4 |
| Eugene Alvin F | 21 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Christian Oliver C | 18 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Walter Peggs Jr. G | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-8 | 1-5 |
| David Bumpass G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Matar Wade F | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dallas James C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Breon Barnett, Manok Lual, Jayden Socka, Marland Harris, Trent Edwards
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNCCU -3.5
ModelNCCU -2.6
Model edgeMORG +0.9
L NCCU covered
Total
Market141.5
Model151.4
Model edgeOver 9.9
W Over
Projected score
NCCU 77 · MORG 74.4
NCCU 89 · MORG 78
Win probability
NCCU 59%
1st half
Spread
NCCU -1.7
NCCU -3.0
Total
70.9
67 points
Projected score
NCCU 36.3 · MORG 34.6
NCCU 35 · MORG 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNCCU -1.5
2 → NCCU
CloseNCCU -3.5
2 pts toward NCCU
Total
Open148.5
▼ 7
Close141.5
Down 7 since the open
Moneyline
NCCU -162 · MORG +136
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NCCU -1.5 · closed NCCU -3.5 · moved 2 toward NCCUmodel NCCU -2.5
model NCCU -2.5
Opened 148.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 7 downmodel 151.5
model 151.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NCCU | 2-8 20% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
| MORG | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
NCCU 2–5 MORGMORG leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · MORG has won the last 4 meetings · NCCU 2-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024-25 | MORG 92 @ NCCU 78 | NCCU -9.5 | MORG W |
| Jan 7, 2024-25 | NCCU 98 @ MORG 102 | MORG +3.5 | MORG W |
| Mar 4, 2023-24 | NCCU 79 @ MORG 88 | MORG +8.5 | MORG W |
| Feb 5, 2023-24 | MORG 79 @ NCCU 72 | NCCU -8.5 | MORG W |
| Feb 11, 2022-23 | MORG 63 @ NCCU 83 | NCCU -8.5 | NCCU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
NC Central
13 games played
Straight up
2-11
15% wins
Against the spread
8-5
62% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-8
38% overs · avg +0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ NCSU | L 66-114 | +31.5 | L −16.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 7 | @ UVA | L 62-81 | +34.5 | W +15.5 | 151.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 9 | @ APP | L 54-76 | +10.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | @ UNC | L 53-97 | +34.5 | L −9.5 | 159.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 22 | @ DAY | L 55-74 | +29.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 25 | @ UPST | L 67-82 | +7.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 3 | @ JMU | L 62-67 | +14.5 | W +9.5 | 143.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 6 | vs NCAT | L 54-69 | +2.5 | L −12.5 | 142.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 9 | @ UK | L 67-103 | +42.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 20 | vs LONG | L 72-74 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 29 | @ PSU | L 67-90 | +23.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 3 | vs NORF | W 69-67 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 10 | @ COPP | W 88-77 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | O 165 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@NCSU
NCSUL 66-114
−16.5
7
@UVA
UVAL 62-81
+15.5
9
@APP
APPL 54-76
−11.5
14
@UNC
UNCL 53-97
−9.5
22
@DAY
DAYL 55-74
+10.5
25
@UPST
UPSTL 67-82
−7.5
3
@JMU
JMUL 62-67
+9.5
6
vsNCAT
NCATL 54-69
−12.5
9
@UK
UKL 67-103
+6.5
20
vsLONG
LONGL 72-74
+1.5
29
@PSU
PSUL 67-90
+0.5
3
vsNORF
NORFW 69-67
+3.5
10
@COPP
COPPW 88-77
+4.5
covered 8didn’t cover 5avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@NCSU
NCSUL 66-114
+34.5
7
@UVA
UVAL 62-81
−8.5
9
@APP
APPL 54-76
−6.5
14
@UNC
UNCL 53-97
−9.5
22
@DAY
DAYL 55-74
−17.5
25
@UPST
UPSTL 67-82
+0.5
3
@JMU
JMUL 62-67
−14.5
6
vsNCAT
NCATL 54-69
−19.5
9
@UK
UKL 67-103
+21.5
20
vsLONG
LONGL 72-74
−0.5
29
@PSU
PSUL 67-90
+6.5
3
vsNORF
NORFW 69-67
−5.5
10
@COPP
COPPW 88-77
+21.5
over 5under 8avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Morgan St
14 games played
Straight up
2-12
14% wins
Against the spread
6-8
43% covers · avg −5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-9
36% overs · avg −2.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ GTWN | L 70-87 | +27.5 | W +10.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 11 | vs UMBC | L 79-81 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 162.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 15 | @ MERC | L 72-86 | +6.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 18 | vsNCAT | L 73-79 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 21 | @ ODU | L 56-88 | +11.5 | L −20.5 | 156.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 25 | vs DREX | L 66-71 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | vsLONG | L 80-84 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 154.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 9 | @ DEP | L 49-92 | +21.5 | L −21.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 13 | vs NIA | W 81-73 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 19 | @ CAL | L 50-97 | +26.5 | L −20.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 21 | @ SF | L 64-94 | +25.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 23 | @ LMU | L 56-83 | +23.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 3 | @ UMES | L 49-66 | +6.5 | L −10.5 | 138.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 10 | vs SCST | W 72-67 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@GTWN
GTWNL 70-87
+10.5
11
vsUMBC
UMBCL 79-81
+2.5
15
@MERC
MERCL 72-86
−7.5
18
vsNCAT
NCATL 73-79
−3.5
21
@ODU
ODUL 56-88
−20.5
25
vsDREX
DREXL 66-71
+0.5
6
vsLONG
LONGL 80-84
+1.5
9
@DEP
DEPL 49-92
−21.5
13
vsNIA
NIAW 81-73
+6.5
19
@CAL
CALL 50-97
−20.5
21
@SF
SFL 64-94
−4.5
23
@LMU
LMUL 56-83
−3.5
3
@UMES
UMESL 49-66
−10.5
10
vsSCST
SCSTW 72-67
+0.5
covered 6didn’t cover 8avg −5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@GTWN
GTWNL 70-87
+2.5
11
vsUMBC
UMBCL 79-81
−2.5
15
@MERC
MERCL 72-86
+11.5
18
vsNCAT
NCATL 73-79
−9.5
21
@ODU
ODUL 56-88
−12.5
25
vsDREX
DREXL 66-71
−6.5
6
vsLONG
LONGL 80-84
+9.5
9
@DEP
DEPL 49-92
−9.5
13
vsNIA
NIAW 81-73
+13.5
19
@CAL
CALL 50-97
−4.5
21
@SF
SFL 64-94
+12.5
23
@LMU
LMUL 56-83
−5.5
3
@UMES
UMESL 49-66
−23.5
10
vsSCST
SCSTW 72-67
−8.5
over 5under 9avg −2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
NC Central
2-11 overall · 2-0 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Coppin St88–77
- Wvs Norfolk St69–67
- L@ Penn State67–90
- Lvs Longwood72–74
- L@ Kentucky67–103
2 days since their last game.
Morgan St
2-12 overall · 1-1 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs SC State72–67
- L@ MD Eastern49–66
- L@ LMU56–83
- L@ San Francisco64–94
- L@ California50–97
2 days since their last game.