Kress Center · at Green Bay
Closing line
UCSB -7.5✓ GB covered by 10.5
UCSB -7.5✓ GB covered by 10.5Closing total140.5Under by 9.5
| UCSB | This season | GB |
|---|---|---|
| 6-3 | Record | 3-7 |
| 3-6 | ATS | 5-5 |
| 6-3 | O/U | 5-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UCSB 78–74 GB · ✗ UCSB (64%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCSB | 30 | 34 | 64 |
| GB | 42 | 25 | 67 |
1st half: UCSB 30, GB 42 (GB by 12). The model had UCSB by 2.7 and a total of 71.0 (actual 72).
Team stats
| UCSB | GB | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-46 57% | Field goals | 22-43 51% |
| 7-19 37% | 3-pointers | 11-21 52% |
| 5-7 71% | Free throws | 12-23 52% |
| 30 5 off | Rebounds | 20 3 off |
| 12 | Assists | 18 |
| 3 | Steals | 5 |
| 4 | Blocks | 1 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 19 | Fouls | 14 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 0 |
Players
| UCSB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Shaw G | 36 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 4-7 | 2-3 |
| Aidan Mahaney G | 35 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 7-12 | 2-6 |
| Colin Smith F | 32 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4-8 | 1-2 |
| Zion Sensley G | 20 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Hosana Kitenge F | 19 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Marvin McGhee IV G | 34 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| ZZ Clark G | 10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Koat Keat Tong F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Evans Kipruto C | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Michael Simcoe F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kyle Haughy, Miro Little, John Simcoe, Luke Zuffelato, Bryce Bedgood, Isaac Shingange, Jason Fontenet II
| GB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston Ruedinger G | 38 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Marcus Hall F | 35 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 9-11 | 5-7 |
| LeBron Thomas G | 22 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| C.J. O'Hara G | 21 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Ramel Bethea F | 17 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Caden Wilkins F | 22 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Justin Allen G | 21 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2-9 | 0-2 |
| Mac Wrecke G | 14 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Keegan Van Kauwenberg G | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
Did not play: Dontrell Hewlett, Maruan Cicic, Rob Stroud, Trey Schachter, Vukasin Todorovic, Josh Hines, Brady Fitzgerald
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUCSB -7.5
ModelUCSB -4.2
Model edgeGB +3.3
W GB covered
Total
Market140.5
Model151.6
Model edgeOver 11.1
L Under
Projected score
UCSB 77.9 · GB 73.7
UCSB 64 · GB 67
Win probability
UCSB 64%
1st half
Spread
UCSB -2.7
GB -12.0
Total
71.0
72 points
Projected score
UCSB 36.8 · GB 34.2
UCSB 30 · GB 42
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCSB -3.5
4 → UCSB
CloseUCSB -7.5
4 pts toward UCSB
Total
Open149.5
▼ 9
Close140.5
Down 9 since the open
Moneyline
UCSB -310 · GB +250
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCSB -3.5 · closed UCSB -7.5 · moved 4 toward UCSBmodel UCSB -4
model UCSB -4
Opened 149.5 · closed 140.5 · moved 9 downmodel 151.5
model 151.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCSBlast 9 | 6-3 67% | 3-6 33% | 6-3 67% |
| GB | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UCSB 1–0 GBUCSB leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · UCSB 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024-25 | GB 66 @ UCSB 83 | UCSB -13.5 | UCSB W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Santa Barbara
9 games played
Straight up
6-3
67% wins
Against the spread
3-6
33% covers · avg −2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-3
67% overs · avg +7.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs SJSU | W 85-74 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | @ SAC | W 92-87 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 17 | vs LMU | L 74-78 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 22 | @ NEV | L 64-77 | +5.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 28 | vs LEH | W 72-70 | -10.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | vs SEA | W 74-71 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 4 | vs LBSU | W 84-77 | -13.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 6 | vs CSUB | W 109-84 | -12.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 13 | vs UVU | L 53-68 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 121 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsSJSU
SJSUW 85-74
+1.5
11
@SAC
SACW 92-87
−2.5
17
vsLMU
LMUL 74-78
−7.5
22
@NEV
NEVL 64-77
−7.5
28
vsLEH
LEHW 72-70
−8.5
29
vsSEA
SEAW 74-71
+5.5
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 84-77
−6.5
6
vsCSUB
CSUBW 109-84
+12.5
13
vsUVU
UVUL 53-68
−9.5
covered 3didn’t cover 6avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsSJSU
SJSUW 85-74
+12.5
11
@SAC
SACW 92-87
+17.5
17
vsLMU
LMUL 74-78
+6.5
22
@NEV
NEVL 64-77
−6.5
28
vsLEH
LEHW 72-70
−4.5
29
vsSEA
SEAW 74-71
+2.5
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 84-77
+19.5
6
vsCSUB
CSUBW 109-84
+47.5
13
vsUVU
UVUL 53-68
−25.5
over 6under 3avg +7.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Green Bay
10 games played
Straight up
3-7
30% wins
Against the spread
5-5
50% covers · avg +2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-5
50% overs · avg +0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ KU | L 51-94 | +30.5 | L −12.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 7 | @ BUF | L 76-83 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 13 | @ STMN | L 61-80 | +13.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 15 | @ MINN | L 65-72 | +25.5 | W +18.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 21 | vs YALE | L 67-73 | +17.5 | W +11.5 | 148.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 22 | vs MASS | W 79-75 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 24 | vs IONA | W 80-75 | +5.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 4 | vs RMU | L 78-80 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 7 | @ WRST | L 58-86 | +6.5 | L −21.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Dec 11 | @ IUIN | W 85-75 | +3.5 | W +13.5 | 165.5 | U 160 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@KU
KUL 51-94
−12.5
7
@BUF
BUFL 76-83
−3.5
13
@STMN
STMNL 61-80
−5.5
15
@MINN
MINNL 65-72
+18.5
21
vsYALE
YALEL 67-73
+11.5
22
vsMASS
MASSW 79-75
+9.5
24
vsIONA
IONAW 80-75
+10.5
4
vsRMU
RMUL 78-80
−0.5
7
@WRST
WRSTL 58-86
−21.5
11
@IUIN
IUINW 85-75
+13.5
covered 5didn’t cover 5avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@KU
KUL 51-94
−7.5
7
@BUF
BUFL 76-83
+11.5
13
@STMN
STMNL 61-80
−9.5
15
@MINN
MINNL 65-72
−9.5
21
vsYALE
YALEL 67-73
−8.5
22
vsMASS
MASSW 79-75
+7.5
24
vsIONA
IONAW 80-75
+4.5
4
vsRMU
RMUL 78-80
+17.5
7
@WRST
WRSTL 58-86
+1.5
11
@IUIN
IUINW 85-75
−5.5
over 5under 5avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Santa Barbara
6-3 overall · 2-0 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Utah Valley53–68
- Wvs Bakersfield109–84
- Wvs Long Beach St84–77
- Wvs Seattle U74–71
- Wvs Lehigh72–70
4 days since their last game.
Green Bay
3-7 overall · 1-2 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ IU Indy85–75
- L@ Wright St58–86
- Lvs Robert Morris78–80
- Wvs Iona80–75
- Wvs UMass79–75
6 days since their last game.