Siegel Center · at VCU · Conference game
Closing line
VCU -12.5✓ RICH covered by 4.5
VCU -12.5✓ RICH covered by 4.5Closing total155.5Under by 9.5
 RICH | This season | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| 12-8 | Record | 14-6 |
| 9-11 | ATS | 10-10 |
| 9-11 | O/U | 11-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: RICH 72–83 VCU · ✓ VCU (84%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RICH | 29 | 40 | 69 |
| VCU | 39 | 38 | 77 |
1st half: RICH 29, VCU 39 (VCU by 10). The model had VCU by 6.6 and a total of 72.7 (actual 68).
Team stats
| RICH | VCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-57 47% | Field goals | 23-53 43% |
| 5-15 33% | 3-pointers | 9-24 38% |
| 10-14 71% | Free throws | 22-27 81% |
| 31 12 off | Rebounds | 32 12 off |
| 7 | Assists | 11 |
| 5 | Steals | 4 |
| 0 | Blocks | 3 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 22 | Fouls | 14 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| RICH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Lopez G | 36 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 6-10 | 3-4 |
| Will Johnston G | 33 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-2 |
| Mike Walz C | 30 | 16 | 8 | 1 | 6-10 | 1-3 |
| Aiden Argabright G | 23 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| David Thomas G | 13 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Collin Tanner G | 24 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Jaden Daughtry F | 15 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Robinson F | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Mikkel Tyne G | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Will Harper III G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Apostolos Roumoglou F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dylan Homenick, Donovan Richardson, Bryson McGlothin, Kirby Mooney, Jonathan Beagle
| VCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazar Djokovic F | 32 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 5-11 | 1-3 |
| Brandon Jennings G | 29 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Jadrian Tracey G | 26 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 4-7 | 3-5 |
| Barry Evans F | 25 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 0-6 | 0-2 |
| Nyk Lewis G | 21 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Michael Belle F | 24 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Terrence Hill Jr. G | 22 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 4-10 | 1-5 |
| Tyrell Ward G | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Ahmad Nowell G | 10 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
Did not play: Jordan Tillery, Jordann Dumont, Christian Fermin, Obinnaya Okafor, Keyshawn Mitchell
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketVCU -12.5
ModelVCU -11.3
Model edgeRICH +1.2
W RICH covered
Total
Market155.5
Model155.3
Model edgeUnder 0.2
W Under
Projected score
RICH 72 · VCU 83.3
RICH 69 · VCU 77
Win probability
VCU 84%
1st half
Spread
VCU -6.6
VCU -10.0
Total
72.7
68 points
Projected score
RICH 33 · VCU 39.7
RICH 29 · VCU 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVCU -12.5
no move
CloseVCU -12.5
No change since the open
Total
Open155.5
no move
Close155.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
RICH +625 · VCU -950
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VCU -12.5 · unchangedmodel VCU -11.5
model VCU -11.5
Opened 155.5 · unchangedmodel 155.5 matches the line
model 155.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RICH | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
| VCU | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
RICH 2–7 VCUVCU leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · VCU has won the last 2 meetings · RICH 1-8 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024-25 | VCU 78 @ RICH 60 | RICH +14.5 | VCU W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | RICH 49 @ VCU 90 | VCU -19.5 | VCU W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | VCU 76 @ RICH 79 | RICH -3.5 | VCU W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | RICH 52 @ VCU 63 | VCU -4.5 | VCU W |
| Feb 24, 2022-23 | RICH 58 @ VCU 73 | VCU -8.5 | VCU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Richmond
20 games played
Straight up
12-8
60% wins
Against the spread
9-11
45% covers · avg +1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-11
45% overs · avg +0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs ECU | W 87-72 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | vs W&M | W 90-86 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 164.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 19 | vs VMI | W 87-54 | -14.5 | W +18.5 | 152.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 22 | vs GWEB | W 102-67 | -19.5 | W +15.5 | 154.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 27 | vs FUR | L 72-73 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 28 | vs CLT | W 71-66 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | @ BEL | W 84-76 | +6.5 | W +14.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 6 | vs ODU | W 86-77 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 13 | vs SIU | W 93-84 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 17 | @ ELON | L 70-73 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 161.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 20 | vs CIT | W 80-56 | -18.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 28 | vs CHSO | L 72-77 | -11.5 | L −16.5 | 159.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 31 | vs GW | L 85-99 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 162.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 4 | @ FOR | W 83-75 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 7 | @ SBU | W 89-80 | +6.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 11 | vs JOES | L 65-67 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 150.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 14 | vs LAS | W 74-53 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 17 | @ SLU | L 63-88 | +14.5 | L −10.5 | 162.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 21 | vs URI | L 68-69 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 24 | @GW | L 69-85 | +10.5 | L −5.5 | 159.5 | U 154 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsECU
ECUW 87-72
+9.5
11
vsW&M
W&MW 90-86
−5.5
19
vsVMI
VMIW 87-54
+18.5
22
vsGWEB
GWEBW 102-67
+15.5
27
vsFUR
FURL 72-73
−4.5
28
vsCLT
CLTW 71-66
−1.5
3
@BEL
BELW 84-76
+14.5
6
vsODU
ODUW 86-77
−3.5
13
vsSIU
SIUW 93-84
+5.5
17
@ELON
ELONL 70-73
−6.5
20
vsCIT
CITW 80-56
+5.5
28
vsCHSO
CHSOL 72-77
−16.5
31
vsGW
GWL 85-99
−11.5
4
@FOR
FORW 83-75
+5.5
7
@SBU
SBUW 89-80
+15.5
11
vsJOES
JOESL 65-67
−9.5
14
vsLAS
LASW 74-53
+12.5
17
@SLU
SLUL 63-88
−10.5
21
vsURI
URIL 68-69
−4.5
24
@GW
GWL 69-85
−5.5
covered 9didn’t cover 11avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsECU
ECUW 87-72
+15.5
11
vsW&M
W&MW 90-86
+11.5
19
vsVMI
VMIW 87-54
−11.5
22
vsGWEB
GWEBW 102-67
+14.5
27
vsFUR
FURL 72-73
−2.5
28
vsCLT
CLTW 71-66
−4.5
3
@BEL
BELW 84-76
+3.5
6
vsODU
ODUW 86-77
+9.5
13
vsSIU
SIUW 93-84
+23.5
17
@ELON
ELONL 70-73
−18.5
20
vsCIT
CITW 80-56
−10.5
28
vsCHSO
CHSOL 72-77
−10.5
31
vsGW
GWL 85-99
+21.5
4
@FOR
FORW 83-75
+15.5
7
@SBU
SBUW 89-80
+15.5
11
vsJOES
JOESL 65-67
−18.5
14
vsLAS
LASW 74-53
−20.5
17
@SLU
SLUL 63-88
−11.5
21
vsURI
URIL 68-69
−7.5
24
@GW
GWL 69-85
−5.5
over 9under 11avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
VCU
20 games played
Straight up
14-6
70% wins
Against the spread
10-10
50% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-9
55% overs · avg +3.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WAG | W 103-74 | -25.5 | W +3.5 | 133.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 7 | vs USU | L 77-80 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 12 | vs SPU | W 78-61 | -20.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 17 | @ NCSU | L 79-85 | +11.5 | W +5.5 | 164.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 22 | vs COPP | W 101-58 | -32.5 | W +10.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 26 | vs USF | W 78-66 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 172.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 27 | vs VAN | L 74-89 | +6.5 | L −8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 28 | vs VT | W 86-68 | -2.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 5 | vs SAM | W 83-57 | -19.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 10 | vs UNM | L 78-81 | -8.5 | L −11.5 | 157.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 15 | vs NIA | W 84-58 | -30.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 18 | vs AMER | W 105-83 | -19.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 22 | vs RID | W 100-79 | -30.5 | L −9.5 | 145.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 31 | vsSBU | W 89-82 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 3 | @ DUQ | W 93-80 | -5.5 | W +7.5 | 165.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 7 | vsSLU | L 62-71 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 171.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 10 | @ GMU | L 80-86 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 14 | @URI | W 84-75 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 19 | vsJOES | W 79-72 | -14.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 24 | @ DAV | W 75-69 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWAG
WAGW 103-74
+3.5
7
vsUSU
USUL 77-80
−0.5
12
vsSPU
SPUW 78-61
−3.5
17
@NCSU
NCSUL 79-85
+5.5
22
vsCOPP
COPPW 101-58
+10.5
26
vsUSF
USFW 78-66
+10.5
27
vsVAN
VANL 74-89
−8.5
28
vsVT
VTW 86-68
+15.5
5
vsSAM
SAMW 83-57
+6.5
10
vsUNM
UNML 78-81
−11.5
15
vsNIA
NIAW 84-58
−4.5
18
vsAMER
AMERW 105-83
+2.5
22
vsRID
RIDW 100-79
−9.5
31
vsSBU
SBUW 89-82
−2.5
3
@DUQ
DUQW 93-80
+7.5
7
vsSLU
SLUL 62-71
−10.5
10
@GMU
GMUL 80-86
−7.5
14
@URI
URIW 84-75
+5.5
19
vsJOES
JOESW 79-72
−7.5
24
@DAV
DAVW 75-69
+0.5
covered 10didn’t cover 10avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWAG
WAGW 103-74
+43.5
7
vsUSU
USUL 77-80
−6.5
12
vsSPU
SPUW 78-61
−8.5
17
@NCSU
NCSUL 79-85
−0.5
22
vsCOPP
COPPW 101-58
+7.5
26
vsUSF
USFW 78-66
−28.5
27
vsVAN
VANL 74-89
+1.5
28
vsVT
VTW 86-68
+0.5
5
vsSAM
SAMW 83-57
−14.5
10
vsUNM
UNML 78-81
+1.5
15
vsNIA
NIAW 84-58
−1.5
18
vsAMER
AMERW 105-83
+33.5
22
vsRID
RIDW 100-79
+33.5
31
vsSBU
SBUW 89-82
+13.5
3
@DUQ
DUQW 93-80
+7.5
7
vsSLU
SLUL 62-71
−38.5
10
@GMU
GMUL 80-86
+21.5
14
@URI
URIW 84-75
+11.5
19
vsJOES
JOESW 79-72
−0.5
24
@DAV
DAVW 75-69
−4.5
over 11under 9avg +3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Richmond
12-8 overall · 3-5 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ G Washington69–85
- Lvs Rhode Island68–69
- L@ Saint Louis63–88
- Wvs La Salle74–53
- Lvs Saint Joseph's65–67
3 days since their last game.
VCU
14-6 overall · 5-2 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Davidson75–69
- Wvs Saint Joseph's79–72
- W@ Rhode Island84–75
- L@ George Mason80–86
- Lvs Saint Louis62–71
3 days since their last game.