Chaifetz Arena · at Saint Louis · Conference game
Closing line
SLU -14.5✓ SLU covered by 10.5
SLU -14.5✓ SLU covered by 10.5Closing total162.5Under by 11.5
 RICH | This season | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| 12-5 | Record | 15-1 |
| 9-8 | ATS | 10-6 |
| 9-8 | O/U | 10-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: RICH 73–86 SLU · ✓ SLU (87%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RICH | 22 | 41 | 63 |
| SLU | 43 | 45 | 88 |
1st half: RICH 22, SLU 43 (SLU by 21). The model had SLU by 7.5 and a total of 74.7 (actual 65).
Team stats
| RICH | SLU | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-59 34% | Field goals | 30-61 49% |
| 6-20 30% | 3-pointers | 10-30 33% |
| 17-21 81% | Free throws | 18-23 78% |
| 31 9 off | Rebounds | 46 12 off |
| 9 | Assists | 17 |
| 8 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 16 | Fouls | 20 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 19 |
Players
| RICH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Lopez G | 32 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 7-14 | 1-3 |
| Will Johnston G | 24 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1-10 | 1-7 |
| Mikkel Tyne G | 19 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-2 |
| Mike Walz C | 18 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| David Thomas G | 13 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Will Harper III G | 26 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 4-9 | 2-2 |
| Jonathan Beagle F | 17 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Apostolos Roumoglou F | 15 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Jaylen Robinson F | 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Aiden Argabright G | 14 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| Jaden Daughtry F | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Collin Tanner, Dylan Homenick, Donovan Richardson, Bryson McGlothin, Kirby Mooney
| SLU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robbie Avila C | 26 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 4-5 | 0-1 |
| Quentin Jones G | 25 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Amari McCottry G | 24 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-3 |
| Dion Brown G | 23 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| Trey Green G | 19 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3-8 | 3-8 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ishan Sharma F | 24 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 3-8 | 2-7 |
| Brady Dunlap F | 19 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3-8 | 3-5 |
| Kellen Thames G | 18 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 6-8 | 0-1 |
| Paul Otieno F | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Jax Kerr F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Cam Hutson G | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Isaac Holmes G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Schertz G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Badara Diakite, Luke Laczkowski, Kalu Anya, Dylan Warlick
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSLU -14.5
ModelSLU -12.8
Model edgeRICH +1.7
L SLU covered
Total
Market162.5
Model159.6
Model edgeUnder 2.9
W Under
Projected score
RICH 73.4 · SLU 86.2
RICH 63 · SLU 88
Win probability
SLU 87%
1st half
Spread
SLU -7.5
SLU -21.0
Total
74.7
65 points
Projected score
RICH 33.6 · SLU 41.1
RICH 22 · SLU 43
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSLU -15.5
1 → RICH
CloseSLU -14.5
1 pt toward RICH
Total
Open159.5
▲ 3
Close162.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
RICH +900 · SLU -1600
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SLU -15.5 · closed SLU -14.5 · moved 1 toward RICHmodel SLU -13
model SLU -13
Opened 159.5 · closed 162.5 · moved 3 upmodel 159.5
model 159.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RICH | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| SLU | 9-1 90% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
RICH 3–2 SLURICH leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · RICH 3-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | SLU 63 @ RICH 59 | RICH +6.5 | RICH W |
| Feb 28, 2023-24 | RICH 80 @ SLU 64 | SLU +5.5 | RICH W |
| Feb 21, 2022-23 | SLU 78 @ RICH 81 | RICH +1.5 | RICH W |
| Feb 25, 2021-22 | SLU 66 @ RICH 68 | RICH -3 | SLU W |
| Jan 2, 2021-22 | RICH 69 @ SLU 76 | SLU -2.5 | SLU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Richmond
17 games played
Straight up
12-5
71% wins
Against the spread
9-8
53% covers · avg +2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-8
53% overs · avg +2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs ECU | W 87-72 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | vs W&M | W 90-86 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 164.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 19 | vs VMI | W 87-54 | -14.5 | W +18.5 | 152.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 22 | vs GWEB | W 102-67 | -19.5 | W +15.5 | 154.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 27 | vs FUR | L 72-73 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 28 | vs CLT | W 71-66 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | @ BEL | W 84-76 | +6.5 | W +14.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 6 | vs ODU | W 86-77 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 13 | vs SIU | W 93-84 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 17 | @ ELON | L 70-73 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 161.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 20 | vs CIT | W 80-56 | -18.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 28 | vs CHSO | L 72-77 | -11.5 | L −16.5 | 159.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 31 | vs GW | L 85-99 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 162.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 4 | @ FOR | W 83-75 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 7 | @ SBU | W 89-80 | +6.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 11 | vs JOES | L 65-67 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 150.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 14 | vs LAS | W 74-53 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | U 127 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsECU
ECUW 87-72
+9.5
11
vsW&M
W&MW 90-86
−5.5
19
vsVMI
VMIW 87-54
+18.5
22
vsGWEB
GWEBW 102-67
+15.5
27
vsFUR
FURL 72-73
−4.5
28
vsCLT
CLTW 71-66
−1.5
3
@BEL
BELW 84-76
+14.5
6
vsODU
ODUW 86-77
−3.5
13
vsSIU
SIUW 93-84
+5.5
17
@ELON
ELONL 70-73
−6.5
20
vsCIT
CITW 80-56
+5.5
28
vsCHSO
CHSOL 72-77
−16.5
31
vsGW
GWL 85-99
−11.5
4
@FOR
FORW 83-75
+5.5
7
@SBU
SBUW 89-80
+15.5
11
vsJOES
JOESL 65-67
−9.5
14
vsLAS
LASW 74-53
+12.5
covered 9didn’t cover 8avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsECU
ECUW 87-72
+15.5
11
vsW&M
W&MW 90-86
+11.5
19
vsVMI
VMIW 87-54
−11.5
22
vsGWEB
GWEBW 102-67
+14.5
27
vsFUR
FURL 72-73
−2.5
28
vsCLT
CLTW 71-66
−4.5
3
@BEL
BELW 84-76
+3.5
6
vsODU
ODUW 86-77
+9.5
13
vsSIU
SIUW 93-84
+23.5
17
@ELON
ELONL 70-73
−18.5
20
vsCIT
CITW 80-56
−10.5
28
vsCHSO
CHSOL 72-77
−10.5
31
vsGW
GWL 85-99
+21.5
4
@FOR
FORW 83-75
+15.5
7
@SBU
SBUW 89-80
+15.5
11
vsJOES
JOESL 65-67
−18.5
14
vsLAS
LASW 74-53
−20.5
over 9under 8avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Saint Louis
16 games played
Straight up
15-1
94% wins
Against the spread
10-6
63% covers · avg +5.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-6
63% overs · avg +0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SEMO | W 92-67 | -19.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 6 | vs CHST | W 108-86 | -30.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | O 194 |
| Nov 10 | vs LIN | W 109-66 | -24.5 | W +18.5 | 165.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 15 | vs GCU | W 78-64 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 167.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 21 | vs PFW | W 91-60 | -19.5 | W +11.5 | 166.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 27 | vs SCU | W 71-70 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 158.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 28 | vs STAN | L 77-78 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 2 | @ LMU | W 91-70 | -7.5 | W +13.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 7 | vs CMU | W 107-65 | -24.5 | W +17.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | vs SF | W 85-75 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 17 | vs BCU | W 112-53 | -26.5 | W +32.5 | 157.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 21 | vs UNH | W 93-79 | -34.5 | L −20.5 | 157.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 31 | vsJOES | W 102-79 | -19.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 7 | @ VCU | W 71-62 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 171.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 10 | @LAS | W 84-72 | -17.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 14 | vsFOR | W 78-56 | -17.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | U 134 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSEMO
SEMOW 92-67
+5.5
6
vsCHST
CHSTW 108-86
−8.5
10
vsLIN
LINW 109-66
+18.5
15
vsGCU
GCUW 78-64
+5.5
21
vsPFW
PFWW 91-60
+11.5
27
vsSCU
SCUW 71-70
−0.5
28
vsSTAN
STANL 77-78
−2.5
2
@LMU
LMUW 91-70
+13.5
7
vsCMU
CMUW 107-65
+17.5
13
vsSF
SFW 85-75
−2.5
17
vsBCU
BCUW 112-53
+32.5
21
vsUNH
UNHW 93-79
−20.5
31
vsJOES
JOESW 102-79
+3.5
7
@VCU
VCUW 71-62
+10.5
10
@LAS
LASW 84-72
−5.5
14
vsFOR
FORW 78-56
+4.5
covered 10didn’t cover 6avg +5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSEMO
SEMOW 92-67
+5.5
6
vsCHST
CHSTW 108-86
+38.5
10
vsLIN
LINW 109-66
+9.5
15
vsGCU
GCUW 78-64
−25.5
21
vsPFW
PFWW 91-60
−15.5
27
vsSCU
SCUW 71-70
−17.5
28
vsSTAN
STANL 77-78
−5.5
2
@LMU
LMUW 91-70
+10.5
7
vsCMU
CMUW 107-65
+11.5
13
vsSF
SFW 85-75
+4.5
17
vsBCU
BCUW 112-53
+7.5
21
vsUNH
UNHW 93-79
+14.5
31
vsJOES
JOESW 102-79
+19.5
7
@VCU
VCUW 71-62
−38.5
10
@LAS
LASW 84-72
+3.5
14
vsFOR
FORW 78-56
−20.5
over 10under 6avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Richmond
12-5 overall · 3-2 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs La Salle74–53
- Lvs Saint Joseph's65–67
- W@ St Bonaventure89–80
- W@ Fordham83–75
- Lvs G Washington85–99
3 days since their last game.
Saint Louis
15-1 overall · 4-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Fordham78–56
- W@ La Salle84–72
- W@ VCU71–62
- Wvs Saint Joseph's102–79
- Wvs New Hampshire93–79
3 days since their last game.