Dee Glen Smith Spectrum · at Utah State · Conference game
Closing line
USU -15.5✓ UNLV covered by 25.5
USU -15.5✓ UNLV covered by 25.5Closing total156.5Over by 5.5
 UNLV | This season | USU |
|---|---|---|
| 8-8 | Record | 14-2 |
| 8-8 | ATS | 8-8 |
| 8-8 | O/U | 9-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNLV 72–87 USU · ✗ USU (91%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV | 38 | 48 | 86 |
| USU | 38 | 38 | 76 |
1st half: UNLV 38, USU 38 (tied). The model had USU by 8.8 and a total of 74.6 (actual 76).
Team stats
| UNLV | USU | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-58 50% | Field goals | 26-58 45% |
| 7-14 50% | 3-pointers | 7-24 29% |
| 21-25 84% | Free throws | 17-31 55% |
| 40 13 off | Rebounds | 31 13 off |
| 8 | Assists | 14 |
| 6 | Steals | 8 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 22 | Fouls | 20 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| UNLV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn G | 35 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 8-12 | 3-5 |
| Tyrin Jones F | 32 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 5-13 | 0-0 |
| Emmanuel Stephen C | 31 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Howie Fleming Jr. G | 27 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Kimani Hamilton F | 13 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Issac Williamson G | 21 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Walter Brown F | 20 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4-7 | 2-3 |
| Al Green G | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Jacob Bannarbie F | 9 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jalen Cunningham, Xavier Brumfield, Mason Abittan, Myles Che, Ladji Dembele, Naas Cunningham
| USU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Falslev G | 37 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 8-14 | 1-4 |
| MJ Collins Jr. G | 35 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 4-13 | 2-8 |
| Drake Allen G | 32 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 4-9 | 1-3 |
| Adlan Elamin F | 31 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 6-12 | 2-5 |
| Zach Keller F | 17 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Karson Templin F | 22 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Elijah Perryman G | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kolby King G | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Garry Clark F | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Tucker Anderson F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: David Iweze, Jordy Barnes, Luke Kearney, Kingston Tosi, Brayden Boe
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUSU -15.5
ModelUSU -15.0
Model edgeUNLV +0.5
W UNLV covered
Total
Market156.5
Model159.4
Model edgeOver 2.9
W Over
Projected score
UNLV 72.2 · USU 87.2
UNLV 86 · USU 76
Win probability
USU 91%
1st half
Spread
USU -8.8
tied
Total
74.6
76 points
Projected score
UNLV 32.9 · USU 41.7
UNLV 38 · USU 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSU -16.5
1 → UNLV
CloseUSU -15.5
1 pt toward UNLV
Total
Open156.5
no move
Close156.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
UNLV +950 · USU -1650
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USU -16.5 · closed USU -15.5 · moved 1 toward UNLVmodel USU -15
model USU -15
Opened 156.5 · unchangedmodel 159.5
model 159.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
| USU | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
UNLV 1–6 USUUSU leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · USU has won the last 2 meetings · UNLV 4-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2024-25 | UNLV 58 vs USU 70 | USU -7.5 | USU W |
| Jan 29, 2024-25 | UNLV 71 @ USU 76 | USU -10.5 | UNLV W |
| Jan 15, 2024-25 | USU 62 @ UNLV 65 | UNLV +5.5 | UNLV W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | USU 87 @ UNLV 86 | UNLV +1.5 | UNLV W |
| Mar 1, 2022-23 | USU 91 @ UNLV 66 | UNLV +2.5 | USU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UNLV
16 games played
Straight up
8-8
50% wins
Against the spread
8-8
50% covers · avg −2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-8
50% overs · avg −0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs UTM | L 81-86 | -16.5 | L −21.5 | 146.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 8 | vs UTC | W 101-69 | -7.5 | W +24.5 | 155.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 11 | vs MONT | L 93-102 | -10.5 | L −19.5 | 157.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 16 | @ MEM | W 92-78 | +9.5 | W +23.5 | 163.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 20 | vs JOES | W 99-85 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 24 | vs MD | L 67-74 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 164.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 25 | vs ALA | L 76-115 | +13.5 | L −25.5 | 181.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 27 | vs RUTG | L 65-80 | -4.5 | L −19.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 7 | @ STAN | W 75-74 | +9.5 | W +10.5 | 164.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | vs TNST | L 60-63 | -12.5 | L −15.5 | 161.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 20 | vs FRES | W 84-72 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 3 | vs AF | W 67-39 | -14.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | U 106 |
| Jan 6 | @ WYO | L 66-98 | +4.5 | L −27.5 | 154.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 9 | @ CSU | L 62-70 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 151.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 13 | vs BOIS | W 89-85 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 17 | @ SJSU | W 76-62 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | U 138 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsUTM
UTML 81-86
−21.5
8
vsUTC
UTCW 101-69
+24.5
11
vsMONT
MONTL 93-102
−19.5
16
@MEM
MEMW 92-78
+23.5
20
vsJOES
JOESW 99-85
+3.5
24
vsMD
MDL 67-74
−4.5
25
vsALA
ALAL 76-115
−25.5
27
vsRUTG
RUTGL 65-80
−19.5
7
@STAN
STANW 75-74
+10.5
13
vsTNST
TNSTL 60-63
−15.5
20
vsFRES
FRESW 84-72
+3.5
3
vsAF
AFW 67-39
+13.5
6
@WYO
WYOL 66-98
−27.5
9
@CSU
CSUL 62-70
−1.5
13
vsBOIS
BOISW 89-85
+5.5
17
@SJSU
SJSUW 76-62
+6.5
covered 8didn’t cover 8avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsUTM
UTML 81-86
+20.5
8
vsUTC
UTCW 101-69
+14.5
11
vsMONT
MONTL 93-102
+37.5
16
@MEM
MEMW 92-78
+6.5
20
vsJOES
JOESW 99-85
+22.5
24
vsMD
MDL 67-74
−23.5
25
vsALA
ALAL 76-115
+9.5
27
vsRUTG
RUTGL 65-80
−8.5
7
@STAN
STANW 75-74
−15.5
13
vsTNST
TNSTL 60-63
−38.5
20
vsFRES
FRESW 84-72
−3.5
3
vsAF
AFW 67-39
−36.5
6
@WYO
WYOL 66-98
+9.5
9
@CSU
CSUL 62-70
−19.5
13
vsBOIS
BOISW 89-85
+23.5
17
@SJSU
SJSUW 76-62
−8.5
over 8under 8avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Utah State
16 games played
Straight up
14-2
88% wins
Against the spread
8-8
50% covers · avg +3.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-7
56% overs · avg +1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs VCU | W 80-77 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 12 | vs WEB | W 83-73 | -22.5 | L −12.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 15 | vs UTEP | W 75-51 | -16.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 21 | vs TULN | W 96-75 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 151.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 23 | vs DAV | W 94-60 | -9.5 | W +24.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 29 | vs MTST | W 84-81 | -17.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 4 | @ USF | L 61-74 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 162.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 7 | @ CLT | W 79-53 | -10.5 | W +15.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 13 | vs ILST | W 83-78 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 20 | vsCSU | W 100-58 | -10.5 | W +31.5 | 147.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 30 | @FRES | W 72-63 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 154.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 3 | vsSJSU | W 96-78 | -22.5 | L −4.5 | 151.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 6 | @AF | W 99-62 | -22.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 10 | @BOIS | W 93-68 | -1.5 | W +23.5 | 149.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 14 | vs NEV | W 71-62 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 17 | @ GCU | L 74-84 | -5.5 | L −15.5 | 150.5 | O 158 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsVCU
VCUW 80-77
+0.5
12
vsWEB
WEBW 83-73
−12.5
15
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-51
+7.5
21
vsTULN
TULNW 96-75
+12.5
23
vsDAV
DAVW 94-60
+24.5
29
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-81
−14.5
4
@USF
USFL 61-74
−10.5
7
@CLT
CLTW 79-53
+15.5
13
vsILST
ILSTW 83-78
−3.5
20
vsCSU
CSUW 100-58
+31.5
30
@FRES
FRESW 72-63
−5.5
3
vsSJSU
SJSUW 96-78
−4.5
6
@AF
AFW 99-62
+14.5
10
@BOIS
BOISW 93-68
+23.5
14
vsNEV
NEVW 71-62
−4.5
17
@GCU
GCUL 74-84
−15.5
covered 8didn’t cover 8avg +3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsVCU
VCUW 80-77
−6.5
12
vsWEB
WEBW 83-73
−0.5
15
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-51
−23.5
21
vsTULN
TULNW 96-75
+19.5
23
vsDAV
DAVW 94-60
+6.5
29
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-81
+16.5
4
@USF
USFL 61-74
−27.5
7
@CLT
CLTW 79-53
−7.5
13
vsILST
ILSTW 83-78
+12.5
20
vsCSU
CSUW 100-58
+10.5
30
@FRES
FRESW 72-63
−19.5
3
vsSJSU
SJSUW 96-78
+22.5
6
@AF
AFW 99-62
+21.5
10
@BOIS
BOISW 93-68
+11.5
14
vsNEV
NEVW 71-62
−14.5
17
@GCU
GCUL 74-84
+7.5
over 9under 7avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UNLV
8-8 overall · 4-2 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ San José St76–62
- Wvs Boise St89–85
- L@ Colorado St62–70
- L@ Wyoming66–98
- Wvs Air Force67–39
3 days since their last game.
Utah State
14-2 overall · 6-1 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Grand Canyon74–84
- Wvs Nevada71–62
- W@ Boise St93–68
- W@ Air Force99–62
- Wvs San José St96–78
3 days since their last game.