Save Mart Center · at Fresno St · Conference game
Closing line
USU -14.5✓ FRES covered by 5.5
USU -14.5✓ FRES covered by 5.5Closing total154.5Under by 19.5
| USU | This season | FRES |
|---|---|---|
| 9-1 | Record | 5-6 |
| 6-4 | ATS | 6-5 |
| 5-5 | O/U | 5-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: USU 83–69 FRES · ✓ USU (89%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USU | 35 | 37 | 72 |
| FRES | 26 | 37 | 63 |
1st half: USU 35, FRES 26 (USU by 9). The model had USU by 8.6 and a total of 71.4 (actual 61).
Team stats
| USU | FRES | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-55 47% | Field goals | 20-58 34% |
| 5-20 25% | 3-pointers | 5-22 23% |
| 15-22 68% | Free throws | 18-22 82% |
| 41 10 off | Rebounds | 34 10 off |
| 12 | Assists | 8 |
| 14 | Steals | 12 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 20 | Turnovers | 18 |
| 23 | Fouls | 20 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 29 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| USU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Falslev G | 39 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 5-14 | 2-4 |
| MJ Collins Jr. G | 34 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 9-16 | 0-4 |
| Drake Allen G | 21 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Adlan Elamin F | 17 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Zach Keller F | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Karson Templin F | 22 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Kolby King G | 21 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 4-6 | 2-4 |
| Elijah Perryman G | 17 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Garry Clark F | 12 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tucker Anderson F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jordy Barnes G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: David Iweze, Luke Kearney, Kingston Tosi, Brayden Boe
| FRES | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Heidbreder G | 38 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 7-19 | 3-9 |
| Wilson Jacques C | 33 | 15 | 12 | 1 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| DeShawn Gory F | 29 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Zaon Collins G | 28 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1-8 | 0-2 |
| Cameron Faas G | 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-7 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Bastien Rieber G | 26 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| David Douglas Jr. G | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| DJ Stickman G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Gasper Kocevar C | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Makhan Diouf F | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Matteo Porto, Nathan Zulemie, Aram Vladimir Soqui Urbano, Troy Jenkins, Jac Mani
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSU -13.5
1 → USU
CloseUSU -14.5
1 pt toward USU
Total
Open152.5
▲ 2
Close154.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
USU -1450 · FRES +850
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USU -13.5 · closed USU -14.5 · moved 1 toward USUmodel USU -14
model USU -14
Opened 152.5 · closed 154.5 · moved 2 upmodel 152.5
model 152.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | USU -14.5 | USU -14.1 | FRES +0.4 | W FRES covered |
| Total | 154.5 | 152.4 | Under 2.1 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | USU 83.2 · FRES 69.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | USU -8.6 | USU -9.0 |
| 1H total | 71.4 | 61 |
| 1H projected score | USU 40 · FRES 31.4 | USU 35 · FRES 26 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USU | 9-1 90% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| FRES | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
USU 7–1 FRESUSU leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · USU has won the last 7 meetings · USU 3-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2024-25 | USU 89 @ FRES 81 | FRES +13.5 | FRES W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | FRES 83 @ USU 89 | USU -23.5 | FRES W |
| Mar 14, 2023-24 | FRES 75 vs USU 87 | USU -12.5 | FRES W |
| Feb 27, 2023-24 | USU 77 @ FRES 73 | FRES +10.5 | FRES W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | FRES 62 @ USU 83 | USU -13.5 | USU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Utah State
10 games played
Straight up
9-1
90% wins
Against the spread
6-4
60% covers · avg +5.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-5
50% overs · avg 0 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs VCU | W 80-77 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 12 | vs WEB | W 83-73 | -22.5 | L −12.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 15 | vs UTEP | W 75-51 | -16.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 21 | vs TULN | W 96-75 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 151.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 23 | vs DAV | W 94-60 | -9.5 | W +24.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 29 | vs MTST | W 84-81 | -17.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 4 | @ USF | L 61-74 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 162.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 7 | @ CLT | W 79-53 | -10.5 | W +15.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 13 | vs ILST | W 83-78 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 20 | vs CSU | W 100-58 | -10.5 | W +31.5 | 147.5 | O 158 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsVCU
VCUW 80-77
+0.5
12
vsWEB
WEBW 83-73
−12.5
15
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-51
+7.5
21
vsTULN
TULNW 96-75
+12.5
23
vsDAV
DAVW 94-60
+24.5
29
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-81
−14.5
4
@USF
USFL 61-74
−10.5
7
@CLT
CLTW 79-53
+15.5
13
vsILST
ILSTW 83-78
−3.5
20
vsCSU
CSUW 100-58
+31.5
covered 6didn’t cover 4avg +5.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsVCU
VCUW 80-77
−6.5
12
vsWEB
WEBW 83-73
−0.5
15
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-51
−23.5
21
vsTULN
TULNW 96-75
+19.5
23
vsDAV
DAVW 94-60
+6.5
29
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-81
+16.5
4
@USF
USFL 61-74
−27.5
7
@CLT
CLTW 79-53
−7.5
13
vsILST
ILSTW 83-78
+12.5
20
vsCSU
CSUW 100-58
+10.5
over 5under 5avg 0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Fresno St
11 games played
Straight up
5-6
45% wins
Against the spread
6-5
55% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-6
45% overs · avg −4.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs UPST | L 66-67 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 164.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 8 | vs LBSU | W 82-62 | -6.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 12 | vs UCSD | L 73-78 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs UVU | W 75-74 | +4.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 18 | vs SFA | W 80-78 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 21 | vs NOLA | W 85-76 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 26 | vs PEPP | W 76-53 | -2.5 | W +20.5 | 150.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 30 | vs CSUB | L 71-76 | -10.5 | L −15.5 | 150.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 6 | @ ARK | L 58-82 | +19.5 | L −4.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 10 | @ CSUN | L 87-89 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 161.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 20 | @ UNLV | L 72-84 | +8.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | U 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsUPST
UPSTL 66-67
−10.5
8
vsLBSU
LBSUW 82-62
+13.5
12
vsUCSD
UCSDL 73-78
−6.5
15
vsUVU
UVUW 75-74
+5.5
18
vsSFA
SFAW 80-78
+4.5
21
vsNOLA
NOLAW 85-76
+2.5
26
vsPEPP
PEPPW 76-53
+20.5
30
vsCSUB
CSUBL 71-76
−15.5
6
@ARK
ARKL 58-82
−4.5
10
@CSUN
CSUNL 87-89
+1.5
20
@UNLV
UNLVL 72-84
−3.5
covered 6didn’t cover 5avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsUPST
UPSTL 66-67
−31.5
8
vsLBSU
LBSUW 82-62
+1.5
12
vsUCSD
UCSDL 73-78
+2.5
15
vsUVU
UVUW 75-74
−7.5
18
vsSFA
SFAW 80-78
+11.5
21
vsNOLA
NOLAW 85-76
+6.5
26
vsPEPP
PEPPW 76-53
−21.5
30
vsCSUB
CSUBL 71-76
−3.5
6
@ARK
ARKL 58-82
−21.5
10
@CSUN
CSUNL 87-89
+14.5
20
@UNLV
UNLVL 72-84
−3.5
over 5under 6avg −4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Utah State
9-1 overall · 1-0 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Colorado St100–58
- Wvs Illinois St83–78
- W@ Charlotte79–53
- L@ South Florida61–74
- Wvs Montana St84–81
A week or more of rest.
Fresno St
5-6 overall · 0-1 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UNLV72–84
- L@ CSU Northridge87–89
- L@ Arkansas58–82
- Lvs Bakersfield71–76
- Wvs Pepperdine76–53
A week or more of rest.