Jadwin Gymnasium · at Princeton
Closing line
PRIN -2.5✓ MRMK covered by 5.5
PRIN -2.5✓ MRMK covered by 5.5Closing total134.5Under by 19.5
 MRMK | This season | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| 5-6 | Record | 2-9 |
| 5-6 | ATS | 8-3 |
| 4-7 | O/U | 6-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MRMK 67–71 PRIN · ✗ PRIN (62%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRMK | 32 | 27 | 59 |
| PRIN | 29 | 27 | 56 |
1st half: MRMK 32, PRIN 29 (MRMK by 3). The model had PRIN by 2.0 and a total of 64.5 (actual 61).
Team stats
| MRMK | PRIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-46 39% | Field goals | 17-57 30% |
| 5-19 26% | 3-pointers | 5-17 29% |
| 18-20 90% | Free throws | 17-21 81% |
| 26 3 off | Rebounds | 45 19 off |
| 9 | Assists | 8 |
| 6 | Steals | 4 |
| 6 | Blocks | 2 |
| 5 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 0 |
Players
| MRMK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevair Kennedy G | 39 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Ernest Shelton G | 39 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 4-10 | 2-4 |
| Tye Dorset G | 34 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4-9 | 1-4 |
| Todd Brogna F | 29 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Andrés Marrero G | 24 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 3-12 | 1-8 |
| Bench | ||||||
| KC Ugwuakazi F | 18 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Dylan Veillette F | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Aliou Cisse F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Stinson G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Brendan Johnson, Brandon Legris, Jacob Moore, Quinn Kwasniak, David Munro, Malik Edmead
| PRIN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Hicke G | 39 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 8-12 | 3-4 |
| Landon Clark G | 29 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-4 |
| Sebastian Whitfield G | 26 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-2 |
| Jack Stanton G | 24 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| CJ Happy F | 17 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jake Sussberg G | 20 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Malik Abdullahi F | 19 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Jacob Huggins F | 16 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-11 | 0-0 |
| Peyton Seals G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jacob Hammond F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cooper Mueller, Zio Kim, Dalen Davis, Ryan Mandes, Cash McSweeney, Will Kutzler
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketPRIN -2.5
ModelPRIN -3.6
Model edgePRIN +1.1
L MRMK covered
Total
Market134.5
Model137.5
Model edgeOver 3.0
L Under
Projected score
MRMK 67 · PRIN 70.6
MRMK 59 · PRIN 56
Win probability
PRIN 62%
1st half
Spread
PRIN -2.0
MRMK -3.0
Total
64.5
61 points
Projected score
MRMK 31.2 · PRIN 33.2
MRMK 32 · PRIN 29
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPRIN -2.5
no move
ClosePRIN -2.5
No change since the open
Total
Open134.5
no move
Close134.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
MRMK +110 · PRIN -130
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PRIN -2.5 · unchangedmodel PRIN -3.5
model PRIN -3.5
Opened 134.5 · unchangedmodel 137.5
model 137.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRMK | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| PRIN | 2-8 20% | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MRMK 0–1 PRINPRIN leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · MRMK 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2024-25 | PRIN 68 @ MRMK 57 | MRMK +5.5 | PRIN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Merrimack
11 games played
Straight up
5-6
45% wins
Against the spread
5-6
45% covers · avg −2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-7
36% overs · avg −2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SDST | L 66-75 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 6 | @ AUB | L 57-95 | +23.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 11 | @ TAR | L 62-76 | +4.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 15 | @ BU | W 91-79 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 135.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 19 | vs ME | W 72-65 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 130.5 | O 137 |
| Nov 21 | @ FLA | L 45-80 | +36.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 28 | @ PENN | L 65-77 | +2.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | vs HOF | L 58-78 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 135.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 30 | vs LAS | W 66-60 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 132.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 4 | vs RID | W 68-66 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 7 | vs FAIR | W 74-63 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSDST
SDSTL 66-75
−2.5
6
@AUB
AUBL 57-95
−14.5
11
@TAR
TARL 62-76
−9.5
15
@BU
BUW 91-79
+14.5
19
vsME
MEW 72-65
+0.5
21
@FLA
FLAL 45-80
+1.5
28
@PENN
PENNL 65-77
−9.5
29
vsHOF
HOFL 58-78
−14.5
30
vsLAS
LASW 66-60
+8.5
4
vsRID
RIDW 68-66
−7.5
7
vsFAIR
FAIRW 74-63
+7.5
covered 5didn’t cover 6avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSDST
SDSTL 66-75
−2.5
6
@AUB
AUBL 57-95
+3.5
11
@TAR
TARL 62-76
−4.5
15
@BU
BUW 91-79
+34.5
19
vsME
MEW 72-65
+6.5
21
@FLA
FLAL 45-80
−33.5
28
@PENN
PENNL 65-77
−10.5
29
vsHOF
HOFL 58-78
+0.5
30
vsLAS
LASW 66-60
−6.5
4
vsRID
RIDW 68-66
−4.5
7
vsFAIR
FAIRW 74-63
−7.5
over 4under 7avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Princeton
11 games played
Straight up
2-9
18% wins
Against the spread
8-3
73% covers · avg −2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-5
55% overs · avg −2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ AKR | L 69-104 | +13.5 | L −21.5 | 156.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 11 | vs BUCK | W 73-63 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 15 | @ KU | L 57-76 | +22.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 18 | @ IONA | L 69-89 | +2.5 | L −17.5 | 154.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 20 | vs NE | W 70-57 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 24 | vs BRAD | L 64-88 | +9.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs TEM | L 75-79 | +8.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 26 | vs UVM | L 74-79 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 30 | vs JOES | L 58-60 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 3 | @ MONM | L 58-63 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 139.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 6 | @ LUC | L 68-73 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 136.5 | O 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@AKR
AKRL 69-104
−21.5
11
vsBUCK
BUCKW 73-63
+5.5
15
@KU
KUL 57-76
+3.5
18
@IONA
IONAL 69-89
−17.5
20
vsNE
NEW 70-57
+10.5
24
vsBRAD
BRADL 64-88
−14.5
25
vsTEM
TEML 75-79
+4.5
26
vsUVM
UVML 74-79
+0.5
30
vsJOES
JOESL 58-60
+3.5
3
@MONM
MONML 58-63
+0.5
6
@LUC
LUCL 68-73
+1.5
covered 8didn’t cover 3avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@AKR
AKRL 69-104
+16.5
11
vsBUCK
BUCKW 73-63
−10.5
15
@KU
KUL 57-76
−11.5
18
@IONA
IONAL 69-89
+3.5
20
vsNE
NEW 70-57
−18.5
24
vsBRAD
BRADL 64-88
+10.5
25
vsTEM
TEML 75-79
+8.5
26
vsUVM
UVML 74-79
+12.5
30
vsJOES
JOESL 58-60
−28.5
3
@MONM
MONML 58-63
−18.5
6
@LUC
LUCL 68-73
+4.5
over 6under 5avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Merrimack
5-6 overall · 2-0 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Fairfield74–63
- Wvs Rider68–66
- Wvs La Salle66–60
- Lvs Hofstra58–78
- L@ Penn65–77
3 days since their last game.
Princeton
2-9 overall · 0-0 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Loyola Chicago68–73
- L@ Monmouth58–63
- Lvs Saint Joseph's58–60
- Lvs Vermont74–79
- Lvs Temple75–79
4 days since their last game.