Crisler Center · at Michigan · Conference game
Closing line
MICH -15.5✓ IU covered by 1.5
MICH -15.5✓ IU covered by 1.5Closing total163.5Under by 5.5
 IU | This season | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| 12-6 | Record | 16-1 |
| 8-10 | ATS | 9-8 |
| 9-9 | O/U | 7-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: IU 72–89 MICH · ✓ MICH (93%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IU | 29 | 43 | 72 |
| MICH | 40 | 46 | 86 |
1st half: IU 29, MICH 40 (MICH by 11). The model had MICH by 10.0 and a total of 75.5 (actual 69).
Team stats
| IU | MICH | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-57 40% | Field goals | 27-53 51% |
| 11-34 32% | 3-pointers | 10-25 40% |
| 15-18 83% | Free throws | 22-33 67% |
| 25 5 off | Rebounds | 41 12 off |
| 13 | Assists | 14 |
| 4 | Steals | 6 |
| 3 | Blocks | 6 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 24 | Fouls | 15 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 1 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| IU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Wilkerson G | 38 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 3-10 | 0-5 |
| Conor Enright G | 34 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Tucker DeVries F | 30 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 5-11 | 4-9 |
| Sam Alexis F | 19 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 5-8 | 0-2 |
| Tayton Conerway G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nick Dorn G | 29 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 4-9 | 4-9 |
| Reed Bailey F | 23 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Trent Sisley F | 19 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0-7 | 0-3 |
| Aleksa Ristic G | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Jasai Miles G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Andrej Acimovic, Tryce Grensing, Drew Snively, Josh Harris, Ian Stephens, Jordan Rayford, Deuce Drake
| MICH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaxel Lendeborg F | 30 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 5-11 | 1-5 |
| Elliot Cadeau G | 29 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 5-11 | 2-5 |
| Nimari Burnett G | 27 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 3-5 | 3-4 |
| Aday Mara C | 26 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Morez Johnson Jr. F | 23 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Roddy Gayle Jr. G | 17 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Trey McKenney G | 16 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3-5 | 2-4 |
| L.J. Cason G | 16 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-4 |
| Will Tschetter F | 16 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
Did not play: Malick Kordel, Oscar Goodman, Ricky Liburd, Howard Eisley Jr., Winters Grady, Harrison Hochberg, Charlie May
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMICH -15.5
ModelMICH -17.0
Model edgeMICH +1.5
L IU covered
Total
Market163.5
Model161.2
Model edgeUnder 2.3
W Under
Projected score
IU 72.1 · MICH 89.1
IU 72 · MICH 86
Win probability
MICH 93%
1st half
Spread
MICH -10.0
MICH -11.0
Total
75.5
69 points
Projected score
IU 32.7 · MICH 42.7
IU 29 · MICH 40
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMICH -15.5
no move
CloseMICH -15.5
No change since the open
Total
Open161.5
▲ 2
Close163.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
IU +950 · MICH -1650
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MICH -15.5 · unchangedmodel MICH -17
model MICH -17
Opened 161.5 · closed 163.5 · moved 2 upmodel 161
model 161
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IU | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
| MICH | 9-1 90% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
IU 4–2 MICHIU leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · IU 4-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | MICH 70 @ IU 67 | IU +3.5 | IU W |
| Dec 5, 2023-24 | IU 78 @ MICH 75 | MICH -6.5 | IU W |
| Mar 5, 2022-23 | MICH 73 @ IU 75 | IU -3.5 | MICH W |
| Feb 11, 2022-23 | IU 62 @ MICH 61 | MICH -3.5 | IU W |
| Mar 10, 2021-22 | IU 74 vs MICH 69 | MICH -3 | IU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Indiana
18 games played
Straight up
12-6
67% wins
Against the spread
8-10
44% covers · avg −1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-9
50% overs · avg −2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs AAMU | W 98-51 | -30.5 | W +16.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 9 | vs MARQ | W 100-77 | -3.5 | W +19.5 | 156.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 12 | vs MILW | W 101-70 | -24.5 | W +6.5 | 165.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 16 | vs UIW | W 69-61 | -28.5 | L −20.5 | 157.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 20 | vs LIN | W 73-53 | -32.5 | L −12.5 | 155.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 25 | vs KSU | W 86-69 | -10.5 | W +6.5 | 164.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 29 | vs BCU | W 100-56 | -29.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 3 | @ MINN | L 64-73 | -7.5 | L −16.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | vs LOU | L 78-87 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 9 | vs PSU | W 113-72 | -14.5 | W +26.5 | 152.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 13 | @ UK | L 60-72 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 20 | vs CHST | W 78-58 | -38.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 22 | vs SIE | W 81-60 | -21.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 4 | vs WASH | W 90-80 | -9.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 7 | @ MD | W 84-66 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | vs NEB | L 77-83 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 13 | @ MSU | L 60-81 | +6.5 | L −14.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 17 | vs IOWA | L 57-74 | -3.5 | L −20.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsAAMU
AAMUW 98-51
+16.5
9
vsMARQ
MARQW 100-77
+19.5
12
vsMILW
MILWW 101-70
+6.5
16
vsUIW
UIWW 69-61
−20.5
20
vsLIN
LINW 73-53
−12.5
25
vsKSU
KSUW 86-69
+6.5
29
vsBCU
BCUW 100-56
+14.5
3
@MINN
MINNL 64-73
−16.5
6
vsLOU
LOUL 78-87
−5.5
9
vsPSU
PSUW 113-72
+26.5
13
@UK
UKL 60-72
−8.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 78-58
−18.5
22
vsSIE
SIEW 81-60
−0.5
4
vsWASH
WASHW 90-80
+0.5
7
@MD
MDW 84-66
+10.5
10
vsNEB
NEBL 77-83
−10.5
13
@MSU
MSUL 60-81
−14.5
17
vsIOWA
IOWAL 57-74
−20.5
covered 8didn’t cover 10avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsAAMU
AAMUW 98-51
+1.5
9
vsMARQ
MARQW 100-77
+20.5
12
vsMILW
MILWW 101-70
+5.5
16
vsUIW
UIWW 69-61
−27.5
20
vsLIN
LINW 73-53
−29.5
25
vsKSU
KSUW 86-69
−9.5
29
vsBCU
BCUW 100-56
+7.5
3
@MINN
MINNL 64-73
−7.5
6
vsLOU
LOUL 78-87
+2.5
9
vsPSU
PSUW 113-72
+32.5
13
@UK
UKL 60-72
−24.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 78-58
−16.5
22
vsSIE
SIEW 81-60
−4.5
4
vsWASH
WASHW 90-80
+17.5
7
@MD
MDW 84-66
+2.5
10
vsNEB
NEBL 77-83
+9.5
13
@MSU
MSUL 60-81
−4.5
17
vsIOWA
IOWAL 57-74
−15.5
over 9under 9avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Michigan
17 games played
Straight up
16-1
94% wins
Against the spread
9-8
53% covers · avg +6.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-10
41% overs · avg −0 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs OAK | W 121-78 | -24.5 | W +18.5 | 156.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 11 | vs WAKE | W 85-84 | -15.5 | L −14.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 14 | @ TCU | W 67-63 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 19 | vs MTSU | W 86-61 | -27.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 24 | vs SDSU | W 94-54 | -6.5 | W +33.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 25 | vs AUB | W 102-72 | -4.5 | W +25.5 | 163.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | vs GONZ | W 101-61 | +3.5 | W +43.5 | 165.5 | U 162 |
| Dec 6 | vs RUTG | W 101-60 | -25.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 9 | vs VILL | W 89-61 | -17.5 | W +10.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | @MD | W 101-83 | -19.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 21 | vs LAS | W 102-50 | -40.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 29 | vs MCN | W 112-71 | -24.5 | W +16.5 | 161.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 2 | vs USC | W 96-66 | -22.5 | W +7.5 | 173.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 6 | @PSU | W 74-72 | -24.5 | L −22.5 | 169.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 10 | vs WIS | L 88-91 | -19.5 | L −22.5 | 169.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 14 | @WASH | W 82-72 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 17 | @ ORE | W 81-71 | -18.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsOAK
OAKW 121-78
+18.5
11
vsWAKE
WAKEW 85-84
−14.5
14
@TCU
TCUW 67-63
−3.5
19
vsMTSU
MTSUW 86-61
−2.5
24
vsSDSU
SDSUW 94-54
+33.5
25
vsAUB
AUBW 102-72
+25.5
26
vsGONZ
GONZW 101-61
+43.5
6
vsRUTG
RUTGW 101-60
+15.5
9
vsVILL
VILLW 89-61
+10.5
13
@MD
MDW 101-83
−1.5
21
vsLAS
LASW 102-50
+11.5
29
vsMCN
MCNW 112-71
+16.5
2
vsUSC
USCW 96-66
+7.5
6
@PSU
PSUW 74-72
−22.5
10
vsWIS
WISL 88-91
−22.5
14
@WASH
WASHW 82-72
−2.5
17
@ORE
OREW 81-71
−8.5
covered 9didn’t cover 8avg +6.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsOAK
OAKW 121-78
+42.5
11
vsWAKE
WAKEW 85-84
+0.5
14
@TCU
TCUW 67-63
−34.5
19
vsMTSU
MTSUW 86-61
−12.5
24
vsSDSU
SDSUW 94-54
−0.5
25
vsAUB
AUBW 102-72
+10.5
26
vsGONZ
GONZW 101-61
−3.5
6
vsRUTG
RUTGW 101-60
+7.5
9
vsVILL
VILLW 89-61
−6.5
13
@MD
MDW 101-83
+20.5
21
vsLAS
LASW 102-50
−3.5
29
vsMCN
MCNW 112-71
+21.5
2
vsUSC
USCW 96-66
−11.5
6
@PSU
PSUW 74-72
−23.5
10
vsWIS
WISL 88-91
+9.5
14
@WASH
WASHW 82-72
−11.5
17
@ORE
OREW 81-71
−5.5
over 7under 10avg −0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Indiana
12-6 overall · 3-4 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Iowa57–74
- L@ Michigan St60–81
- Lvs Nebraska77–83
- W@ Maryland84–66
- Wvs Washington90–80
3 days since their last game.
Michigan
16-1 overall · 6-1 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Oregon81–71
- W@ Washington82–72
- Lvs Wisconsin88–91
- W@ Penn State74–72
- Wvs USC96–66
3 days since their last game.