Carver-Hawkeye Arena · at Iowa · Conference game
Closing line
IOWA -17.5✓ RUTG covered by 11.5
Closing total140.5Under by 10.5
| This season | IOWA | |
|---|---|---|
| 9-9 | Record | 13-5 |
| 7-11 | ATS | 13-5 |
| 10-8 | O/U | 10-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: RUTG 63–80 IOWA · ✓ IOWA (93%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RUTG | 24 | 38 | 62 |
| IOWA | 31 | 37 | 68 |
1st half: RUTG 24, IOWA 31 (IOWA by 7). The model had IOWA by 9.8 and a total of 67.0 (actual 55).
Team stats
| RUTG | IOWA | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-44 43% | Field goals | 24-51 47% |
| 5-18 28% | 3-pointers | 7-19 37% |
| 19-24 79% | Free throws | 13-16 81% |
| 31 9 off | Rebounds | 24 7 off |
| 9 | Assists | 12 |
| 6 | Steals | 9 |
| 5 | Blocks | 4 |
| 19 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 19 | Fouls | 19 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| RUTG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darren Buchanan Jr. G | 32 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 5-8 | 1-2 |
| Kaden Powers G | 18 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 2-6 | 2-3 |
| Jamichael Davis G | 18 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Bryce Ruglass Dortch F | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Harun Zrno G | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Emmanuel Ogbole C | 27 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Tariq Francis G | 24 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 4-12 | 2-6 |
| Lino Mark G | 22 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Dylan Grant F | 21 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Chris Nwuli F | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Denis Badalau F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Max Fradkin, Baye Fall, Gevonte Ware, Dorian Jones
| IOWA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bennett Stirtz G | 40 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 8-21 | 0-6 |
| Cooper Koch F | 30 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Cam Manyawu F | 25 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Tavion Banks G | 20 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 5-9 | 1-1 |
| Kael Combs G | 17 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tate Sage G | 30 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 5-7 | 4-6 |
| Isaia Howard G | 24 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Alvaro Folgueiras F | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jacob Koch, Brendan Hausen, Joey Matteoni, Peyton McCollum, Trey Thompson, Trevin Jirak
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenIOWA -20.5
3 → RUTG
CloseIOWA -17.5
3 pts toward RUTG
Total
Open139.5
▲ 1
Close140.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
RUTG +1200 · IOWA -2400
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened IOWA -20.5 · closed IOWA -17.5 · moved 3 toward RUTGmodel IOWA -16.5
model IOWA -16.5
Opened 139.5 · closed 140.5 · moved 1 upmodel 143
model 143
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | IOWA -17.5 | IOWA -16.7 | RUTG +0.8 | W RUTG covered |
| Total | 140.5 | 143.1 | Over 2.6 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | RUTG 63.2 · IOWA 79.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | IOWA -9.8 | IOWA -7.0 |
| 1H total | 67.0 | 55 |
| 1H projected score | RUTG 28.6 · IOWA 38.4 | RUTG 24 · IOWA 31 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | |
| 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
RUTG 1–5 IOWAIOWA leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · IOWA has won the last 5 meetings · RUTG 1-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2024-25 | IOWA 84 @ RUTG 73 | RUTG -5.5 | IOWA W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | RUTG 77 @ IOWA 86 | IOWA -6.5 | IOWA W |
| Jan 29, 2022-23 | RUTG 82 @ IOWA 93 | IOWA -4.5 | IOWA W |
| Jan 8, 2022-23 | IOWA 76 @ RUTG 65 | RUTG -4.5 | IOWA W |
| Mar 11, 2021-22 | IOWA 84 vs RUTG 74 | RUTG +7.5 | IOWA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Rutgers
18 games played
Straight up
9-9
50% wins
Against the spread
7-11
39% covers · avg −2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-8
56% overs · avg +1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs | W 81-53 | -18.5 | W +9.5 | 139.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 10 | vs | W 72-60 | -18.5 | L −6.5 | 130.5 | O 132 |
| Nov 14 | vs | W 84-72 | -18.5 | L −6.5 | 136.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 18 | vs | W 80-71 | -16.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 21 | vs | L 54-67 | -15.5 | L −28.5 | 137.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 24 | vs | L 60-85 | +14.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 25 | vs | L 63-68 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 27 | vs | W 80-65 | +4.5 | W +19.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 2 | vs | L 65-81 | +13.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | @ | L 60-101 | +25.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 13 | @ | L 59-81 | +13.5 | L −8.5 | 136.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 20 | vs | W 70-69 | -11.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 29 | vs | W 65-50 | -20.5 | L −5.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 2 | vs | L 73-80 | +9.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 5 | vs | W 88-85 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 139.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 8 | @ | L 55-81 | +22.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 11 | vs | W 77-75 | +4.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 17 | @ | L 87-96 | +15.5 | W +6.5 | 149.5 | O 183 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vs
RID
W 81-53
+9.5
10
vs
ME
W 72-60
−6.5
14
vs
LEH
W 84-72
−6.5
18
vs
AMER
W 80-71
−7.5
21
vs
CCSU
L 54-67
−28.5
24
vs
TENN
L 60-85
−10.5
25
vs
ND
L 63-68
+1.5
27
vs
UNLV
W 80-65
+19.5
2
vs
PUR
L 65-81
−2.5
6
@
MICH
L 60-101
−15.5
13
@
HALL
L 59-81
−8.5
20
vs
PENN
W 70-69
−10.5
29
vs
DSU
W 65-50
−5.5
2
vs
OSU
L 73-80
+2.5
5
vs
ORE
W 88-85
+7.5
8
@
ILL
L 55-81
−3.5
11
vs
NU
W 77-75
+6.5
17
@
WIS
L 87-96
+6.5
covered 7didn’t cover 11avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vs
RID
W 81-53
−5.5
10
vs
ME
W 72-60
+1.5
14
vs
LEH
W 84-72
+19.5
18
vs
AMER
W 80-71
+7.5
21
vs
CCSU
L 54-67
−16.5
24
vs
TENN
L 60-85
+3.5
25
vs
ND
L 63-68
−9.5
27
vs
UNLV
W 80-65
−8.5
2
vs
PUR
L 65-81
−0.5
6
@
MICH
L 60-101
+7.5
13
@
HALL
L 59-81
+3.5
20
vs
PENN
W 70-69
−11.5
29
vs
DSU
W 65-50
−20.5
2
vs
OSU
L 73-80
+1.5
5
vs
ORE
W 88-85
+33.5
8
@
ILL
L 55-81
−13.5
11
vs
NU
W 77-75
+7.5
17
@
WIS
L 87-96
+33.5
over 10under 8avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Iowa
18 games played
Straight up
13-5
72% wins
Against the spread
13-5
72% covers · avg +4.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-8
56% overs · avg +0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs | W 101-69 | -22.5 | W +9.5 | 136.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 7 | vs | W 77-58 | -30.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 14 | vs | W 81-62 | -15.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 18 | vs | W 99-70 | -23.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 20 | vs | W 93-54 | -31.5 | W +7.5 | 142.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 25 | vs | W 74-69 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | O 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs | W 59-46 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 105 |
| Dec 2 | @ | L 52-71 | +5.5 | L −13.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 6 | vs | W 83-64 | -10.5 | W +8.5 | 137.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 11 | @ | L 62-66 | +11.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 14 | vs | W 91-51 | -25.5 | W +14.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 20 | vs | W 94-39 | -25.5 | W +29.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 29 | vs | W 90-62 | -33.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 3 | vs | W 74-61 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 6 | @ | L 67-70 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 130.5 | O 137 |
| Jan 11 | vs | L 69-75 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 14 | @ | L 72-79 | +10.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 17 | @ | W 74-57 | +3.5 | W +20.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
RMU
W 101-69
+9.5
7
vs
WIU
W 77-58
−11.5
14
vs
XAV
W 81-62
+3.5
18
vs
SEMO
W 99-70
+5.5
20
vs
CHST
W 93-54
+7.5
25
vs
MISS
W 74-69
+0.5
26
vs
GCU
W 59-46
+4.5
2
@
MSU
L 52-71
−13.5
6
vs
MD
W 83-64
+8.5
11
@
ISU
L 62-66
+7.5
14
vs
WMU
W 91-51
+14.5
20
vs
BUCK
W 94-39
+29.5
29
vs
UML
W 90-62
−5.5
3
vs
UCLA
W 74-61
+6.5
6
@
MINN
L 67-70
−7.5
11
vs
ILL
L 69-75
−4.5
14
@
PUR
L 72-79
+3.5
17
@
IU
W 74-57
+20.5
covered 13didn’t cover 5avg +4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vs
RMU
W 101-69
+33.5
7
vs
WIU
W 77-58
−10.5
14
vs
XAV
W 81-62
−0.5
18
vs
SEMO
W 99-70
+21.5
20
vs
CHST
W 93-54
+4.5
25
vs
MISS
W 74-69
+2.5
26
vs
GCU
W 59-46
−38.5
2
@
MSU
L 52-71
−10.5
6
vs
MD
W 83-64
+9.5
11
@
ISU
L 62-66
−13.5
14
vs
WMU
W 91-51
+4.5
20
vs
BUCK
W 94-39
−0.5
29
vs
UML
W 90-62
+6.5
3
vs
UCLA
W 74-61
−5.5
6
@
MINN
L 67-70
+6.5
11
vs
ILL
L 69-75
+1.5
14
@
PUR
L 72-79
+5.5
17
@
IU
W 74-57
−15.5
over 10under 8avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Rutgers
9-9 overall · 2-5 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Wisconsin87–96
- Wvs Northwestern77–75
- L@ Illinois55–81
- Wvs Oregon88–85
- Lvs Ohio State73–80
3 days since their last game.
Iowa
13-5 overall · 3-4 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Indiana74–57
- L@ Purdue72–79
- Lvs Illinois69–75
- L@ Minnesota67–70
- Wvs UCLA74–61
3 days since their last game.