Mackey Arena · at Purdue · Conference game
Closing line
PUR -19.5✓ PUR covered by 8.5
PUR -19.5✓ PUR covered by 8.5Closing total143.5Under by 1.5
 MINN | This season | PUR |
|---|---|---|
| 5-4 | Record | 8-1 |
| 2-7 | ATS | 4-5 |
| 2-7 | O/U | 3-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MINN 62–82 PUR · ✓ PUR (96%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MINN | 32 | 25 | 57 |
| PUR | 35 | 50 | 85 |
1st half: MINN 32, PUR 35 (PUR by 3). The model had PUR by 11.9 and a total of 67.4 (actual 67).
Team stats
| MINN | PUR | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-56 36% | Field goals | 31-58 53% |
| 6-25 24% | 3-pointers | 8-19 42% |
| 11-15 73% | Free throws | 15-22 68% |
| 23 5 off | Rebounds | 46 14 off |
| 15 | Assists | 22 |
| 3 | Steals | 6 |
| 1 | Blocks | 6 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 20 | Fouls | 17 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| MINN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Tyson G | 39 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 4-11 | 0-4 |
| Bobby Durkin F | 34 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2-8 | 0-5 |
| Langston Reynolds G | 33 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 4-9 | 1-2 |
| Jaylen Crocker-Johnson F | 30 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 6-13 | 4-9 |
| Isaac Asuma G | 29 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 2-8 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kai Shinholster G | 18 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Grayson Grove F | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Maximus Gizzi G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Nehemiah Turner F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| RJ Spencer G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: BJ Omot, Robert Vaihola, Chansey Willis Jr., Max Lorenson, Chance Stephens
| PUR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Smith G | 32 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 5-9 | 3-4 |
| Fletcher Loyer G | 27 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Trey Kaufman-Renn F | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 7-11 | 0-1 |
| C.J. Cox G | 20 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Oscar Cluff C | 19 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Daniel Jacobsen C | 21 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Gicarri Harris G | 18 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Omer Mayer G | 13 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Jack Benter G | 12 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Liam Murphy F | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Aaron Fine G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jack Lusk G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jace Rayl G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Raleigh Burgess, Antione West Jr, Sam King
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketPUR -19.5
ModelPUR -19.9
Model edgePUR +0.4
W PUR covered
Total
Market143.5
Model143.9
Model edgeOver 0.4
L Under
Projected score
MINN 62 · PUR 81.9
MINN 57 · PUR 85
Win probability
PUR 96%
1st half
Spread
PUR -11.9
PUR -3.0
Total
67.4
67 points
Projected score
MINN 27.8 · PUR 39.6
MINN 32 · PUR 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPUR -19.5
no move
ClosePUR -19.5
No change since the open
Total
Open140.5
▲ 3
Close143.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
MINN +1400 · PUR -3200
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PUR -19.5 · unchangedmodel PUR -20
model PUR -20
Opened 140.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 3 upmodel 144
model 144
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MINNlast 9 | 5-4 56% | 2-7 22% | 2-7 22% |
| PURlast 9 | 8-1 89% | 4-5 44% | 3-6 33% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MINN 0–5 PURPUR leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · PUR has won the last 5 meetings · MINN 2-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024-25 | PUR 81 @ MINN 61 | MINN +5.5 | PUR W |
| Feb 15, 2023-24 | MINN 76 @ PUR 84 | PUR -16.5 | MINN W |
| Jan 19, 2022-23 | PUR 61 @ MINN 39 | MINN +13.5 | PUR W |
| Dec 4, 2022-23 | MINN 70 @ PUR 89 | PUR -19.5 | MINN W |
| Feb 2, 2021-22 | PUR 88 @ MINN 73 | MINN +11 | PUR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Minnesota
9 games played
Straight up
5-4
56% wins
Against the spread
2-7
22% covers · avg −4.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-7
22% overs · avg −4.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs GWEB | W 87-60 | -28.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 8 | vs ALCN | W 95-50 | -31.5 | W +13.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 12 | @ MIZ | L 60-83 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 15 | vs GB | W 72-65 | -25.5 | L −18.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 18 | vs CHST | W 66-54 | -27.5 | L −15.5 | 144.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 22 | vs SF | L 65-77 | -1.5 | L −13.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 27 | vs STAN | L 68-72 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 28 | vs SCU | L 75-86 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 3 | vs IU | W 73-64 | +7.5 | W +16.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsGWEB
GWEBW 87-60
−1.5
8
vsALCN
ALCNW 95-50
+13.5
12
@MIZ
MIZL 60-83
−15.5
15
vsGB
GBW 72-65
−18.5
18
vsCHST
CHSTW 66-54
−15.5
22
vsSF
SFL 65-77
−13.5
27
vsSTAN
STANL 68-72
−1.5
28
vsSCU
SCUL 75-86
−5.5
3
vsIU
IUW 73-64
+16.5
covered 2didn’t cover 7avg −4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsGWEB
GWEBW 87-60
−1.5
8
vsALCN
ALCNW 95-50
−7.5
12
@MIZ
MIZL 60-83
−15.5
15
vsGB
GBW 72-65
−9.5
18
vsCHST
CHSTW 66-54
−24.5
22
vsSF
SFL 65-77
+1.5
27
vsSTAN
STANL 68-72
−2.5
28
vsSCU
SCUL 75-86
+22.5
3
vsIU
IUW 73-64
−7.5
over 2under 7avg −4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Purdue
9 games played
Straight up
8-1
89% wins
Against the spread
4-5
44% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-6
33% overs · avg −0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs EVAN | W 82-51 | -33.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 7 | vs OAK | W 87-77 | -31.5 | L −21.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 13 | @ ALA | W 87-80 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 172.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 16 | vs AKR | W 97-79 | -18.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 20 | vs MEM | W 80-71 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 21 | vs TTU | W 86-56 | -3.5 | W +26.5 | 153.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 28 | vs EIU | W 109-62 | -40.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 2 | @ RUTG | W 81-65 | -13.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | vs ISU | L 58-81 | -4.5 | L −27.5 | 154.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-51
−2.5
7
vsOAK
OAKW 87-77
−21.5
13
@ALA
ALAW 87-80
+10.5
16
vsAKR
AKRW 97-79
−0.5
20
vsMEM
MEMW 80-71
−5.5
21
vsTTU
TTUW 86-56
+26.5
28
vsEIU
EIUW 109-62
+6.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 81-65
+2.5
6
vsISU
ISUL 58-81
−27.5
covered 4didn’t cover 5avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-51
−17.5
7
vsOAK
OAKW 87-77
+5.5
13
@ALA
ALAW 87-80
−5.5
16
vsAKR
AKRW 97-79
+12.5
20
vsMEM
MEMW 80-71
−5.5
21
vsTTU
TTUW 86-56
−11.5
28
vsEIU
EIUW 109-62
+29.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 81-65
−0.5
6
vsISU
ISUL 58-81
−15.5
over 3under 6avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Minnesota
5-4 overall · 1-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Indiana73–64
- Lvs Santa Clara75–86
- Lvs Stanford68–72
- Lvs San Francisco65–77
- Wvs Chicago St66–54
A week or more of rest.
Purdue
8-1 overall · 1-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Iowa State58–81
- W@ Rutgers81–65
- Wvs E Illinois109–62
- Wvs Texas Tech86–56
- Wvs Memphis80–71
4 days since their last game.