Paul Porter Arena · at Gardner-Webb · Conference game
Closing line
HPU -25.5✓ GWEB covered by 0.5
HPU -25.5✓ GWEB covered by 0.5Closing total161.5Over by 37.5
| HPU | This season | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| 20-4 | Record | 1-22 |
| 12-12 | ATS | 10-13 |
| 16-8 | O/U | 13-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: HPU 92–69 GWEB · ✓ HPU (98%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HPU | 48 | 64 | 112 |
| GWEB | 37 | 50 | 87 |
1st half: HPU 48, GWEB 37 (HPU by 11). The model had HPU by 14.1 and a total of 75.5 (actual 85).
Team stats
| HPU | GWEB | |
|---|---|---|
| 36-66 55% | Field goals | 31-54 57% |
| 14-37 38% | 3-pointers | 9-18 50% |
| 26-29 90% | Free throws | 16-26 62% |
| 44 16 off | Rebounds | 15 0 off |
| 20 | Assists | 19 |
| 8 | Steals | 8 |
| 7 | Blocks | 3 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 19 | Fouls | 22 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 20 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| HPU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Aquino F | 30 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 4-4 | 2-2 |
| Terry Anderson F | 26 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-2 |
| Rob Martin G | 24 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 5-9 | 2-6 |
| Scotty Washington G | 22 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 4-9 | 1-4 |
| Braden Hausen F | 20 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3-5 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Conrad Martinez G | 25 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4-10 | 0-5 |
| Cam'Ron Fletcher F | 17 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 4-10 | 2-5 |
| Vincent Brady II G | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 4-6 | 2-4 |
| Chase Johnston G | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3-5 | 3-5 |
| Youssouf Singar C | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Caden Miller F | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kasen Krueger, Dorian Grosber, Babacar Diallo, Mavrick Miller, Birgir Irving, Josh Ibukunoluwa, David Fonville, Liam Carney
| GWEB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Hudson G | 35 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 6-8 | 2-3 |
| Jacob Hogarth F | 32 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Ace Talbert G | 28 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 6-10 | 5-8 |
| Jamias Ferere G | 27 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Colin Hawkins G | 26 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 5-8 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Spence Sims G | 21 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3-9 | 1-5 |
| NaVuan Peterson F | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| DJ Jefferson G | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Riek Riek F | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bo Barber G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Paul Lindberg, Ahmadou Ndiaye, Curtis Williams III, Ashton King, Julius Clark, Isaiah Hicks, Cameron Gales
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketHPU -25.5
ModelHPU -23.4
Model edgeGWEB +2.1
W GWEB covered
Total
Market161.5
Model161.5
Model edge—
Over
Projected score
HPU 92.4 · GWEB 69
HPU 112 · GWEB 87
Win probability
HPU 98%
1st half
Spread
HPU -14.1
HPU -11.0
Total
75.5
85 points
Projected score
HPU 44.8 · GWEB 30.7
HPU 48 · GWEB 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenHPU -25.5
no move
CloseHPU -25.5
No change since the open
Total
Open160.5
▲ 1
Close161.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
HPU -10000 · GWEB +3000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened HPU -25.5 · unchangedmodel HPU -23.5
model HPU -23.5
Opened 160.5 · closed 161.5 · moved 1 upmodel 161.5 matches the line
model 161.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HPU | 9-1 90% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
| GWEB | 1-9 10% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
HPU 6–3 GWEBHPU leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · HPU has won the last 6 meetings · HPU 6-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2025-26 | GWEB 49 @ HPU 104 | HPU -26.5 | HPU W |
| Mar 7, 2024-25 | GWEB 64 vs HPU 85 | HPU -15.5 | HPU W |
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | HPU 90 @ GWEB 67 | GWEB +8.5 | HPU W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | GWEB 55 @ HPU 96 | HPU -13.5 | HPU W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | HPU 78 @ GWEB 62 | GWEB +4.5 | HPU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
High Point
24 games played
Straight up
20-4
83% wins
Against the spread
12-12
50% covers · avg +1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-8
67% overs · avg +1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FUR | W 97-71 | -3.5 | W +22.5 | 153.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 11 | vs JAX | W 85-64 | -17.5 | W +3.5 | 156.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 14 | @ UAB | L 74-91 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 168.5 | U 165 |
| Nov 17 | vs CAN | W 93-50 | -23.5 | W +19.5 | 152.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 20 | vs UIC | W 90-80 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 158.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 22 | vs UIW | W 91-80 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 29 | vs WCU | W 93-73 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 3 | vs SIU | L 84-86 | -9.5 | L −11.5 | 162.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 5 | vs NJIT | W 89-72 | -28.5 | L −11.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 14 | vs APP | L 78-86 | -12.5 | L −20.5 | 144.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 19 | vs LAS | W 84-72 | -13.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 22 | vs BRY | W 93-47 | -19.5 | W +26.5 | 153.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 31 | @ UNCA | W 87-69 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 3 | vs LONG | W 80-67 | -16.5 | L −3.5 | 160.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 7 | vsGWEB | W 104-49 | -26.5 | W +28.5 | 162.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 10 | @ CHSO | W 84-82 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 163.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 14 | @ WIN | L 75-92 | -2.5 | L −19.5 | 162.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | vs UPST | W 89-69 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 23 | @ RAD | W 93-83 | -7.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 29 | vs PRES | W 84-81 | -14.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 31 | @LONG | W 71-59 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 156.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 4 | vsCHSO | W 80-55 | -14.5 | W +10.5 | 162.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 7 | vsRAD | W 86-77 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 12 | @UPST | W 95-70 | -14.5 | W +10.5 | 154.5 | O 165 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFUR
FURW 97-71
+22.5
11
vsJAX
JAXW 85-64
+3.5
14
@UAB
UABL 74-91
−18.5
17
vsCAN
CANW 93-50
+19.5
20
vsUIC
UICW 90-80
−0.5
22
vsUIW
UIWW 91-80
−1.5
29
vsWCU
WCUW 93-73
+3.5
3
vsSIU
SIUL 84-86
−11.5
5
vsNJIT
NJITW 89-72
−11.5
14
vsAPP
APPL 78-86
−20.5
19
vsLAS
LASW 84-72
−1.5
22
vsBRY
BRYW 93-47
+26.5
31
@UNCA
UNCAW 87-69
+7.5
3
vsLONG
LONGW 80-67
−3.5
7
vsGWEB
GWEBW 104-49
+28.5
10
@CHSO
CHSOW 84-82
−6.5
14
@WIN
WINL 75-92
−19.5
17
vsUPST
UPSTW 89-69
+3.5
23
@RAD
RADW 93-83
+2.5
29
vsPRES
PRESW 84-81
−11.5
31
@LONG
LONGW 71-59
+2.5
4
vsCHSO
CHSOW 80-55
+10.5
7
vsRAD
RADW 86-77
−5.5
12
@UPST
UPSTW 95-70
+10.5
covered 12didn’t cover 12avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFUR
FURW 97-71
+14.5
11
vsJAX
JAXW 85-64
−7.5
14
@UAB
UABL 74-91
−3.5
17
vsCAN
CANW 93-50
−9.5
20
vsUIC
UICW 90-80
+11.5
22
vsUIW
UIWW 91-80
+10.5
29
vsWCU
WCUW 93-73
+6.5
3
vsSIU
SIUL 84-86
+7.5
5
vsNJIT
NJITW 89-72
+5.5
14
vsAPP
APPL 78-86
+19.5
19
vsLAS
LASW 84-72
+6.5
22
vsBRY
BRYW 93-47
−13.5
31
@UNCA
UNCAW 87-69
+4.5
3
vsLONG
LONGW 80-67
−13.5
7
vsGWEB
GWEBW 104-49
−9.5
10
@CHSO
CHSOW 84-82
+2.5
14
@WIN
WINL 75-92
+4.5
17
vsUPST
UPSTW 89-69
+5.5
23
@RAD
RADW 93-83
+10.5
29
vsPRES
PRESW 84-81
+15.5
31
@LONG
LONGW 71-59
−26.5
4
vsCHSO
CHSOW 80-55
−27.5
7
vsRAD
RADW 86-77
+0.5
12
@UPST
UPSTW 95-70
+10.5
over 16under 8avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Gardner-Webb
23 games played
Straight up
1-22
4% wins
Against the spread
10-13
43% covers · avg −5.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-10
57% overs · avg +0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ MINN | L 60-87 | +28.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 7 | @ CLEM | L 59-97 | +29.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 15 | @ ELON | L 84-95 | +13.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 18 | @ DEP | L 62-93 | +21.5 | L −9.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 22 | @ RICH | L 67-102 | +19.5 | L −15.5 | 154.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 26 | vs NAVY | L 51-84 | +10.5 | L −22.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 28 | vs SELA | L 68-76 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 29 | @ UNCW | L 62-88 | +18.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 3 | @ QUC | L 74-107 | +14.5 | L −18.5 | 161.5 | O 181 |
| Dec 6 | vs GASO | L 84-88 | +10.5 | W +6.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 15 | vs WOF | L 57-83 | +10.5 | L −15.5 | 155.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 21 | @ TENN | L 52-94 | +42.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 31 | vsCHSO | L 79-89 | +12.5 | W +2.5 | 163.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 3 | @WIN | L 77-88 | +23.5 | W +12.5 | 164.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 7 | @HPU | L 49-104 | +26.5 | L −28.5 | 162.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 14 | vsRAD | L 80-89 | +13.5 | W +4.5 | 165.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 17 | vsPRES | L 55-92 | +8.5 | L −28.5 | 145.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 21 | @LONG | L 56-91 | +16.5 | L −18.5 | 155.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 23 | vsUPST | W 67-65 | +9.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 29 | @UNCA | L 50-69 | +17.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 119 |
| Feb 4 | vsLONG | L 66-86 | +12.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 7 | @PRES | L 62-68 | +17.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 12 | vsWIN | L 85-103 | +20.5 | W +2.5 | 156.5 | O 188 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@MINN
MINNL 60-87
+1.5
7
@CLEM
CLEML 59-97
−8.5
15
@ELON
ELONL 84-95
+2.5
18
@DEP
DEPL 62-93
−9.5
22
@RICH
RICHL 67-102
−15.5
26
vsNAVY
NAVYL 51-84
−22.5
28
vsSELA
SELAL 68-76
−1.5
29
@UNCW
UNCWL 62-88
−7.5
3
@QUC
QUCL 74-107
−18.5
6
vsGASO
GASOL 84-88
+6.5
15
vsWOF
WOFL 57-83
−15.5
21
@TENN
TENNL 52-94
+0.5
31
vsCHSO
CHSOL 79-89
+2.5
3
@WIN
WINL 77-88
+12.5
7
@HPU
HPUL 49-104
−28.5
14
vsRAD
RADL 80-89
+4.5
17
vsPRES
PRESL 55-92
−28.5
21
@LONG
LONGL 56-91
−18.5
23
vsUPST
UPSTW 67-65
+11.5
29
@UNCA
UNCAL 50-69
−1.5
4
vsLONG
LONGL 66-86
−7.5
7
@PRES
PRESL 62-68
+11.5
12
vsWIN
WINL 85-103
+2.5
covered 10didn’t cover 13avg −5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@MINN
MINNL 60-87
−1.5
7
@CLEM
CLEML 59-97
+10.5
15
@ELON
ELONL 84-95
+24.5
18
@DEP
DEPL 62-93
−0.5
22
@RICH
RICHL 67-102
+14.5
26
vsNAVY
NAVYL 51-84
−18.5
28
vsSELA
SELAL 68-76
+2.5
29
@UNCW
UNCWL 62-88
+2.5
3
@QUC
QUCL 74-107
+19.5
6
vsGASO
GASOL 84-88
+9.5
15
vsWOF
WOFL 57-83
−15.5
21
@TENN
TENNL 52-94
−6.5
31
vsCHSO
CHSOL 79-89
+4.5
3
@WIN
WINL 77-88
+0.5
7
@HPU
HPUL 49-104
−9.5
14
vsRAD
RADL 80-89
+3.5
17
vsPRES
PRESL 55-92
+1.5
21
@LONG
LONGL 56-91
−8.5
23
vsUPST
UPSTW 67-65
−21.5
29
@UNCA
UNCAL 50-69
−30.5
4
vsLONG
LONGL 66-86
+4.5
7
@PRES
PRESL 62-68
−15.5
12
vsWIN
WINL 85-103
+31.5
over 13under 10avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
High Point
20-4 overall · 11-1 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ SC Upstate95–70
- Wvs Radford86–77
- Wvs Charleston So80–55
- W@ Longwood71–59
- Wvs Presbyterian84–81
2 days since their last game.
Gardner-Webb
1-22 overall · 1-10 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Winthrop85–103
- L@ Presbyterian62–68
- Lvs Longwood66–86
- L@ UNC Asheville50–69
- Wvs SC Upstate67–65
2 days since their last game.