Paul Porter Arena · at Gardner-Webb · Conference game
Closing line
WIN -20.5✓ GWEB covered by 2.5
WIN -20.5✓ GWEB covered by 2.5Closing total156.5Over by 31.5
| WIN | This season | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| 15-8 | Record | 1-21 |
| 11-12 | ATS | 9-13 |
| 10-13 | O/U | 12-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WIN 88–71 GWEB · ✓ WIN (94%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | 55 | 48 | 103 |
| GWEB | 35 | 50 | 85 |
1st half: WIN 55, GWEB 35 (WIN by 20). The model had WIN by 10.7 and a total of 74.3 (actual 90).
Team stats
| WIN | GWEB | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-65 49% | Field goals | 31-61 51% |
| 18-35 51% | 3-pointers | 11-27 41% |
| 21-28 75% | Free throws | 12-19 63% |
| 42 15 off | Rebounds | 29 8 off |
| 25 | Assists | 12 |
| 11 | Steals | 7 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 15 | Fouls | 20 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| WIN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kareem Rozier G | 33 | 33 | 4 | 4 | 11-18 | 9-15 |
| Kody Clouet G | 32 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 7-11 | 5-8 |
| Logan Duncomb C | 30 | 24 | 15 | 6 | 7-14 | 0-1 |
| Tommy Kamarad F | 20 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Isaiah Wilson G | 17 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Josh Meo G | 21 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| Daylen Berry G | 18 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Pharrell Boyogueno G | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Ed Nnamoko F | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Seifeldin Hendawy G | 9 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kaleb Evans, Tai Hamilton, Cam Christy, Braylhan Thomas, Henry Harrison
| GWEB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Hogarth F | 33 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 9-13 | 1-1 |
| Colin Hawkins G | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Jacob Hudson G | 28 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 5-10 | 2-4 |
| Ace Talbert G | 28 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3-9 | 1-6 |
| Jamias Ferere G | 21 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Spence Sims G | 21 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| NaVuan Peterson F | 12 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| DJ Jefferson G | 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Curtis Williams III G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Riek Riek F | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Bo Barber G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Isaiah Hicks, Ahmadou Ndiaye, Ashton King, Julius Clark, Cameron Gales, Paul Lindberg
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketWIN -20.5
ModelWIN -17.7
Model edgeGWEB +2.8
W GWEB covered
Total
Market156.5
Model158.9
Model edgeOver 2.4
W Over
Projected score
WIN 88.3 · GWEB 70.6
WIN 103 · GWEB 85
Win probability
WIN 94%
1st half
Spread
WIN -10.7
WIN -20.0
Total
74.3
90 points
Projected score
WIN 42.5 · GWEB 31.8
WIN 55 · GWEB 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWIN -19.5
1 → WIN
CloseWIN -20.5
1 pt toward WIN
Total
Open154.5
▲ 2
Close156.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
WIN -3600 · GWEB +1500
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WIN -19.5 · closed WIN -20.5 · moved 1 toward WINmodel WIN -17.5
model WIN -17.5
Opened 154.5 · closed 156.5 · moved 2 upmodel 159
model 159
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | 10-0 100% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| GWEB | 1-9 10% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
WIN 6–4 GWEBWIN leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · WIN has won the last 2 meetings · WIN 4-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025-26 | GWEB 77 @ WIN 88 | WIN -23.5 | GWEB W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | GWEB 93 @ WIN 96 | WIN -5.5 | GWEB W |
| Jan 8, 2024-25 | WIN 83 @ GWEB 89 | GWEB +3.5 | GWEB W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | GWEB 65 @ WIN 64 | WIN -5.5 | GWEB W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | WIN 74 @ GWEB 79 | GWEB -1.5 | GWEB W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Winthrop
23 games played
Straight up
15-8
65% wins
Against the spread
11-12
48% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-13
43% overs · avg −0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs QUC | W 81-74 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 163.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 7 | @ GMU | L 90-96 | +9.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | O 186 |
| Nov 11 | @ CCU | L 66-72 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 165.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 15 | vs MER | W 105-69 | -2.5 | W +33.5 | 162.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 18 | @ ARK | L 83-84 | +23.5 | W +22.5 | 168.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 23 | @ JKST | W 80-62 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 163.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 25 | @ NEB | L 73-80 | +14.5 | W +7.5 | 166.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 29 | vs SCST | W 101-79 | -20.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 2 | @ LIU | W 94-92 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 186 |
| Dec 6 | vsCCU | L 84-88 | -16.5 | L −20.5 | 153.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 18 | @ UND | L 88-90 | -12.5 | L −14.5 | 157.5 | O 178 |
| Dec 28 | @ TTU | L 57-87 | +17.5 | L −12.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 31 | @ LONG | L 70-82 | -7.5 | L −19.5 | 161.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 3 | vsGWEB | W 88-77 | -23.5 | L −12.5 | 164.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 7 | vs CHSO | W 81-77 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 166.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 10 | @ UPST | W 71-50 | -5.5 | W +15.5 | 157.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 14 | vs HPU | W 92-75 | +2.5 | W +19.5 | 162.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | @ UNCA | W 69-67 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 21 | vs RAD | W 76-75 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 165.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 24 | @ PRES | W 82-72 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 31 | vsUNCA | W 84-71 | -9.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 4 | @RAD | W 80-78 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 161.5 | U 158 |
| Feb 7 | vsLONG | W 79-74 | -10.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | U 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsQUC
QUCW 81-74
+3.5
7
@GMU
GMUL 90-96
+3.5
11
@CCU
CCUL 66-72
−8.5
15
vsMER
MERW 105-69
+33.5
18
@ARK
ARKL 83-84
+22.5
23
@JKST
JKSTW 80-62
+7.5
25
@NEB
NEBL 73-80
+7.5
29
vsSCST
SCSTW 101-79
+1.5
2
@LIU
LIUW 94-92
−3.5
6
vsCCU
CCUL 84-88
−20.5
18
@UND
UNDL 88-90
−14.5
28
@TTU
TTUL 57-87
−12.5
31
@LONG
LONGL 70-82
−19.5
3
vsGWEB
GWEBW 88-77
−12.5
7
vsCHSO
CHSOW 81-77
−4.5
10
@UPST
UPSTW 71-50
+15.5
14
vsHPU
HPUW 92-75
+19.5
17
@UNCA
UNCAW 69-67
−3.5
21
vsRAD
RADW 76-75
−8.5
24
@PRES
PRESW 82-72
+4.5
31
vsUNCA
UNCAW 84-71
+3.5
4
@RAD
RADW 80-78
−2.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 79-74
−5.5
covered 11didn’t cover 12avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsQUC
QUCW 81-74
−8.5
7
@GMU
GMUL 90-96
+39.5
11
@CCU
CCUL 66-72
−27.5
15
vsMER
MERW 105-69
+11.5
18
@ARK
ARKL 83-84
−1.5
23
@JKST
JKSTW 80-62
−21.5
25
@NEB
NEBL 73-80
−13.5
29
vsSCST
SCSTW 101-79
+22.5
2
@LIU
LIUW 94-92
+32.5
6
vsCCU
CCUL 84-88
+18.5
18
@UND
UNDL 88-90
+20.5
28
@TTU
TTUL 57-87
−19.5
31
@LONG
LONGL 70-82
−9.5
3
vsGWEB
GWEBW 88-77
+0.5
7
vsCHSO
CHSOW 81-77
−8.5
10
@UPST
UPSTW 71-50
−36.5
14
vsHPU
HPUW 92-75
+4.5
17
@UNCA
UNCAW 69-67
−16.5
21
vsRAD
RADW 76-75
−14.5
24
@PRES
PRESW 82-72
+7.5
31
vsUNCA
UNCAW 84-71
+7.5
4
@RAD
RADW 80-78
−3.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 79-74
−0.5
over 10under 13avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Gardner-Webb
22 games played
Straight up
1-21
5% wins
Against the spread
9-13
41% covers · avg −5.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-10
55% overs · avg −1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ MINN | L 60-87 | +28.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 7 | @ CLEM | L 59-97 | +29.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 15 | @ ELON | L 84-95 | +13.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 18 | @ DEP | L 62-93 | +21.5 | L −9.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 22 | @ RICH | L 67-102 | +19.5 | L −15.5 | 154.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 26 | vs NAVY | L 51-84 | +10.5 | L −22.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 28 | vs SELA | L 68-76 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 29 | @ UNCW | L 62-88 | +18.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 3 | @QUC | L 74-107 | +14.5 | L −18.5 | 161.5 | O 181 |
| Dec 6 | vs GASO | L 84-88 | +10.5 | W +6.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 15 | vs WOF | L 57-83 | +10.5 | L −15.5 | 155.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 21 | @ TENN | L 52-94 | +42.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 31 | vsCHSO | L 79-89 | +12.5 | W +2.5 | 163.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 3 | @WIN | L 77-88 | +23.5 | W +12.5 | 164.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 7 | @HPU | L 49-104 | +26.5 | L −28.5 | 162.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 14 | vsRAD | L 80-89 | +13.5 | W +4.5 | 165.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 17 | vsPRES | L 55-92 | +8.5 | L −28.5 | 145.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 21 | @LONG | L 56-91 | +16.5 | L −18.5 | 155.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 23 | vsUPST | W 67-65 | +9.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 29 | @UNCA | L 50-69 | +17.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 119 |
| Feb 4 | vsLONG | L 66-86 | +12.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 7 | @PRES | L 62-68 | +17.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | U 130 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@MINN
MINNL 60-87
+1.5
7
@CLEM
CLEML 59-97
−8.5
15
@ELON
ELONL 84-95
+2.5
18
@DEP
DEPL 62-93
−9.5
22
@RICH
RICHL 67-102
−15.5
26
vsNAVY
NAVYL 51-84
−22.5
28
vsSELA
SELAL 68-76
−1.5
29
@UNCW
UNCWL 62-88
−7.5
3
@QUC
QUCL 74-107
−18.5
6
vsGASO
GASOL 84-88
+6.5
15
vsWOF
WOFL 57-83
−15.5
21
@TENN
TENNL 52-94
+0.5
31
vsCHSO
CHSOL 79-89
+2.5
3
@WIN
WINL 77-88
+12.5
7
@HPU
HPUL 49-104
−28.5
14
vsRAD
RADL 80-89
+4.5
17
vsPRES
PRESL 55-92
−28.5
21
@LONG
LONGL 56-91
−18.5
23
vsUPST
UPSTW 67-65
+11.5
29
@UNCA
UNCAL 50-69
−1.5
4
vsLONG
LONGL 66-86
−7.5
7
@PRES
PRESL 62-68
+11.5
covered 9didn’t cover 13avg −5.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@MINN
MINNL 60-87
−1.5
7
@CLEM
CLEML 59-97
+10.5
15
@ELON
ELONL 84-95
+24.5
18
@DEP
DEPL 62-93
−0.5
22
@RICH
RICHL 67-102
+14.5
26
vsNAVY
NAVYL 51-84
−18.5
28
vsSELA
SELAL 68-76
+2.5
29
@UNCW
UNCWL 62-88
+2.5
3
@QUC
QUCL 74-107
+19.5
6
vsGASO
GASOL 84-88
+9.5
15
vsWOF
WOFL 57-83
−15.5
21
@TENN
TENNL 52-94
−6.5
31
vsCHSO
CHSOL 79-89
+4.5
3
@WIN
WINL 77-88
+0.5
7
@HPU
HPUL 49-104
−9.5
14
vsRAD
RADL 80-89
+3.5
17
vsPRES
PRESL 55-92
+1.5
21
@LONG
LONGL 56-91
−8.5
23
vsUPST
UPSTW 67-65
−21.5
29
@UNCA
UNCAL 50-69
−30.5
4
vsLONG
LONGL 66-86
+4.5
7
@PRES
PRESL 62-68
−15.5
over 12under 10avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Winthrop
15-8 overall · 10-1 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Longwood79–74
- W@ Radford80–78
- Wvs UNC Asheville84–71
- W@ Presbyterian82–72
- Wvs Radford76–75
5 days since their last game.
Gardner-Webb
1-21 overall · 1-9 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Presbyterian62–68
- Lvs Longwood66–86
- L@ UNC Asheville50–69
- Wvs SC Upstate67–65
- L@ Longwood56–91
5 days since their last game.