The Dedmon Center · at Radford · Conference game
Closing line
RAD -4.5✓ LONG covered by 2.5
RAD -4.5✓ LONG covered by 2.5Closing total157.5Over by 10.5
 LONG | This season | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| 7-9 | Record | 7-9 |
| 5-11 | ATS | 6-10 |
| 8-8 | O/U | 10-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LONG 78–82 RAD · ✓ RAD (63%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LONG | 36 | 47 | 83 |
| RAD | 53 | 32 | 85 |
1st half: LONG 36, RAD 53 (RAD by 17). The model had RAD by 2.0 and a total of 74.9 (actual 89).
Team stats
| LONG | RAD | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-58 52% | Field goals | 28-53 53% |
| 11-23 48% | 3-pointers | 9-24 38% |
| 12-18 67% | Free throws | 20-31 65% |
| 37 13 off | Rebounds | 27 8 off |
| 19 | Assists | 12 |
| 4 | Steals | 4 |
| 0 | Blocks | 1 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 22 | Fouls | 12 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| LONG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Tucker F | 37 | 17 | 16 | 2 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Jacoi Hutchinson G | 36 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 4-11 | 1-3 |
| Johan Nziemi F | 32 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 4-6 | 1-1 |
| Emanuel Richards G | 23 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4-7 | 1-1 |
| Elijah Kelly G | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Redd Thompson Jr. G | 23 | 21 | 0 | 2 | 7-12 | 4-7 |
| Jaylen Benard G | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 4-9 | 3-8 |
| Elijah Jones F | 11 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Alphonzo Billups III G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Quadri Bashiru, Jerome Williams, Jaylin Payne, Gerald Burr III, Isaiah Kalala, KJ McClurg
| RAD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dennis Parker Jr. G | 36 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 5-12 | 2-6 |
| Jaylon Johnson G | 35 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| Del Jones G | 34 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 8-15 | 2-4 |
| Tyson Brown F | 32 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Lukas Walls G | 30 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 5-7 | 3-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brennan Rigsby Jr. G | 15 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Frederik Erichsen F | 13 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Mari Jordan G | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Diogo Alves, Gabriel Ferreira, Warren Keel Jr., Bradley Land, Louie Jordan, Zion Walker
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketRAD -4.5
ModelRAD -3.6
Model edgeLONG +0.9
W LONG covered
Total
Market157.5
Model160.0
Model edgeOver 2.5
W Over
Projected score
LONG 78.2 · RAD 81.8
LONG 83 · RAD 85
Win probability
RAD 63%
1st half
Spread
RAD -2.0
RAD -17.0
Total
74.9
89 points
Projected score
LONG 36.4 · RAD 38.5
LONG 36 · RAD 53
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenRAD -5.5
1 → LONG
CloseRAD -4.5
1 pt toward LONG
Total
Open158.5
▼ 1
Close157.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
LONG +180
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened RAD -5.5 · closed RAD -4.5 · moved 1 toward LONGmodel RAD -3.5
model RAD -3.5
Opened 158.5 · closed 157.5 · moved 1 downmodel 160
model 160
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LONG | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| RAD | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
LONG 4–4 RADSeries tied · 8 games since 2021-22 · LONG 3-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | RAD 71 @ LONG 69 | LONG -3.5 | RAD W |
| Jan 22, 2024-25 | LONG 77 @ RAD 74 | RAD -3.5 | LONG W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | LONG 82 @ RAD 88 | RAD -1.5 | RAD W |
| Jan 11, 2023-24 | RAD 69 @ LONG 58 | LONG -5.5 | RAD W |
| Feb 18, 2022-23 | RAD 63 @ LONG 73 | LONG -3.5 | LONG W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Longwood
16 games played
Straight up
7-9
44% wins
Against the spread
5-11
31% covers · avg −2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-8
50% overs · avg +0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ PITT | L 60-78 | +14.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 12 | vs JMU | W 82-72 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 15 | vs BING | W 90-82 | -15.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 18 | vs UMES | L 82-83 | -17.5 | L −18.5 | 138.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 23 | @ COLU | L 70-95 | +3.5 | L −21.5 | 153.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 28 | vs SIE | L 63-70 | +5.5 | L −1.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | vs ME | W 65-61 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 138.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 30 | @ AMER | L 66-92 | +5.5 | L −20.5 | 148.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | @ MORG | W 84-80 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 154.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 13 | vs DSU | L 76-81 | -13.5 | L −18.5 | 139.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 17 | @ WAKE | L 68-71 | +24.5 | W +21.5 | 163.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 20 | @ NCCU | W 74-72 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 31 | vs WIN | W 82-70 | +7.5 | W +19.5 | 161.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 3 | @ HPU | L 67-80 | +16.5 | W +3.5 | 160.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 7 | @ UNCA | L 61-72 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 10 | vs PRES | W 77-70 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 139.5 | O 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@PITT
PITTL 60-78
−3.5
12
vsJMU
JMUW 82-72
+11.5
15
vsBING
BINGW 90-82
−7.5
18
vsUMES
UMESL 82-83
−18.5
23
@COLU
COLUL 70-95
−21.5
28
vsSIE
SIEL 63-70
−1.5
29
vsME
MEW 65-61
−1.5
30
@AMER
AMERL 66-92
−20.5
6
@MORG
MORGW 84-80
−1.5
13
vsDSU
DSUL 76-81
−18.5
17
@WAKE
WAKEL 68-71
+21.5
20
@NCCU
NCCUW 74-72
−1.5
31
vsWIN
WINW 82-70
+19.5
3
@HPU
HPUL 67-80
+3.5
7
@UNCA
UNCAL 61-72
−8.5
10
vsPRES
PRESW 77-70
+3.5
covered 5didn’t cover 11avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@PITT
PITTL 60-78
−7.5
12
vsJMU
JMUW 82-72
+4.5
15
vsBING
BINGW 90-82
+24.5
18
vsUMES
UMESL 82-83
+26.5
23
@COLU
COLUL 70-95
+11.5
28
vsSIE
SIEL 63-70
−12.5
29
vsME
MEW 65-61
−12.5
30
@AMER
AMERL 66-92
+9.5
6
@MORG
MORGW 84-80
+9.5
13
vsDSU
DSUL 76-81
+17.5
17
@WAKE
WAKEL 68-71
−24.5
20
@NCCU
NCCUW 74-72
−0.5
31
vsWIN
WINW 82-70
−9.5
3
@HPU
HPUL 67-80
−13.5
7
@UNCA
UNCAL 61-72
−15.5
10
vsPRES
PRESW 77-70
+7.5
over 8under 8avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Radford
16 games played
Straight up
7-9
44% wins
Against the spread
6-10
38% covers · avg −4.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-6
63% overs · avg +3.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WIU | W 80-75 | -16.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 11 | @ UNC | L 74-89 | +20.5 | W +5.5 | 162.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 15 | vs WRST | L 59-92 | -6.5 | L −39.5 | 156.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 16 | vs CLE | L 82-87 | -8.5 | L −13.5 | 162.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 18 | @ SC | L 58-87 | +10.5 | L −18.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 21 | vs UNCW | L 73-81 | +4.5 | L −3.5 | 151.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 24 | @ SMU | L 72-89 | +23.5 | W +6.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
| Dec 3 | vs USM | L 75-82 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 7 | vs SFPA | W 89-56 | -13.5 | W +19.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 14 | vs COPP | W 107-77 | -20.5 | W +9.5 | 154.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 18 | @ W&M | L 83-96 | +8.5 | L −4.5 | 170.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 21 | vs VMI | W 97-90 | -11.5 | L −4.5 | 158.5 | O 187 |
| Dec 31 | @ UPST | W 76-69 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 158.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 7 | vsPRES | W 80-61 | -6.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 10 | vsUNCA | L 72-91 | -4.5 | L −23.5 | 151.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 14 | @ GWEB | W 89-80 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 165.5 | O 169 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWIU
WIUW 80-75
−11.5
11
@UNC
UNCL 74-89
+5.5
15
vsWRST
WRSTL 59-92
−39.5
16
vsCLE
CLEL 82-87
−13.5
18
@SC
SCL 58-87
−18.5
21
vsUNCW
UNCWL 73-81
−3.5
24
@SMU
SMUL 72-89
+6.5
3
vsUSM
USML 75-82
−10.5
7
vsSFPA
SFPAW 89-56
+19.5
14
vsCOPP
COPPW 107-77
+9.5
18
@W&M
W&ML 83-96
−4.5
21
vsVMI
VMIW 97-90
−4.5
31
@UPST
UPSTW 76-69
+8.5
7
vsPRES
PRESW 80-61
+12.5
10
vsUNCA
UNCAL 72-91
−23.5
14
@GWEB
GWEBW 89-80
−4.5
covered 6didn’t cover 10avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWIU
WIUW 80-75
+3.5
11
@UNC
UNCL 74-89
+0.5
15
vsWRST
WRSTL 59-92
−5.5
16
vsCLE
CLEL 82-87
+6.5
18
@SC
SCL 58-87
−8.5
21
vsUNCW
UNCWL 73-81
+2.5
24
@SMU
SMUL 72-89
−4.5
3
vsUSM
USML 75-82
+4.5
7
vsSFPA
SFPAW 89-56
−9.5
14
vsCOPP
COPPW 107-77
+29.5
18
@W&M
W&ML 83-96
+8.5
21
vsVMI
VMIW 97-90
+28.5
31
@UPST
UPSTW 76-69
−13.5
7
vsPRES
PRESW 80-61
−6.5
10
vsUNCA
UNCAL 72-91
+11.5
14
@GWEB
GWEBW 89-80
+3.5
over 10under 6avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Longwood
7-9 overall · 2-2 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Presbyterian77–70
- L@ UNC Asheville61–72
- L@ High Point67–80
- Wvs Winthrop82–70
- W@ NC Central74–72
A week or more of rest.
Radford
7-9 overall · 3-1 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Gardner-Webb89–80
- Lvs UNC Asheville72–91
- Wvs Presbyterian80–61
- W@ SC Upstate76–69
- Wvs VMI97–90
3 days since their last game.