Global Credit Union Arena · at Grand Canyon · Conference game
Closing line
USU -5.5✓ GCU covered by 15.5
USU -5.5✓ GCU covered by 15.5Closing total150.5Over by 7.5
| USU | This season | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| 14-1 | Record | 10-6 |
| 8-7 | ATS | 7-9 |
| 8-7 | O/U | 6-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: USU 78–71 GCU · ✗ USU (71%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USU | 36 | 38 | 74 |
| GCU | 42 | 42 | 84 |
1st half: USU 36, GCU 42 (GCU by 6). The model had USU by 3.9 and a total of 69.7 (actual 78).
Team stats
| USU | GCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-69 36% | Field goals | 27-53 51% |
| 7-28 25% | 3-pointers | 7-20 35% |
| 17-23 74% | Free throws | 23-33 70% |
| 43 22 off | Rebounds | 38 13 off |
| 10 | Assists | 12 |
| 7 | Steals | 6 |
| 3 | Blocks | 6 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 27 | Fouls | 22 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| USU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Falslev G | 37 | 25 | 12 | 2 | 8-21 | 4-9 |
| MJ Collins Jr. G | 32 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 5-13 | 1-6 |
| Drake Allen G | 32 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
| Adlan Elamin F | 27 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3-8 | 1-5 |
| Zach Keller F | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Karson Templin F | 22 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 3-8 | 0-2 |
| Tucker Anderson F | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kolby King G | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Elijah Perryman G | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Garry Clark F | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: David Iweze, Jordy Barnes, Luke Kearney, Kingston Tosi, Brayden Boe
| GCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Moore Jr. G | 37 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 6-10 | 1-2 |
| Nana Owusu-Anane F | 34 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Jaden Henley G | 26 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 4-10 | 0-2 |
| Caleb Shaw G | 25 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4-6 | 2-3 |
| Efe Demirel C | 21 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Makaih Williams G | 27 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 6-11 | 3-7 |
| Dennis Evans C | 19 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Dusty Stromer G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Wilhelm Breidenbach F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Evan Boisdur, Luke Shaw, Cole Pepe, Braylon Johnson, Jack Sawyer, Kaleb Smith
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUSU -5.5
ModelUSU -6.3
Model edgeUSU +0.8
L GCU covered
Total
Market150.5
Model148.7
Model edgeUnder 1.8
L Over
Projected score
USU 77.5 · GCU 71.2
USU 74 · GCU 84
Win probability
USU 71%
1st half
Spread
USU -3.9
GCU -6.0
Total
69.7
78 points
Projected score
USU 36.8 · GCU 32.9
USU 36 · GCU 42
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSU -5.5
no move
CloseUSU -5.5
No change since the open
Total
Open145.5
▲ 5
Close150.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
USU -258 · GCU +210
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USU -5.5 · unchangedmodel USU -6.5
model USU -6.5
Opened 145.5 · closed 150.5 · moved 5 upmodel 148.5
model 148.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USU | 9-1 90% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| GCU | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Utah State
15 games played
Straight up
14-1
93% wins
Against the spread
8-7
53% covers · avg +5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-7
53% overs · avg +1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs VCU | W 80-77 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 12 | vs WEB | W 83-73 | -22.5 | L −12.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 15 | vs UTEP | W 75-51 | -16.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 21 | vs TULN | W 96-75 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 151.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 23 | vs DAV | W 94-60 | -9.5 | W +24.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 29 | vs MTST | W 84-81 | -17.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 4 | @ USF | L 61-74 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 162.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 7 | @ CLT | W 79-53 | -10.5 | W +15.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 13 | vs ILST | W 83-78 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 20 | vs CSU | W 100-58 | -10.5 | W +31.5 | 147.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 30 | @ FRES | W 72-63 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 154.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 3 | vs SJSU | W 96-78 | -22.5 | L −4.5 | 151.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 6 | @ AF | W 99-62 | -22.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 10 | @ BOIS | W 93-68 | -1.5 | W +23.5 | 149.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 14 | vs NEV | W 71-62 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsVCU
VCUW 80-77
+0.5
12
vsWEB
WEBW 83-73
−12.5
15
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-51
+7.5
21
vsTULN
TULNW 96-75
+12.5
23
vsDAV
DAVW 94-60
+24.5
29
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-81
−14.5
4
@USF
USFL 61-74
−10.5
7
@CLT
CLTW 79-53
+15.5
13
vsILST
ILSTW 83-78
−3.5
20
vsCSU
CSUW 100-58
+31.5
30
@FRES
FRESW 72-63
−5.5
3
vsSJSU
SJSUW 96-78
−4.5
6
@AF
AFW 99-62
+14.5
10
@BOIS
BOISW 93-68
+23.5
14
vsNEV
NEVW 71-62
−4.5
covered 8didn’t cover 7avg +5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsVCU
VCUW 80-77
−6.5
12
vsWEB
WEBW 83-73
−0.5
15
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-51
−23.5
21
vsTULN
TULNW 96-75
+19.5
23
vsDAV
DAVW 94-60
+6.5
29
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-81
+16.5
4
@USF
USFL 61-74
−27.5
7
@CLT
CLTW 79-53
−7.5
13
vsILST
ILSTW 83-78
+12.5
20
vsCSU
CSUW 100-58
+10.5
30
@FRES
FRESW 72-63
−19.5
3
vsSJSU
SJSUW 96-78
+22.5
6
@AF
AFW 99-62
+21.5
10
@BOIS
BOISW 93-68
+11.5
14
vsNEV
NEVW 71-62
−14.5
over 8under 7avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Grand Canyon
16 games played
Straight up
10-6
63% wins
Against the spread
7-9
44% covers · avg −1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-10
38% overs · avg −7.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs PFW | W 90-71 | -14.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 7 | vs YSU | L 81-90 | -15.5 | L −24.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 10 | vs NIU | W 88-59 | -22.5 | W +6.5 | 163.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 15 | @ SLU | L 64-78 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 167.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 21 | vs NWST | W 85-72 | -18.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs UTAH | W 68-58 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 26 | vs IOWA | L 46-59 | +8.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 105 |
| Dec 2 | vs STET | W 67-45 | -24.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | U 112 |
| Dec 6 | vs OKST | L 78-84 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 13 | vs CCU | W 82-61 | -17.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 20 | @ WYO | W 82-70 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 147.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 22 | vs IUIN | W 91-78 | -23.5 | L −10.5 | 169.5 | U 169 |
| Jan 3 | vsCSU | L 60-70 | -6.5 | L −16.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 7 | @BOIS | W 75-58 | +8.5 | W +25.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 10 | vsSJSU | W 76-58 | -16.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 13 | @ UNM | L 64-87 | +6.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | O 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsPFW
PFWW 90-71
+4.5
7
vsYSU
YSUL 81-90
−24.5
10
vsNIU
NIUW 88-59
+6.5
15
@SLU
SLUL 64-78
−5.5
21
vsNWST
NWSTW 85-72
−5.5
25
vsUTAH
UTAHW 68-58
+4.5
26
vsIOWA
IOWAL 46-59
−4.5
2
vsSTET
STETW 67-45
−2.5
6
vsOKST
OKSTL 78-84
−4.5
13
vsCCU
CCUW 82-61
+3.5
20
@WYO
WYOW 82-70
+14.5
22
vsIUIN
IUINW 91-78
−10.5
3
vsCSU
CSUL 60-70
−16.5
7
@BOIS
BOISW 75-58
+25.5
10
vsSJSU
SJSUW 76-58
+1.5
13
@UNM
UNML 64-87
−16.5
covered 7didn’t cover 9avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsPFW
PFWW 90-71
+5.5
7
vsYSU
YSUL 81-90
+18.5
10
vsNIU
NIUW 88-59
−16.5
15
@SLU
SLUL 64-78
−25.5
21
vsNWST
NWSTW 85-72
+9.5
25
vsUTAH
UTAHW 68-58
−27.5
26
vsIOWA
IOWAL 46-59
−38.5
2
vsSTET
STETW 67-45
−29.5
6
vsOKST
OKSTL 78-84
+6.5
13
vsCCU
CCUW 82-61
−0.5
20
@WYO
WYOW 82-70
+4.5
22
vsIUIN
IUINW 91-78
−0.5
3
vsCSU
CSUL 60-70
−13.5
7
@BOIS
BOISW 75-58
−7.5
10
vsSJSU
SJSUW 76-58
−7.5
13
@UNM
UNML 64-87
+4.5
over 6under 10avg −7.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Utah State
14-1 overall · 6-0 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Nevada71–62
- W@ Boise St93–68
- W@ Air Force99–62
- Wvs San José St96–78
- W@ Fresno St72–63
3 days since their last game.
Grand Canyon
10-6 overall · 3-2 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ New Mexico64–87
- Wvs San José St76–58
- W@ Boise St75–58
- Lvs Colorado St60–70
- Wvs IU Indy91–78
4 days since their last game.