Carver-Hawkeye Arena · at Iowa
Closing line
IOWA -33.5✓ UML covered by 5.5
IOWA -33.5✓ UML covered by 5.5Closing total145.5Over by 6.5
 UML | This season | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| 2-9 | Record | 10-2 |
| 5-6 | ATS | 10-2 |
| 6-5 | O/U | 6-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UML 61–90 IOWA · ✓ IOWA (99%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UML | 30 | 32 | 62 |
| IOWA | 47 | 43 | 90 |
1st half: UML 30, IOWA 47 (IOWA by 17). The model had IOWA by 17.2 and a total of 70.4 (actual 77).
Team stats
| UML | IOWA | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-50 48% | Field goals | 32-55 58% |
| 5-13 38% | 3-pointers | 4-14 29% |
| 9-18 50% | Free throws | 22-24 92% |
| 25 9 off | Rebounds | 29 8 off |
| 11 | Assists | 20 |
| 5 | Steals | 10 |
| 3 | Blocks | 5 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 54 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| UML | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel Montas Jr. G | 35 | 23 | 6 | 3 | 10-12 | 1-2 |
| Darrel Yepdo G | 35 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3-9 | 2-4 |
| Austin Green F | 31 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3-8 | 0-0 |
| Xavier Spencer G | 28 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| JJ Massaquoi F | 20 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Victor Okojie F | 21 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Khalil Farmer G | 18 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-2 |
| Jerrell Roberson II F | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jared Frey G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Isaiah Walter, Kris Johnson, Keenan Bey, Shawn Simmons II
| IOWA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bennett Stirtz G | 32 | 22 | 1 | 8 | 7-13 | 1-4 |
| Kael Combs G | 30 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Cam Manyawu F | 21 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Cooper Koch F | 19 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Tavion Banks G | 16 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Alvaro Folgueiras F | 21 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 5-7 | 1-2 |
| Isaia Howard G | 19 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Tate Sage G | 18 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Trevin Jirak C | 10 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Brendan Hausen G | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Joey Matteoni F | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Jacob Koch G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Peyton McCollum, Trey Thompson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketIOWA -33.5
ModelIOWA -28.9
Model edgeUML +4.6
W UML covered
Total
Market145.5
Model150.3
Model edgeOver 4.8
W Over
Projected score
UML 60.7 · IOWA 89.6
UML 62 · IOWA 90
Win probability
IOWA 99%
1st half
Spread
IOWA -17.2
IOWA -17.0
Total
70.4
77 points
Projected score
UML 26.6 · IOWA 43.8
UML 30 · IOWA 47
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenIOWA -31.5
2 → IOWA
CloseIOWA -33.5
2 pts toward IOWA
Total
Open146.5
▼ 1
Close145.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened IOWA -31.5 · closed IOWA -33.5 · moved 2 toward IOWAmodel IOWA -29
model IOWA -29
Opened 146.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 1 downmodel 150.5
model 150.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UML | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| IOWA | 8-2 80% | 9-1 90% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UMass Lowell
11 games played
Straight up
2-9
18% wins
Against the spread
5-6
45% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-5
55% overs · avg +2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ CONN | L 47-110 | +36.5 | L −26.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 10 | vs NHVN | L 67-73 | -10.5 | L −16.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 13 | @ COLU | L 72-86 | +13.5 | L −0.5 | 156.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 16 | @ WAKE | L 75-109 | +30.5 | L −3.5 | 165.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 19 | @ BRAD | L 77-87 | +21.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 22 | @ SPU | L 66-68 | +8.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 26 | @ STO | W 75-64 | +2.5 | W +13.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 6 | @ MASS | L 60-80 | +11.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | @ QUIN | L 71-75 | +12.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 16 | vs SHU | W 87-82 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 21 | @ BU | L 76-88 | +5.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@CONN
CONNL 47-110
−26.5
10
vsNHVN
NHVNL 67-73
−16.5
13
@COLU
COLUL 72-86
−0.5
16
@WAKE
WAKEL 75-109
−3.5
19
@BRAD
BRADL 77-87
+11.5
22
@SPU
SPUL 66-68
+6.5
26
@STO
STOW 75-64
+13.5
6
@MASS
MASSL 60-80
−8.5
13
@QUIN
QUINL 71-75
+8.5
16
vsSHU
SHUW 87-82
+7.5
21
@BU
BUL 76-88
−6.5
covered 5didn’t cover 6avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@CONN
CONNL 47-110
+5.5
10
vsNHVN
NHVNL 67-73
−2.5
13
@COLU
COLUL 72-86
+1.5
16
@WAKE
WAKEL 75-109
+18.5
19
@BRAD
BRADL 77-87
+14.5
22
@SPU
SPUL 66-68
−13.5
26
@STO
STOW 75-64
−9.5
6
@MASS
MASSL 60-80
−15.5
13
@QUIN
QUINL 71-75
−7.5
16
vsSHU
SHUW 87-82
+17.5
21
@BU
BUL 76-88
+18.5
over 6under 5avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Iowa
12 games played
Straight up
10-2
83% wins
Against the spread
10-2
83% covers · avg +5.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-6
50% overs · avg +0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs RMU | W 101-69 | -22.5 | W +9.5 | 136.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 7 | vs WIU | W 77-58 | -30.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 14 | vs XAV | W 81-62 | -15.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 18 | vs SEMO | W 99-70 | -23.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 20 | vs CHST | W 93-54 | -31.5 | W +7.5 | 142.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 25 | vs MISS | W 74-69 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | O 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs GCU | W 59-46 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 105 |
| Dec 2 | @ MSU | L 52-71 | +5.5 | L −13.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 6 | vs MD | W 83-64 | -10.5 | W +8.5 | 137.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 11 | @ ISU | L 62-66 | +11.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 14 | vs WMU | W 91-51 | -25.5 | W +14.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 20 | vs BUCK | W 94-39 | -25.5 | W +29.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsRMU
RMUW 101-69
+9.5
7
vsWIU
WIUW 77-58
−11.5
14
vsXAV
XAVW 81-62
+3.5
18
vsSEMO
SEMOW 99-70
+5.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 93-54
+7.5
25
vsMISS
MISSW 74-69
+0.5
26
vsGCU
GCUW 59-46
+4.5
2
@MSU
MSUL 52-71
−13.5
6
vsMD
MDW 83-64
+8.5
11
@ISU
ISUL 62-66
+7.5
14
vsWMU
WMUW 91-51
+14.5
20
vsBUCK
BUCKW 94-39
+29.5
covered 10didn’t cover 2avg +5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsRMU
RMUW 101-69
+33.5
7
vsWIU
WIUW 77-58
−10.5
14
vsXAV
XAVW 81-62
−0.5
18
vsSEMO
SEMOW 99-70
+21.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 93-54
+4.5
25
vsMISS
MISSW 74-69
+2.5
26
vsGCU
GCUW 59-46
−38.5
2
@MSU
MSUL 52-71
−10.5
6
vsMD
MDW 83-64
+9.5
11
@ISU
ISUL 62-66
−13.5
14
vsWMU
WMUW 91-51
+4.5
20
vsBUCK
BUCKW 94-39
−0.5
over 6under 6avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UMass Lowell
2-9 overall · 0-0 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Boston U76–88
- Wvs Sacred Heart87–82
- L@ Quinnipiac71–75
- L@ UMass60–80
- W@ Stonehill75–64
A week or more of rest.
Iowa
10-2 overall · 1-1 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Bucknell94–39
- Wvs W Michigan91–51
- L@ Iowa State62–66
- Wvs Maryland83–64
- L@ Michigan St52–71
A week or more of rest.