Gainbridge Fieldhouse · Neutral site
Closing line
PUR -7.5✓ PUR covered by 20.5
PUR -7.5✓ PUR covered by 20.5Closing total152.5Under by 4.5
 AUB | This season | PUR |
|---|---|---|
| 8-3 | Record | 10-1 |
| 7-4 | ATS | 6-5 |
| 9-2 | O/U | 3-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: AUB 77–84 PUR · ✓ PUR (70%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AUB | 32 | 28 | 60 |
| PUR | 46 | 42 | 88 |
1st half: AUB 32, PUR 46 (PUR by 14). The model had PUR by 3.5 and a total of 75.3 (actual 78).
Team stats
| AUB | PUR | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-58 36% | Field goals | 33-59 56% |
| 7-25 28% | 3-pointers | 12-26 46% |
| 11-16 69% | Free throws | 10-10 100% |
| 25 11 off | Rebounds | 36 9 off |
| 13 | Assists | 21 |
| 7 | Steals | 7 |
| 1 | Blocks | 5 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| AUB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Overton G | 36 | 22 | 5 | 2 | 8-18 | 4-11 |
| Keyshawn Hall F | 35 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 5-11 | 2-6 |
| KeShawn Murphy F | 26 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Tahaad Pettiford G | 25 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-5 |
| Sebastian Williams-Adams F | 20 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Elyjah Freeman G | 22 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1-6 | 0-2 |
| Filip Jovic C | 21 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Kaden Magwood G | 15 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Reed Trapp, Blake Muschalek, Simon Walker, Joah Shay, Drake Cardwell, Abdul Bashir, CJ Williams, Emeka Opurum, Jeremiah Bowman, Bradley Pearson
| PUR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Smith G | 35 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Trey Kaufman-Renn F | 29 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 9-13 | 0-0 |
| Fletcher Loyer G | 29 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2-10 | 0-7 |
| C.J. Cox G | 24 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 5-8 | 4-7 |
| Oscar Cluff C | 22 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Daniel Jacobsen C | 18 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Gicarri Harris G | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 4-7 | 4-6 |
| Omer Mayer G | 13 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Jack Benter G | 11 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4-4 | 3-3 |
| Liam Murphy F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jace Rayl, Antione West Jr, Aaron Fine, Jack Lusk, Sam King, Raleigh Burgess
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketPUR -7.5
ModelPUR -6.1
Model edgeAUB +1.4
L PUR covered
Total
Market152.5
Model160.9
Model edgeOver 8.4
L Under
Projected score
AUB 77.4 · PUR 83.5
AUB 60 · PUR 88
Win probability
PUR 70%
1st half
Spread
PUR -3.5
PUR -14.0
Total
75.3
78 points
Projected score
AUB 35.9 · PUR 39.4
AUB 32 · PUR 46
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPUR -9.5
2 → AUB
ClosePUR -7.5
2 pts toward AUB
Total
Open154.5
▼ 2
Close152.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
AUB +275 · PUR -345
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PUR -9.5 · closed PUR -7.5 · moved 2 toward AUBmodel PUR -6
model PUR -6
Opened 154.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 2 downmodel 161
model 161
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AUB | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 8-2 80% |
| PUR | 9-1 90% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
AUB 1–0 PURAUB leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · AUB 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024-25 | PUR 69 vs AUB 87 | AUB -10.5 | AUB W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Auburn
11 games played
Straight up
8-3
73% wins
Against the spread
7-4
64% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-2
82% overs · avg +7.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BCU | W 95-90 | -24.5 | L −19.5 | 153.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 6 | vs MRMK | W 95-57 | -23.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 11 | vs WOF | W 93-62 | -27.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 16 | vs HOU | L 72-73 | +7.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 19 | vs JKST | W 112-66 | -30.5 | W +15.5 | 156.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 24 | vs ORE | W 84-73 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs MICH | L 72-102 | +4.5 | L −25.5 | 163.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | vs SJU | W 85-74 | +4.5 | W +15.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 3 | vs NCSU | W 83-73 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 6 | @ ARIZ | L 68-97 | +11.5 | L −17.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 13 | vs UTC | W 92-78 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 170 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBCU
BCUW 95-90
−19.5
6
vsMRMK
MRMKW 95-57
+14.5
11
vsWOF
WOFW 93-62
+3.5
16
vsHOU
HOUL 72-73
+6.5
19
vsJKST
JKSTW 112-66
+15.5
24
vsORE
OREW 84-73
+6.5
25
vsMICH
MICHL 72-102
−25.5
26
vsSJU
SJUW 85-74
+15.5
3
vsNCSU
NCSUW 83-73
+4.5
6
@ARIZ
ARIZL 68-97
−17.5
13
vsUTC
UTCW 92-78
−5.5
covered 7didn’t cover 4avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBCU
BCUW 95-90
+31.5
6
vsMRMK
MRMKW 95-57
+3.5
11
vsWOF
WOFW 93-62
+2.5
16
vsHOU
HOUL 72-73
+4.5
19
vsJKST
JKSTW 112-66
+21.5
24
vsORE
OREW 84-73
+1.5
25
vsMICH
MICHL 72-102
+10.5
26
vsSJU
SJUW 85-74
−7.5
3
vsNCSU
NCSUW 83-73
−6.5
6
@ARIZ
ARIZL 68-97
+2.5
13
vsUTC
UTCW 92-78
+19.5
over 9under 2avg +7.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Purdue
11 games played
Straight up
10-1
91% wins
Against the spread
6-5
55% covers · avg +0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-8
27% overs · avg −2.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs EVAN | W 82-51 | -33.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 7 | vs OAK | W 87-77 | -31.5 | L −21.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 13 | @ ALA | W 87-80 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 172.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 16 | vs AKR | W 97-79 | -18.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 20 | vs MEM | W 80-71 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 21 | vs TTU | W 86-56 | -3.5 | W +26.5 | 153.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 28 | vs EIU | W 109-62 | -40.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 2 | @ RUTG | W 81-65 | -13.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | vs ISU | L 58-81 | -4.5 | L −27.5 | 154.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 10 | vs MINN | W 85-57 | -19.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 13 | vs MARQ | W 79-59 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | U 138 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-51
−2.5
7
vsOAK
OAKW 87-77
−21.5
13
@ALA
ALAW 87-80
+10.5
16
vsAKR
AKRW 97-79
−0.5
20
vsMEM
MEMW 80-71
−5.5
21
vsTTU
TTUW 86-56
+26.5
28
vsEIU
EIUW 109-62
+6.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 81-65
+2.5
6
vsISU
ISUL 58-81
−27.5
10
vsMINN
MINNW 85-57
+8.5
13
vsMARQ
MARQW 79-59
+3.5
covered 6didn’t cover 5avg +0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-51
−17.5
7
vsOAK
OAKW 87-77
+5.5
13
@ALA
ALAW 87-80
−5.5
16
vsAKR
AKRW 97-79
+12.5
20
vsMEM
MEMW 80-71
−5.5
21
vsTTU
TTUW 86-56
−11.5
28
vsEIU
EIUW 109-62
+29.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 81-65
−0.5
6
vsISU
ISUL 58-81
−15.5
10
vsMINN
MINNW 85-57
−1.5
13
vsMARQ
MARQW 79-59
−16.5
over 3under 8avg −2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Auburn
8-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Chattanooga92–78
- L@ Arizona68–97
- Wvs NC State83–73
- Wvs St John's85–74
- Lvs Michigan72–102
A week or more of rest.
Purdue
10-1 overall · 2-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Marquette79–59
- Wvs Minnesota85–57
- Lvs Iowa State58–81
- W@ Rutgers81–65
- Wvs E Illinois109–62
A week or more of rest.