Knights Hall · at Bellarmine
Closing line
UTC -1.5✓ BELL covered by 16.5
UTC -1.5✓ BELL covered by 16.5Closing total146.5Under by 3.5
| UTC | This season | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| 2-6 | Record | 2-6 |
| 3-5 | ATS | 6-2 |
| 4-4 | O/U | 5-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UTC 77–76 BELL · ✗ UTC (52%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTC | 36 | 28 | 64 |
| BELL | 27 | 52 | 79 |
1st half: UTC 36, BELL 27 (UTC by 9). The model had UTC by 0.5 and a total of 71.6 (actual 63).
Team stats
| UTC | BELL | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-64 33% | Field goals | 25-53 47% |
| 10-46 22% | 3-pointers | 10-26 38% |
| 12-15 80% | Free throws | 19-22 86% |
| 33 11 off | Rebounds | 41 7 off |
| 9 | Assists | 16 |
| 10 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 0 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 20 | Fouls | 16 |
| 18 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| UTC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brennan Watkins G | 38 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 6-12 | 6-12 |
| Jordan Frison G | 38 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 8-17 | 2-8 |
| Billy Smith G | 35 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 2-15 | 0-10 |
| Collin Mulholland F | 25 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-5 |
| Teddy Washington Jr. G | 22 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2-9 | 1-8 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Parker Robison G | 16 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Jikari Johnson G | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Josh Bowman F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Houston Holland G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Latif Diouf F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Makai Richards C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Zach Bleshoy, Tate Darner, Sebastian Hartmann, Ryan Lopez, Liam Vitters, Sean Cusano
| BELL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Karasinski F | 35 | 20 | 12 | 1 | 7-13 | 2-6 |
| Kenyon Goodin G | 33 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 3-4 | 3-4 |
| Brian Waddell F | 32 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 6-10 | 0-1 |
| Darrius Bolden G | 24 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Sam Donald F | 21 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Michael Wilson Jr. G | 24 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 3-9 | 1-3 |
| Donovan Hunter F | 22 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Myles Watkins G | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
Did not play: Tommy Clark, Jacob Wassler, Dominique Murphy, Ant McAfee, Grant Whitaker, Luke Anderson, Grant Neal, Tyler Doyle
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUTC -1.5
ModelUTC -0.7
Model edgeBELL +0.8
W BELL covered
Total
Market146.5
Model152.9
Model edgeOver 6.4
L Under
Projected score
UTC 76.8 · BELL 76.1
UTC 64 · BELL 79
Win probability
UTC 52%
1st half
Spread
UTC -0.5
UTC -9.0
Total
71.6
63 points
Projected score
UTC 36.1 · BELL 35.5
UTC 36 · BELL 27
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUTC -1.5
no move
CloseUTC -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open150.5
▼ 4
Close146.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
UTC -125 · BELL +105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UTC -1.5 · unchangedmodel UTC -0.5
model UTC -0.5
Opened 150.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 4 downmodel 153
model 153
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTClast 8 | 2-6 25% | 3-5 38% | 4-4 50% |
| BELLlast 8 | 2-6 25% | 6-2 75% | 5-3 63% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UTC 1–0 BELLUTC leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · UTC 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2023-24 | BELL 64 @ UTC 72 | UTC -4 | UTC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Chattanooga
8 games played
Straight up
2-6
25% wins
Against the spread
3-5
38% covers · avg −7.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-4
50% overs · avg −0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ SMC | L 66-87 | +15.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 8 | @ UNLV | L 69-101 | +7.5 | L −24.5 | 155.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 15 | @ FGCU | L 73-91 | -1.5 | L −19.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | @ SCST | W 78-66 | -11.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 22 | vs UNA | W 71-57 | -9.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 30 | vs TNST | L 64-70 | -8.5 | L −14.5 | 155.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 6 | vs SEMO | L 70-74 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 13 | vs AUB | L 78-92 | +19.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 170 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@SMC
SMCL 66-87
−5.5
8
@UNLV
UNLVL 69-101
−24.5
15
@FGCU
FGCUL 73-91
−19.5
19
@SCST
SCSTW 78-66
+0.5
22
vsUNA
UNAW 71-57
+4.5
30
vsTNST
TNSTL 64-70
−14.5
6
vsSEMO
SEMOL 70-74
−7.5
13
vsAUB
AUBL 78-92
+5.5
covered 3didn’t cover 5avg −7.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@SMC
SMCL 66-87
+7.5
8
@UNLV
UNLVL 69-101
+14.5
15
@FGCU
FGCUL 73-91
+11.5
19
@SCST
SCSTW 78-66
−10.5
22
vsUNA
UNAW 71-57
−21.5
30
vsTNST
TNSTL 64-70
−21.5
6
vsSEMO
SEMOL 70-74
−5.5
13
vsAUB
AUBL 78-92
+19.5
over 4under 4avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Bellarmine
8 games played
Straight up
2-6
25% wins
Against the spread
6-2
75% covers · avg +1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-3
63% overs · avg +2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ UGA | L 59-104 | +23.5 | L −21.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 8 | @ KSU | L 71-98 | +28.5 | W +1.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 15 | vs WOF | L 86-94 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 19 | @ ND | L 79-86 | +24.5 | W +17.5 | 150.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 24 | @ CIT | W 70-58 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 25 | vs HCU | W 74-69 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 6 | @ MUR | L 68-81 | +16.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | vs NKU | L 76-80 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@UGA
UGAL 59-104
−21.5
8
@KSU
KSUL 71-98
+1.5
15
vsWOF
WOFL 86-94
−4.5
19
@ND
NDL 79-86
+17.5
24
@CIT
CITW 70-58
+8.5
25
vsHCU
HCUW 74-69
+7.5
6
@MUR
MURL 68-81
+3.5
13
vsNKU
NKUL 76-80
+0.5
covered 6didn’t cover 2avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@UGA
UGAL 59-104
+12.5
8
@KSU
KSUL 71-98
+0.5
15
vsWOF
WOFL 86-94
+23.5
19
@ND
NDL 79-86
+14.5
24
@CIT
CITW 70-58
−28.5
25
vsHCU
HCUW 74-69
−1.5
6
@MUR
MURL 68-81
−8.5
13
vsNKU
NKUL 76-80
+9.5
over 5under 3avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Chattanooga
2-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Auburn78–92
- Lvs SE Missouri70–74
- Lvs Tennessee St64–70
- Wvs North Alabama71–57
- W@ SC State78–66
4 days since their last game.
Bellarmine
2-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs N Kentucky76–80
- L@ Murray St68–81
- Wvs Hou Christian74–69
- W@ The Citadel70–58
- L@ Notre Dame79–86
4 days since their last game.