Lawler Arena · at Merrimack · Conference game
Closing line
MRMK -3.5✓ MRMK covered by 7.5
MRMK -3.5✓ MRMK covered by 7.5Closing total144.5Under by 7.5
 FAIR | This season | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| 5-4 | Record | 4-6 |
| 3-6 | ATS | 4-6 |
| 5-4 | O/U | 4-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: FAIR 70–74 MRMK · ✓ MRMK (62%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FAIR | 30 | 33 | 63 |
| MRMK | 39 | 35 | 74 |
1st half: FAIR 30, MRMK 39 (MRMK by 9). The model had MRMK by 2.0 and a total of 67.4 (actual 69).
Team stats
| FAIR | MRMK | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-59 39% | Field goals | 22-47 47% |
| 7-19 37% | 3-pointers | 8-20 40% |
| 10-16 63% | Free throws | 22-27 81% |
| 38 16 off | Rebounds | 28 4 off |
| 9 | Assists | 13 |
| 5 | Steals | 10 |
| 1 | Blocks | 7 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 19 | Fouls | 17 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| FAIR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Wucherpfennig G | 37 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 4-10 | 0-2 |
| Braden Sparks G | 36 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 6-14 | 5-10 |
| Brandon Benjamin F | 35 | 17 | 14 | 0 | 7-18 | 0-1 |
| Eric Mejia G | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Deuce Turner G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tony Williams G | 31 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 5-9 | 2-6 |
| Halon Rawlins G | 20 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Cam Estevez G | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Zan F | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Nasir Rodriguez G | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Isaac Munkadi F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tanner Ostop, Aidan May, Peyton Smith, Joe Ganton, Luke Davidson, Matt Curtis, Michael Rogan, Noah Best
| MRMK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tye Dorset G | 40 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 6-11 | 3-5 |
| Todd Brogna F | 36 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5-9 | 3-6 |
| Kevair Kennedy G | 33 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 6-10 | 0-0 |
| Andrés Marrero G | 28 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Ernest Shelton G | 24 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| KC Ugwuakazi F | 23 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Aliou Cisse F | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jaylen Stinson G | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dylan Veillette F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jacob Moore, Quinn Kwasniak, David Munro, Brendan Johnson, Brandon Legris, Malik Edmead
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMRMK -2.5
1 → MRMK
CloseMRMK -3.5
1 pt toward MRMK
Total
Open143.5
▲ 1
Close144.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
FAIR +154 · MRMK -185
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MRMK -2.5 · closed MRMK -3.5 · moved 1 toward MRMKmodel MRMK -3.5 matches the line
model MRMK -3.5 = line ✓
Opened 143.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 1 upmodel 144
model 144
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MRMK -3.5 | MRMK -3.6 | MRMK +0.1 | W MRMK covered |
| Total | 144.5 | 143.9 | Under 0.6 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | FAIR 70.2 · MRMK 73.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MRMK -2.0 | MRMK -9.0 |
| 1H total | 67.4 | 69 |
| 1H projected score | FAIR 32.7 · MRMK 34.7 | FAIR 30 · MRMK 39 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FAIRlast 9 | 5-4 56% | 3-6 33% | 5-4 56% |
| MRMK | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
FAIR 0–2 MRMKMRMK leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · MRMK has won the last 2 meetings · FAIR 0-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | MRMK 75 @ FAIR 54 | FAIR +4.5 | MRMK W |
| Jan 3, 2024-25 | FAIR 54 @ MRMK 67 | MRMK -7.5 | MRMK W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Fairfield
9 games played
Straight up
5-4
56% wins
Against the spread
3-6
33% covers · avg −1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-4
56% overs · avg +5.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ PSU | L 68-76 | +15.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 8 | @ NJIT | W 74-53 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 10 | @ HALL | L 59-82 | +14.5 | L −8.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 14 | vs STO | W 73-71 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 16 | vs L-MD | W 85-82 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 22 | @ LEM | W 97-83 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 26 | vs COLU | L 77-106 | +3.5 | L −25.5 | 150.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 30 | vs UNH | W 72-68 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 5 | @ MAN | L 66-70 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@PSU
PSUL 68-76
+7.5
8
@NJIT
NJITW 74-53
+14.5
10
@HALL
HALLL 59-82
−8.5
14
vsSTO
STOW 73-71
−4.5
16
vsL-MD
L-MDW 85-82
−2.5
22
@LEM
LEMW 97-83
+12.5
26
vsCOLU
COLUL 77-106
−25.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 72-68
−5.5
5
@MAN
MANL 66-70
−5.5
covered 3didn’t cover 6avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@PSU
PSUL 68-76
−7.5
8
@NJIT
NJITW 74-53
−18.5
10
@HALL
HALLL 59-82
+3.5
14
vsSTO
STOW 73-71
+0.5
16
vsL-MD
L-MDW 85-82
+31.5
22
@LEM
LEMW 97-83
+34.5
26
vsCOLU
COLUL 77-106
+32.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 72-68
−7.5
5
@MAN
MANL 66-70
−19.5
over 5under 4avg +5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Merrimack
10 games played
Straight up
4-6
40% wins
Against the spread
4-6
40% covers · avg −3.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-6
40% overs · avg −1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SDST | L 66-75 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 6 | @ AUB | L 57-95 | +23.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 11 | @ TAR | L 62-76 | +4.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 15 | @ BU | W 91-79 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 135.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 19 | vs ME | W 72-65 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 130.5 | O 137 |
| Nov 21 | @ FLA | L 45-80 | +36.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 28 | @ PENN | L 65-77 | +2.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | vs HOF | L 58-78 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 135.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 30 | vs LAS | W 66-60 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 132.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 4 | vs RID | W 68-66 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | U 134 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSDST
SDSTL 66-75
−2.5
6
@AUB
AUBL 57-95
−14.5
11
@TAR
TARL 62-76
−9.5
15
@BU
BUW 91-79
+14.5
19
vsME
MEW 72-65
+0.5
21
@FLA
FLAL 45-80
+1.5
28
@PENN
PENNL 65-77
−9.5
29
vsHOF
HOFL 58-78
−14.5
30
vsLAS
LASW 66-60
+8.5
4
vsRID
RIDW 68-66
−7.5
covered 4didn’t cover 6avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSDST
SDSTL 66-75
−2.5
6
@AUB
AUBL 57-95
+3.5
11
@TAR
TARL 62-76
−4.5
15
@BU
BUW 91-79
+34.5
19
vsME
MEW 72-65
+6.5
21
@FLA
FLAL 45-80
−33.5
28
@PENN
PENNL 65-77
−10.5
29
vsHOF
HOFL 58-78
+0.5
30
vsLAS
LASW 66-60
−6.5
4
vsRID
RIDW 68-66
−4.5
over 4under 6avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Fairfield
5-4 overall · 0-1 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Manhattan66–70
- Wvs New Hampshire72–68
- Lvs Columbia77–106
- W@ Le Moyne97–83
- Wvs Loyola MD85–82
2 days since their last game.
Merrimack
4-6 overall · 1-0 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Rider68–66
- Wvs La Salle66–60
- Lvs Hofstra58–78
- L@ Penn65–77
- L@ Florida45–80
3 days since their last game.