McDougald-McLendon Arena · at NC Central · Conference game
Closing line
NCCU -2.5✓ UMES covered by 0.5
NCCU -2.5✓ UMES covered by 0.5Closing total134.5Under by 6.5
 UMES | This season | NCCU |
|---|---|---|
| 6-14 | Record | 3-12 |
| 13-7 | ATS | 9-6 |
| 9-11 | O/U | 7-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UMES 68–70 NCCU · ✓ NCCU (56%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UMES | 24 | 39 | 63 |
| NCCU | 26 | 39 | 65 |
1st half: UMES 24, NCCU 26 (NCCU by 2). The model had NCCU by 0.9 and a total of 64.4 (actual 50).
Team stats
| UMES | NCCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-49 49% | Field goals | 24-50 48% |
| 9-16 56% | 3-pointers | 7-22 32% |
| 6-9 67% | Free throws | 10-16 63% |
| 34 12 off | Rebounds | 22 8 off |
| 10 | Assists | 14 |
| 5 | Steals | 11 |
| 1 | Blocks | 1 |
| 22 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| UMES | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Cooper G | 37 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 4-10 | 4-5 |
| Zion Obanla G | 37 | 19 | 15 | 1 | 7-13 | 1-1 |
| Michael Teal G | 34 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 4-5 | 0-1 |
| Dorion Staples F | 33 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 5-8 | 4-7 |
| Joseph Locandro F | 21 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Justin Monden G | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Christopher Flippin PF | 11 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Johnson PG | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Javoy Thompson G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Maurio Hanson Jr. F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Levi Beckwith, Devin Thomas, Trey Brown, Trey Hall, Maurice Vassel
| NCCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gage Lattimore G | 40 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1-9 | 1-7 |
| Dionte Johnson G | 38 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 7-10 | 2-4 |
| Jae Slack F | 31 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 7-14 | 4-7 |
| Khouri Carvey F | 28 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Tekao Carpenter G | 26 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kelechi Okworogwo F | 19 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Kyric Davis G | 16 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Archey G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Khalil Arnold, Ramondo Battle II, Justin Edwards, Camren Daniels, Gbenga Olubi, Caleb Ellison, Jonathan Dunn
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNCCU -2.5
ModelNCCU -1.7
Model edgeUMES +0.8
W UMES covered
Total
Market134.5
Model137.4
Model edgeOver 2.9
L Under
Projected score
UMES 67.8 · NCCU 69.6
UMES 63 · NCCU 65
Win probability
NCCU 56%
1st half
Spread
NCCU -0.9
NCCU -2.0
Total
64.4
50 points
Projected score
UMES 31.7 · NCCU 32.6
UMES 24 · NCCU 26
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNCCU -3.5
1 → UMES
CloseNCCU -2.5
1 pt toward UMES
Total
Open136.5
▼ 2
Close134.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
UMES +140 · NCCU -166
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NCCU -3.5 · closed NCCU -2.5 · moved 1 toward UMESmodel NCCU -1.5
model NCCU -1.5
Opened 136.5 · closed 134.5 · moved 2 downmodel 137.5
model 137.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UMES | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| NCCU | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
UMES 3–7 NCCUNCCU leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · UMES 4-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2024-25 | NCCU 59 @ UMES 68 | UMES +6.5 | UMES W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | UMES 69 @ NCCU 88 | NCCU -10.5 | NCCU W |
| Mar 13, 2023-24 | UMES 81 vs NCCU 87 | NCCU -8.5 | UMES W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | UMES 55 @ NCCU 88 | NCCU -9.5 | NCCU W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | NCCU 65 @ UMES 57 | UMES +4.5 | NCCU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
MD Eastern
20 games played
Straight up
6-14
30% wins
Against the spread
13-7
65% covers · avg +3.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-11
45% overs · avg −0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ GT | L 52-56 | +28.5 | W +24.5 | 139.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 5 | @ UGA | L 29-94 | +33.5 | L −31.5 | 142.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 11 | @ NEB | L 50-69 | +35.5 | W +16.5 | 146.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 14 | @ CREI | L 45-84 | +33.5 | L −5.5 | 135.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 18 | @ LONG | W 83-82 | +17.5 | W +18.5 | 138.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 21 | @ CAN | L 57-60 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 128.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 22 | vs BING | W 63-52 | +5.5 | W +16.5 | 125.5 | U 115 |
| Nov 25 | vs HAMP | L 68-74 | +6.5 | W +0.5 | 124.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 2 | @ ECU | L 56-68 | +12.5 | W +0.5 | 127.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 6 | @ AMER | L 60-78 | +10.5 | L −7.5 | 130.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 9 | @ UVA | L 60-84 | +36.5 | W +12.5 | 134.5 | O 144 |
| Dec 12 | @ NCAT | L 79-82 | +7.5 | W +4.5 | 130.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 14 | @ VT | L 53-82 | +27.5 | L −1.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 17 | @ WAG | L 64-78 | +4.5 | L −9.5 | 131.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 22 | @ TEX | L 71-94 | +33.5 | W +10.5 | 138.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 3 | vs MORG | W 66-49 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 138.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 10 | vs HOW | W 69-57 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 130.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 12 | @ NORF | W 74-70 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 132.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 17 | vs COPP | W 70-67 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 133.5 | O 137 |
| Jan 31 | @ DSU | L 57-65 | -2.5 | L −10.5 | 128.5 | U 122 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@GT
GTL 52-56
+24.5
5
@UGA
UGAL 29-94
−31.5
11
@NEB
NEBL 50-69
+16.5
14
@CREI
CREIL 45-84
−5.5
18
@LONG
LONGW 83-82
+18.5
21
@CAN
CANL 57-60
+0.5
22
vsBING
BINGW 63-52
+16.5
25
vsHAMP
HAMPL 68-74
+0.5
2
@ECU
ECUL 56-68
+0.5
6
@AMER
AMERL 60-78
−7.5
9
@UVA
UVAL 60-84
+12.5
12
@NCAT
NCATL 79-82
+4.5
14
@VT
VTL 53-82
−1.5
17
@WAG
WAGL 64-78
−9.5
22
@TEX
TEXL 71-94
+10.5
3
vsMORG
MORGW 66-49
+10.5
10
vsHOW
HOWW 69-57
+14.5
12
@NORF
NORFW 74-70
+9.5
17
vsCOPP
COPPW 70-67
−7.5
31
@DSU
DSUL 57-65
−10.5
covered 13didn’t cover 7avg +3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@GT
GTL 52-56
−31.5
5
@UGA
UGAL 29-94
−19.5
11
@NEB
NEBL 50-69
−27.5
14
@CREI
CREIL 45-84
−6.5
18
@LONG
LONGW 83-82
+26.5
21
@CAN
CANL 57-60
−11.5
22
vsBING
BINGW 63-52
−10.5
25
vsHAMP
HAMPL 68-74
+17.5
2
@ECU
ECUL 56-68
−3.5
6
@AMER
AMERL 60-78
+7.5
9
@UVA
UVAL 60-84
+9.5
12
@NCAT
NCATL 79-82
+30.5
14
@VT
VTL 53-82
−4.5
17
@WAG
WAGL 64-78
+10.5
22
@TEX
TEXL 71-94
+26.5
3
vsMORG
MORGW 66-49
−23.5
10
vsHOW
HOWW 69-57
−4.5
12
@NORF
NORFW 74-70
+11.5
17
vsCOPP
COPPW 70-67
+3.5
31
@DSU
DSUL 57-65
−6.5
over 9under 11avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
NC Central
15 games played
Straight up
3-12
20% wins
Against the spread
9-6
60% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-8
47% overs · avg +2.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ NCSU | L 66-114 | +31.5 | L −16.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 7 | @UVA | L 62-81 | +34.5 | W +15.5 | 151.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 9 | @ APP | L 54-76 | +10.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | @ UNC | L 53-97 | +34.5 | L −9.5 | 159.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 22 | @ DAY | L 55-74 | +29.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 25 | @ UPST | L 67-82 | +7.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 3 | @ JMU | L 62-67 | +14.5 | W +9.5 | 143.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 6 | vsNCAT | L 54-69 | +2.5 | L −12.5 | 142.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 9 | @ UK | L 67-103 | +42.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 20 | vsLONG | L 72-74 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 29 | @ PSU | L 67-90 | +23.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 3 | vsNORF | W 69-67 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 10 | @COPP | W 88-77 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 12 | @MORG | W 89-78 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | vsHOW | L 69-83 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@NCSU
NCSUL 66-114
−16.5
7
@UVA
UVAL 62-81
+15.5
9
@APP
APPL 54-76
−11.5
14
@UNC
UNCL 53-97
−9.5
22
@DAY
DAYL 55-74
+10.5
25
@UPST
UPSTL 67-82
−7.5
3
@JMU
JMUL 62-67
+9.5
6
vsNCAT
NCATL 54-69
−12.5
9
@UK
UKL 67-103
+6.5
20
vsLONG
LONGL 72-74
+1.5
29
@PSU
PSUL 67-90
+0.5
3
vsNORF
NORFW 69-67
+3.5
10
@COPP
COPPW 88-77
+4.5
12
@MORG
MORGW 89-78
+7.5
17
vsHOW
HOWL 69-83
−11.5
covered 9didn’t cover 6avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@NCSU
NCSUL 66-114
+34.5
7
@UVA
UVAL 62-81
−8.5
9
@APP
APPL 54-76
−6.5
14
@UNC
UNCL 53-97
−9.5
22
@DAY
DAYL 55-74
−17.5
25
@UPST
UPSTL 67-82
+0.5
3
@JMU
JMUL 62-67
−14.5
6
vsNCAT
NCATL 54-69
−19.5
9
@UK
UKL 67-103
+21.5
20
vsLONG
LONGL 72-74
−0.5
29
@PSU
PSUL 67-90
+6.5
3
vsNORF
NORFW 69-67
−5.5
10
@COPP
COPPW 88-77
+21.5
12
@MORG
MORGW 89-78
+25.5
17
vsHOW
HOWL 69-83
+10.5
over 7under 8avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
MD Eastern
6-14 overall · 4-1 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Delaware St57–65
- Wvs Coppin St70–67
- W@ Norfolk St74–70
- Wvs Howard69–57
- Wvs Morgan St66–49
2 days since their last game.
NC Central
3-12 overall · 3-1 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Howard69–83
- W@ Morgan St89–78
- W@ Coppin St88–77
- Wvs Norfolk St69–67
- L@ Penn State67–90
A week or more of rest.