Fiserv Forum · at Marquette · Conference game
Closing line
MARQ -2.5✓ PROV covered by 1.5
MARQ -2.5✓ PROV covered by 1.5Closing total167.5Over by 41.5
 PROV | This season | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| 9-9 | Record | 6-13 |
| 10-8 | ATS | 5-14 |
| 13-5 | O/U | 10-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PROV 86–84 MARQ · ✗ PROV (55%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PROV | 44 | 50 | 10 | 104 |
| MARQ | 54 | 40 | 11 | 105 |
1st half: PROV 44, MARQ 54 (MARQ by 10). The model had PROV by 1.0 and a total of 79.5 (actual 98).
Team stats
| PROV | MARQ | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-64 50% | Field goals | 39-73 53% |
| 11-27 41% | 3-pointers | 8-23 35% |
| 29-33 88% | Free throws | 19-30 63% |
| 42 14 off | Rebounds | 30 13 off |
| 17 | Assists | 22 |
| 2 | Steals | 16 |
| 4 | Blocks | 4 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 21 | Fouls | 20 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 60 |
| 17 | Fast-break points | 28 |
Players
| PROV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefan Vaaks G | 40 | 26 | 1 | 4 | 7-18 | 6-15 |
| Jaylin Sellers G | 38 | 27 | 3 | 5 | 8-16 | 1-5 |
| Jamier Jones G | 37 | 17 | 9 | 0 | 5-11 | 0-2 |
| Oswin Erhunmwunse F | 36 | 7 | 15 | 3 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Mela G | 18 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Corey Floyd Jr. G | 37 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 3-5 | 1-1 |
| Duncan Powell F | 14 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 4-5 | 3-4 |
| Nilavan Daniels G | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Peteris Pinnis F | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jack Williams, Jason Edwards, Jaylen Harrell, Rich Barron, Cole Hargrove, Daquan Davis
| MARQ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nigel James Jr. G | 42 | 38 | 3 | 8 | 13-20 | 4-6 |
| Royce Parham F | 41 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 8-12 | 1-3 |
| Chase Ross G | 39 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 5-14 | 0-2 |
| Ben Gold F | 35 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 6-12 | 1-6 |
| Adrien Stevens G | 29 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Damarius Owens SF | 24 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Michael Phillips II SF | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Tre Norman G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Caedin Hamilton F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Braeden Brenn, Sheek Pearson, Ian Miletic, Nash Walker, Joshua Clark, Casey O'Malley, Jonah Lucas, Sean Jones, Zaide Lowery
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMARQ -1.5
1 → MARQ
CloseMARQ -2.5
1 pt toward MARQ
Total
Open165.5
▲ 2
Close167.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
PROV +124 · MARQ -148
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MARQ -1.5 · closed MARQ -2.5 · moved 1 toward MARQmodel PROV -1.5
model PROV -1.5
Opened 165.5 · closed 167.5 · moved 2 upmodel 170
model 170
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MARQ -2.5 | PROV -1.4 | PROV +3.9 | W PROV covered |
| Total | 167.5 | 169.9 | Over 2.4 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | PROV 85.7 · MARQ 84.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | PROV -1.0 | MARQ -10.0 |
| 1H total | 79.5 | 98 |
| 1H projected score | PROV 40.2 · MARQ 39.3 | PROV 44 · MARQ 54 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROV | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
| MARQ | 1-9 10% | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
PROV 3–6 MARQMARQ leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · MARQ has won the last 4 meetings · PROV 2-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024-25 | PROV 52 @ MARQ 82 | MARQ -13.5 | MARQ W |
| Dec 31, 2024-25 | MARQ 78 @ PROV 50 | PROV +7.5 | MARQ W |
| Mar 15, 2023-24 | PROV 68 vs MARQ 79 | MARQ -4.5 | MARQ W |
| Feb 28, 2023-24 | PROV 69 @ MARQ 91 | MARQ -11.5 | MARQ W |
| Dec 19, 2023-24 | MARQ 57 @ PROV 72 | PROV +4.5 | PROV W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Providence
18 games played
Straight up
9-9
50% wins
Against the spread
10-8
56% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-5
72% overs · avg +13.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs HC | W 89-79 | -23.5 | L −13.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 8 | vs VT | L 101-107 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | O 208 |
| Nov 11 | vs PENN | W 106-81 | -19.5 | W +5.5 | 172.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 14 | @ COLO | L 88-97 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 163.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 18 | vs UNH | W 98-66 | -29.5 | W +2.5 | 161.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 22 | vs PSU | W 77-65 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 165.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 27 | vs WIS | L 83-104 | +6.5 | L −14.5 | 166.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 28 | vs FLA | L 78-90 | +12.5 | W +0.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Dec 2 | vs FDU | W 94-64 | -26.5 | W +3.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
| Dec 6 | vs URI | W 90-71 | -7.5 | W +11.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 9 | vs BRWN | W 86-79 | -19.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 13 | @ BTLR | L 110-113 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 164.5 | O 223 |
| Dec 19 | vs HALL | L 67-72 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 3 | @ SJU | W 77-71 | +14.5 | W +20.5 | 166.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 7 | vs CONN | L 98-103 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | O 201 |
| Jan 10 | @ XAV | L 84-97 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 165.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 13 | vs VILL | L 82-88 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 16 | vs CREI | W 93-88 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 161.5 | O 181 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsHC
HCW 89-79
−13.5
8
vsVT
VTL 101-107
−8.5
11
vsPENN
PENNW 106-81
+5.5
14
@COLO
COLOL 88-97
−7.5
18
vsUNH
UNHW 98-66
+2.5
22
vsPSU
PSUW 77-65
+8.5
27
vsWIS
WISL 83-104
−14.5
28
vsFLA
FLAL 78-90
+0.5
2
vsFDU
FDUW 94-64
+3.5
6
vsURI
URIW 90-71
+11.5
9
vsBRWN
BRWNW 86-79
−12.5
13
@BTLR
BTLRL 110-113
+0.5
19
vsHALL
HALLL 67-72
−6.5
3
@SJU
SJUW 77-71
+20.5
7
vsCONN
CONNL 98-103
+4.5
10
@XAV
XAVL 84-97
−14.5
13
vsVILL
VILLL 82-88
−3.5
16
vsCREI
CREIW 93-88
+7.5
covered 10didn’t cover 8avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsHC
HCW 89-79
+15.5
8
vsVT
VTL 101-107
+50.5
11
vsPENN
PENNW 106-81
+14.5
14
@COLO
COLOL 88-97
+21.5
18
vsUNH
UNHW 98-66
+2.5
22
vsPSU
PSUW 77-65
−23.5
27
vsWIS
WISL 83-104
+20.5
28
vsFLA
FLAL 78-90
−1.5
2
vsFDU
FDUW 94-64
−4.5
6
vsURI
URIW 90-71
+1.5
9
vsBRWN
BRWNW 86-79
+19.5
13
@BTLR
BTLRL 110-113
+58.5
19
vsHALL
HALLL 67-72
−13.5
3
@SJU
SJUW 77-71
−18.5
7
vsCONN
CONNL 98-103
+48.5
10
@XAV
XAVL 84-97
+15.5
13
vsVILL
VILLL 82-88
+13.5
16
vsCREI
CREIW 93-88
+19.5
over 13under 5avg +13.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Marquette
19 games played
Straight up
6-13
32% wins
Against the spread
5-14
26% covers · avg −6.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-9
53% overs · avg −0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UALB | W 80-53 | -24.5 | W +2.5 | 149.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 5 | vs SOU | W 100-82 | -24.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 9 | vs IU | L 77-100 | +3.5 | L −19.5 | 156.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 12 | vs LR | W 89-49 | -21.5 | W +18.5 | 155.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 15 | vs MD | L 82-89 | -8.5 | L −15.5 | 146.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 19 | vs DAY | L 71-77 | -6.5 | L −12.5 | 151.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 22 | vs CMU | W 85-71 | -25.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 28 | vs OU | L 74-75 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 162.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 2 | vs VAL | W 75-72 | -17.5 | L −14.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 6 | @WIS | L 76-96 | +11.5 | L −8.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | @ PUR | L 59-79 | +16.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 17 | vs GTWN | L 69-78 | -6.5 | L −15.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 20 | @CREI | L 63-84 | +6.5 | L −14.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 30 | vsHALL | L 73-79 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 4 | @CONN | L 57-73 | +17.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 7 | vsXAV | W 66-65 | -5.5 | L −4.5 | 157.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 10 | vsVILL | L 73-76 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 13 | @SJU | L 68-92 | +15.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 16 | @ DEP | L 75-80 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUALB
UALBW 80-53
+2.5
5
vsSOU
SOUW 100-82
−6.5
9
vsIU
IUL 77-100
−19.5
12
vsLR
LRW 89-49
+18.5
15
vsMD
MDL 82-89
−15.5
19
vsDAY
DAYL 71-77
−12.5
22
vsCMU
CMUW 85-71
−11.5
28
vsOU
OUL 74-75
+0.5
2
vsVAL
VALW 75-72
−14.5
6
@WIS
WISL 76-96
−8.5
13
@PUR
PURL 59-79
−3.5
17
vsGTWN
GTWNL 69-78
−15.5
20
@CREI
CREIL 63-84
−14.5
30
vsHALL
HALLL 73-79
−7.5
4
@CONN
CONNL 57-73
+1.5
7
vsXAV
XAVW 66-65
−4.5
10
vsVILL
VILLL 73-76
+0.5
13
@SJU
SJUL 68-92
−8.5
16
@DEP
DEPL 75-80
−2.5
covered 5didn’t cover 14avg −6.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUALB
UALBW 80-53
−16.5
5
vsSOU
SOUW 100-82
+26.5
9
vsIU
IUL 77-100
+20.5
12
vsLR
LRW 89-49
−17.5
15
vsMD
MDL 82-89
+24.5
19
vsDAY
DAYL 71-77
−3.5
22
vsCMU
CMUW 85-71
+3.5
28
vsOU
OUL 74-75
−13.5
2
vsVAL
VALW 75-72
+0.5
6
@WIS
WISL 76-96
+11.5
13
@PUR
PURL 59-79
−16.5
17
vsGTWN
GTWNL 69-78
−2.5
20
@CREI
CREIL 63-84
−4.5
30
vsHALL
HALLL 73-79
+6.5
4
@CONN
CONNL 57-73
−14.5
7
vsXAV
XAVW 66-65
−26.5
10
vsVILL
VILLL 73-76
+2.5
13
@SJU
SJUL 68-92
+4.5
16
@DEP
DEPL 75-80
+9.5
over 10under 9avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Providence
9-9 overall · 2-5 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Creighton93–88
- Lvs Villanova82–88
- L@ Xavier84–97
- Lvs UConn98–103
- W@ St John's77–71
3 days since their last game.
Marquette
6-13 overall · 1-7 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ DePaul75–80
- L@ St John's68–92
- Lvs Villanova73–76
- Wvs Xavier66–65
- L@ UConn57–73
3 days since their last game.