CHI Health Center Omaha · at Creighton · Conference game
Closing line
CREI -6.5✓ CREI covered by 14.5
CREI -6.5✓ CREI covered by 14.5Closing total151.5Under by 4.5
 MARQ | This season | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| 5-7 | Record | 6-5 |
| 3-9 | ATS | 4-7 |
| 6-6 | O/U | 3-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MARQ 71–79 CREI · ✓ CREI (76%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MARQ | 32 | 31 | 63 |
| CREI | 46 | 38 | 84 |
1st half: MARQ 32, CREI 46 (CREI by 14). The model had CREI by 4.7 and a total of 70.5 (actual 78).
Team stats
| MARQ | CREI | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-64 34% | Field goals | 29-62 47% |
| 8-24 33% | 3-pointers | 10-27 37% |
| 11-20 55% | Free throws | 16-20 80% |
| 37 9 off | Rebounds | 44 6 off |
| 11 | Assists | 13 |
| 8 | Steals | 7 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 18 | Fouls | 17 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| MARQ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nigel James Jr. G | 30 | 23 | 6 | 3 | 8-18 | 3-6 |
| Chase Ross G | 26 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3-13 | 1-3 |
| Adrien Stevens G | 23 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Royce Parham F | 19 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Caedin Hamilton F | 12 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Damarius Owens SF | 23 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Sean Jones G | 20 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 3-6 | 3-5 |
| Ben Gold F | 15 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Michael Phillips II SF | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Joshua Clark F | 12 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Tre Norman G | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Zaide Lowery, Casey O'Malley, Ian Miletic, Jonah Lucas, Sheek Pearson, Braeden Brenn
| CREI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Traudt F | 31 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 4-9 | 3-8 |
| Josh Dix G | 30 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 3-12 | 1-7 |
| Jasen Green F | 27 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Austin Swartz G | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4-11 | 1-5 |
| Ty Davis G | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nik Graves G | 22 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 6-7 | 4-4 |
| Blake Harper G | 18 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Fedor Zugic G | 15 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Owen Freeman F | 11 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Kerem Konan F | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Shane Thomas G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Josh Townley-Thomas, Jackson McAndrew, Liam McChesney, Hudson Greer, Aleksa Dimitrijevic
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCREI -6.5
ModelCREI -8.0
Model edgeCREI +1.5
W CREI covered
Total
Market151.5
Model150.6
Model edgeUnder 0.9
W Under
Projected score
MARQ 71.3 · CREI 79.3
MARQ 63 · CREI 84
Win probability
CREI 76%
1st half
Spread
CREI -4.7
CREI -14.0
Total
70.5
78 points
Projected score
MARQ 32.9 · CREI 37.6
MARQ 32 · CREI 46
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCREI -7.5
1 → MARQ
CloseCREI -6.5
1 pt toward MARQ
Total
Open149.5
▲ 2
Close151.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
MARQ +240 · CREI -298
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CREI -7.5 · closed CREI -6.5 · moved 1 toward MARQmodel CREI -8
model CREI -8
Opened 149.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 2 upmodel 150.5
model 150.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MARQ | 3-7 30% | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% |
| CREI | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
MARQ 4–5 CREICREI leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · MARQ 3-5-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | MARQ 67 @ CREI 77 | CREI -3.5 | CREI W |
| Jan 3, 2024-25 | CREI 71 @ MARQ 79 | MARQ -10.5 | CREI W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | MARQ 75 @ CREI 89 | CREI -8 | CREI W |
| Dec 30, 2023-24 | CREI 67 @ MARQ 72 | MARQ -3.5 | MARQ W |
| Feb 21, 2022-23 | MARQ 73 @ CREI 71 | CREI -5.5 | MARQ W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Marquette
12 games played
Straight up
5-7
42% wins
Against the spread
3-9
25% covers · avg −7.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-6
50% overs · avg +1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UALB | W 80-53 | -24.5 | W +2.5 | 149.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 5 | vs SOU | W 100-82 | -24.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 9 | vs IU | L 77-100 | +3.5 | L −19.5 | 156.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 12 | vs LR | W 89-49 | -21.5 | W +18.5 | 155.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 15 | vs MD | L 82-89 | -8.5 | L −15.5 | 146.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 19 | vs DAY | L 71-77 | -6.5 | L −12.5 | 151.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 22 | vs CMU | W 85-71 | -25.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 28 | vs OU | L 74-75 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 162.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 2 | vs VAL | W 75-72 | -17.5 | L −14.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 6 | @ WIS | L 76-96 | +11.5 | L −8.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | @ PUR | L 59-79 | +16.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 17 | vs GTWN | L 69-78 | -6.5 | L −15.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUALB
UALBW 80-53
+2.5
5
vsSOU
SOUW 100-82
−6.5
9
vsIU
IUL 77-100
−19.5
12
vsLR
LRW 89-49
+18.5
15
vsMD
MDL 82-89
−15.5
19
vsDAY
DAYL 71-77
−12.5
22
vsCMU
CMUW 85-71
−11.5
28
vsOU
OUL 74-75
+0.5
2
vsVAL
VALW 75-72
−14.5
6
@WIS
WISL 76-96
−8.5
13
@PUR
PURL 59-79
−3.5
17
vsGTWN
GTWNL 69-78
−15.5
covered 3didn’t cover 9avg −7.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUALB
UALBW 80-53
−16.5
5
vsSOU
SOUW 100-82
+26.5
9
vsIU
IUL 77-100
+20.5
12
vsLR
LRW 89-49
−17.5
15
vsMD
MDL 82-89
+24.5
19
vsDAY
DAYL 71-77
−3.5
22
vsCMU
CMUW 85-71
+3.5
28
vsOU
OUL 74-75
−13.5
2
vsVAL
VALW 75-72
+0.5
6
@WIS
WISL 76-96
+11.5
13
@PUR
PURL 59-79
−16.5
17
vsGTWN
GTWNL 69-78
−2.5
over 6under 6avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Creighton
11 games played
Straight up
6-5
55% wins
Against the spread
4-7
36% covers · avg −2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-8
27% overs · avg −6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs SDAK | W 92-76 | -29.5 | L −13.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Nov 11 | @ GONZ | L 63-90 | +12.5 | L −14.5 | 164.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 14 | vs UMES | W 84-45 | -33.5 | W +5.5 | 135.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 19 | vs UND | W 75-60 | -29.5 | L −14.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 24 | vs BAY | L 74-81 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 25 | vs ISU | L 60-78 | +9.5 | L −8.5 | 152.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 27 | vs ORE | W 76-66 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 2 | vs NICH | W 96-76 | -18.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 7 | @ NEB | L 50-71 | +5.5 | L −15.5 | 155.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | vs KSU | L 76-83 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 17 | @ XAV | W 98-57 | +2.5 | W +43.5 | 151.5 | O 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsSDAK
SDAKW 92-76
−13.5
11
@GONZ
GONZL 63-90
−14.5
14
vsUMES
UMESW 84-45
+5.5
19
vsUND
UNDW 75-60
−14.5
24
vsBAY
BAYL 74-81
−3.5
25
vsISU
ISUL 60-78
−8.5
27
vsORE
OREW 76-66
+7.5
2
vsNICH
NICHW 96-76
+1.5
7
@NEB
NEBL 50-71
−15.5
13
vsKSU
KSUL 76-83
−11.5
17
@XAV
XAVW 98-57
+43.5
covered 4didn’t cover 7avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsSDAK
SDAKW 92-76
−1.5
11
@GONZ
GONZL 63-90
−11.5
14
vsUMES
UMESW 84-45
−6.5
19
vsUND
UNDW 75-60
−20.5
24
vsBAY
BAYL 74-81
+0.5
25
vsISU
ISUL 60-78
−14.5
27
vsORE
OREW 76-66
−8.5
2
vsNICH
NICHW 96-76
+28.5
7
@NEB
NEBL 50-71
−34.5
13
vsKSU
KSUL 76-83
−0.5
17
@XAV
XAVW 98-57
+3.5
over 3under 8avg −6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Marquette
5-7 overall · 0-1 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Georgetown69–78
- L@ Purdue59–79
- L@ Wisconsin76–96
- Wvs Valparaiso75–72
- Lvs Oklahoma74–75
3 days since their last game.
Creighton
6-5 overall · 1-0 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Xavier98–57
- Lvs Kansas St76–83
- L@ Nebraska50–71
- Wvs Nicholls96–76
- Wvs Oregon76–66
3 days since their last game.