Lee & Penny Anderson Arena · at St Thomas · Conference game
Closing line
STMN -6.5✓ SDST covered by 1.5
STMN -6.5✓ SDST covered by 1.5Closing total155.5Under by 12.5
 SDST | This season | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| 7-10 | Record | 12-5 |
| 8-9 | ATS | 7-10 |
| 10-7 | O/U | 10-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SDST 75–80 STMN · ✓ STMN (65%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SDST | 32 | 37 | 69 |
| STMN | 33 | 41 | 74 |
1st half: SDST 32, STMN 33 (STMN by 1). The model had STMN by 2.6 and a total of 72.7 (actual 65).
Team stats
| SDST | STMN | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-60 47% | Field goals | 24-52 46% |
| 7-22 32% | 3-pointers | 8-26 31% |
| 6-13 46% | Free throws | 18-24 75% |
| 34 10 off | Rebounds | 34 7 off |
| 16 | Assists | 15 |
| 9 | Steals | 8 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 20 | Fouls | 13 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| SDST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Sayler G | 37 | 24 | 5 | 2 | 10-15 | 3-6 |
| Jaden Jackson G | 36 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 2-12 | 1-8 |
| Damon Wilkinson F | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Matthew Mors F | 24 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 5-5 | 2-2 |
| Kalen Garry G | 21 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0-7 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Bubz Alvarez G | 21 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Alec Squires C | 15 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Luke Haertle G | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Rogers G | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Caleb Delzell F | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Trey Buchanan, Andrell Burton Jr., Jadyn Cascio Jensen, Davis Kern
| STMN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Janowski G | 35 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 6-13 | 1-5 |
| Nolan Minessale G | 35 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 4-10 | 1-6 |
| Carter Bjerke F | 30 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 8-13 | 5-8 |
| Austin Herro G | 26 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Ben Oosterbaan F | 20 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ryan Dufault G | 28 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Jermaine Coleman F | 13 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Isaiah Johnson-Arigu F | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Hayden Tibbits G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Adam Tauer, Kyle Counts, Tim Franks, Ryan Lafferty, Tommy Humphries Jr., Luka Momcilovic, Jack Tauer
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSTMN -6.5
ModelSTMN -4.5
Model edgeSDST +2.0
W SDST covered
Total
Market155.5
Model155.3
Model edgeUnder 0.2
W Under
Projected score
SDST 75.4 · STMN 79.9
SDST 69 · STMN 74
Win probability
STMN 65%
1st half
Spread
STMN -2.6
STMN -1.0
Total
72.7
65 points
Projected score
SDST 35.1 · STMN 37.6
SDST 32 · STMN 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSTMN -7.5
1 → SDST
CloseSTMN -6.5
1 pt toward SDST
Total
Open155.5
no move
Close155.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
SDST +240 · STMN -298
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened STMN -7.5 · closed STMN -6.5 · moved 1 toward SDSTmodel STMN -4.5
model STMN -4.5
Opened 155.5 · unchangedmodel 155.5 matches the line
model 155.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SDST | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% | 8-2 80% |
| STMN | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
SDST 7–2 STMNSDST leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · SDST 7-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2024-25 | STMN 86 @ SDST 102 | SDST -3.5 | SDST W |
| Jan 8, 2024-25 | SDST 72 @ STMN 73 | STMN -2.5 | SDST W |
| Mar 11, 2023-24 | STMN 49 vs SDST 59 | SDST -3.5 | SDST W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | STMN 72 @ SDST 77 | SDST -4.5 | SDST W |
| Jan 11, 2023-24 | SDST 81 @ STMN 80 | STMN -1.5 | SDST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
S Dakota St
17 games played
Straight up
7-10
41% wins
Against the spread
8-9
47% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-7
59% overs · avg +0 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MRMK | W 75-66 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 9 | @ UNI | L 58-65 | +10.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 12 | @ ORE | L 69-83 | +16.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 21 | vs GAST | W 105-58 | -12.5 | W +34.5 | 143.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 25 | vs UVU | L 52-75 | +1.5 | L −21.5 | 151.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 26 | vs UCI | L 52-64 | +2.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | U 116 |
| Dec 3 | @ NAU | W 75-62 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | vs IDHO | L 81-84 | -5.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 9 | @ BALL | W 68-64 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 15 | vs WYO | L 72-87 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 19 | @ MILW | L 87-88 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 29 | @ ARIZ | L 71-99 | +31.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 1 | vs OMA | W 84-69 | -9.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 3 | @ UND | L 87-90 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 8 | vs DEN | W 87-79 | -8.5 | L −0.5 | 162.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 14 | @ NDSU | L 65-76 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 17 | vs KC | W 90-62 | -13.5 | W +14.5 | 151.5 | O 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMRMK
MRMKW 75-66
+2.5
9
@UNI
UNIL 58-65
+3.5
12
@ORE
OREL 69-83
+2.5
21
vsGAST
GASTW 105-58
+34.5
25
vsUVU
UVUL 52-75
−21.5
26
vsUCI
UCIL 52-64
−9.5
3
@NAU
NAUW 75-62
+10.5
6
vsIDHO
IDHOL 81-84
−8.5
9
@BALL
BALLW 68-64
−1.5
15
vsWYO
WYOL 72-87
−11.5
19
@MILW
MILWL 87-88
−2.5
29
@ARIZ
ARIZL 71-99
+3.5
1
vsOMA
OMAW 84-69
+5.5
3
@UND
UNDL 87-90
−10.5
8
vsDEN
DENW 87-79
−0.5
14
@NDSU
NDSUL 65-76
−5.5
17
vsKC
KCW 90-62
+14.5
covered 8didn’t cover 9avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMRMK
MRMKW 75-66
−2.5
9
@UNI
UNIL 58-65
−27.5
12
@ORE
OREL 69-83
+6.5
21
vsGAST
GASTW 105-58
+19.5
25
vsUVU
UVUL 52-75
−24.5
26
vsUCI
UCIL 52-64
−28.5
3
@NAU
NAUW 75-62
−11.5
6
vsIDHO
IDHOL 81-84
+17.5
9
@BALL
BALLW 68-64
−10.5
15
vsWYO
WYOL 72-87
+9.5
19
@MILW
MILWL 87-88
+23.5
29
@ARIZ
ARIZL 71-99
+10.5
1
vsOMA
OMAW 84-69
+0.5
3
@UND
UNDL 87-90
+24.5
8
vsDEN
DENW 87-79
+3.5
14
@NDSU
NDSUL 65-76
−10.5
17
vsKC
KCW 90-62
+0.5
over 10under 7avg +0 ptslonger = bigger margin
St Thomas
17 games played
Straight up
12-5
71% wins
Against the spread
7-10
41% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-7
59% overs · avg +1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ SMC | L 58-84 | +13.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 8 | vs ARMY | W 83-76 | -18.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 10 | @ WSU | L 71-81 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 13 | vs GB | W 80-61 | -13.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 15 | @ SEMO | W 84-72 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 21 | vs UNCO | W 73-72 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 22 | vs CSUF | L 80-88 | -11.5 | L −19.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 23 | @ PORT | W 76-66 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 3 | @ MTST | L 74-82 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 7 | vs WEB | W 88-65 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 13 | @ UNCA | W 80-59 | -3.5 | W +17.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 20 | vs UCR | W 92-78 | -14.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 4 | vsDEN | W 92-88 | -11.5 | L −7.5 | 163.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 7 | vs SDAK | W 99-86 | -14.5 | L −1.5 | 162.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 10 | @ ORU | W 82-71 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 15 | @UND | W 91-80 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 17 | @NDSU | L 65-68 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@SMC
SMCL 58-84
−12.5
8
vsARMY
ARMYW 83-76
−11.5
10
@WSU
WSUL 71-81
−7.5
13
vsGB
GBW 80-61
+5.5
15
@SEMO
SEMOW 84-72
+9.5
21
vsUNCO
UNCOW 73-72
−3.5
22
vsCSUF
CSUFL 80-88
−19.5
23
@PORT
PORTW 76-66
+4.5
3
@MTST
MTSTL 74-82
−5.5
7
vsWEB
WEBW 88-65
+15.5
13
@UNCA
UNCAW 80-59
+17.5
20
vsUCR
UCRW 92-78
−0.5
4
vsDEN
DENW 92-88
−7.5
7
vsSDAK
SDAKW 99-86
−1.5
10
@ORU
ORUW 82-71
+2.5
15
@UND
UNDW 91-80
+0.5
17
@NDSU
NDSUL 65-68
−0.5
covered 7didn’t cover 10avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SMC
SMCL 58-84
+0.5
8
vsARMY
ARMYW 83-76
+7.5
10
@WSU
WSUL 71-81
−5.5
13
vsGB
GBW 80-61
−9.5
15
@SEMO
SEMOW 84-72
+3.5
21
vsUNCO
UNCOW 73-72
−12.5
22
vsCSUF
CSUFL 80-88
+5.5
23
@PORT
PORTW 76-66
−13.5
3
@MTST
MTSTL 74-82
+8.5
7
vsWEB
WEBW 88-65
−1.5
13
@UNCA
UNCAW 80-59
−9.5
20
vsUCR
UCRW 92-78
+17.5
4
vsDEN
DENW 92-88
+16.5
7
vsSDAK
SDAKW 99-86
+22.5
10
@ORU
ORUW 82-71
+0.5
15
@UND
UNDW 91-80
+19.5
17
@NDSU
NDSUL 65-68
−18.5
over 10under 7avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
S Dakota St
7-10 overall · 3-2 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Kansas City90–62
- L@ N Dakota St65–76
- Wvs Denver87–79
- L@ North Dakota87–90
- Wvs Omaha84–69
5 days since their last game.
St Thomas
12-5 overall · 4-1 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ N Dakota St65–68
- W@ North Dakota91–80
- W@ Oral Roberts82–71
- Wvs South Dakota99–86
- Wvs Denver92–88
5 days since their last game.