Mabee Center · at Oral Roberts · Conference game
Closing line
STMN -8.5✓ STMN covered by 2.5
STMN -8.5✓ STMN covered by 2.5Closing total152.5Over by 0.5
| STMN | This season | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| 10-4 | Record | 2-12 |
| 5-9 | ATS | 8-6 |
| 8-6 | O/U | 6-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: STMN 80–73 ORU · ✓ STMN (73%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| STMN | 43 | 39 | 82 |
| ORU | 40 | 31 | 71 |
1st half: STMN 43, ORU 40 (STMN by 3). The model had STMN by 4.2 and a total of 71.5 (actual 83).
Team stats
| STMN | ORU | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-56 48% | Field goals | 25-54 46% |
| 5-21 24% | 3-pointers | 9-26 35% |
| 23-31 74% | Free throws | 12-22 55% |
| 36 10 off | Rebounds | 30 8 off |
| 10 | Assists | 12 |
| 5 | Steals | 4 |
| 0 | Blocks | 2 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 20 | Fouls | 24 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| STMN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Janowski G | 34 | 23 | 12 | 2 | 6-15 | 0-3 |
| Nolan Minessale G | 29 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 3-9 | 0-3 |
| Carter Bjerke F | 27 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 4-8 | 1-5 |
| Austin Herro G | 26 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ben Oosterbaan F | 22 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 4-10 | 2-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Johnson-Arigu F | 26 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 5-7 | 1-2 |
| Ryan Dufault G | 20 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 4-5 | 1-2 |
| Jermaine Coleman F | 16 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Ryan Lafferty, Jack Tauer, Luka Momcilovic, Tim Franks, Kyle Counts, Adam Tauer, Hayden Tibbits, Tommy Humphries Jr.
| ORU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Dow G | 34 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 8-15 | 3-10 |
| Cal Furnish G | 33 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 2-5 | 1-1 |
| Ofri Naveh F | 30 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 5-13 | 1-4 |
| Jack Turner G | 28 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 1-5 | 1-2 |
| Luke Gray F | 20 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3-5 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Martins Kilups G | 29 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4-8 | 1-5 |
| Chase Martin G | 17 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Baron Smith Jr. C | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Aaron Jacob F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Lane Sparks, Alex Couto, Ty Harper, Laymen McGrady, Yuto Yamanouchi-Williams
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSTMN -8.5
ModelSTMN -6.9
Model edgeORU +1.6
L STMN covered
Total
Market152.5
Model152.7
Model edgeOver 0.2
W Over
Projected score
STMN 79.8 · ORU 72.9
STMN 82 · ORU 71
Win probability
STMN 73%
1st half
Spread
STMN -4.2
STMN -3.0
Total
71.5
83 points
Projected score
STMN 37.9 · ORU 33.6
STMN 43 · ORU 40
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSTMN -9.5
1 → ORU
CloseSTMN -8.5
1 pt toward ORU
Total
Open149.5
▲ 3
Close152.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
STMN -395 · ORU +310
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened STMN -9.5 · closed STMN -8.5 · moved 1 toward ORUmodel STMN -7
model STMN -7
Opened 149.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 3 upmodel 152.5 matches the line
model 152.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| STMN | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| ORU | 2-8 20% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
STMN 3–6 ORUORU leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · STMN 6-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | STMN 66 @ ORU 71 | ORU +8.5 | ORU W |
| Jan 29, 2024-25 | ORU 71 @ STMN 86 | STMN -13.5 | STMN W |
| Feb 8, 2023-24 | ORU 63 @ STMN 85 | STMN -6.5 | STMN W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | STMN 87 @ ORU 76 | ORU -2.5 | STMN W |
| Mar 6, 2022-23 | STMN 65 vs ORU 70 | ORU -12.5 | STMN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
St Thomas
14 games played
Straight up
10-4
71% wins
Against the spread
5-9
36% covers · avg −1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-6
57% overs · avg +2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ SMC | L 58-84 | +13.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 8 | vs ARMY | W 83-76 | -18.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 10 | @ WSU | L 71-81 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 13 | vs GB | W 80-61 | -13.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 15 | @ SEMO | W 84-72 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 21 | vs UNCO | W 73-72 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 22 | vs CSUF | L 80-88 | -11.5 | L −19.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 23 | @ PORT | W 76-66 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 3 | @ MTST | L 74-82 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 7 | vs WEB | W 88-65 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 13 | @ UNCA | W 80-59 | -3.5 | W +17.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 20 | vs UCR | W 92-78 | -14.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 4 | vs DEN | W 92-88 | -11.5 | L −7.5 | 163.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 7 | vs SDAK | W 99-86 | -14.5 | L −1.5 | 162.5 | O 185 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@SMC
SMCL 58-84
−12.5
8
vsARMY
ARMYW 83-76
−11.5
10
@WSU
WSUL 71-81
−7.5
13
vsGB
GBW 80-61
+5.5
15
@SEMO
SEMOW 84-72
+9.5
21
vsUNCO
UNCOW 73-72
−3.5
22
vsCSUF
CSUFL 80-88
−19.5
23
@PORT
PORTW 76-66
+4.5
3
@MTST
MTSTL 74-82
−5.5
7
vsWEB
WEBW 88-65
+15.5
13
@UNCA
UNCAW 80-59
+17.5
20
vsUCR
UCRW 92-78
−0.5
4
vsDEN
DENW 92-88
−7.5
7
vsSDAK
SDAKW 99-86
−1.5
covered 5didn’t cover 9avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SMC
SMCL 58-84
+0.5
8
vsARMY
ARMYW 83-76
+7.5
10
@WSU
WSUL 71-81
−5.5
13
vsGB
GBW 80-61
−9.5
15
@SEMO
SEMOW 84-72
+3.5
21
vsUNCO
UNCOW 73-72
−12.5
22
vsCSUF
CSUFL 80-88
+5.5
23
@PORT
PORTW 76-66
−13.5
3
@MTST
MTSTL 74-82
+8.5
7
vsWEB
WEBW 88-65
−1.5
13
@UNCA
UNCAW 80-59
−9.5
20
vsUCR
UCRW 92-78
+17.5
4
vsDEN
DENW 92-88
+16.5
7
vsSDAK
SDAKW 99-86
+22.5
over 8under 6avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Oral Roberts
14 games played
Straight up
2-12
14% wins
Against the spread
8-6
57% covers · avg −0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-8
43% overs · avg −4.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ OKST | L 71-95 | +20.5 | L −3.5 | 165.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 12 | vs TLSA | L 87-88 | +5.5 | W +4.5 | 160.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 15 | vs BEL | L 60-83 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 171.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 20 | @ OU | L 71-95 | +24.5 | W +0.5 | 166.5 | U 166 |
| Nov 24 | @ FGCU | L 88-93 | +11.5 | W +6.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Nov 25 | vs KENN | W 91-83 | +8.5 | W +16.5 | 166.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | vs RICE | L 62-81 | +5.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 3 | @WEB | L 66-92 | +7.5 | L −18.5 | 157.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | vsMTST | W 72-68 | +6.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 16 | @ MOST | L 62-63 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 18 | @ TCU | L 53-72 | +23.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 22 | vs UTA | L 57-69 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 136.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 1 | @ UND | L 61-72 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 3 | @ NDSU | L 77-79 | +13.5 | W +11.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@OKST
OKSTL 71-95
−3.5
12
vsTLSA
TLSAL 87-88
+4.5
15
vsBEL
BELL 60-83
−15.5
20
@OU
OUL 71-95
+0.5
24
@FGCU
FGCUL 88-93
+6.5
25
vsKENN
KENNW 91-83
+16.5
26
vsRICE
RICEL 62-81
−13.5
3
@WEB
WEBL 66-92
−18.5
6
vsMTST
MTSTW 72-68
+10.5
16
@MOST
MOSTL 62-63
+3.5
18
@TCU
TCUL 53-72
+4.5
22
vsUTA
UTAL 57-69
−8.5
1
@UND
UNDL 61-72
−9.5
3
@NDSU
NDSUL 77-79
+11.5
covered 8didn’t cover 6avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@OKST
OKSTL 71-95
+0.5
12
vsTLSA
TLSAL 87-88
+14.5
15
vsBEL
BELL 60-83
−28.5
20
@OU
OUL 71-95
−0.5
24
@FGCU
FGCUL 88-93
+27.5
25
vsKENN
KENNW 91-83
+7.5
26
vsRICE
RICEL 62-81
−7.5
3
@WEB
WEBL 66-92
+0.5
6
vsMTST
MTSTW 72-68
−10.5
16
@MOST
MOSTL 62-63
−21.5
18
@TCU
TCUL 53-72
−22.5
22
vsUTA
UTAL 57-69
−10.5
1
@UND
UNDL 61-72
−15.5
3
@NDSU
NDSUL 77-79
+9.5
over 6under 8avg −4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
St Thomas
10-4 overall · 2-0 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs South Dakota99–86
- Wvs Denver92–88
- Wvs UC Riverside92–78
- W@ UNC Asheville80–59
- Wvs Weber St88–65
3 days since their last game.
Oral Roberts
2-12 overall · 0-2 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ N Dakota St77–79
- L@ North Dakota61–72
- Lvs UT Arlington57–69
- L@ TCU53–72
- L@ Missouri St62–63
A week or more of rest.