John J. Lee Amphitheater · at Yale · Conference game
Closing line
YALE -9.5✓ YALE covered by 7.5
YALE -9.5✓ YALE covered by 7.5Closing total150.5Over by 14.5
 COLU | This season | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| 10-5 | Record | 11-3 |
| 9-6 | ATS | 7-7 |
| 9-6 | O/U | 8-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: COLU 73–83 YALE · ✓ YALE (80%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| COLU | 35 | 39 | 74 |
| YALE | 44 | 47 | 91 |
1st half: COLU 35, YALE 44 (YALE by 9). The model had YALE by 5.7 and a total of 73.0 (actual 79).
Team stats
| COLU | YALE | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-49 51% | Field goals | 31-61 51% |
| 3-17 18% | 3-pointers | 12-24 50% |
| 21-25 84% | Free throws | 17-19 89% |
| 26 8 off | Rebounds | 31 14 off |
| 7 | Assists | 20 |
| 4 | Steals | 5 |
| 5 | Blocks | 2 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| COLU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blair Thompson F | 36 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-5 |
| Kenny Noland G | 33 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 5-13 | 1-6 |
| Gerard O'Keefe G | 28 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Ryan Soulis F | 26 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 5-7 | 0-1 |
| Mason Ritter F | 21 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Connor Igoe F | 20 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Hampton Sanders G | 19 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Richard Nweke F | 13 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Leland Coleman F | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Edwin Bai, Miles Franklin, Nigel Clarkson, Nicolo Romanelli, Dan Vessey, Zine Eddine Bedri, Avery Brown, Josiah Cunningham
| YALE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Townsend F | 33 | 25 | 8 | 3 | 6-12 | 4-6 |
| Samson Aletan C | 29 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 8-11 | 0-0 |
| Isaac Celiscar F | 28 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 3-7 | 1-2 |
| Trevor Mullin G | 26 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Casey Simmons G | 23 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 5-7 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Riley Fox F | 19 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 2-7 | 2-6 |
| Devon Arlington G | 15 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| Jordan Brathwaite G | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Daniel Ogunyemi F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jeannot Basima G | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jack Sullivan F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Courtney Wallace G | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jacob Tsai G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Alvin Loving G | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketYALE -9.5
ModelYALE -9.7
Model edgeYALE +0.2
W YALE covered
Total
Market150.5
Model155.9
Model edgeOver 5.4
W Over
Projected score
COLU 73.1 · YALE 82.8
COLU 74 · YALE 91
Win probability
YALE 80%
1st half
Spread
YALE -5.7
YALE -9.0
Total
73.0
79 points
Projected score
COLU 33.7 · YALE 39.3
COLU 35 · YALE 44
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenYALE -8.5
1 → YALE
CloseYALE -9.5
1 pt toward YALE
Total
Open154.5
▼ 4
Close150.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
COLU +380 · YALE -500
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened YALE -8.5 · closed YALE -9.5 · moved 1 toward YALEmodel YALE -9.5 matches the line
model YALE -9.5 = line ✓
Opened 154.5 · closed 150.5 · moved 4 downmodel 156
model 156
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| COLU | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
| YALE | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
COLU 1–7 YALEYALE leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · YALE has won the last 5 meetings · COLU 3-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | COLU 64 @ YALE 90 | YALE -16.5 | YALE W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | YALE 92 @ COLU 88 | COLU +7.5 | COLU W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | YALE 84 @ COLU 76 | COLU +7.5 | YALE W |
| Jan 15, 2023-24 | COLU 70 @ YALE 89 | YALE -13.5 | YALE W |
| Feb 11, 2022-23 | COLU 68 @ YALE 99 | YALE -19.5 | YALE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Columbia
15 games played
Straight up
10-5
67% wins
Against the spread
9-6
60% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-6
60% overs · avg +1.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ NHVN | W 71-53 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 10 | @ CONN | L 62-89 | +32.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 13 | vs UML | W 86-72 | -13.5 | W +0.5 | 156.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 18 | vs BU | W 54-49 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | U 103 |
| Nov 21 | @ LEH | W 82-67 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 23 | vs LONG | W 95-70 | -3.5 | W +21.5 | 153.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 26 | @ FAIR | W 106-77 | -3.5 | W +25.5 | 150.5 | O 183 |
| Dec 3 | vs HOF | W 72-70 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 6 | vs UALB | W 93-65 | -13.5 | W +14.5 | 144.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 9 | @ STBK | L 73-77 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 21 | @ CAL | L 56-74 | +8.5 | L −9.5 | 153.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 28 | @ UNF | W 90-82 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 5 | @ COR | W 104-99 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 170.5 | O 203 |
| Jan 10 | vs HARV | L 54-79 | -5.5 | L −30.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 17 | @ BRWN | L 80-86 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | O 166 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@NHVN
NHVNW 71-53
+10.5
10
@CONN
CONNL 62-89
+5.5
13
vsUML
UMLW 86-72
+0.5
18
vsBU
BUW 54-49
+0.5
21
@LEH
LEHW 82-67
+12.5
23
vsLONG
LONGW 95-70
+21.5
26
@FAIR
FAIRW 106-77
+25.5
3
vsHOF
HOFW 72-70
−1.5
6
vsUALB
UALBW 93-65
+14.5
9
@STBK
STBKL 73-77
−8.5
21
@CAL
CALL 56-74
−9.5
28
@UNF
UNFW 90-82
−3.5
5
@COR
CORW 104-99
+8.5
10
vsHARV
HARVL 54-79
−30.5
17
@BRWN
BRWNL 80-86
−8.5
covered 9didn’t cover 6avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@NHVN
NHVNW 71-53
−24.5
10
@CONN
CONNL 62-89
−4.5
13
vsUML
UMLW 86-72
+1.5
18
vsBU
BUW 54-49
−41.5
21
@LEH
LEHW 82-67
+5.5
23
vsLONG
LONGW 95-70
+11.5
26
@FAIR
FAIRW 106-77
+32.5
3
vsHOF
HOFW 72-70
−2.5
6
vsUALB
UALBW 93-65
+13.5
9
@STBK
STBKL 73-77
+3.5
21
@CAL
CALL 56-74
−23.5
28
@UNF
UNFW 90-82
+9.5
5
@COR
CORW 104-99
+32.5
10
vsHARV
HARVL 54-79
−12.5
17
@BRWN
BRWNL 80-86
+22.5
over 9under 6avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Yale
14 games played
Straight up
11-3
79% wins
Against the spread
7-7
50% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-6
57% overs · avg +4.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ NAVY | W 97-68 | -5.5 | W +23.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 11 | @ QUIN | W 97-60 | -6.5 | W +30.5 | 156.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 15 | vsSTBK | W 86-79 | -20.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 18 | vs URI | L 77-86 | -8.5 | L −17.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 21 | vs GB | W 73-67 | -17.5 | L −11.5 | 148.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 23 | vs COFC | W 74-63 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 24 | vs AKR | W 97-94 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 30 | @ UVM | W 77-74 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 7 | vs UIC | W 80-66 | -12.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 10 | vsUALB | W 93-82 | -17.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 29 | @ ALA | L 78-102 | +15.5 | L −8.5 | 171.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 5 | @BRWN | W 70-53 | -8.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 10 | @ PRIN | L 60-76 | -7.5 | L −23.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 17 | vsCOR | W 102-68 | -9.5 | W +24.5 | 174.5 | U 170 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@NAVY
NAVYW 97-68
+23.5
11
@QUIN
QUINW 97-60
+30.5
15
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-79
−13.5
18
vsURI
URIL 77-86
−17.5
21
vsGB
GBW 73-67
−11.5
23
vsCOFC
COFCW 74-63
+4.5
24
vsAKR
AKRW 97-94
+4.5
30
@UVM
UVMW 77-74
−3.5
7
vsUIC
UICW 80-66
+1.5
10
vsUALB
UALBW 93-82
−6.5
29
@ALA
ALAL 78-102
−8.5
5
@BRWN
BRWNW 70-53
+8.5
10
@PRIN
PRINL 60-76
−23.5
17
vsCOR
CORW 102-68
+24.5
covered 7didn’t cover 7avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@NAVY
NAVYW 97-68
+17.5
11
@QUIN
QUINW 97-60
+0.5
15
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-79
+14.5
18
vsURI
URIL 77-86
+9.5
21
vsGB
GBW 73-67
−8.5
23
vsCOFC
COFCW 74-63
−11.5
24
vsAKR
AKRW 97-94
+34.5
30
@UVM
UVMW 77-74
+3.5
7
vsUIC
UICW 80-66
−2.5
10
vsUALB
UALBW 93-82
+29.5
29
@ALA
ALAL 78-102
+8.5
5
@BRWN
BRWNW 70-53
−19.5
10
@PRIN
PRINL 60-76
−6.5
17
vsCOR
CORW 102-68
−4.5
over 8under 6avg +4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Columbia
10-5 overall · 1-2 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Brown80–86
- Lvs Harvard54–79
- W@ Cornell104–99
- W@ North Florida90–82
- L@ California56–74
2 days since their last game.
Yale
11-3 overall · 2-1 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Cornell102–68
- L@ Princeton60–76
- W@ Brown70–53
- L@ Alabama78–102
- Wvs UAlbany93–82
2 days since their last game.