OU Credit Union O'rena · at Oakland · Conference game
Closing line
OAK -3.5✓ YSU covered by 7.5
Closing total155.5Over by 12.5
| This season | OAK | |
|---|---|---|
| 9-13 | Record | 13-11 |
| 7-15 | ATS | 15-9 |
| 12-10 | O/U | 15-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: YSU 77–82 OAK · ✗ OAK (69%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| YSU | 44 | 42 | 86 |
| OAK | 39 | 43 | 82 |
1st half: YSU 44, OAK 39 (YSU by 5). The model had OAK by 3.3 and a total of 74.4 (actual 83).
Team stats
| YSU | OAK | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-61 46% | Field goals | 31-58 53% |
| 12-35 34% | 3-pointers | 10-25 40% |
| 18-18 100% | Free throws | 10-15 67% |
| 36 14 off | Rebounds | 26 7 off |
| 23 | Assists | 15 |
| 6 | Steals | 11 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| YSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cris Carroll F | 36 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4-12 | 2-9 |
| Bryson Dawkins G | 34 | 23 | 9 | 1 | 10-15 | 1-1 |
| Cam Polak G | 31 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 8-16 | 7-14 |
| Jason Nelson G | 26 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Rich Rolf F | 21 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Vlad Salaridze F | 22 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Drew King G | 14 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Tae Blackshear G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Imanuel Zorgvol F | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tyler Robinett, Connor Swider, Markus Navarra, Jaiden Haynes, Derrick Anderson, Shaheed Solebo
| OAK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brody Robinson G | 40 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 4-16 | 3-8 |
| Tuburu Naivalurua F | 38 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 7-10 | 0-1 |
| Brett White II G | 37 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 5-11 | 5-11 |
| Michael Houge F | 36 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 10-13 | 0-1 |
| Ziare Wells G | 33 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Warren Marshall IV G | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Khoi Thurmon G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Isaac Garrett, MJ Yeager, William Kassi, Donny Yeager, Hamoudy Mashhour, Nassim Mashhour, Nate Deer
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenOAK -5.5
2 → YSU
CloseOAK -3.5
2 pts toward YSU
Total
Open159.5
▼ 4
Close155.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
YSU +154 · OAK -185
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened OAK -5.5 · closed OAK -3.5 · moved 2 toward YSUmodel OAK -5.5
model OAK -5.5
Opened 159.5 · closed 155.5 · moved 4 downmodel 159
model 159
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | OAK -3.5 | OAK -5.7 | OAK +2.2 | L YSU covered |
| Total | 155.5 | 159.2 | Over 3.7 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | YSU 76.7 · OAK 82.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | OAK -3.3 | YSU -5.0 |
| 1H total | 74.4 | 83 |
| 1H projected score | YSU 35.6 · OAK 38.8 | YSU 44 · OAK 39 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-7 30% | 1-9 10% | 7-3 70% | |
| 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
YSU 5–4 OAKYSU leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · YSU 5-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2025-26 | OAK 85 @ YSU 83 | YSU -1.5 | OAK W |
| Feb 6, 2024-25 | YSU 84 @ OAK 75 | OAK -4.5 | YSU W |
| Dec 7, 2024-25 | OAK 50 @ YSU 66 | YSU -2.5 | YSU W |
| Jan 17, 2023-24 | YSU 67 @ OAK 70 | OAK -3.5 | YSU W |
| Dec 31, 2023-24 | OAK 88 @ YSU 81 | YSU -3.5 | OAK W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Youngstown St
22 games played
Straight up
9-13
41% wins
Against the spread
7-15
32% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-10
55% overs · avg +1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ | L 59-74 | +14.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 7 | @ | W 90-81 | +15.5 | W +24.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 15 | @ | L 80-84 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | @ | L 75-92 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 23 | vs | L 62-68 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 24 | vs | W 67-61 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 28 | vs | W 87-64 | -14.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 69-68 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | @ | W 78-55 | -6.5 | W +16.5 | 171.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 17 | @ | L 77-80 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 20 | vs | W 74-65 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 29 | vs | L 68-73 | -9.5 | L −14.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 1 | vs | L 83-85 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 4 | @ | L 79-94 | +4.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 7 | vs | L 69-71 | -4.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 15 | @ | L 83-93 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 17 | @ | L 78-80 | -8.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 22 | vs | W 88-81 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 139.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 24 | vs | L 64-65 | -6.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 30 | vs | W 85-76 | -10.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 4 | @ | W 90-61 | +2.5 | W +31.5 | 147.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 7 | vs | L 66-72 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
PITT
L 59-74
−0.5
7
@
GCU
W 90-81
+24.5
15
@
SBU
L 80-84
+5.5
19
@
TOL
L 75-92
−15.5
23
vs
UNCG
L 62-68
−11.5
24
vs
GASO
W 67-61
+4.5
28
vs
CHST
W 87-64
+8.5
3
vs
WRST
W 69-68
−2.5
6
@
IUIN
W 78-55
+16.5
17
@
RMU
L 77-80
−0.5
20
vs
UPST
W 74-65
+2.5
29
vs
DETM
L 68-73
−14.5
1
vs
OAK
L 83-85
−3.5
4
@
NKU
L 79-94
−10.5
7
vs
PFW
L 69-71
−6.5
15
@
WRST
L 83-93
−5.5
17
@
CLE
L 78-80
−10.5
22
vs
GB
W 88-81
−0.5
24
vs
MILW
L 64-65
−7.5
30
vs
IUIN
W 85-76
−1.5
4
@
PFW
W 90-61
+31.5
7
vs
RMU
L 66-72
−9.5
covered 7didn’t cover 15avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
PITT
L 59-74
−12.5
7
@
GCU
W 90-81
+18.5
15
@
SBU
L 80-84
+17.5
19
@
TOL
L 75-92
+6.5
23
vs
UNCG
L 62-68
−22.5
24
vs
GASO
W 67-61
−35.5
28
vs
CHST
W 87-64
+4.5
3
vs
WRST
W 69-68
−7.5
6
@
IUIN
W 78-55
−38.5
17
@
RMU
L 77-80
+16.5
20
vs
UPST
W 74-65
−2.5
29
vs
DETM
L 68-73
−5.5
1
vs
OAK
L 83-85
+10.5
4
@
NKU
L 79-94
+26.5
7
vs
PFW
L 69-71
−5.5
15
@
WRST
L 83-93
+34.5
17
@
CLE
L 78-80
+5.5
22
vs
GB
W 88-81
+29.5
24
vs
MILW
L 64-65
−22.5
30
vs
IUIN
W 85-76
+7.5
4
@
PFW
W 90-61
+3.5
7
vs
RMU
L 66-72
−5.5
over 12under 10avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Oakland
24 games played
Straight up
13-11
54% wins
Against the spread
15-9
63% covers · avg +1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-9
63% overs · avg +4.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ | L 78-121 | +24.5 | L −18.5 | 156.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 7 | @ | L 77-87 | +31.5 | W +21.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 12 | @ | L 45-78 | +30.5 | L −2.5 | 138.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 17 | @ | L 83-87 | +13.5 | W +9.5 | 163.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 21 | @ | L 91-97 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 24 | vs | W 83-68 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 25 | @ | W 95-87 | +4.5 | W +12.5 | 162.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 101-92 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 6 | vs | W 98-97 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 166.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 13 | @ | L 63-75 | +8.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 17 | @ | W 82-77 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 163.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 20 | vs | L 70-79 | +19.5 | W +10.5 | 155.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 29 | @ | L 73-88 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 1 | @ | W 85-83 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 4 | vs | W 96-73 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 161.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 9 | vs | W 97-74 | -15.5 | W +7.5 | 169.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 11 | vs | L 84-94 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 161.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 15 | @ | W 73-60 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 166.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 18 | @ | W 88-63 | -4.5 | W +20.5 | 153.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 21 | vs | L 85-103 | -14.5 | L −32.5 | 176.5 | O 188 |
| Jan 24 | @ | W 95-87 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 167.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 28 | @ | W 74-65 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 162.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 1 | vs | W 76-65 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 166.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 4 | @ | L 78-91 | -7.5 | L −20.5 | 170.5 | U 169 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
MICH
L 78-121
−18.5
7
@
PUR
L 77-87
+21.5
12
@
HOU
L 45-78
−2.5
17
@
UCF
L 83-87
+9.5
21
@
EMU
L 91-97
−7.5
24
vs
LAM
W 83-68
+11.5
25
@
MONT
W 95-87
+12.5
3
vs
PFW
W 101-92
+4.5
6
vs
TOL
W 98-97
−3.5
13
@
UNI
L 63-75
−3.5
17
@
NKU
W 82-77
+8.5
20
vs
MSU
L 70-79
+10.5
29
@
WRST
L 73-88
−11.5
1
@
YSU
W 85-83
+3.5
4
vs
RMU
W 96-73
+21.5
9
vs
CLE
W 97-74
+7.5
11
vs
WRST
L 84-94
−14.5
15
@
MILW
W 73-60
+10.5
18
@
GB
W 88-63
+20.5
21
vs
IUIN
L 85-103
−32.5
24
@
DETM
W 95-87
+1.5
28
@
PFW
W 74-65
+7.5
1
vs
NKU
W 76-65
+7.5
4
@
CLE
L 78-91
−20.5
covered 15didn’t cover 9avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
MICH
L 78-121
+42.5
7
@
PUR
L 77-87
+5.5
12
@
HOU
L 45-78
−15.5
17
@
UCF
L 83-87
+6.5
21
@
EMU
L 91-97
+34.5
24
vs
LAM
W 83-68
+2.5
25
@
MONT
W 95-87
+19.5
3
vs
PFW
W 101-92
+30.5
6
vs
TOL
W 98-97
+28.5
13
@
UNI
L 63-75
−11.5
17
@
NKU
W 82-77
−4.5
20
vs
MSU
L 70-79
−6.5
29
@
WRST
L 73-88
+1.5
1
@
YSU
W 85-83
+10.5
4
vs
RMU
W 96-73
+7.5
9
vs
CLE
W 97-74
+1.5
11
vs
WRST
L 84-94
+16.5
15
@
MILW
W 73-60
−33.5
18
@
GB
W 88-63
−2.5
21
vs
IUIN
L 85-103
+11.5
24
@
DETM
W 95-87
+14.5
28
@
PFW
W 74-65
−23.5
1
vs
NKU
W 76-65
−25.5
4
@
CLE
L 78-91
−1.5
over 15under 9avg +4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Youngstown St
9-13 overall · 5-9 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Robert Morris66–72
- W@ Purdue FW90–61
- Wvs IU Indy85–76
- Lvs Milwaukee64–65
- Wvs Green Bay88–81
5 days since their last game.
Oakland
13-11 overall · 10-4 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Cleveland St78–91
- Wvs N Kentucky76–65
- W@ Purdue FW74–65
- W@ Detroit Mercy95–87
- Lvs IU Indy85–103
A week or more of rest.