UPMC Events Center · at Robert Morris · Conference game
Closing line
NKU -1.5✓ NKU covered by 0.5
NKU -1.5✓ NKU covered by 0.5Closing total149.5Over by 6.5
| NKU | This season | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| 6-5 | Record | 8-4 |
| 5-6 | ATS | 8-4 |
| 7-4 | O/U | 6-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NKU 75–77 RMU · ✗ RMU (57%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NKU | 43 | 36 | 79 |
| RMU | 41 | 36 | 77 |
1st half: NKU 43, RMU 41 (NKU by 2). The model had RMU by 1.0 and a total of 70.7 (actual 84).
Team stats
| NKU | RMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-52 54% | Field goals | 29-63 46% |
| 3-12 25% | 3-pointers | 12-32 38% |
| 20-27 74% | Free throws | 7-14 50% |
| 28 5 off | Rebounds | 38 15 off |
| 12 | Assists | 23 |
| 10 | Steals | 3 |
| 1 | Blocks | 3 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 46 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| NKU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Gherezgher G | 35 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 4-10 | 0-3 |
| LJ Wells F | 33 | 14 | 8 | 0 | 7-11 | 0-0 |
| Tae Dozier G | 26 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Ethan Elliott G | 25 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 5-7 | 1-2 |
| Kael Robinson F | 24 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 4-8 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Donovan Oday G | 25 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 4-11 | 0-3 |
| Donovan Rakotonanahary F | 16 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Shawn Nelson G | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Tolliver F | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: JJ Apathjang, Juanma Ruiz, Addison Archer, Mitchel Minor, Bryce Darbyshire
| RMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Prather Jr. G | 38 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6-13 | 3-8 |
| Albert Vargas G | 35 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 4-10 | 3-8 |
| DeSean Goode F | 32 | 18 | 14 | 3 | 7-8 | 2-2 |
| Nikos Chitikoudis F | 30 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 6-12 | 0-0 |
| Kaleb Brown G | 19 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Josh Hill F | 17 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| Cam Wilds G | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Eddie Cooke III G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Ta'Zir Smith G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Samuel Obenjo F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jeremiah Littlejohn, Darius Livingston, Ubong Okon, Vasilije Serafimoski, Tanner O'Grady, Cyril Arvanitis
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenRMU -1.5
3 → NKU
CloseNKU -1.5
3 pts toward NKU
Total
Open149.5
no move
Close149.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
NKU -115 · RMU -105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened RMU -1.5 · closed NKU -1.5 · moved 3 toward NKUmodel RMU -2
model RMU -2
Opened 149.5 · unchangedmodel 151
model 151
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | NKU -1.5 | RMU -1.9 | RMU +3.4 | L NKU covered |
| Total | 149.5 | 151.1 | Over 1.6 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | NKU 74.6 · RMU 76.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | RMU -1.0 | NKU -2.0 |
| 1H total | 70.7 | 84 |
| 1H projected score | NKU 34.9 · RMU 35.9 | NKU 43 · RMU 41 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NKU | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| RMU | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
NKU 5–3 RMUNKU leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · RMU has won the last 2 meetings · NKU 4-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | RMU 81 @ NKU 76 | NKU -1.5 | RMU W |
| Dec 29, 2024-25 | NKU 93 @ RMU 97 | RMU +1.5 | RMU W |
| Feb 28, 2023-24 | NKU 70 @ RMU 60 | RMU +3.5 | NKU W |
| Nov 29, 2023-24 | RMU 59 @ NKU 77 | NKU -7.5 | NKU W |
| Feb 2, 2022-23 | NKU 65 @ RMU 52 | RMU +1.5 | NKU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
N Kentucky
11 games played
Straight up
6-5
55% wins
Against the spread
5-6
45% covers · avg +0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-4
64% overs · avg +6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ TENN | L 56-95 | +27.5 | L −11.5 | 137.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 12 | @ ETSU | L 63-75 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 20 | @ CMU | W 90-66 | +4.5 | W +28.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs EKU | W 82-71 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 26 | vs WOF | W 93-83 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 149.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 29 | vs BU | W 74-65 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 3 | vs CLE | W 95-80 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 6 | @ PFW | L 77-79 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 13 | @ BELL | W 80-76 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 17 | vs OAK | L 77-82 | -3.5 | L −8.5 | 163.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 21 | vs COFC | L 74-85 | -5.5 | L −16.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@TENN
TENNL 56-95
−11.5
12
@ETSU
ETSUL 63-75
−5.5
20
@CMU
CMUW 90-66
+28.5
24
vsEKU
EKUW 82-71
+6.5
26
vsWOF
WOFW 93-83
+6.5
29
vsBU
BUW 74-65
+1.5
3
vsCLE
CLEW 95-80
+0.5
6
@PFW
PFWL 77-79
−0.5
13
@BELL
BELLW 80-76
−0.5
17
vsOAK
OAKL 77-82
−8.5
21
vsCOFC
COFCL 74-85
−16.5
covered 5didn’t cover 6avg +0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@TENN
TENNL 56-95
+13.5
12
@ETSU
ETSUL 63-75
−4.5
20
@CMU
CMUW 90-66
+9.5
24
vsEKU
EKUW 82-71
−3.5
26
vsWOF
WOFW 93-83
+26.5
29
vsBU
BUW 74-65
−4.5
3
vsCLE
CLEW 95-80
+16.5
6
@PFW
PFWL 77-79
+2.5
13
@BELL
BELLW 80-76
+9.5
17
vsOAK
OAKL 77-82
−4.5
21
vsCOFC
COFCL 74-85
+5.5
over 7under 4avg +6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Robert Morris
12 games played
Straight up
8-4
67% wins
Against the spread
8-4
67% covers · avg +2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-6
50% overs · avg +1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ IOWA | L 69-101 | +22.5 | L −9.5 | 136.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 6 | @ DRKE | W 81-79 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 20 | @ SBU | L 61-75 | +11.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 23 | @ MONM | L 70-71 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 26 | vs UIC | W 88-74 | +1.5 | W +15.5 | 151.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 28 | vs SUU | W 61-54 | -8.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | U 115 |
| Nov 30 | vs STET | W 80-62 | -11.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 4 | @ GB | W 80-78 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | @ MILW | L 72-74 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 13 | vs TOL | W 75-70 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 17 | vs YSU | W 80-77 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 20 | @ SFPA | W 79-70 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@IOWA
IOWAL 69-101
−9.5
6
@DRKE
DRKEW 81-79
+9.5
20
@SBU
SBUL 61-75
−2.5
23
@MONM
MONML 70-71
+1.5
26
vsUIC
UICW 88-74
+15.5
28
vsSUU
SUUW 61-54
−1.5
30
vsSTET
STETW 80-62
+6.5
4
@GB
GBW 80-78
+0.5
6
@MILW
MILWL 72-74
+2.5
13
vsTOL
TOLW 75-70
+6.5
17
vsYSU
YSUW 80-77
+0.5
20
@SFPA
SFPAW 79-70
−4.5
covered 8didn’t cover 4avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@IOWA
IOWAL 69-101
+33.5
6
@DRKE
DRKEW 81-79
+8.5
20
@SBU
SBUL 61-75
−10.5
23
@MONM
MONML 70-71
−7.5
26
vsUIC
UICW 88-74
+10.5
28
vsSUU
SUUW 61-54
−37.5
30
vsSTET
STETW 80-62
−0.5
4
@GB
GBW 80-78
+17.5
6
@MILW
MILWL 72-74
−7.5
13
vsTOL
TOLW 75-70
−9.5
17
vsYSU
YSUW 80-77
+16.5
20
@SFPA
SFPAW 79-70
+3.5
over 6under 6avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
N Kentucky
6-5 overall · 1-2 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Charleston74–85
- Lvs Oakland77–82
- W@ Bellarmine80–76
- L@ Purdue FW77–79
- Wvs Cleveland St95–80
A week or more of rest.
Robert Morris
8-4 overall · 2-1 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Saint Francis Red Wolves79–70
- Wvs Youngstown St80–77
- Wvs Toledo75–70
- L@ Milwaukee72–74
- W@ Green Bay80–78
A week or more of rest.