Mullins Center · at UMass · Conference game
Closing line
MASS -11.5✓ CMU covered by 5.5
MASS -11.5✓ CMU covered by 5.5Closing total152.5Over by 31.5
 CMU | This season | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| 5-15 | Record | 13-9 |
| 11-9 | ATS | 10-12 |
| 8-12 | O/U | 13-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CMU 72–81 MASS · ✓ MASS (77%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CMU | 47 | 42 | 89 |
| MASS | 40 | 55 | 95 |
1st half: CMU 47, MASS 40 (CMU by 7). The model had MASS by 4.8 and a total of 71.7 (actual 87).
Team stats
| CMU | MASS | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-49 59% | Field goals | 32-56 57% |
| 15-22 68% | 3-pointers | 11-25 44% |
| 16-24 67% | Free throws | 20-28 71% |
| 28 10 off | Rebounds | 26 10 off |
| 23 | Assists | 25 |
| 4 | Steals | 12 |
| 4 | Blocks | 4 |
| 21 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 19 | Fouls | 20 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 21 |
Players
| CMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan McIntire G | 35 | 40 | 4 | 3 | 14-19 | 12-16 |
| Phat Phat Brooks G | 35 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 3-10 | 0-3 |
| Tamario Adley G | 33 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Nathan Claerbaut C | 31 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Keenan Garner F | 21 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nick Mullen F | 25 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Kampen G | 12 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Jaxson Whitaker G | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Will Ashford G | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Uchenna Amene, Nsikan Usen, Kareem Aburashed, Kayden Nation, Jorden Brooks, Rodney Johnson Jr.
| MASS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Carbuccia G | 36 | 6 | 1 | 17 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Daniel Hankins-Sanford F | 33 | 19 | 9 | 0 | 5-8 | 1-2 |
| Jayden Ndjigue G | 32 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Marcus Banks Jr. G | 28 | 37 | 2 | 1 | 12-17 | 10-15 |
| Leonardo Bettiol F | 24 | 22 | 5 | 2 | 8-11 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Luka Damjanac F | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| K'Jei Parker G | 13 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0-5 | 0-4 |
| Dwayne Wimbley Jr. F | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Dimitri Clerc F | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Donovan Brown G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Isaiah Placide, Josh Engel, Bilal Osman, CJ Outlaw, Rollie Castineyra
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMASS -11.5
ModelMASS -8.3
Model edgeCMU +3.2
W CMU covered
Total
Market152.5
Model153.2
Model edgeOver 0.7
W Over
Projected score
CMU 72.4 · MASS 80.8
CMU 89 · MASS 95
Win probability
MASS 77%
1st half
Spread
MASS -4.8
CMU -7.0
Total
71.7
87 points
Projected score
CMU 33.4 · MASS 38.3
CMU 47 · MASS 40
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMASS -11.5
no move
CloseMASS -11.5
No change since the open
Total
Open150.5
▲ 2
Close152.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
CMU +525 · MASS -750
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MASS -11.5 · unchangedmodel MASS -8.5
model MASS -8.5
Opened 150.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 2 upmodel 153
model 153
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CMU | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
| MASS | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
C Michigan
20 games played
Straight up
5-15
25% wins
Against the spread
11-9
55% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-12
40% overs · avg −1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs APP | W 82-66 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 8 | @ BRAD | L 54-85 | +9.5 | L −21.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 13 | vs USA | L 64-66 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | vs COPP | W 82-59 | -10.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 20 | vs NKU | L 66-90 | -4.5 | L −28.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 22 | @ MARQ | L 71-85 | +25.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 2 | @ LUC | L 72-83 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 140.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 7 | @ SLU | L 65-107 | +24.5 | L −17.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | @ STBK | L 55-78 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 20 | @ NIU | L 73-74 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 22 | @ WIS | L 61-88 | +26.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 30 | vs OHIO | L 64-80 | +6.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 3 | vs TOL | L 75-78 | +7.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 6 | @ AKR | L 69-82 | +23.5 | W +10.5 | 164.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 10 | vs KENT | W 87-85 | +10.5 | W +12.5 | 156.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 13 | @ M-OH | L 61-100 | +15.5 | L −23.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 20 | vs BALL | L 67-68 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 24 | @ WMU | L 65-77 | +5.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 27 | vs EMU | W 100-65 | +2.5 | W +37.5 | 139.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 31 | vs BGSU | W 62-59 | +8.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | U 121 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsAPP
APPW 82-66
+14.5
8
@BRAD
BRADL 54-85
−21.5
13
vsUSA
USAL 64-66
+3.5
14
vsCOPP
COPPW 82-59
+12.5
20
vsNKU
NKUL 66-90
−28.5
22
@MARQ
MARQL 71-85
+11.5
2
@LUC
LUCL 72-83
−4.5
7
@SLU
SLUL 65-107
−17.5
13
@STBK
STBKL 55-78
−15.5
20
@NIU
NIUL 73-74
+1.5
22
@WIS
WISL 61-88
−0.5
30
vsOHIO
OHIOL 64-80
−9.5
3
vsTOL
TOLL 75-78
+4.5
6
@AKR
AKRL 69-82
+10.5
10
vsKENT
KENTW 87-85
+12.5
13
@M-OH
M-OHL 61-100
−23.5
20
vsBALL
BALLL 67-68
+0.5
24
@WMU
WMUL 65-77
−6.5
27
vsEMU
EMUW 100-65
+37.5
31
vsBGSU
BGSUW 62-59
+11.5
covered 11didn’t cover 9avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsAPP
APPW 82-66
+5.5
8
@BRAD
BRADL 54-85
−8.5
13
vsUSA
USAL 64-66
−12.5
14
vsCOPP
COPPW 82-59
−1.5
20
vsNKU
NKUL 66-90
+9.5
22
@MARQ
MARQL 71-85
+3.5
2
@LUC
LUCL 72-83
+14.5
7
@SLU
SLUL 65-107
+11.5
13
@STBK
STBKL 55-78
−12.5
20
@NIU
NIUL 73-74
−2.5
22
@WIS
WISL 61-88
−3.5
30
vsOHIO
OHIOL 64-80
−7.5
3
vsTOL
TOLL 75-78
−5.5
6
@AKR
AKRL 69-82
−13.5
10
vsKENT
KENTW 87-85
+15.5
13
@M-OH
M-OHL 61-100
+2.5
20
vsBALL
BALLL 67-68
−7.5
24
@WMU
WMUL 65-77
−6.5
27
vsEMU
EMUW 100-65
+25.5
31
vsBGSU
BGSUW 62-59
−28.5
over 8under 12avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
UMass
22 games played
Straight up
13-9
59% wins
Against the spread
10-12
45% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-9
59% overs · avg +0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MRSH | L 72-78 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 8 | vs UALB | W 83-62 | -9.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 13 | vs LEM | W 94-80 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 16 | vs CCSU | W 84-77 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 21 | vs COFC | L 65-69 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 161.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 22 | vs GB | L 75-79 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 24 | vs ORST | W 73-65 | +3.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 3 | vs HARV | W 78-71 | -5.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 6 | vs UML | W 80-60 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 10 | vs BC | W 76-74 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 13 | vs FSU | W 103-95 | +12.5 | W +20.5 | 165.5 | O 198 |
| Dec 20 | vsKENT | L 59-69 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 30 | @EMU | L 74-80 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 148.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 3 | vsBGSU | L 100-101 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 201 |
| Jan 6 | @OHIO | L 83-86 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 10 | vsBALL | W 79-71 | -10.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 13 | @WMU | W 85-82 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | @NIU | L 68-70 | -8.5 | L −10.5 | 157.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 20 | vsTOL | W 84-82 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 164.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 23 | @ BUF | W 68-67 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 159.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 27 | @M-OH | L 84-86 | +9.5 | W +7.5 | 164.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 31 | vsEMU | W 70-67 | -8.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMRSH
MRSHL 72-78
−10.5
8
vsUALB
UALBW 83-62
+11.5
13
vsLEM
LEMW 94-80
−2.5
16
vsCCSU
CCSUW 84-77
−5.5
21
vsCOFC
COFCL 65-69
−0.5
22
vsGB
GBL 75-79
−9.5
24
vsORST
ORSTW 73-65
+11.5
3
vsHARV
HARVW 78-71
+1.5
6
vsUML
UMLW 80-60
+8.5
10
vsBC
BCW 76-74
+3.5
13
vsFSU
FSUW 103-95
+20.5
20
vsKENT
KENTL 59-69
−8.5
30
@EMU
EMUL 74-80
−8.5
3
vsBGSU
BGSUL 100-101
+0.5
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 83-86
+1.5
10
vsBALL
BALLW 79-71
−2.5
13
@WMU
WMUW 85-82
−2.5
17
@NIU
NIUL 68-70
−10.5
20
vsTOL
TOLW 84-82
−0.5
23
@BUF
BUFW 68-67
+2.5
27
@M-OH
M-OHL 84-86
+7.5
31
vsEMU
EMUW 70-67
−5.5
covered 10didn’t cover 12avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMRSH
MRSHL 72-78
−2.5
8
vsUALB
UALBW 83-62
−10.5
13
vsLEM
LEMW 94-80
+20.5
16
vsCCSU
CCSUW 84-77
+16.5
21
vsCOFC
COFCL 65-69
−27.5
22
vsGB
GBL 75-79
+7.5
24
vsORST
ORSTW 73-65
−11.5
3
vsHARV
HARVW 78-71
+5.5
6
vsUML
UMLW 80-60
−15.5
10
vsBC
BCW 76-74
+6.5
13
vsFSU
FSUW 103-95
+32.5
20
vsKENT
KENTL 59-69
−35.5
30
@EMU
EMUL 74-80
+5.5
3
vsBGSU
BGSUL 100-101
+48.5
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 83-86
+8.5
10
vsBALL
BALLW 79-71
+2.5
13
@WMU
WMUW 85-82
+9.5
17
@NIU
NIUL 68-70
−19.5
20
vsTOL
TOLW 84-82
+1.5
23
@BUF
BUFW 68-67
−24.5
27
@M-OH
M-OHL 84-86
+5.5
31
vsEMU
EMUW 70-67
−11.5
over 13under 9avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
C Michigan
5-15 overall · 3-7 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Bowling Green62–59
- Wvs E Michigan100–65
- L@ W Michigan65–77
- Lvs Ball State67–68
- L@ Miami OH61–100
3 days since their last game.
UMass
13-9 overall · 5-6 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs E Michigan70–67
- L@ Miami OH84–86
- W@ Buffalo68–67
- Wvs Toledo84–82
- L@ N Illinois68–70
3 days since their last game.