Leo D. Mahoney Arena · at Fairfield · Conference game
Closing line
FAIR -10.5✓ CAN covered by 4.5
FAIR -10.5✓ CAN covered by 4.5Closing total141.5Under by 25.5
 CAN | This season | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| 7-12 | Record | 11-9 |
| 9-10 | ATS | 7-13 |
| 6-13 | O/U | 11-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CAN 65–76 FAIR · ✓ FAIR (83%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CAN | 22 | 33 | 55 |
| FAIR | 31 | 30 | 61 |
1st half: CAN 22, FAIR 31 (FAIR by 9). The model had FAIR by 6.4 and a total of 65.8 (actual 53).
Team stats
| CAN | FAIR | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-65 37% | Field goals | 23-55 42% |
| 4-22 18% | 3-pointers | 6-19 32% |
| 3-8 38% | Free throws | 9-16 56% |
| 42 20 off | Rebounds | 39 15 off |
| 10 | Assists | 12 |
| 6 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 5 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| CAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Evbagharu G | 38 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| Bryan Ndjonga F | 34 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 6-15 | 0-4 |
| Kahlil Singleton G | 34 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 5-15 | 2-7 |
| Javantae Edwards G | 31 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 5-9 | 1-4 |
| Myles Wilmoth F | 27 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 1-8 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Max Jusianiec G | 19 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Brendan Oliver F | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Chris Kumu G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Trevor Augustine, Marcus Niblack, Andreo Ash, Zach Christian, Anthony Benard, King Ijeoma, Evan van der Plas, Nicco DiGiulio
| FAIR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Sparks G | 37 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6-19 | 2-7 |
| Declan Wucherpfennig G | 29 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| Brandon Benjamin F | 29 | 13 | 13 | 1 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Halon Rawlins G | 18 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Tony Williams G | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Eric Mejia G | 26 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Deuce Turner G | 22 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 4-9 | 2-4 |
| Ryan Zan F | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Isaac Munkadi F | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Nasir Rodriguez G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Noah Best, Michael Rogan, Cam Estevez, Matt Curtis, Tanner Ostop, Aidan May, Peyton Smith, Joe Ganton, Luke Davidson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketFAIR -10.5
ModelFAIR -11.0
Model edgeFAIR +0.5
L CAN covered
Total
Market141.5
Model140.4
Model edgeUnder 1.1
W Under
Projected score
CAN 64.7 · FAIR 75.7
CAN 55 · FAIR 61
Win probability
FAIR 83%
1st half
Spread
FAIR -6.4
FAIR -9.0
Total
65.8
53 points
Projected score
CAN 29.7 · FAIR 36.1
CAN 22 · FAIR 31
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenFAIR -10.5
no move
CloseFAIR -10.5
No change since the open
Total
Open139.5
▲ 2
Close141.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
CAN +440 · FAIR -600
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened FAIR -10.5 · unchangedmodel FAIR -11
model FAIR -11
Opened 139.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 2 upmodel 140.5
model 140.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CAN | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
| FAIR | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
CAN 3–6 FAIRFAIR leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · CAN has won the last 2 meetings · CAN 4-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025-26 | FAIR 81 @ CAN 85 | CAN +6.5 | CAN W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | CAN 78 @ FAIR 67 | FAIR -9.5 | CAN W |
| Mar 7, 2023-24 | CAN 62 @ FAIR 74 | FAIR -8.5 | FAIR W |
| Jan 15, 2023-24 | FAIR 88 @ CAN 63 | CAN -1.5 | FAIR W |
| Feb 26, 2022-23 | FAIR 51 @ CAN 64 | CAN -2.5 | CAN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Canisius
19 games played
Straight up
7-12
37% wins
Against the spread
9-10
47% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-13
32% overs · avg −3.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ DAY | L 48-88 | +25.5 | L −14.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 8 | @ SBU | L 70-89 | +21.5 | W +2.5 | 136.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 12 | vs MERC | W 58-55 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 135.5 | U 113 |
| Nov 17 | @ HPU | L 50-93 | +23.5 | L −19.5 | 152.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 21 | vs UMES | W 60-57 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 128.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 23 | vs BING | W 75-66 | -2.5 | W +6.5 | 129.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 29 | vs BUF | L 53-71 | +9.5 | L −8.5 | 139.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 5 | @ SPU | L 57-69 | +9.5 | L −2.5 | 129.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 7 | @ SIE | L 52-74 | +17.5 | L −4.5 | 131.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 13 | @ ME | W 70-43 | +6.5 | W +33.5 | 127.5 | U 113 |
| Dec 16 | @ URI | L 45-62 | +21.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | U 107 |
| Dec 22 | @ DUQ | L 59-103 | +19.5 | L −24.5 | 143.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 2 | vsFAIR | W 85-81 | +6.5 | W +10.5 | 140.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 4 | vs SHU | W 82-78 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 141.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 9 | @ MAN | W 70-64 | +7.5 | W +13.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 11 | @ IONA | L 48-74 | +11.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 14 | vs NIA | L 54-59 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 126.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 17 | vs MSM | L 68-78 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 22 | @SHU | L 66-69 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@DAY
DAYL 48-88
−14.5
8
@SBU
SBUL 70-89
+2.5
12
vsMERC
MERCW 58-55
+4.5
17
@HPU
HPUL 50-93
−19.5
21
vsUMES
UMESW 60-57
−0.5
23
vsBING
BINGW 75-66
+6.5
29
vsBUF
BUFL 53-71
−8.5
5
@SPU
SPUL 57-69
−2.5
7
@SIE
SIEL 52-74
−4.5
13
@ME
MEW 70-43
+33.5
16
@URI
URIL 45-62
+4.5
22
@DUQ
DUQL 59-103
−24.5
2
vsFAIR
FAIRW 85-81
+10.5
4
vsSHU
SHUW 82-78
+9.5
9
@MAN
MANW 70-64
+13.5
11
@IONA
IONAL 48-74
−14.5
14
vsNIA
NIAL 54-59
−7.5
17
vsMSM
MSML 68-78
−6.5
22
@SHU
SHUL 66-69
+7.5
covered 9didn’t cover 10avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@DAY
DAYL 48-88
−6.5
8
@SBU
SBUL 70-89
+22.5
12
vsMERC
MERCW 58-55
−22.5
17
@HPU
HPUL 50-93
−9.5
21
vsUMES
UMESW 60-57
−11.5
23
vsBING
BINGW 75-66
+11.5
29
vsBUF
BUFL 53-71
−15.5
5
@SPU
SPUL 57-69
−3.5
7
@SIE
SIEL 52-74
−5.5
13
@ME
MEW 70-43
−14.5
16
@URI
URIL 45-62
−31.5
22
@DUQ
DUQL 59-103
+18.5
2
vsFAIR
FAIRW 85-81
+25.5
4
vsSHU
SHUW 82-78
+18.5
9
@MAN
MANW 70-64
−11.5
11
@IONA
IONAL 48-74
−19.5
14
vsNIA
NIAL 54-59
−13.5
17
vsMSM
MSML 68-78
+10.5
22
@SHU
SHUL 66-69
−10.5
over 6under 13avg −3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Fairfield
20 games played
Straight up
11-9
55% wins
Against the spread
7-13
35% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-9
55% overs · avg +4.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ PSU | L 68-76 | +15.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 8 | @ NJIT | W 74-53 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 10 | @ HALL | L 59-82 | +14.5 | L −8.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 14 | vs STO | W 73-71 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 16 | vs L-MD | W 85-82 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 22 | @ LEM | W 97-83 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 26 | vs COLU | L 77-106 | +3.5 | L −25.5 | 150.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 30 | vs UNH | W 72-68 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 5 | @MAN | L 66-70 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 7 | @ MRMK | L 63-74 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 14 | vs MONM | W 73-65 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 18 | @ CCSU | W 84-70 | +6.5 | W +20.5 | 143.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 29 | vsSPU | L 66-70 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 2 | @CAN | L 81-85 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 140.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 4 | @NIA | W 83-75 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 9 | vs RID | W 68-62 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 14 | vsMAN | W 98-62 | -6.5 | W +29.5 | 158.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 17 | @ MRST | L 67-82 | +8.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 19 | @SIE | L 77-85 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 22 | vsNIA | W 62-61 | -10.5 | L −9.5 | 139.5 | U 123 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@PSU
PSUL 68-76
+7.5
8
@NJIT
NJITW 74-53
+14.5
10
@HALL
HALLL 59-82
−8.5
14
vsSTO
STOW 73-71
−4.5
16
vsL-MD
L-MDW 85-82
−2.5
22
@LEM
LEMW 97-83
+12.5
26
vsCOLU
COLUL 77-106
−25.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 72-68
−5.5
5
@MAN
MANL 66-70
−5.5
7
@MRMK
MRMKL 63-74
−7.5
14
vsMONM
MONMW 73-65
+10.5
18
@CCSU
CCSUW 84-70
+20.5
29
vsSPU
SPUL 66-70
−6.5
2
@CAN
CANL 81-85
−10.5
4
@NIA
NIAW 83-75
+4.5
9
vsRID
RIDW 68-62
−2.5
14
vsMAN
MANW 98-62
+29.5
17
@MRST
MRSTL 67-82
−6.5
19
@SIE
SIEL 77-85
−1.5
22
vsNIA
NIAW 62-61
−9.5
covered 7didn’t cover 13avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@PSU
PSUL 68-76
−7.5
8
@NJIT
NJITW 74-53
−18.5
10
@HALL
HALLL 59-82
+3.5
14
vsSTO
STOW 73-71
+0.5
16
vsL-MD
L-MDW 85-82
+31.5
22
@LEM
LEMW 97-83
+34.5
26
vsCOLU
COLUL 77-106
+32.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 72-68
−7.5
5
@MAN
MANL 66-70
−19.5
7
@MRMK
MRMKL 63-74
−7.5
14
vsMONM
MONMW 73-65
−5.5
18
@CCSU
CCSUW 84-70
+10.5
29
vsSPU
SPUL 66-70
−4.5
2
@CAN
CANL 81-85
+25.5
4
@NIA
NIAW 83-75
+19.5
9
vsRID
RIDW 68-62
−15.5
14
vsMAN
MANW 98-62
+1.5
17
@MRST
MRSTL 67-82
+7.5
19
@SIE
SIEL 77-85
+19.5
22
vsNIA
NIAW 62-61
−16.5
over 11under 9avg +4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Canisius
7-12 overall · 3-6 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Sacred Heart66–69
- Lvs Mount St Marys68–78
- Lvs Niagara54–59
- L@ Iona48–74
- W@ Manhattan70–64
2 days since their last game.
Fairfield
11-9 overall · 4-6 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Niagara62–61
- L@ Siena77–85
- L@ Marist67–82
- Wvs Manhattan98–62
- Wvs Rider68–62
2 days since their last game.