Coleman Coliseum · at Alabama
Closing line
ALA -15.5✓ ALA covered by 8.5
ALA -15.5✓ ALA covered by 8.5Closing total171.5Over by 8.5
 YALE | This season | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| 9-1 | Record | 9-3 |
| 5-5 | ATS | 5-7 |
| 7-3 | O/U | 6-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: YALE 78–96 ALA · ✓ ALA (94%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| YALE | 31 | 47 | 78 |
| ALA | 55 | 47 | 102 |
1st half: YALE 31, ALA 55 (ALA by 24). The model had ALA by 10.6 and a total of 81.4 (actual 86).
Team stats
| YALE | ALA | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-63 40% | Field goals | 34-77 44% |
| 9-23 39% | 3-pointers | 22-54 41% |
| 19-26 73% | Free throws | 12-16 75% |
| 38 14 off | Rebounds | 46 21 off |
| 10 | Assists | 22 |
| 3 | Steals | 4 |
| 1 | Blocks | 5 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 5 |
| 19 | Fouls | 19 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| YALE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Townsend F | 35 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 6-12 | 2-4 |
| Isaac Celiscar F | 31 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 6-8 | 1-1 |
| Samson Aletan C | 28 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-0 |
| Trevor Mullin G | 26 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 3-10 | 1-5 |
| Casey Simmons G | 21 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 1-9 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Brathwaite G | 19 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Devon Arlington G | 19 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Riley Fox F | 18 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4-11 | 2-6 |
| Alvin Loving G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jack Sullivan F | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Courtney Wallace G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Daniel Ogunyemi, Jeannot Basima, Jacob Tsai
| ALA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amari Allen G | 30 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 4-7 | 2-4 |
| Aden Holloway G | 27 | 26 | 0 | 7 | 9-15 | 5-10 |
| Houston Mallette G | 25 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 4-9 | 4-9 |
| Aiden Sherrell F | 25 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 4-8 | 1-3 |
| Taylor Bol Bowen F | 21 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Latrell Wrightsell Jr. G | 24 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 5-16 | 5-15 |
| Jalil Bethea G | 20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 4-7 | 3-4 |
| Keitenn Bristow F | 16 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Noah Williamson C | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Jacob Martin C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Preston Murphy Jr., Collins Onyejiaka, London Jemison, Davion Hannah, Labaron Philon Jr., Klark James, Jack Fagan
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenALA -16.5
1 → YALE
CloseALA -15.5
1 pt toward YALE
Total
Open177.5
▼ 6
Close171.5
Down 6 since the open
Moneyline
YALE +850 · ALA -1450
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ALA -16.5 · closed ALA -15.5 · moved 1 toward YALEmodel ALA -18
model ALA -18
Opened 177.5 · closed 171.5 · moved 6 downmodel 174
model 174
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ALA -15.5 | ALA -17.8 | ALA +2.3 | W ALA covered |
| Total | 171.5 | 174.0 | Over 2.5 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | YALE 78.1 · ALA 95.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ALA -10.6 | ALA -24.0 |
| 1H total | 81.4 | 86 |
| 1H projected score | YALE 35.4 · ALA 46 | YALE 31 · ALA 55 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| YALE | 9-1 90% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
| ALA | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Yale
10 games played
Straight up
9-1
90% wins
Against the spread
5-5
50% covers · avg +1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-3
70% overs · avg +8.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ NAVY | W 97-68 | -5.5 | W +23.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 11 | @ QUIN | W 97-60 | -6.5 | W +30.5 | 156.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 15 | vs STBK | W 86-79 | -20.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 18 | vs URI | L 77-86 | -8.5 | L −17.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 21 | vs GB | W 73-67 | -17.5 | L −11.5 | 148.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 23 | vs COFC | W 74-63 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 24 | vs AKR | W 97-94 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 30 | @ UVM | W 77-74 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 7 | vs UIC | W 80-66 | -12.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 10 | vs UALB | W 93-82 | -17.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 175 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@NAVY
NAVYW 97-68
+23.5
11
@QUIN
QUINW 97-60
+30.5
15
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-79
−13.5
18
vsURI
URIL 77-86
−17.5
21
vsGB
GBW 73-67
−11.5
23
vsCOFC
COFCW 74-63
+4.5
24
vsAKR
AKRW 97-94
+4.5
30
@UVM
UVMW 77-74
−3.5
7
vsUIC
UICW 80-66
+1.5
10
vsUALB
UALBW 93-82
−6.5
covered 5didn’t cover 5avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@NAVY
NAVYW 97-68
+17.5
11
@QUIN
QUINW 97-60
+0.5
15
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-79
+14.5
18
vsURI
URIL 77-86
+9.5
21
vsGB
GBW 73-67
−8.5
23
vsCOFC
COFCW 74-63
−11.5
24
vsAKR
AKRW 97-94
+34.5
30
@UVM
UVMW 77-74
+3.5
7
vsUIC
UICW 80-66
−2.5
10
vsUALB
UALBW 93-82
+29.5
over 7under 3avg +8.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Alabama
12 games played
Straight up
9-3
75% wins
Against the spread
5-7
42% covers · avg +1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-6
50% overs · avg +0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UND | W 91-62 | -36.5 | L −7.5 | 170.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 8 | @ SJU | W 103-96 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 172.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 13 | vs PUR | L 80-87 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 172.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 19 | vs ILL | W 90-86 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 180.5 | U 176 |
| Nov 24 | vs GONZ | L 85-95 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 178.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 25 | vs UNLV | W 115-76 | -13.5 | W +25.5 | 181.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 26 | vs MD | W 105-72 | -14.5 | W +18.5 | 166.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 3 | vs CLEM | W 90-84 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 7 | vs UTSA | W 97-55 | -33.5 | W +8.5 | 171.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 13 | vs ARIZ | L 75-96 | +2.5 | L −18.5 | 178.5 | U 171 |
| Dec 17 | vs USF | W 104-93 | -14.5 | L −3.5 | 178.5 | O 197 |
| Dec 21 | vs KENN | W 92-81 | -20.5 | L −9.5 | 182.5 | U 173 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUND
UNDW 91-62
−7.5
8
@SJU
SJUW 103-96
+11.5
13
vsPUR
PURL 80-87
−10.5
19
vsILL
ILLW 90-86
+6.5
24
vsGONZ
GONZL 85-95
−5.5
25
vsUNLV
UNLVW 115-76
+25.5
26
vsMD
MDW 105-72
+18.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEMW 90-84
−2.5
7
vsUTSA
UTSAW 97-55
+8.5
13
vsARIZ
ARIZL 75-96
−18.5
17
vsUSF
USFW 104-93
−3.5
21
vsKENN
KENNW 92-81
−9.5
covered 5didn’t cover 7avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUND
UNDW 91-62
−17.5
8
@SJU
SJUW 103-96
+26.5
13
vsPUR
PURL 80-87
−5.5
19
vsILL
ILLW 90-86
−4.5
24
vsGONZ
GONZL 85-95
+1.5
25
vsUNLV
UNLVW 115-76
+9.5
26
vsMD
MDW 105-72
+10.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEMW 90-84
+8.5
7
vsUTSA
UTSAW 97-55
−19.5
13
vsARIZ
ARIZL 75-96
−7.5
17
vsUSF
USFW 104-93
+18.5
21
vsKENN
KENNW 92-81
−9.5
over 6under 6avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Yale
9-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UAlbany93–82
- Wvs UIC80–66
- W@ Vermont77–74
- Wvs Akron97–94
- Wvs Charleston74–63
A week or more of rest.
Alabama
9-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Kennesaw St92–81
- Wvs South Florida104–93
- Lvs Arizona75–96
- Wvs UTSA97–55
- Wvs Clemson90–84
A week or more of rest.