Chace Athletic Center · at Bryant · Conference game
Closing line
UMBC -1.5✓ BRY covered by 6.5
UMBC -1.5✓ BRY covered by 6.5Closing total135.5Over by 17.5
| UMBC | This season | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| 7-6 | Record | 3-12 |
| 5-8 | ATS | 7-8 |
| 6-7 | O/U | 4-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UMBC 70–71 BRY · ✓ BRY (52%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMBC | 26 | 41 | 7 | 74 |
| BRY | 33 | 34 | 12 | 79 |
1st half: UMBC 26, BRY 33 (BRY by 7). The model had BRY by 0.3 and a total of 66.0 (actual 59).
Team stats
| UMBC | BRY | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-53 43% | Field goals | 31-60 52% |
| 11-30 37% | 3-pointers | 9-24 38% |
| 17-20 85% | Free throws | 8-12 67% |
| 25 5 off | Rebounds | 39 12 off |
| 15 | Assists | 14 |
| 7 | Steals | 7 |
| 0 | Blocks | 4 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 14 | Fouls | 17 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| UMBC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ace Valentine G | 40 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 3-7 | 1-1 |
| DJ Armstrong Jr. G | 40 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 7-18 | 5-16 |
| Jah'Likai King G | 36 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 3-9 | 0-3 |
| Jose Roberto Tanchyn F | 30 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 4-8 | 2-5 |
| Josh Odunowo F | 25 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Caden Diggs F | 30 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 4-7 | 2-3 |
| Cougar Downing G | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Paul Greene F | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Saahil Thakkar, Riley Jacobs, Jake Stout, Tim Eze, Daylon Dickerson, Regimantas Ciunys, Devin Ceaser
| BRY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Davis III G | 42 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 7-12 | 3-8 |
| Ashley Sims II F | 41 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 5-10 | 0-0 |
| Timofei Rudovskii F | 38 | 22 | 8 | 0 | 8-17 | 6-11 |
| Ty Tabales G | 37 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 3-9 | 0-5 |
| Keegan Harvey F | 35 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jakai Robinson G | 16 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Gio Sanford G | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Ethane Bourgade F | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Reed Woerner, Daniel Akoue, Michael DeOrsey, Quincy Allen, Lennart Weber, Joe Green, Jaheim Nyam, Jason Sepe, Langston Bailey, Frankie Vassalluzzo, Khalil Williams
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUMBC -2.5
1 → BRY
CloseUMBC -1.5
1 pt toward BRY
Total
Open137.5
▼ 2
Close135.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
UMBC -125 · BRY +105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UMBC -2.5 · closed UMBC -1.5 · moved 1 toward BRYmodel BRY -0.5
model BRY -0.5
Opened 137.5 · closed 135.5 · moved 2 downmodel 141
model 141
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UMBC -1.5 | BRY -0.7 | BRY +2.2 | W BRY covered |
| Total | 135.5 | 140.9 | Over 5.4 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | UMBC 70.1 · BRY 70.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | BRY -0.3 | BRY -7.0 |
| 1H total | 66.0 | 59 |
| 1H projected score | UMBC 32.9 · BRY 33.2 | UMBC 26 · BRY 33 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UMBC | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
| BRY | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
UMBC 2–5 BRYBRY leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · BRY has won the last 5 meetings · UMBC 5-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | UMBC 74 @ BRY 85 | BRY -15.5 | UMBC W |
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | UMBC 79 @ BRY 81 | BRY -12.5 | UMBC W |
| Jan 30, 2024-25 | BRY 92 @ UMBC 86 | UMBC +5.5 | BRY W |
| Feb 1, 2023-24 | UMBC 95 @ BRY 99 | BRY -12.5 | UMBC W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | BRY 81 @ UMBC 67 | UMBC +6.5 | BRY W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UMBC
13 games played
Straight up
7-6
54% wins
Against the spread
5-8
38% covers · avg +1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-7
46% overs · avg −1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ DAY | L 71-77 | +25.5 | W +19.5 | 154.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 11 | @ MORG | W 81-79 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 16 | vs WAG | W 71-70 | -6.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 19 | @ GW | L 52-89 | +22.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 29 | vs DSU | W 71-57 | -13.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 3 | @ GTWN | L 81-90 | +19.5 | W +10.5 | 149.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 6 | @ BUCK | W 73-66 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 9 | vs BUF | L 79-83 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 12 | vs ARMY | L 60-63 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 21 | @ USF | L 69-94 | +22.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 29 | @ COPP | W 93-59 | -10.5 | W +23.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 8 | vs ME | W 69-62 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 133.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 10 | vs UNH | W 75-74 | -6.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@DAY
DAYL 71-77
+19.5
11
@MORG
MORGW 81-79
−2.5
16
vsWAG
WAGW 71-70
−5.5
19
@GW
GWL 52-89
−14.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 71-57
+0.5
3
@GTWN
GTWNL 81-90
+10.5
6
@BUCK
BUCKW 73-66
+8.5
9
vsBUF
BUFL 79-83
−0.5
12
vsARMY
ARMYL 60-63
−10.5
21
@USF
USFL 69-94
−2.5
29
@COPP
COPPW 93-59
+23.5
8
vsME
MEW 69-62
−0.5
10
vsUNH
UNHW 75-74
−5.5
covered 5didn’t cover 8avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@DAY
DAYL 71-77
−6.5
11
@MORG
MORGW 81-79
−2.5
16
vsWAG
WAGW 71-70
+0.5
19
@GW
GWL 52-89
−19.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 71-57
−10.5
3
@GTWN
GTWNL 81-90
+21.5
6
@BUCK
BUCKW 73-66
−4.5
9
vsBUF
BUFL 79-83
+16.5
12
vsARMY
ARMYL 60-63
−23.5
21
@USF
USFL 69-94
+2.5
29
@COPP
COPPW 93-59
+3.5
8
vsME
MEW 69-62
−2.5
10
vsUNH
UNHW 75-74
+5.5
over 6under 7avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Bryant
15 games played
Straight up
3-12
20% wins
Against the spread
7-8
47% covers · avg −4.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-11
27% overs · avg −9.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ SIE | L 66-82 | +13.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 7 | @ GT | L 45-74 | +15.5 | L −13.5 | 138.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 12 | vs DART | W 82-75 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 16 | @ VAL | L 50-68 | +6.5 | L −11.5 | 143.5 | U 118 |
| Nov 19 | @ VT | L 61-78 | +24.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 23 | @ CONN | L 49-72 | +36.5 | W +13.5 | 147.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 29 | @ HARV | L 53-56 | +7.5 | W +4.5 | 137.5 | U 109 |
| Dec 2 | vs STO | W 77-65 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 5 | @ BRWN | L 56-75 | +6.5 | L −12.5 | 130.5 | O 131 |
| Dec 10 | @ IONA | L 63-69 | +8.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 13 | vs MRST | L 74-82 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 131.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 22 | @ HPU | L 47-93 | +19.5 | L −26.5 | 153.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 3 | @ME | W 56-51 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 125.5 | U 107 |
| Jan 8 | vs UML | L 63-77 | -2.5 | L −16.5 | 143.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 10 | @ UALB | L 46-71 | +3.5 | L −21.5 | 136.5 | U 117 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@SIE
SIEL 66-82
−2.5
7
@GT
GTL 45-74
−13.5
12
vsDART
DARTW 82-75
+5.5
16
@VAL
VALL 50-68
−11.5
19
@VT
VTL 61-78
+7.5
23
@CONN
CONNL 49-72
+13.5
29
@HARV
HARVL 53-56
+4.5
2
vsSTO
STOW 77-65
+5.5
5
@BRWN
BRWNL 56-75
−12.5
10
@IONA
IONAL 63-69
+2.5
13
vsMRST
MRSTL 74-82
−6.5
22
@HPU
HPUL 47-93
−26.5
3
@ME
MEW 56-51
+3.5
8
vsUML
UMLL 63-77
−16.5
10
@UALB
UALBL 46-71
−21.5
covered 7didn’t cover 8avg −4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SIE
SIEL 66-82
−0.5
7
@GT
GTL 45-74
−19.5
12
vsDART
DARTW 82-75
+5.5
16
@VAL
VALL 50-68
−25.5
19
@VT
VTL 61-78
−12.5
23
@CONN
CONNL 49-72
−26.5
29
@HARV
HARVL 53-56
−28.5
2
vsSTO
STOW 77-65
+7.5
5
@BRWN
BRWNL 56-75
+0.5
10
@IONA
IONAL 63-69
−14.5
13
vsMRST
MRSTL 74-82
+24.5
22
@HPU
HPUL 47-93
−13.5
3
@ME
MEW 56-51
−18.5
8
vsUML
UMLL 63-77
−3.5
10
@UALB
UALBL 46-71
−19.5
over 4under 11avg −9.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UMBC
7-6 overall · 2-0 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs New Hampshire75–74
- Wvs Maine69–62
- W@ Coppin St93–59
- L@ South Florida69–94
- Lvs Army60–63
5 days since their last game.
Bryant
3-12 overall · 1-2 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UAlbany46–71
- Lvs UMass Lowell63–77
- W@ Maine56–51
- L@ High Point47–93
- Lvs Marist74–82
5 days since their last game.