Chace Athletic Center · at Bryant · Conference game
Closing line
BRY -2.5✓ UML covered by 16.5
BRY -2.5✓ UML covered by 16.5Closing total143.5Under by 3.5
 UML | This season | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| 3-10 | Record | 3-10 |
| 7-6 | ATS | 7-6 |
| 8-5 | O/U | 4-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UML 72–75 BRY · ✗ BRY (62%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UML | 34 | 43 | 77 |
| BRY | 27 | 36 | 63 |
1st half: UML 34, BRY 27 (UML by 7). The model had BRY by 2.0 and a total of 68.8 (actual 61).
Team stats
| UML | BRY | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-57 53% | Field goals | 24-59 41% |
| 5-13 38% | 3-pointers | 9-27 33% |
| 12-17 71% | Free throws | 6-9 67% |
| 38 10 off | Rebounds | 27 9 off |
| 10 | Assists | 18 |
| 5 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 7 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 48 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 20 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| UML | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel Montas Jr. G | 38 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 13-24 | 1-5 |
| Xavier Spencer G | 35 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3-9 | 1-2 |
| Austin Green F | 35 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
| Shawn Simmons II F | 32 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Darrel Yepdo G | 26 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 5-8 | 3-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Khalil Farmer G | 21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| JJ Massaquoi F | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Victor Okojie F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Keenan Bey, Jerrell Roberson II, Jared Frey, Isaiah Walter, Kris Johnson
| BRY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Sims II F | 37 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 5-5 | 1-1 |
| Timofei Rudovskii F | 36 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 5-15 | 3-9 |
| Aaron Davis III G | 35 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 7-15 | 5-10 |
| Keegan Harvey F | 26 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Ty Tabales G | 26 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2-10 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jakai Robinson G | 20 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Ethane Bourgade F | 10 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Quincy Allen G | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Gio Sanford G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Khalil Williams, Jaheim Nyam, Joe Green, Lennart Weber, Langston Bailey, Daniel Akoue, Frankie Vassalluzzo, Reed Woerner, Michael DeOrsey, Jason Sepe
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBRY -2.5
ModelBRY -3.5
Model edgeBRY +1.0
L UML covered
Total
Market143.5
Model146.8
Model edgeOver 3.3
L Under
Projected score
UML 71.6 · BRY 75.2
UML 77 · BRY 63
Win probability
BRY 62%
1st half
Spread
BRY -2.0
UML -7.0
Total
68.8
61 points
Projected score
UML 33.4 · BRY 35.4
UML 34 · BRY 27
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBRY -2.5
no move
CloseBRY -2.5
No change since the open
Total
Open146.5
▼ 3
Close143.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
UML +110 · BRY -130
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BRY -2.5 · unchangedmodel BRY -3.5
model BRY -3.5
Opened 146.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 3 downmodel 147
model 147
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UML | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% |
| BRY | 2-8 20% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
UML 5–2 BRYUML leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · BRY has won the last 2 meetings · UML 6-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024-25 | BRY 79 @ UML 78 | UML +3.5 | UML W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | UML 62 @ BRY 85 | BRY -4.5 | BRY W |
| Mar 12, 2023-24 | BRY 70 @ UML 77 | UML -6.5 | UML W |
| Feb 29, 2023-24 | BRY 67 @ UML 89 | UML -5.5 | UML W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | UML 86 @ BRY 77 | BRY -1.5 | UML W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UMass Lowell
13 games played
Straight up
3-10
23% wins
Against the spread
7-6
54% covers · avg +0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-5
62% overs · avg +2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ CONN | L 47-110 | +36.5 | L −26.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 10 | vs NHVN | L 67-73 | -10.5 | L −16.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 13 | @ COLU | L 72-86 | +13.5 | L −0.5 | 156.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 16 | @ WAKE | L 75-109 | +30.5 | L −3.5 | 165.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 19 | @ BRAD | L 77-87 | +21.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 22 | @ SPU | L 66-68 | +8.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 26 | @ STO | W 75-64 | +2.5 | W +13.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 6 | @ MASS | L 60-80 | +11.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | @ QUIN | L 71-75 | +12.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 16 | vs SHU | W 87-82 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 21 | @ BU | L 76-88 | +5.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 29 | @ IOWA | L 62-90 | +33.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 3 | vs UALB | W 83-71 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 150.5 | O 154 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@CONN
CONNL 47-110
−26.5
10
vsNHVN
NHVNL 67-73
−16.5
13
@COLU
COLUL 72-86
−0.5
16
@WAKE
WAKEL 75-109
−3.5
19
@BRAD
BRADL 77-87
+11.5
22
@SPU
SPUL 66-68
+6.5
26
@STO
STOW 75-64
+13.5
6
@MASS
MASSL 60-80
−8.5
13
@QUIN
QUINL 71-75
+8.5
16
vsSHU
SHUW 87-82
+7.5
21
@BU
BUL 76-88
−6.5
29
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-90
+5.5
3
vsUALB
UALBW 83-71
+9.5
covered 7didn’t cover 6avg +0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@CONN
CONNL 47-110
+5.5
10
vsNHVN
NHVNL 67-73
−2.5
13
@COLU
COLUL 72-86
+1.5
16
@WAKE
WAKEL 75-109
+18.5
19
@BRAD
BRADL 77-87
+14.5
22
@SPU
SPUL 66-68
−13.5
26
@STO
STOW 75-64
−9.5
6
@MASS
MASSL 60-80
−15.5
13
@QUIN
QUINL 71-75
−7.5
16
vsSHU
SHUW 87-82
+17.5
21
@BU
BUL 76-88
+18.5
29
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-90
+6.5
3
vsUALB
UALBW 83-71
+3.5
over 8under 5avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Bryant
13 games played
Straight up
3-10
23% wins
Against the spread
7-6
54% covers · avg −2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-9
31% overs · avg −9.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ SIE | L 66-82 | +13.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 7 | @ GT | L 45-74 | +15.5 | L −13.5 | 138.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 12 | vs DART | W 82-75 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 16 | @ VAL | L 50-68 | +6.5 | L −11.5 | 143.5 | U 118 |
| Nov 19 | @ VT | L 61-78 | +24.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 23 | @CONN | L 49-72 | +36.5 | W +13.5 | 147.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 29 | @ HARV | L 53-56 | +7.5 | W +4.5 | 137.5 | U 109 |
| Dec 2 | vsSTO | W 77-65 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 5 | @ BRWN | L 56-75 | +6.5 | L −12.5 | 130.5 | O 131 |
| Dec 10 | @ IONA | L 63-69 | +8.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 13 | vs MRST | L 74-82 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 131.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 22 | @ HPU | L 47-93 | +19.5 | L −26.5 | 153.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 3 | @ ME | W 56-51 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 125.5 | U 107 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@SIE
SIEL 66-82
−2.5
7
@GT
GTL 45-74
−13.5
12
vsDART
DARTW 82-75
+5.5
16
@VAL
VALL 50-68
−11.5
19
@VT
VTL 61-78
+7.5
23
@CONN
CONNL 49-72
+13.5
29
@HARV
HARVL 53-56
+4.5
2
vsSTO
STOW 77-65
+5.5
5
@BRWN
BRWNL 56-75
−12.5
10
@IONA
IONAL 63-69
+2.5
13
vsMRST
MRSTL 74-82
−6.5
22
@HPU
HPUL 47-93
−26.5
3
@ME
MEW 56-51
+3.5
covered 7didn’t cover 6avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SIE
SIEL 66-82
−0.5
7
@GT
GTL 45-74
−19.5
12
vsDART
DARTW 82-75
+5.5
16
@VAL
VALL 50-68
−25.5
19
@VT
VTL 61-78
−12.5
23
@CONN
CONNL 49-72
−26.5
29
@HARV
HARVL 53-56
−28.5
2
vsSTO
STOW 77-65
+7.5
5
@BRWN
BRWNL 56-75
+0.5
10
@IONA
IONAL 63-69
−14.5
13
vsMRST
MRSTL 74-82
+24.5
22
@HPU
HPUL 47-93
−13.5
3
@ME
MEW 56-51
−18.5
over 4under 9avg −9.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UMass Lowell
3-10 overall · 1-0 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UAlbany83–71
- L@ Iowa62–90
- L@ Boston U76–88
- Wvs Sacred Heart87–82
- L@ Quinnipiac71–75
5 days since their last game.
Bryant
3-10 overall · 1-0 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Maine56–51
- L@ High Point47–93
- Lvs Marist74–82
- L@ Iona63–69
- L@ Brown56–75
5 days since their last game.