Corbett Sports Center · at NC A&T · Conference game
Closing line
NE -3.5✓ NE covered by 7.5
NE -3.5✓ NE covered by 7.5Closing total151.5Over by 7.5
| NE | This season | NCAT |
|---|---|---|
| 4-8 | Record | 5-5 |
| 7-5 | ATS | 6-4 |
| 7-5 | O/U | 4-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NE 77–76 NCAT · ✓ NE (55%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NE | 44 | 41 | 85 |
| NCAT | 36 | 38 | 74 |
1st half: NE 44, NCAT 36 (NE by 8). The model had NE by 1.1 and a total of 71.5 (actual 80).
Team stats
| NE | NCAT | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-56 54% | Field goals | 23-50 46% |
| 8-17 47% | 3-pointers | 5-18 28% |
| 17-27 63% | Free throws | 23-32 72% |
| 29 9 off | Rebounds | 35 12 off |
| 17 | Assists | 15 |
| 5 | Steals | 3 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 22 | Fouls | 21 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| NE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Youri Fritz F | 32 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Ty Francis F | 32 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Mike Loughnane G | 31 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 4-5 | 0-1 |
| William Kermoury G | 23 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 7-10 | 6-8 |
| Ryan Williams G | 19 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 3-5 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Xavier Abreu G | 21 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 8-15 | 1-2 |
| JB Frankel G | 15 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Luca Soroa Schaller F | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Liam Koelsch C | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Petar Pinter C | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Haris Elezovic F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Xander Alarie, Miles Newton, LA Pratt
| NCAT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Walker F | 37 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Dwayne Pierce G | 36 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1-9 | 1-5 |
| Zamoku Weluche-Ume F | 35 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 5-12 | 1-4 |
| Trent Middleton Jr. G | 30 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 6-8 | 1-2 |
| Amadou Doumbia F | 13 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Will Felton C | 22 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Bryson Ogletree G | 15 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Brooklyn Vick G | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| KJ Debrick F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Efstratios Kalliontzis, Chanler Montgomery, Lo Walker, Mujahiid Burton, Yancarlos Cueto, Jalal McKie, Uchenna Kellman-Nicholes
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNE -3.5
ModelNE -1.5
Model edgeNCAT +2.0
L NE covered
Total
Market151.5
Model152.7
Model edgeOver 1.2
W Over
Projected score
NE 77.1 · NCAT 75.6
NE 85 · NCAT 74
Win probability
NE 55%
1st half
Spread
NE -1.1
NE -8.0
Total
71.5
80 points
Projected score
NE 36.3 · NCAT 35.2
NE 44 · NCAT 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNE -4.5
1 → NCAT
CloseNE -3.5
1 pt toward NCAT
Total
Open154.5
▼ 3
Close151.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
NE -180 · NCAT +150
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NE -4.5 · closed NE -3.5 · moved 1 toward NCATmodel NE -1.5
model NE -1.5
Opened 154.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 3 downmodel 152.5
model 152.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NE | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| NCAT | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
NE 2–1 NCATNE leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · NE 2-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024-25 | NCAT 55 @ NE 69 | NE -10.5 | NE W |
| Jan 18, 2023-24 | NE 65 @ NCAT 72 | NCAT +7.5 | NCAT W |
| Dec 29, 2022-23 | NCAT 76 @ NE 88 | NE -5.5 | NE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Northeastern
12 games played
Straight up
4-8
33% wins
Against the spread
7-5
58% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-5
58% overs · avg +8.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BU | L 75-76 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 7 | @ COLG | W 68-65 | +5.5 | W +8.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 11 | @ HARV | W 77-60 | +5.5 | W +22.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 15 | vs UVM | L 74-85 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 134.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 20 | @ PRIN | L 57-70 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 22 | vs DUQ | W 93-86 | +7.5 | W +14.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 28 | @ WAKE | L 73-86 | +17.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 3 | @ HC | L 59-76 | -8.5 | L −25.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 7 | vs CCSU | W 73-56 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 20 | @ SYR | L 83-91 | +14.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 22 | @ URI | L 77-85 | +10.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 29 | @ ELON | L 91-103 | +4.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 194 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBU
BUL 75-76
−3.5
7
@COLG
COLGW 68-65
+8.5
11
@HARV
HARVW 77-60
+22.5
15
vsUVM
UVML 74-85
−12.5
20
@PRIN
PRINL 57-70
−10.5
22
vsDUQ
DUQW 93-86
+14.5
28
@WAKE
WAKEL 73-86
+4.5
3
@HC
HCL 59-76
−25.5
7
vsCCSU
CCSUW 73-56
+15.5
20
@SYR
SYRL 83-91
+6.5
22
@URI
URIL 77-85
+2.5
29
@ELON
ELONL 91-103
−7.5
covered 7didn’t cover 5avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBU
BUL 75-76
+8.5
7
@COLG
COLGW 68-65
−14.5
11
@HARV
HARVW 77-60
−7.5
15
vsUVM
UVML 74-85
+24.5
20
@PRIN
PRINL 57-70
−18.5
22
vsDUQ
DUQW 93-86
+31.5
28
@WAKE
WAKEL 73-86
+4.5
3
@HC
HCL 59-76
−10.5
7
vsCCSU
CCSUW 73-56
−9.5
20
@SYR
SYRL 83-91
+33.5
22
@URI
URIL 77-85
+17.5
29
@ELON
ELONL 91-103
+40.5
over 7under 5avg +8.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
NC A&T
10 games played
Straight up
5-5
50% wins
Against the spread
6-4
60% covers · avg +3.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-6
40% overs · avg +1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ SC | L 72-91 | +22.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 10 | vs SCST | W 85-62 | -2.5 | W +20.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 18 | @ MORG | W 79-73 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 28 | @ DAV | L 74-90 | +13.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 2 | @ CLT | L 57-74 | +7.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 6 | @ NCCU | W 69-54 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 9 | vs HOW | L 69-73 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 12 | vs UMES | W 82-79 | -7.5 | L −4.5 | 130.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 16 | @ UNCG | W 71-65 | +6.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 29 | vs UNCW | L 78-87 | +10.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@SC
SCL 72-91
+3.5
10
vsSCST
SCSTW 85-62
+20.5
18
@MORG
MORGW 79-73
+3.5
28
@DAV
DAVL 74-90
−2.5
2
@CLT
CLTL 57-74
−9.5
6
@NCCU
NCCUW 69-54
+12.5
9
vsHOW
HOWL 69-73
−6.5
12
vsUMES
UMESW 82-79
−4.5
16
@UNCG
UNCGW 71-65
+12.5
29
vsUNCW
UNCWL 78-87
+1.5
covered 6didn’t cover 4avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@SC
SCL 72-91
+19.5
10
vsSCST
SCSTW 85-62
−12.5
18
@MORG
MORGW 79-73
−9.5
28
@DAV
DAVL 74-90
+18.5
2
@CLT
CLTL 57-74
−13.5
6
@NCCU
NCCUW 69-54
−19.5
9
vsHOW
HOWL 69-73
−7.5
12
vsUMES
UMESW 82-79
+30.5
16
@UNCG
UNCGW 71-65
−11.5
29
vsUNCW
UNCWL 78-87
+18.5
over 4under 6avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Northeastern
4-8 overall · 0-1 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Elon91–103
- L@ Rhode Island77–85
- L@ Syracuse83–91
- Wvs C Connecticut73–56
- L@ Holy Cross59–76
2 days since their last game.
NC A&T
5-5 overall · 0-1 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UNC Wilmington78–87
- W@ UNC Greensboro71–65
- Wvs MD Eastern82–79
- Lvs Howard69–73
- W@ NC Central69–54
2 days since their last game.