Freedom Hall (TN) · at ETSU · Conference game
Closing line
ETSU -7.5✓ MER covered by 1.5
ETSU -7.5✓ MER covered by 1.5Closing total148.5Under by 0.5
 MER | This season | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| 5-6 | Record | 7-5 |
| 9-2 | ATS | 7-5 |
| 5-6 | O/U | 6-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MER 71–78 ETSU · ✓ ETSU (72%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MER | 35 | 36 | 71 |
| ETSU | 32 | 45 | 77 |
1st half: MER 35, ETSU 32 (MER by 3). The model had ETSU by 3.9 and a total of 69.7 (actual 67).
Team stats
| MER | ETSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-58 43% | Field goals | 24-57 42% |
| 9-28 32% | 3-pointers | 6-19 32% |
| 12-17 71% | Free throws | 23-27 85% |
| 31 11 off | Rebounds | 40 16 off |
| 11 | Assists | 8 |
| 5 | Steals | 8 |
| 3 | Blocks | 5 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 20 | Fouls | 20 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 16 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| MER | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baraka Okojie G | 35 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 5-15 | 0-6 |
| Brady Shoulders G | 34 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 7-11 | 4-6 |
| Zaire Williams G | 33 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 5-11 | 3-8 |
| Armani Mighty C | 31 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Connor Serven F | 28 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 3-8 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Quinton Perkins II G | 28 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 3-5 | 2-4 |
| Tristan Gross G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bendji Pierre F | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Petras Padegimas, NJ Nganga, Pero Zubac, Jaydon Cole, Braeden Carlsen, Alex Koch, TJ Grant, Kyle Cuffe Jr.
| ETSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Taylor II G | 39 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 5-12 | 1-5 |
| Blake Barkley F | 35 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 7-12 | 2-3 |
| Cam Morris III F | 32 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5-14 | 0-2 |
| Jordan McCullum F | 19 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| Allen Strothers G | 19 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Maki Johnson G | 28 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Jaylen Smith G | 21 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 3-8 | 1-3 |
| Gabe Sisk G | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Henry Sisemore, Isaiah Sutherland, Frederico Whitaker Jr., Joseph Carter, Maddox Huff, Brayden Crump, Milton Matthews III
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenETSU -5.5
2 → ETSU
CloseETSU -7.5
2 pts toward ETSU
Total
Open152.5
▼ 4
Close148.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
MER +245 · ETSU -305
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ETSU -5.5 · closed ETSU -7.5 · moved 2 toward ETSUmodel ETSU -7
model ETSU -7
Opened 152.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 4 downmodel 149
model 149
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ETSU -7.5 | ETSU -6.8 | MER +0.7 | W MER covered |
| Total | 148.5 | 148.9 | Over 0.4 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | MER 71 · ETSU 77.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ETSU -3.9 | MER -3.0 |
| 1H total | 69.7 | 67 |
| 1H projected score | MER 32.9 · ETSU 36.8 | MER 35 · ETSU 32 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MER | 5-5 50% | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% |
| ETSU | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
MER 3–5 ETSUETSU leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · ETSU has won the last 4 meetings · MER 4-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2024-25 | MER 58 @ ETSU 59 | ETSU -8.5 | MER W |
| Jan 8, 2024-25 | ETSU 70 @ MER 68 | MER +2.5 | MER W |
| Jan 31, 2023-24 | ETSU 54 @ MER 49 | MER -1.5 | ETSU W |
| Jan 3, 2023-24 | MER 69 @ ETSU 80 | ETSU -5.5 | ETSU W |
| Jan 25, 2022-23 | ETSU 67 @ MER 71 | MER -4.5 | ETSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Mercer
11 games played
Straight up
5-6
45% wins
Against the spread
9-2
82% covers · avg +3.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-6
45% overs · avg +0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ TENN | L 61-76 | +28.5 | W +13.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 9 | vs LIP | W 92-77 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 15 | @ WIN | L 69-105 | +2.5 | L −33.5 | 162.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 22 | @ EKU | W 95-83 | +4.5 | W +16.5 | 163.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 26 | vs APP | W 75-67 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | @ ELON | W 91-84 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 2 | vs GAST | W 78-67 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 13 | @ CLEM | L 63-70 | +22.5 | W +15.5 | 152.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 17 | @ UCF | L 63-81 | +16.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 20 | @ WSU | L 78-84 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 31 | @ FUR | L 72-74 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@TENN
TENNL 61-76
+13.5
9
vsLIP
LIPW 92-77
+11.5
15
@WIN
WINL 69-105
−33.5
22
@EKU
EKUW 95-83
+16.5
26
vsAPP
APPW 75-67
+1.5
29
@ELON
ELONW 91-84
+9.5
2
vsGAST
GASTW 78-67
+0.5
13
@CLEM
CLEML 63-70
+15.5
17
@UCF
UCFL 63-81
−1.5
20
@WSU
WSUL 78-84
+1.5
31
@FUR
FURL 72-74
+0.5
covered 9didn’t cover 2avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TENN
TENNL 61-76
−6.5
9
vsLIP
LIPW 92-77
+11.5
15
@WIN
WINL 69-105
+11.5
22
@EKU
EKUW 95-83
+14.5
26
vsAPP
APPW 75-67
−0.5
29
@ELON
ELONW 91-84
+15.5
2
vsGAST
GASTW 78-67
−10.5
13
@CLEM
CLEML 63-70
−19.5
17
@UCF
UCFL 63-81
−16.5
20
@WSU
WSUL 78-84
+10.5
31
@FUR
FURL 72-74
−8.5
over 5under 6avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
ETSU
12 games played
Straight up
7-5
58% wins
Against the spread
7-5
58% covers · avg +3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-6
50% overs · avg +1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ PRES | L 64-68 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 12 | vs NKU | W 75-63 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 15 | @ UNA | W 78-74 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 21 | vs MORE | W 77-62 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 23 | vs ULM | W 97-55 | -19.5 | W +22.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 29 | vs CARK | W 80-57 | -12.5 | W +10.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 2 | @ DAY | L 71-88 | +11.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 5 | vs USA | W 91-65 | -7.5 | W +18.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 12 | @ APSU | L 75-76 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 16 | @ UNC | L 58-77 | +17.5 | L −1.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 20 | vs JXST | L 75-81 | -9.5 | L −15.5 | 134.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 30 | @ CIT | W 74-49 | -12.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | U 123 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@PRES
PRESL 64-68
−10.5
12
vsNKU
NKUW 75-63
+5.5
15
@UNA
UNAW 78-74
+5.5
21
vsMORE
MOREW 77-62
+4.5
23
vsULM
ULMW 97-55
+22.5
29
vsCARK
CARKW 80-57
+10.5
2
@DAY
DAYL 71-88
−5.5
5
vsUSA
USAW 91-65
+18.5
12
@APSU
APSUL 75-76
−4.5
16
@UNC
UNCL 58-77
−1.5
20
vsJXST
JXSTL 75-81
−15.5
30
@CIT
CITW 74-49
+12.5
covered 7didn’t cover 5avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@PRES
PRESL 64-68
−9.5
12
vsNKU
NKUW 75-63
−4.5
15
@UNA
UNAW 78-74
+6.5
21
vsMORE
MOREW 77-62
−5.5
23
vsULM
ULMW 97-55
+5.5
29
vsCARK
CARKW 80-57
−7.5
2
@DAY
DAYL 71-88
+18.5
5
vsUSA
USAW 91-65
+12.5
12
@APSU
APSUL 75-76
+7.5
16
@UNC
UNCL 58-77
−15.5
20
vsJXST
JXSTL 75-81
+21.5
30
@CIT
CITW 74-49
−17.5
over 6under 6avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Mercer
5-6 overall · 0-1 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Furman72–74
- L@ Washington St78–84
- L@ UCF63–81
- L@ Clemson63–70
- Wvs Georgia St78–67
3 days since their last game.
ETSU
7-5 overall · 1-0 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ The Citadel74–49
- Lvs Jax State75–81
- L@ North Carolina58–77
- L@ Austin Peay75–76
- Wvs South Alabama91–65
4 days since their last game.