Mott Athletics Center · at Cal Poly · Conference game
Closing line
UCI -5.5✓ CP covered by 11.5
UCI -5.5✓ CP covered by 11.5Closing total161.5Under by 9.5
| UCI | This season | CP |
|---|---|---|
| 14-8 | Record | 7-16 |
| 10-12 | ATS | 11-12 |
| 9-13 | O/U | 13-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UCI 82–76 CP · ✗ UCI (71%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCI | 42 | 31 | 73 |
| CP | 29 | 50 | 79 |
1st half: UCI 42, CP 29 (UCI by 13). The model had UCI by 3.9 and a total of 73.8 (actual 71).
Team stats
| UCI | CP | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-70 37% | Field goals | 26-66 39% |
| 11-28 39% | 3-pointers | 14-38 37% |
| 10-14 71% | Free throws | 13-18 72% |
| 40 13 off | Rebounds | 51 17 off |
| 16 | Assists | 18 |
| 14 | Steals | 10 |
| 6 | Blocks | 3 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 21 |
| 18 | Fouls | 14 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 16 | Fast-break points | 23 |
Players
| UCI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derin Saran G | 34 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 7-16 | 3-5 |
| Jurian Dixon G | 33 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 6-19 | 6-14 |
| Kyle Evans F | 32 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 5-11 | 0-0 |
| Tama Isaac G | 29 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 3-5 | 1-1 |
| Akiva McBirney-Griffin F | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Andre Henry G | 25 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 3-10 | 1-6 |
| Jovan Jester Jr. G | 15 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Harrison Carrington F | 13 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Nes Emeneke C | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ben Egbo G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mason Hodges, Luke Isaak, Josh Palmer, Bryce Goldman, Tishan Ahir, Torian Lee, Elijah Chol, Langston Redfield
| CP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamad Mousa G | 33 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 2-8 | 1-2 |
| Peter Bandelj G | 31 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 4-11 | 4-8 |
| Guzman Vasilic G | 31 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 6-9 | 4-7 |
| Cayden Ward G | 27 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 4-8 | 1-4 |
| Austin Goode F | 23 | 17 | 10 | 2 | 7-17 | 3-11 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Troy Plumtree F | 18 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 3-5 | 1-1 |
| Jess Esso Essis G | 16 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Jackson Mosley PG | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Jake Davis G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Aaron Price Jr. PF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ali Assran, Braden Freeman, Jason Scott, Kieran Elliott, Eric Brown, Luka Tarlac
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCI -6.5
1 → CP
CloseUCI -5.5
1 pt toward CP
Total
Open154.5
▲ 7
Close161.5
Up 7 since the open
Moneyline
UCI -258 · CP +210
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCI -6.5 · closed UCI -5.5 · moved 1 toward CPmodel UCI -6.5
model UCI -6.5
Opened 154.5 · closed 161.5 · moved 7 upmodel 158
model 158
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UCI -5.5 | UCI -6.3 | UCI +0.8 | L CP covered |
| Total | 161.5 | 157.8 | Under 3.7 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | UCI 82.1 · CP 75.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UCI -3.9 | UCI -13.0 |
| 1H total | 73.8 | 71 |
| 1H projected score | UCI 38.8 · CP 35 | UCI 42 · CP 29 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCI | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| CP | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
UCI 8–1 CPUCI leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · UCI has won the last 7 meetings · UCI 5-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024-25 | CP 78 vs UCI 96 | UCI -10.5 | UCI W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | CP 71 @ UCI 101 | UCI -14.5 | UCI W |
| Jan 2, 2024-25 | UCI 98 @ CP 89 | CP +7.5 | UCI W |
| Mar 7, 2023-24 | CP 68 @ UCI 82 | UCI -23.5 | CP W |
| Feb 1, 2023-24 | UCI 73 @ CP 59 | CP +13.5 | UCI W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UC Irvine
22 games played
Straight up
14-8
64% wins
Against the spread
10-12
45% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-13
41% overs · avg −3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs CBU | L 61-69 | -8.5 | L −16.5 | 147.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | vs WEB | W 79-70 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 19 | @ UVU | L 72-79 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 22 | vs UNI | L 69-70 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Nov 25 | vs NMSU | L 45-57 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | U 102 |
| Nov 26 | vs SDST | W 64-52 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 30 | @ SJSU | W 72-63 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 4 | vs UCR | W 73-60 | -13.5 | L −0.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 6 | vs CSUN | W 85-71 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 19 | vs BEL | L 58-84 | -1.5 | L −27.5 | 150.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 21 | vs NDSU | W 74-73 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 22 | vs NORF | W 89-70 | -11.5 | W +7.5 | 136.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 1 | @ CSUB | W 81-77 | -11.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 3 | @ CSUF | W 86-64 | -3.5 | W +18.5 | 160.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 8 | vs LBSU | W 74-64 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 10 | @ HAW | L 66-67 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 17 | @ UCD | L 72-75 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 22 | @UCR | W 80-66 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 24 | @ UCSD | W 61-59 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 29 | vsHAW | W 87-76 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 5 | vsCSUB | W 78-62 | -16.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 7 | @ UCSB | L 79-84 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | O 163 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsCBU
CBUL 61-69
−16.5
15
vsWEB
WEBW 79-70
−2.5
19
@UVU
UVUL 72-79
−4.5
22
vsUNI
UNIL 69-70
−3.5
25
vsNMSU
NMSUL 45-57
−14.5
26
vsSDST
SDSTW 64-52
+9.5
30
@SJSU
SJSUW 72-63
+5.5
4
vsUCR
UCRW 73-60
−0.5
6
vsCSUN
CSUNW 85-71
+6.5
19
vsBEL
BELL 58-84
−27.5
21
vsNDSU
NDSUW 74-73
+2.5
22
vsNORF
NORFW 89-70
+7.5
1
@CSUB
CSUBW 81-77
−7.5
3
@CSUF
CSUFW 86-64
+18.5
8
vsLBSU
LBSUW 74-64
−0.5
10
@HAW
HAWL 66-67
+3.5
17
@UCD
UCDL 72-75
−6.5
22
@UCR
UCRW 80-66
+5.5
24
@UCSD
UCSDW 61-59
+4.5
29
vsHAW
HAWW 87-76
+9.5
5
vsCSUB
CSUBW 78-62
−0.5
7
@UCSB
UCSBL 79-84
−2.5
covered 10didn’t cover 12avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsCBU
CBUL 61-69
−17.5
15
vsWEB
WEBW 79-70
−2.5
19
@UVU
UVUL 72-79
+1.5
22
vsUNI
UNIL 69-70
+0.5
25
vsNMSU
NMSUL 45-57
−37.5
26
vsSDST
SDSTW 64-52
−28.5
30
@SJSU
SJSUW 72-63
−4.5
4
vsUCR
UCRW 73-60
−9.5
6
vsCSUN
CSUNW 85-71
+3.5
19
vsBEL
BELL 58-84
−8.5
21
vsNDSU
NDSUW 74-73
+0.5
22
vsNORF
NORFW 89-70
+22.5
1
@CSUB
CSUBW 81-77
+14.5
3
@CSUF
CSUFW 86-64
−10.5
8
vsLBSU
LBSUW 74-64
−4.5
10
@HAW
HAWL 66-67
−7.5
17
@UCD
UCDL 72-75
−1.5
22
@UCR
UCRW 80-66
+3.5
24
@UCSD
UCSDW 61-59
−26.5
29
vsHAW
HAWW 87-76
+18.5
5
vsCSUB
CSUBW 78-62
−4.5
7
@UCSB
UCSBL 79-84
+21.5
over 9under 13avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Cal Poly
23 games played
Straight up
7-16
30% wins
Against the spread
11-12
48% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-10
57% overs · avg −0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ USC | L 64-94 | +24.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 8 | @ SEA | W 73-71 | +10.5 | W +12.5 | 164.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 12 | @ CSU | L 79-93 | +18.5 | W +4.5 | 165.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 14 | @ MONT | L 82-90 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 168.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 20 | @ UTAH | W 92-85 | +14.5 | W +21.5 | 167.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 24 | @ NAU | L 87-93 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 25 | vs SEMO | L 68-84 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 170.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 4 | @CSUF | W 94-91 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 177.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 6 | vsUCR | L 84-88 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 16 | vs MTST | L 80-83 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 19 | @ UCLA | L 87-108 | +24.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 21 | vs IDHO | L 80-83 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 167.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 1 | vsUCSD | W 67-65 | +8.5 | W +10.5 | 174.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 3 | @LBSU | L 66-74 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 8 | @CSUN | L 90-95 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 175.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 10 | vsUCD | W 84-78 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 168.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 15 | vsHAW | L 66-86 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 22 | @UCSB | L 67-107 | +8.5 | L −31.5 | 159.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 24 | vsCSUF | L 78-93 | +1.5 | L −13.5 | 173.5 | U 171 |
| Jan 29 | @CSUB | W 104-79 | -1.5 | W +23.5 | 161.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 31 | @UCR | W 94-87 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 162.5 | O 181 |
| Feb 5 | vsCSUN | L 96-97 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 177.5 | O 193 |
| Feb 7 | @UCD | L 58-67 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 169.5 | U 125 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@USC
USCL 64-94
−5.5
8
@SEA
SEAW 73-71
+12.5
12
@CSU
CSUL 79-93
+4.5
14
@MONT
MONTL 82-90
−0.5
20
@UTAH
UTAHW 92-85
+21.5
24
@NAU
NAUL 87-93
−7.5
25
vsSEMO
SEMOL 68-84
−14.5
4
@CSUF
CSUFW 94-91
+4.5
6
vsUCR
UCRL 84-88
−9.5
16
vsMTST
MTSTL 80-83
−0.5
19
@UCLA
UCLAL 87-108
+3.5
21
vsIDHO
IDHOL 80-83
−1.5
1
vsUCSD
UCSDW 67-65
+10.5
3
@LBSU
LBSUL 66-74
−5.5
8
@CSUN
CSUNL 90-95
+1.5
10
vsUCD
UCDW 84-78
+7.5
15
vsHAW
HAWL 66-86
−14.5
22
@UCSB
UCSBL 67-107
−31.5
24
vsCSUF
CSUFL 78-93
−13.5
29
@CSUB
CSUBW 104-79
+23.5
31
@UCR
UCRW 94-87
+8.5
5
vsCSUN
CSUNL 96-97
+1.5
7
@UCD
UCDL 58-67
−3.5
covered 11didn’t cover 12avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@USC
USCL 64-94
−5.5
8
@SEA
SEAW 73-71
−20.5
12
@CSU
CSUL 79-93
+6.5
14
@MONT
MONTL 82-90
+3.5
20
@UTAH
UTAHW 92-85
+9.5
24
@NAU
NAUL 87-93
+15.5
25
vsSEMO
SEMOL 68-84
−18.5
4
@CSUF
CSUFW 94-91
+7.5
6
vsUCR
UCRL 84-88
+9.5
16
vsMTST
MTSTL 80-83
+3.5
19
@UCLA
UCLAL 87-108
+33.5
21
vsIDHO
IDHOL 80-83
−4.5
1
vsUCSD
UCSDW 67-65
−42.5
3
@LBSU
LBSUL 66-74
−22.5
8
@CSUN
CSUNL 90-95
+9.5
10
vsUCD
UCDW 84-78
−6.5
15
vsHAW
HAWL 66-86
−8.5
22
@UCSB
UCSBL 67-107
+14.5
24
vsCSUF
CSUFL 78-93
−2.5
29
@CSUB
CSUBW 104-79
+21.5
31
@UCR
UCRW 94-87
+18.5
5
vsCSUN
CSUNL 96-97
+15.5
7
@UCD
UCDL 58-67
−44.5
over 13under 10avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UC Irvine
14-8 overall · 9-3 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Santa Barbara79–84
- Wvs Bakersfield78–62
- Wvs Hawai'i87–76
- W@ UC San Diego61–59
- W@ UC Riverside80–66
5 days since their last game.
Cal Poly
7-16 overall · 5-8 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UC Davis58–67
- Lvs CSU Northridge96–97
- W@ UC Riverside94–87
- W@ Bakersfield104–79
- Lvs Fullerton78–93
5 days since their last game.