University Credit Union Center · at UC Davis · Conference game
Closing line
UCI -3.5✓ UCD covered by 6.5
UCI -3.5✓ UCD covered by 6.5Closing total148.5Under by 1.5
| UCI | This season | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| 10-6 | Record | 8-7 |
| 7-9 | ATS | 8-6 |
| 6-10 | O/U | 9-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UCI 72–71 UCD · ✗ UCI (54%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCI | 42 | 30 | 72 |
| UCD | 42 | 33 | 75 |
1st half: UCI 42, UCD 42 (tied). The model had UCI by 0.8 and a total of 67.3 (actual 84).
Team stats
| UCI | UCD | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-58 47% | Field goals | 22-57 39% |
| 5-15 33% | 3-pointers | 11-27 41% |
| 13-13 100% | Free throws | 20-30 67% |
| 35 9 off | Rebounds | 35 13 off |
| 11 | Assists | 14 |
| 4 | Steals | 9 |
| 5 | Blocks | 3 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 22 | Fouls | 17 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 18 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| UCI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Evans F | 27 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-1 |
| Derin Saran G | 26 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
| Tama Isaac G | 25 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Jurian Dixon G | 23 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 6-14 | 2-6 |
| Elijah Chol F | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Andre Henry G | 31 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-1 |
| Harrison Carrington F | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Jovan Jester Jr. G | 19 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 5-8 | 2-3 |
| Nes Emeneke C | 12 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Akiva McBirney-Griffin F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Luke Isaak, Josh Palmer, Mason Hodges, Bryce Goldman, Tishan Ahir, Torian Lee, Ben Egbo, Langston Redfield
| UCD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Sevilla G | 35 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-2 |
| Niko Rocak F | 31 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 5-13 | 4-11 |
| Isaiah Chappell F | 28 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-3 |
| Marcus Wilson G | 27 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 1-8 | 0-2 |
| Nils Cooper G | 22 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 4-6 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Carl Daughtery Jr. G | 26 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 5-7 | 3-4 |
| Brayden Fagbemi G | 15 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Omer Suljanovic F | 14 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 4-8 | 2-2 |
| Jalen Stokes G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Cyril Franklin Jr. G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Abdullah Amzil, Jonathan Noudjihidi, Ylan Esso-Essis, Chase Rawlins
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUCI -3.5
ModelUCI -1.2
Model edgeUCD +2.3
W UCD covered
Total
Market148.5
Model143.7
Model edgeUnder 4.8
W Under
Projected score
UCI 72.4 · UCD 71.2
UCI 72 · UCD 75
Win probability
UCI 54%
1st half
Spread
UCI -0.8
tied
Total
67.3
84 points
Projected score
UCI 34.1 · UCD 33.2
UCI 42 · UCD 42
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCI -2.5
1 → UCI
CloseUCI -3.5
1 pt toward UCI
Total
Open146.5
▲ 2
Close148.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
UCI -170 · UCD +142
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCI -2.5 · closed UCI -3.5 · moved 1 toward UCImodel UCI -1
model UCI -1
Opened 146.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 2 upmodel 143.5
model 143.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCI | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
| UCD | 5-5 50% | 6-3 67% | 6-3 67% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
UCI 5–1 UCDUCI leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · UCI has won the last 2 meetings · UCI 2-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2024-25 | UCI 88 @ UCD 59 | UCD +6.5 | UCI W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | UCD 66 @ UCI 73 | UCI -12.5 | UCD W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | UCI 52 @ UCD 54 | UCD +2.5 | UCD W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | UCD 71 @ UCI 74 | UCI -9.5 | UCD W |
| Feb 18, 2022-23 | UCD 76 @ UCI 78 | UCI -7.5 | UCD W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UC Irvine
16 games played
Straight up
10-6
63% wins
Against the spread
7-9
44% covers · avg −1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-10
38% overs · avg −5.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs CBU | L 61-69 | -8.5 | L −16.5 | 147.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | vs WEB | W 79-70 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 19 | @ UVU | L 72-79 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 22 | vs UNI | L 69-70 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Nov 25 | vs NMSU | L 45-57 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | U 102 |
| Nov 26 | vs SDST | W 64-52 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 30 | @ SJSU | W 72-63 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 4 | vs UCR | W 73-60 | -13.5 | L −0.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 6 | vs CSUN | W 85-71 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 19 | vs BEL | L 58-84 | -1.5 | L −27.5 | 150.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 21 | vs NDSU | W 74-73 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 22 | vs NORF | W 89-70 | -11.5 | W +7.5 | 136.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 1 | @ CSUB | W 81-77 | -11.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 3 | @ CSUF | W 86-64 | -3.5 | W +18.5 | 160.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 8 | vs LBSU | W 74-64 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 10 | @ HAW | L 66-67 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsCBU
CBUL 61-69
−16.5
15
vsWEB
WEBW 79-70
−2.5
19
@UVU
UVUL 72-79
−4.5
22
vsUNI
UNIL 69-70
−3.5
25
vsNMSU
NMSUL 45-57
−14.5
26
vsSDST
SDSTW 64-52
+9.5
30
@SJSU
SJSUW 72-63
+5.5
4
vsUCR
UCRW 73-60
−0.5
6
vsCSUN
CSUNW 85-71
+6.5
19
vsBEL
BELL 58-84
−27.5
21
vsNDSU
NDSUW 74-73
+2.5
22
vsNORF
NORFW 89-70
+7.5
1
@CSUB
CSUBW 81-77
−7.5
3
@CSUF
CSUFW 86-64
+18.5
8
vsLBSU
LBSUW 74-64
−0.5
10
@HAW
HAWL 66-67
+3.5
covered 7didn’t cover 9avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsCBU
CBUL 61-69
−17.5
15
vsWEB
WEBW 79-70
−2.5
19
@UVU
UVUL 72-79
+1.5
22
vsUNI
UNIL 69-70
+0.5
25
vsNMSU
NMSUL 45-57
−37.5
26
vsSDST
SDSTW 64-52
−28.5
30
@SJSU
SJSUW 72-63
−4.5
4
vsUCR
UCRW 73-60
−9.5
6
vsCSUN
CSUNW 85-71
+3.5
19
vsBEL
BELL 58-84
−8.5
21
vsNDSU
NDSUW 74-73
+0.5
22
vsNORF
NORFW 89-70
+22.5
1
@CSUB
CSUBW 81-77
+14.5
3
@CSUF
CSUFW 86-64
−10.5
8
vsLBSU
LBSUW 74-64
−4.5
10
@HAW
HAWL 66-67
−7.5
over 6under 10avg −5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
UC Davis
15 games played
Straight up
8-7
53% wins
Against the spread
8-6
57% covers · avg +1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-5
64% overs · avg +6.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vsNDSU | W 80-68 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 9 | @ PORT | L 63-67 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | vs SAC | W 77-73 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 18 | @ NEV | W 75-71 | +12.5 | W +16.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 21 | @ COLO | L 79-95 | +14.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 24 | vs UL | W 77-56 | -9.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 4 | @HAW | L 69-75 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 13 | @ ORE | L 62-104 | +13.5 | L −28.5 | 146.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 17 | vs SEA | L 78-79 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 21 | @ IDST | W 93-83 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 143.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 1 | vsCSUN | W 89-80 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 162.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 3 | vsCSUB | L 79-81 | -9.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 8 | @ UCSB | W 93-86 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 10 | @ CP | L 78-84 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 168.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 15 | vsCSUF | W 74-69 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 166.5 | U 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsNDSU
NDSUW 80-68
+10.5
9
@PORT
PORTL 63-67
−2.5
14
vsSAC
SACW 77-73
−0.5
18
@NEV
NEVW 75-71
+16.5
21
@COLO
COLOL 79-95
−1.5
24
vsUL
ULW 77-56
+11.5
13
@ORE
OREL 62-104
−28.5
17
vsSEA
SEAL 78-79
+1.5
21
@IDST
IDSTW 93-83
+15.5
1
vsCSUN
CSUNW 89-80
+5.5
3
vsCSUB
CSUBL 79-81
−11.5
8
@UCSB
UCSBW 93-86
+11.5
10
@CP
CPL 78-84
−7.5
15
vsCSUF
CSUFW 74-69
+1.5
covered 8didn’t cover 6avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsNDSU
NDSUW 80-68
+5.5
9
@PORT
PORTL 63-67
−21.5
14
vsSAC
SACW 77-73
−1.5
18
@NEV
NEVW 75-71
+2.5
21
@COLO
COLOL 79-95
+21.5
24
vsUL
ULW 77-56
−3.5
13
@ORE
OREL 62-104
+19.5
17
vsSEA
SEAL 78-79
+13.5
21
@IDST
IDSTW 93-83
+32.5
1
vsCSUN
CSUNW 89-80
+6.5
3
vsCSUB
CSUBL 79-81
+8.5
8
@UCSB
UCSBW 93-86
+31.5
10
@CP
CPL 78-84
−6.5
15
vsCSUF
CSUFW 74-69
−23.5
over 9under 5avg +6.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UC Irvine
10-6 overall · 5-1 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Hawai'i66–67
- Wvs Long Beach St74–64
- W@ Fullerton86–64
- W@ Bakersfield81–77
- Wvs Norfolk St89–70
A week or more of rest.
UC Davis
8-7 overall · 3-3 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Fullerton74–69
- L@ Cal Poly78–84
- W@ Santa Barbara93–86
- Lvs Bakersfield79–81
- Wvs CSU Northridge89–80
2 days since their last game.