Titan Gym · at Fullerton · Conference game
Closing line
UCSD -2.5✓ CSUF covered by 6.5
UCSD -2.5✓ CSUF covered by 6.5Closing total156.5Under by 10.5
| UCSD | This season | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| 19-9 | Record | 13-15 |
| 15-13 | ATS | 16-11 |
| 12-16 | O/U | 13-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UCSD 79–75 CSUF · ✗ UCSD (64%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCSD | 39 | 32 | 71 |
| CSUF | 29 | 46 | 75 |
1st half: UCSD 39, CSUF 29 (UCSD by 10). The model had UCSD by 2.6 and a total of 72.2 (actual 68).
Team stats
| UCSD | CSUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-60 50% | Field goals | 29-67 43% |
| 8-24 33% | 3-pointers | 11-35 31% |
| 3-3 100% | Free throws | 6-9 67% |
| 35 6 off | Rebounds | 35 11 off |
| 24 | Assists | 23 |
| 6 | Steals | 8 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 14 | Fouls | 8 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 18 |
Players
| UCSD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Beath F | 33 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 4-8 | 2-4 |
| Alex Chaikin G | 30 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3-8 | 2-7 |
| Tom Beattie G | 29 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 0-5 | 0-3 |
| Hudson Mayes G | 28 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 6-11 | 1-3 |
| Bol Dengdit C | 22 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 5-7 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaden Vance F | 23 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 4-8 | 1-3 |
| Emanuel Prospere II G | 21 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6-10 | 0-0 |
| Aidan Burke G | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Dimitrije Vukicevic C | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ryder Elisaldez, Christopher Cox, Tyson Dunn, Trap Johnson, Cade Pendleton, Jasen Brooks, Yaqub Mir
| CSUF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Ward G | 34 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 7-14 | 2-8 |
| Christian Williams G | 31 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 3-11 | 2-7 |
| Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro G | 31 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 5-11 | 4-7 |
| Bryce Cofield G | 26 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Landon Seaman F | 23 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 4-12 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaden Henderson G | 17 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 5-7 | 2-3 |
| Kendrick De Luna F | 17 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bailey Nunn G | 16 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| KJ Garris Jr. G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Kidus Tilahun, Davis White, Yesan Warren, Karan Kolappa, Cam Smith, Nicholas Khatchikian, Matthew Quinlan, Ben Winker
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUCSD -2.5
ModelUCSD -4.2
Model edgeUCSD +1.7
L CSUF covered
Total
Market156.5
Model154.3
Model edgeUnder 2.2
W Under
Projected score
UCSD 79.2 · CSUF 75.1
UCSD 71 · CSUF 75
Win probability
UCSD 64%
1st half
Spread
UCSD -2.6
UCSD -10.0
Total
72.2
68 points
Projected score
UCSD 37.4 · CSUF 34.8
UCSD 39 · CSUF 29
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCSD -3.5
1 → CSUF
CloseUCSD -2.5
1 pt toward CSUF
Total
Open157.5
▼ 1
Close156.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
UCSD -148 · CSUF +124
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCSD -3.5 · closed UCSD -2.5 · moved 1 toward CSUFmodel UCSD -4
model UCSD -4
Opened 157.5 · closed 156.5 · moved 1 downmodel 154.5
model 154.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCSD | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 2-8 20% |
| CSUF | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
UCSD 5–3 CSUFUCSD leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · UCSD 5-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2025-26 | CSUF 88 @ UCSD 71 | UCSD -13.5 | CSUF W |
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | CSUF 55 @ UCSD 100 | UCSD -26.5 | UCSD W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | UCSD 90 @ CSUF 51 | CSUF +12.5 | UCSD W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | CSUF 69 @ UCSD 76 | UCSD -10.5 | CSUF W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | UCSD 76 @ CSUF 58 | CSUF +2.5 | UCSD W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UC San Diego
28 games played
Straight up
19-9
68% wins
Against the spread
15-13
54% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-16
43% overs · avg −5.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs HCU | W 78-60 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 12 | @ FRES | W 78-73 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs IDHO | W 75-67 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 24 | vs TEM | W 91-76 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 25 | vs BRAD | W 87-77 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs TOW | W 87-73 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 2 | @ NEV | L 70-76 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | @ LBSU | W 80-74 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 13 | vs TULN | W 93-67 | -5.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 16 | @ LMU | W 67-57 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 19 | vs USD | L 80-82 | -12.5 | L −14.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 1 | @ CP | L 65-67 | -8.5 | L −10.5 | 174.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 3 | vs HAW | W 83-73 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 8 | vsCSUF | L 71-88 | -13.5 | L −30.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 10 | @ UCR | W 69-66 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 15 | vs CSUN | L 79-84 | -7.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 17 | @ CSUB | W 83-62 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 22 | @ UCD | W 80-74 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 24 | vs UCI | L 59-61 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 146.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 29 | vs UCSB | L 48-62 | -4.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 110 |
| Jan 31 | @CSUN | L 64-81 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 160.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 5 | vsLBSU | W 77-74 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 7 | @HAW | L 67-72 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 12 | vsUCD | W 68-51 | -5.5 | W +11.5 | 150.5 | U 119 |
| Feb 14 | vsUCR | W 72-66 | -11.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 21 | @UCI | W 71-69 | +3.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 26 | vsCSUB | W 84-72 | -14.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 28 | vsCP | W 80-64 | -7.5 | W +8.5 | 164.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsHCU
HCUW 78-60
+10.5
12
@FRES
FRESW 78-73
+6.5
15
vsIDHO
IDHOW 75-67
+2.5
24
vsTEM
TEMW 91-76
+16.5
25
vsBRAD
BRADW 87-77
+11.5
26
vsTOW
TOWW 87-73
+12.5
2
@NEV
NEVL 70-76
−0.5
6
@LBSU
LBSUW 80-74
−2.5
13
vsTULN
TULNW 93-67
+20.5
16
@LMU
LMUW 67-57
+8.5
19
vsUSD
USDL 80-82
−14.5
1
@CP
CPL 65-67
−10.5
3
vsHAW
HAWW 83-73
+7.5
8
vsCSUF
CSUFL 71-88
−30.5
10
@UCR
UCRW 69-66
−7.5
15
vsCSUN
CSUNL 79-84
−12.5
17
@CSUB
CSUBW 83-62
+12.5
22
@UCD
UCDW 80-74
+4.5
24
vsUCI
UCIL 59-61
−4.5
29
vsUCSB
UCSBL 48-62
−18.5
31
@CSUN
CSUNL 64-81
−18.5
5
vsLBSU
LBSUW 77-74
−7.5
7
@HAW
HAWL 67-72
+1.5
12
vsUCD
UCDW 68-51
+11.5
14
vsUCR
UCRW 72-66
−5.5
21
@UCI
UCIW 71-69
+5.5
26
vsCSUB
CSUBW 84-72
−2.5
28
vsCP
CPW 80-64
+8.5
covered 15didn’t cover 13avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsHCU
HCUW 78-60
−3.5
12
@FRES
FRESW 78-73
+2.5
15
vsIDHO
IDHOW 75-67
−6.5
24
vsTEM
TEMW 91-76
+18.5
25
vsBRAD
BRADW 87-77
+18.5
26
vsTOW
TOWW 87-73
+21.5
2
@NEV
NEVL 70-76
−3.5
6
@LBSU
LBSUW 80-74
+8.5
13
vsTULN
TULNW 93-67
+10.5
16
@LMU
LMUW 67-57
−26.5
19
vsUSD
USDL 80-82
+5.5
1
@CP
CPL 65-67
−42.5
3
vsHAW
HAWW 83-73
+7.5
8
vsCSUF
CSUFL 71-88
−7.5
10
@UCR
UCRW 69-66
−14.5
15
vsCSUN
CSUNL 79-84
+3.5
17
@CSUB
CSUBW 83-62
−2.5
22
@UCD
UCDW 80-74
+1.5
24
vsUCI
UCIL 59-61
−26.5
29
vsUCSB
UCSBL 48-62
−35.5
31
@CSUN
CSUNL 64-81
−15.5
5
vsLBSU
LBSUW 77-74
+6.5
7
@HAW
HAWL 67-72
−10.5
12
vsUCD
UCDW 68-51
−31.5
14
vsUCR
UCRW 72-66
−9.5
21
@UCI
UCIW 71-69
−3.5
26
vsCSUB
CSUBW 84-72
+7.5
28
vsCP
CPW 80-64
−20.5
over 12under 16avg −5.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Fullerton
28 games played
Straight up
13-15
46% wins
Against the spread
16-11
59% covers · avg +2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-14
48% overs · avg +2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ WYO | L 82-92 | +15.5 | W +5.5 | 154.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 10 | @ CAL | L 65-93 | +22.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 15 | vs PAC | L 73-85 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 159.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 21 | @ PORT | L 85-103 | +6.5 | L −11.5 | 164.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 22 | vs STMN | W 88-80 | +11.5 | W +19.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 23 | vs UNCO | L 93-97 | +8.5 | W +4.5 | 164.5 | O 190 |
| Nov 29 | vs PEPP | W 83-69 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 161.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 4 | vsCP | L 91-94 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 177.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 6 | @HAW | L 59-69 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 13 | @ DEN | W 105-86 | +3.5 | W +22.5 | 165.5 | O 191 |
| Dec 21 | @ OKST | L 89-94 | +19.5 | W +14.5 | 176.5 | O 183 |
| Dec 28 | @ SMU | L 63-110 | +21.5 | L −25.5 | 170.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 1 | vsUCSB | W 95-84 | +3.5 | W +14.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 3 | vsUCI | L 64-86 | +3.5 | L −18.5 | 160.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 8 | @UCSD | W 88-71 | +13.5 | W +30.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 10 | vsCSUN | W 86-79 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 173.5 | U 165 |
| Jan 15 | @UCD | L 69-74 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 166.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 17 | @UCR | L 72-81 | -3.5 | L −12.5 | 157.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 22 | vsLBSU | W 71-61 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 160.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 24 | @CP | W 93-78 | -1.5 | W +13.5 | 173.5 | U 171 |
| Jan 31 | @UCSB | L 69-83 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 5 | vsUCR | W 78-72 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Feb 7 | vsCSUB | W 82-66 | -9.5 | W +6.5 | 157.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 12 | @LBSU | W 86-82 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 14 | @UCI | L 65-86 | +7.5 | L −13.5 | 154.5 | U 151 |
| Feb 19 | vsUCD | W 93-92 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 156.5 | O 185 |
| Feb 21 | @CSUB | W 88-80 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 160.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 28 | vsHAW | L 85-87 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | O 172 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@WYO
WYOL 82-92
+5.5
10
@CAL
CALL 65-93
−5.5
15
vsPAC
PACL 73-85
−5.5
21
@PORT
PORTL 85-103
−11.5
22
vsSTMN
STMNW 88-80
+19.5
23
vsUNCO
UNCOL 93-97
+4.5
29
vsPEPP
PEPPW 83-69
+12.5
4
vsCP
CPL 91-94
−4.5
13
@DEN
DENW 105-86
+22.5
21
@OKST
OKSTL 89-94
+14.5
28
@SMU
SMUL 63-110
−25.5
1
vsUCSB
UCSBW 95-84
+14.5
3
vsUCI
UCIL 64-86
−18.5
8
@UCSD
UCSDW 88-71
+30.5
10
vsCSUN
CSUNW 86-79
+5.5
15
@UCD
UCDL 69-74
−1.5
17
@UCR
UCRL 72-81
−12.5
22
vsLBSU
LBSUW 71-61
+6.5
24
@CP
CPW 93-78
+13.5
31
@UCSB
UCSBL 69-83
−5.5
5
vsUCR
UCRW 78-72
+0.5
7
vsCSUB
CSUBW 82-66
+6.5
12
@LBSU
LBSUW 86-82
+6.5
14
@UCI
UCIL 65-86
−13.5
19
vsUCD
UCDW 93-92
−0.5
21
@CSUB
CSUBW 88-80
+2.5
28
vsHAW
HAWL 85-87
+1.5
covered 16didn’t cover 11avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@WYO
WYOL 82-92
+19.5
10
@CAL
CALL 65-93
−4.5
15
vsPAC
PACL 73-85
−1.5
21
@PORT
PORTL 85-103
+23.5
22
vsSTMN
STMNW 88-80
+5.5
23
vsUNCO
UNCOL 93-97
+25.5
29
vsPEPP
PEPPW 83-69
−9.5
4
vsCP
CPL 91-94
+7.5
13
@DEN
DENW 105-86
+25.5
21
@OKST
OKSTL 89-94
+6.5
28
@SMU
SMUL 63-110
+2.5
1
vsUCSB
UCSBW 95-84
+23.5
3
vsUCI
UCIL 64-86
−10.5
8
@UCSD
UCSDW 88-71
−7.5
10
vsCSUN
CSUNW 86-79
−8.5
15
@UCD
UCDL 69-74
−23.5
17
@UCR
UCRL 72-81
−4.5
22
vsLBSU
LBSUW 71-61
−28.5
24
@CP
CPW 93-78
−2.5
31
@UCSB
UCSBL 69-83
−1.5
5
vsUCR
UCRW 78-72
−6.5
7
vsCSUB
CSUBW 82-66
−9.5
12
@LBSU
LBSUW 86-82
+11.5
14
@UCI
UCIL 65-86
−3.5
19
vsUCD
UCDW 93-92
+28.5
21
@CSUB
CSUBW 88-80
+7.5
28
vsHAW
HAWL 85-87
+13.5
over 13under 14avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UC San Diego
19-9 overall · 11-7 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Cal Poly80–64
- Wvs Bakersfield84–72
- W@ UC Irvine71–69
- Wvs UC Riverside72–66
- Wvs UC Davis68–51
5 days since their last game.
Fullerton
13-15 overall · 10-8 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Hawai'i85–87
- W@ Bakersfield88–80
- Wvs UC Davis93–92
- L@ UC Irvine65–86
- W@ Long Beach St86–82
5 days since their last game.